Thoughts on the Market

Many are skeptical of substantial rise in long term interest rates in the coming year, but we think market pressures will push them up more than the consensus and that the Fed will not get in the way. Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets explains.

Congress is making progress on a COVID fiscal relief package, but previous efforts to strike a deal haven’t borne fruit. Why this time may be different.

Despite a year of high uncertainty, 2020 may end as a strong year for nearly every asset class—which means it may be time to step back and take a breath.

Corporate credit defaults have been relatively low considering the outsized shock of COVID-19. Do muted default rates also mean a muted recovery?

Will a Biden administration mean a reduction of trade barriers between the U.S. and China. The answer for investors: like most questions on trade, it’s a bit nuanced.

China’s consumers could emerge as a key GDP growth driver in 2021, fueled by COVID-19 vaccine availability, a recovery in the job market and pent-up savings by households.

Markets have spent November celebrating upbeat vaccine news and closure on U.S. election uncertainty. After a strong month, are equities headed for another reset?

Emerging market assets are poised to redeem some of their historic underperformance in 2021, but not all assets and indices in the class are equally positioned to take advantage of the cyclical upturn. Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets explains.

A rare open disagreement between the Fed and the Treasury may have policy implications in the longer term. Michael Zezas, Head of U.S. Public Policy Research, explains.

Although the U.S. faces a challenging winter, vaccine availability and momentum could propel the economy to expand an impressive 6% in 2021. The forecast for investors.

As Thanksgiving approaches in the U.S., it’s worth taking a moment to be thankful for potential vaccines, a remarkably resilient economy and the strength of the human spirit.

Global economies are set for next phase of a V-shaped recovery in both developed and emerging markets. Why that could be good news for equities and credit markets.

Washington D.C. has become increasingly interested in tech regulation, but what’s the likelihood in the next two years? And what could it mean for tech stocks?

Although near-term worries about the coronavirus and higher interest rates could challenge company valuations, the 12-month U.S. equities outlook may be just what the doctor ordered.

Confidence in the ability of central bank to suppress market volatility through aggressive policy may be misplaced.

G10 central banks could inject another $2.8 trillion of liquidity next year—over twice the amount in any year prior to this one. How will this impact rates and currencies?

Although improving economic growth and rising inflation could present challenges for bond investors, “re-opening” could bring benefit for municipal bonds.

Although COVID-19 new case rates have been climbing in Europe, the impact of this second wave may not be as severe this time around.

Upbeat news on a coronavirus vaccine and a win for President-elect Biden drive stocks significantly higher. How should investors trade a potentially earlier re-opening?

All eyes are on the U.S. Presidential race as markets also weigh climbing coronavirus cases in the U.S., fiscal stimulus uncertainty and October’s jobs report.

Amidst the uncertainty, three topics should be front of mind for investors: implications of a divided government, the path to fiscal stimulus and tax changes.

Although some volatility may lie ahead, the end of the U.S. election cycle and progress on a potential coronavirus vaccine may bring some optimism to markets.

A look at the 2008 and 2016 U.S. elections suggests that a sweep by either Democrats or Republicans could push stocks and bond yields higher in 2021.

For investors, election night could hinge on moments when markets conclude who has won, not necessarily on when media networks call a winner.

U.S. equity markets have been stuck range bound due to three key concerns, but investors could use that uncertainty to their advantage.