Morgan Stanley
Thoughts on the Market
Short, thoughtful and regular takes on recent events in the markets from a variety of perspectives and voices within Morgan Stanley.
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Episodes
Vishy Tirupattur: Can Corporate Credit Provide Shelter? 04.10.2022 3:55
With investors becoming pervasively bearish on stocks and bonds in the face of a worsening growth outlook, can the U.S. investment grade credit market provide shelter from the storm? ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I am Vishy Tirupattur, Morgan Stanley's Global Director of Fixed Income Research. Along with my colleagues, bringing you a variety of perspectives, today I'll...
Mike Wilson: The Problem with the U.S. Dollar 03.10.2022 4:22
With rates and currency markets experiencing increasing volatility, the state of global U.S. dollar supply has begun to force central bank moves, leaving the question of when and how the Fed may react up for debate. ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the market. I'm Mike Wilson, Chief Investment Officer and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist for Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues bringi...
Global Macro: Intervention & Inflation 30.09.2022 10:14
Amidst increased volatility across credit, equity and FX markets, many investors this week are wondering, what is the path ahead for Fed intervention? Chief Cross Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets, Global Chief Economist Seth Carpenter and Head of Thematic and Public Policy Research Michael Zezas discuss. ----- Transcript ----- Andrew Sheets: Welcome to Thoughts in the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Chie...
Jonathan Garner: An Unusual Cycle for Asia and EM Equities 29.09.2022 3:21
Asia and EM equities are on the verge of the longest bear market in their history, so what is the likelihood that a sharp fall in prices follows soon after? ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Jonathan Garner, Chief Asia and Emerging Market Equity Strategist at Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues, bringing you a variety of perspectives, today I'll be discussing the o...
Ellen Zentner: The Narrowing Path for a Soft Landing 28.09.2022 4:10
As the Fed continues to increase their peak rate of interest, the path for a soft landing narrows, so what deflationary indicators need to show up in the real economy to take the pressure off of policy tightening? ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley's Chief U.S. Economist. Along with my colleagues, bringing you a variety of perspectives, toda...
Martijn Rats: Will Oil Prices Continue to Fall? 27.09.2022 3:47
While the global oil market has seen a decrease in demand, supply issues are still prevalent, leaving investors to question where oil prices are headed next. ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Martijn Rats, Morgan Stanley's Global Commodity Strategist. Along with my colleagues, bringing you a variety of perspectives, today I'll discuss the current state of the global oil...
Mike Wilson: A Sudden Drop for Stocks and Bonds 26.09.2022 3:50
After last week’s Fed meeting and another rate hike, both stocks and bonds dropped back to June lows. The question is, will this turn to the downside continue to accelerate? ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Chief Investment Officer and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist for Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues, bringing you a variety of perspectives, I'll be...
U.S. Economy: The Fed Continues to Fight Inflation 23.09.2022 7:37
After another Fed meeting and another historically high rate hike, it’s clear that the Fed is committed to fighting inflation, but how and when will the real economy see the effects? Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets and Global Chief Economist Seth Carpenter discuss. ----- Transcript ----- Andrew Sheets: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist fo...
Thematic Investing: Moonshots 22.09.2022 8:23
With high returns in mind, investors may be looking to get in on the ground floor with the next ambitious and disruptive technology, but how are these ‘moonshots’ identified and which ones could make a near-term impact? Head of Thematic Research in Europe Ed Stanley and Head of the Global Autos and Shared Mobility Team Adam Jonas discuss. ----- Transcript ----- Ed Stanley: Welcome to Thoughts on t...
Michael Zezas: Why Isn’t Fed Hiking Impacting Inflation? 21.09.2022 2:47
Though the Fed continues to raise interest rates, inflation is still high year over year, so why haven’t rate hikes begun to bring inflation down yet? ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Michael Zezas, Head of Global Thematic and Public Policy Research for Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues, bringing you a variety of perspectives, I'll be talking about the intersect...
Robin Xing: Can China’s Economy Stabilize Global Growth? 20.09.2022 4:05
As the global economic outlook turns toward a slowdown in growth, some investors may look to China for stability, but, when they do, what will they find? ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Robin Xing, Morgan Stanley's Chief China Economist. Along with my colleagues, bringing you a variety of perspectives, today I will discuss whether China can stabilize global growth ami...
Seth Carpenter: Tracking the Coming Slowdown 19.09.2022 4:09
From Europe, to China, to the U.S., global economies are facing unique challenges as the brewing storm of recession risks seem to still indicate a slowdown ahead. ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Seth Carpenter, Global Chief Economist for Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues, bringing you a variety of perspectives, I'll be talking about the rising risks of global r...
Andrew Sheets: The Case for Credit 16.09.2022 3:04
While credit and equities have both suffered this year, economic conditions in the U.S. and Emerging Markets may lead to credit having a bit more stability in the coming months. ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist for Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues, bringing you a variety of perspectives, I'll be talking about trends a...
U.S. Public Policy: The Impact of Student Loan Forgiveness 15.09.2022 6:37
The White House recently announced a student loan forgiveness program, prompting questions about implementation, economic implications, and whether the program will have an impact on consumer spending. Sarah Wolfe of the U.S. Economics team and Arianna Salvatore of the U.S. Public Policy team discuss. ----- Transcript ----- Sarah Wolfe: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Sarah Wolfe from Morga...
Michael Zezas: Why the Midterm Elections Matter 14.09.2022 2:34
With only 60 days to go until the U.S. midterm elections, investors will want to know how different outcomes could impact markets, both locally and globally. ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Michael Zezas, Head of Global Thematic and Public Policy Research for Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues, bringing you a variety of perspectives, I'll be talking about the in...
Daniel Blake: The Resilience of Japanese Equities 13.09.2022 3:49
As various global markets contend with high inflation, recession risks, and monetary policy tightening, Japanese equities may provide some opportunities to diversify away from other developed markets. ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Daniel Blake from Morgan Stanley's Asia and Emerging Markets Equity Strategy Team. Along with my colleagues, bringing you a variety of pe...
Graham Secker: European Equities Face Earnings Concerns 12.09.2022 3:57
Even as the European equity market contends with inflation, a slowing economy and a climate of decreased earnings, there are positives to be found if you know where to look. -----Transcript----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Graham Secker, Head of Morgan Stanley's European Equity Strategy Team. Along with my colleagues, bringing you a variety of perspectives, I'll be talking about the out...
Andrew Sheets: The Complex U.K. Economy 09.09.2022 3:10
As the world turns to the U.K., the country faces a host of domestic and international economic challenges, but there may yet be some bright spots for investors. -----Transcript----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist for Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues, bringing you a variety of perspectives, I'll be talking about trends across the glo...
Matthew Hornbach: How Markets Price in Quantitative Tightening 08.09.2022 4:02
The impact of quantitative monetary policies is hard to understand, for investors and academics alike, but why are these impacts so complex and how might investors better understand the market implications? -----Transcript----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Matthew Hornbach, Global Head of Macro Strategy for Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues, bringing you a variety of perspectives,...
U.S. Housing: Will Housing Prices Continue to Rise? 07.09.2022 5:42
While home price appreciation appears to be slowing, and a rapid increase in supply is hitting the market, how will housing prices fare through the rest of the year and into 2023? Co-Heads of U.S. Securitized Products Research Jay Bacow and Jim Egan discuss. -----Transcript------ Jim Egan: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Jim Egan, Co-Head of U.S. Securitized Products Research here at Morgan...
Mike Wilson: Preparing for an Icy Winter 06.09.2022 4:22
While interest rates have already weighed on asset markets this year and growth continues to slow, the Fed seems poised to continue on its tightening path, meaning investors may need to prepare for part two of our Fire and Ice narrative. -----Transcript----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Chief Investment Officer and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist for Morgan Stanley. Along with...
Andrew Sheets: The State of Play in Markets Globally 02.09.2022 3:26
There has been a lot of market movement in recent months, so as we exit the summer, what are the market stories and valuations that investors should be aware of? -----Transcript----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist for Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues, bringing you a variety of perspectives, I'll be talking about trends across the global i...
Chetan Ahya: Why are Asia’s Exports Deflating? 01.09.2022 4:06
As consumers around the globe scale back on goods spending, how are Asian export markets impacted and where might opportunities lie? -----Transcript----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Chetan Ahya, Morgan Stanly's Chief Asia Economist. Along with my colleagues, bringing you a variety of perspectives, today I'll be focusing on the challenging landscape for Asia's exports post-COVID. It's Th...
Serena Tang: Global Cross-Asset Risk Premiums 31.08.2022 4:18
While markets wrestle with high inflation and recession worries, investors will want to keep an eye on the rise in risk premiums and the outlook for long-run returns. -----Transcript----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Serena Tang, Morgan Stanley's Head of Cross-Asset Strategy for North America. Along with my colleagues, bringing you a variety of perspectives, today I'll focus on the curre...
Seth Carpenter: Is a Global Recession Upon Us? 30.08.2022 3:47
Amid global shocks across supply, commodities and the U.S. Dollar, central banks continue to fight hard against inflation, leading many to wonder if a global recession is imminent. ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley's chief global economist, along with my colleagues, bringing you a variety of perspectives. Today, I'll be revisiting a topic...
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