THE WINDOW: Sports Betting Podcast

On the Friday show, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) breaks down how the Eagles wore down the Commanders on short week in Thurday Night Football, and how that exemplified a primary concept in handicapping TNF (11-1 record this season).  Matt looks back at the NFL Awards market he published on Monday, and how last night’s game shifted some odds, while not others.  Then it’s a rundown of the rest...

On the Tuesday show, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) breaks down how the Monday Night Football game was a perfect example of “schedule luck” in sports betting, with the Rams’ rating getting too high at a time when they faced an opponent who he didn’t want to back to take advantage of L.A.’s higher expectations. Then Matt goes down the rest of the results in Week 10, where the Lions proved they...

On the Tuesday show, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) breaks down why he votes for sports betting versus rabid, blind fandom.  Then he looks back at Todd Bowles decision to not go for two against the Chiefs on Monday, before getting into the Week 9 recap in the NFL with his “Right or Wrong” segment, and why the world may have corrected itself in player prop betting. Then it’s a look back at the...

On the Friday show, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) discusses the news of more layoffs in the sports betting industry and why the future of sharp content in betting is via independent producers, and why that matters to you.  Then Matt looks back at a Thursday Night Football game perfectly suited for Halloween, as the Texans and Jets trade tricks and treats in an effort to give the game away. ...

On the Tuesday show, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at how the Commanders’ Hail Mary left him speechless, and how to handle various bad beats.  Matt looks at the rest of Week 8 in the NFL in his “Right or Wrong” segment, breaking down the bets where the backdoor was swinging open for a pair of teams that didn’t seem to deserve to cover.  Then Matt breaks down looks back at Week 9 c...

On the Friday show, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at another winning Thursday-nighter, as the Rams got the Panes on the board in the Round-robin Underdog Moneyline Parlay (RUMP), and Demarcus Robinson led the way in player prop betting.  Matt breaks down how one of his favorite coach F’d around with the football Gods and found out, what to do with star injury returns in the prop m...

On the Tuesday show, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at a big win on Sunday Night Football. Then, a pair of Monday Night Football games provide two drastically differing talking points.  Matt looks at the rest of Week 7 in the NFL in his “Right or Wrong” segment, breaking down the bets on another slate that was devoid of upsets. Plus, why there’s a player worth buying now for Offens...

On the Friday show, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at the snoozer between the Broncos and Saints, and how it was a delightful watch for many of our bets : Broncos -2.5 Broncos team total: Over 19.5 Javonte Williams: Over rushing yards Javonte Williams: Anytime touchdown Alvin Kamara: Under rushing yards Troy Franklin: Over longest reception Plus, why one bet we lost seemed cursed!...

On the Tuesday show, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at Monday Night Football and the rest of Week 6 in the NFL in his “Right or Wrong” segment, breaking down how the bets went on what he’s calling “Idiot Week”. Plus, why it’s time to buy on a long shot for MVP and his team to back for the Super Bowl.  Then Matt breaks down “Bangers-only Saturday” with three of four games turning in...

On the Friday show, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at the 49ers-Seahawks game, and how Seattle is still a work in progress.  What to do with a high-leverage game in terms of a futures bet you may already have. It was nearly a 6-0 night for the props but a pair of plays left us inches away from glory. Why bad information from coaching who are lying to themselves led to one winner. T...

On the Tuesday show, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) is struggling to get past how bad Sean McDermott and Zac Taylor’s late-game decision-making was, as he looks back at a tough-to-swallow Week 5 in the NFL in his “Right or Wrong” segment. Then Matt breaks down “Pumpkin-picking Saturday” turned into a must-see day of football, and how the betting markets don’t seem to care about more top teams...

On the Friday show, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at another electric primetime finish for Kirk Cousins and the Atlanta Falcons, while our undefeated against-the-spread Thursday Night Football streak remains intact! Why the key play that setup the comeback went largely unnoticed by the broadcast, and how watching two veteran quarterbacks in full control cook was a refreshing chang...

On the Tuesday show, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at one of the Monday Night Football games, to breakdown what bad coaching looks like.  Matt goes through the best and worst in his “Right or Wrong” segment, before looking back at a college football Saturday featuring an instant classic between Georgia and Alabama, after a wild Friday night finish in Miami. Plus, there’s a new fav...

On the Friday show, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at the Thursday Night Football game between the Giants and Cowboys. Was it a bad beat, or the less popular - bad beat avoided by a miracle? Matt breaks down how the Giants deserved the cover, but not the win, while wondering aloud “What is going on “upstairs” at the NFL?” Then Matt admits to getting killed in President’s Cup bettin...

On the Tuesday show, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at how a great Week 3 in betting the NFL made up for a lackluster effort in College Football. Matt wonders about how long we’re supposed to keep our prior opinions of NFL teams, and whether sticking to your guns is the way to play the start of the season, and for how long? Matt goes through the best and worst in his “Right or Wron...

On the Friday show, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at the Jets’ easy win over the Patriots, and how you have to plan out your betting so as not lose on nights when your biggest bet - against the spread - wins, as a couple of narrow prop losses sends Matt into a corporate hierarchy metaphor about betting distribution. Then Matt’s got all the usual podcast-only bets for the weekend,...

On the Tuesday show, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) celebrates the end of the Monday-nighter, and commiserates after a weekend full of missed opportunities, a few bad breaks, and one terrible betting decision.  Then Matt breaks down the key elements from Week 3 in college football, and why, in theory, Texas’s “good problem” at quarterback should disqualify Quinn Ewers and Arch Manning from He...

On the Friday show, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at the Bills’ win over the Dolphins on Thursday Night Football, and what happened after beating the market in a big way with Texas State. Then Matt runs down the ‘board for the rest of Week 2 in the NFL, breaks down how to handle “sweat-free” bets versus “odds boosts” from sportsbooks, and gives out a handful of secret podcast bets...

On the Tuesday show, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) commiserates with everyone about the Bengals knocking survivor players out of their pools, before celebrating an otherwise very good weekend betting college football and the NFL, including the debut of “Right or Wrong?”. Matt breaks down what happened in betting the Arkansas Razorbacks, and makes THE WINDOW “Panes” an offer they can’t refuse...

On the Friday show episode of THE WINDOW, Matt (@mrussauthentic on X/Twitter) looks back at a wild finish to the NFL season-opener, from a betting perspective. Was KC -2.5 the right bet all along, or did Chiefs’ backers like himself get more than a little lucky? And can bettors be honest about that game in hindsight?  Then it’s a quick look at the lines for Week 1 in the NFL, a secret bonus podcas...

Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X/Twitter) can smell football in the air, as he looks back at a profitable Week 1 in College Football. What went right? What went wrong?! It’s the first Heisman Report, as both Cam Ward and Tetairoa McMillan balled out for THE WINDOW Panes on Saturday. Then Matt looks at some fun team futures markets, with bets on which teams will have the best and worst records, s...

On today’s episode of THE WINDOW, Matt (@mrussauthentic) reflects on the first week of version 2.0 of THE WINDOW, how he’s adjusted to working on Substack, and how the readers have adopted the project, even if Matt hasn’t totally figured out how it all works. Matt teases a new referral program for the Substack. Then, Matt looks back at Florida State’s loss to Georgia Tech, how it affects various m...

After three years of darkness, THE WINDOW is open again and brighter than ever! After a successful stint as the lead betting analyst with theScore, Matt returns with a plan for expansion of THE WINDOW, to be back in a big way. In this return episode, Matt breaks down his point of view of the sports betting content landscape, where it might be headed in line with other industries, and the experimen...

Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down what’s happening with the podcast and why. Then he unloads the notebook on the upcoming NFL and NCAA season.

Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) discusses his experiences as he enters his 10th season of competing in the biggest NFL handicapping contests in the world. Matty Simo (@Vegas_Matty) of FootballContest.com joins Matt to discuss changes to the Supercontest and the two Circa Sports contests. Then Jeff Benson (@JeffreyBenson12) of Circa Sports drops by to discuss the thought process for Circa upping the...