Morgan Stanley
Thoughts on the Market
Short, thoughtful and regular takes on recent events in the markets from a variety of perspectives and voices within Morgan Stanley.
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Episodes
Michael Zezas: Supply Chain Woes Also Create Opportunities 15.12.2021 3:06
While many are hopeful for an easing of supply chain delays in 2022, the resolution of these issues may lead to new challenges and opportunities in key stock sectors investors should be watching. ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Michael Zezas, Head of Public Policy Research and Municipal Strategy for Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues, bringing you a variety of p...
Sheena Shah: The Financialization of Cryptocurrency 14.12.2021 3:26
Cryptocurrency companies have begun to act as banks in the US, and while regulators have expressed concerns over interest rates and the primacy of the dollar, this interplay has only just begun. ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Sheena Shah, Lead Cryptocurrency Analyst for Morgan Stanley Research. Along with my colleagues, bringing you a variety of perspectives, I'll be...
2022 U.S. Equities Outlook: Still Favoring the Base Case 13.12.2021 4:36
Our 2022 outlook presented a wider than normal range of potential paths. While our base case still appears likely, shifts in supply and Fed policy could cause a change in course. ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Chief Investment Officer and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist for Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues bringing you a variety of perspectives, I'l...
2022 Rates & Currency Outlook: What’s Changed? 10.12.2021 4:27
With recent central bank action raising questions on monetary policy, Global Head of Macro Strategy Matthew Hornbach takes us through the implications for the trajectory of rates and currency markets in the year ahead. ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Matthew Hornbach, Global Head of Macro Strategy for Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues, bringing you a variety of...
2022 US Economic Outlook: Gauging Inflation, Labor & The Fed 10.12.2021 6:53
The US economy is in a unique moment of uncertainty but headed into 2022, shifts in inflation, the labor market and Fed policy tell a constructive story. ----- Transcript ----- Ellen Zentner Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Ellen Zentner, Chief U.S. Economist for Morgan Stanley Research. Robert Rosener And I'm Robert Rosener, Senior U.S. Economist. Ellen Zentner And on this episode of the po...
Michael Zezas: Congress Eyes Tech Regulation in 2022 09.12.2021 3:22
Headed into next year, ‘Build Back Better’ legislation remains a work in progress, but Congress may find common ground in both parties’ concerns around one issue: tech regulation. ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Michael Zezas, Head of Public Policy Research and Municipal Strategy for Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues, bringing you a variety of perspectives, I'l...
Special Episode: Early Vaccine Data on Omicron 08.12.2021 5:41
With early data in on the Omicron variant, biotechnology analyst Matthew Harrison takes us through where we stand on vaccine efficacy headed into the winter. ----- Transcript ----- Andrew Sheets Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist for Morgan Stanley Research. Matthew Harrison And I'm Matthew Harrison, Biotechnology Analyst. Andrew Sheets...
2022 European Equities Outlook: Volatility Inbound 08.12.2021 3:20
With investors expected to deal with an increase in volatility in 2022, our outlook for European equities remains strong into next year. ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I’m Graham Secker, Head of Morgan Stanley’s European and UK equity strategy team. Along with my colleagues, bringing you a variety of perspectives, I’ll be talking about the recent volatility in asset...
Mike Wilson: Why Have Stocks Been So Weak? 06.12.2021 3:36
The past few weeks have seen weak valuations across equity markets. While many look to the Omicron variant as the main culprit, the correction may have more to do with the recent Fed pivot. ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Chief Investment Officer and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist for Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues, bring you a variety of perspect...
Andrew Sheets: For the Fed, Are Tapering and Raising Rates the Same Thing? 03.12.2021 3:09
One of our most controversial calls for 2022, that the Fed won’t hike interest rates next year, faces renewed scrutiny amidst high inflation, signals on tapering, and today's employment report. ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist for Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues, bringing you a variety of perspectives, I'll be talkin...
2022 Asia Equities Outlook: Key Debates 02.12.2021 4:39
Chief Asia and Emerging Markets Strategist Jonathan Garner highlights the key debates around his team’s outlook on the region’s growth, policy changes and more in the coming year. ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Jonathan Gardner, Chief Asia and Emerging Markets Equity Strategist for Morgan Stanley Research. Along with my colleagues, bringing you a variety of perspecti...
Michael Zezas: New Restrictions in Light of Omicron? 01.12.2021 3:40
The Omicron variant of COVID-19 has investors concerned about potential new restrictions, but the onus lies most on state and local governments who, for now, are awaiting more information on infection rates and severity. ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Michael Zezas, Head of Public Policy Research and Municipal Strategy for Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues, br...
Special Episode: COVID-19 - Omicron Variant Causes Concern 01.12.2021 9:22
Last week’s news of the Omicron variant of COVID-19 has raised questions about transmissibility, vaccine efficacy, and virus mortality. Where does this variant leave us in the fight against COVID-19 and how are markets reacting? ----- Transcript ----- Andrew Sheets Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, chief cross asset strategist for Morgan Stanley Research. Matthew Harrison And I...
Mike Wilson: Markets React to Omicron 29.11.2021 3:01
With last week’s news of the Omicron variant of COVID-19, markets sold-off sharply on Friday, but beyond the headlines, there may be other underlying factors at play. ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Chief Investment Officer and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist for Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues, bringing you a variety of perspectives, I'll be talkin...
Michael Zezas: A Step Forward for Build Back Better 24.11.2021 2:40
The Build Back Better Act took a key step towards becoming law last week, signaling implications for fiscal policy and taxation as the bill heads to the Senate. ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Michael Zezas, Head of Public Policy Research and Municipal Strategy for Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues, bringing you a variety of perspectives, I'll be talking about...
Andrew Sheets: Twists and Turns In 2022 23.11.2021 4:32
Our 500th episode! From all of us at Morgan Stanley, thanks to our listeners for all your support! An overview of our expectations for the year ahead across inflation, policy, asset classes and more. As with 2021, we expect many twists and turns along the way. ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to the 500th episode of Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, and from all of us here at Morgan Stanley...
Mike Wilson: 2022 Equity Outlook Feedback and Debates 22.11.2021 4:00
With the release of our outlook for the coming year comes a cycle of feedback and debates from clients and investors. We look at those discussions around equity markets, valuations, and more in 2022. ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Chief Investment Officer and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist for Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues bringing you a variety...
2022 Global Economic Outlook, Pt. 2: Debates and Uncertainties 19.11.2021 9:54
Andrew Sheets continues his discussion with Chief Global Economist Seth Carpenter on Morgan Stanley’s more optimistic economic outlook for 2022, what’s misunderstood and where it could be wrong. ----- Transcript ----- Andrew Sheets Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Chief Cross Asset Strategist for Morgan Stanley Research. Seth Carpenter And I'm Seth Carpenter. I'm Morgan Stanle...
2022 Global Economic Outlook, Pt. 1: Optimism in the New Year 18.11.2021 9:55
Andrew Sheets speaks with Chief Global Economist Seth Carpenter on Morgan Stanley’s more optimistic economic outlook for 2022 and how consumer spending, labor, and inflation contribute to that story. ----- Transcript ----- Andrew Sheets Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Chief Cross Asset Strategist for Morgan Stanley Research. Seth Carpenter And I'm Seth Carpenter. I'm Morgan S...
Michael Zezas: A New Normal for U.S./China Relations 17.11.2021 3:12
This week’s meeting between President Biden and President Xi was not a return to an earlier phase of relations between their two countries. Instead, it suggested the normalization of a sort of ‘competitive confrontation’ that investors and markets may have mixed feelings about. ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Michael Zezas, Head of Public Policy Research and Municipal...
Special Episode: The Low-Income Real Estate Story 17.11.2021 9:21
The housing market has seen record home price growth this year. But who does this boom benefit and who gets left behind? ----- Transcript ----- Jim Egan Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm James Egan, co-head of U.S. Securitized Products Research from Morgan Stanley, Sarah Wolfe and I'm Sarah Wolfe from the US economics team, focused on the U.S. consumer. Jim Egan And on this edition of the pod...
Mike Wilson: In 2022, Stock Picking May Lead 15.11.2021 4:05
Coming out of a year marked by greater uncertainty and volatility, 2022 is poised to be a year which favors single stock investing over a focus on style and sector. ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Chief Investment Officer and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist for Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues bringing you a variety of perspectives, I'll be talking a...
Andrew Sheets: Bond Markets Get Jumpy 12.11.2021 3:11
Over the last decade, bonds have been a source of stability. But, with surprising moves this past month, they’ve now become a risk-management challenge that stands out amongst other asset classes. ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Chief Cross Asset Strategist for Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues, bring you a variety of perspectives, I'll be talkin...
Matt Hornbach: What the Fed Wants, the Fed Gets 11.11.2021 4:20
Coming out of last week’s FOMC meeting, the Fed’s wants are becoming clearer but the implications into 2022 for asset prices, interest rates and exchange rates remain to be seen. ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I’m Matthew Hornbach, Global Head of Macro Strategy for Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues bringing you a variety of perspectives, I’ll be talking about glob...
Michael Zezas: The Infrastructure Supercycle is Here 11.11.2021 2:10
The bipartisan infrastructure bill has passed, and while investors will see some short term impacts, the bigger question is how long will it take for markets to see a return on these investments? ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Michael Zezas, Head of Public Policy Research and Municipal Strategy for Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues, bringing you a variety of p...
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