THE WINDOW: Sports Betting Podcast

In this week’s episode of THE WINDOW: Sports betting podcast, Matt Russell ( @mrussauthentic ) is in a drastically different headspace after J.J. McCarthy (+550) ran in a score to cash anytime touchdown bets and push the  Vikings-Bears total over  the number.  Matt welcomes new subscribers to THE WINDOW, before looking back at the rest of NFL Week 1, including the Cowboys cover in Philadelphia, th...

Announcement!: The deadline to become a Founding member for the 2025-‘26 season has been extended! There are THREE spots available to be a part of THE WINDOW’s entry in the Circa Survivor Contest. Founding members take a 1% share in any contest winnings just by being a WINDOW pane! Founding members are invited to the exclusive group chat via THE WINDOW on Substack, along with other perks. In this...

In the NFL season preview podcast, Matt Russell ( @mrussauthentic ) discusses the  AFC  and  NFC  divisional betting breakdowns ahead of the season’s start next week. Matt touches on all 32 teams, and why there isn’t a bet to make on all of them nor every division, even if there’s reason to be high or low on many teams.  Plus, a look back at  Week 0 in college football , where we went 2-1 on a tri...

In part 2 of the college football betting preview podcast, Matt Russell ( @mrussauthentic ) discusses the Group of Five conferences, who’s worth a bet to make and miss the College Football Playoff, and the Heisman Trophy outlook before the season starts.  Matt discusses the two teams in the American worth betting, but why those wagers should come in two different markets. Then, is Liberty a fade i...

In part 1 of the college football betting preview podcast, Matt Russell ( @mrussauthentic ) discusses the quartet of conference betting previews he’s written.  The  SEC ,  Big Ten ,  Big 12 , and  ACC  betting previews are out, and Matt expands on how he views each league. What is he looking for in a conference championship bet, and why, for many teams, regular season win total bets aren’t necessa...

On this week’s episode of THE WINDOW, Matt (@mrussauthentic on Twitter) discusses turning the paywall switch on; The minimal growing pains for Day 1 and why there’s a buffer before the first article that will go behind it.  Then it’s time to talk football.  There are numerous free pieces outlining how we’re getting ready for the football season in both college and the NFL: Free for Yahoo!:  Tips t...

Matt Russell (@ mrussauthentic ) pauses summer vacation to check in with an update on the future of THE WINDOW, and what he’s been up to during the hiatus by half-breaking some news that changes its future. Then Matt summarizes the sports world of the last month, as it’s been arguably the most boring sports stretch since the pandemic, and the benefits of taking a break from betting to catch up on...

On Wednesday’s season finale episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at Game 6 of the Stanley Cup Final as the Florida Panthers put away the Edmonton Oilers, and Sam Bennett wins the Conn Smythe trophy.  Matt analyzes what happened in the season’s final series - from the Oilers taking money in the market before the series, to the super-tight games in Edmonton,...

On Monday’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at Game 5 of the Stanley Cup Final between the Panthers and Oilers.  Florida suffocates Edmonton to take a 3-2 series lead, but all the action in the betting market continues to happen around the Conn Smythe.  Then, Matt looks back at a wild U.S. Open Final Round. How he landed on Adam Scott as his in-tournam...

On Friday’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at a pivotal, instant-classic Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Final between the Panthers and Oilers. Sam Bennett JUST misses a critical goal, only to see Leon Draisaitl bank-in a shot to seal the Oilers’ comeback win, threading a needle to get into Conn Smythe contention that was “2%” likely. How that turn of event...

On Tuesday’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at Games 2 and 3 of the Stanley Cup Final between the Panthers and Oilers. While drastically different games and final scores, there were actually more similarities than you might think.  A 6-1 loss for the Oilers doesn’t mean all hope is lost for Edmonton, but with the Panthers taking a series lead, there’s...

On Thursday’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Final between the Panthers and Oilers. The betting market leading into the game was fascinating as the Oilers took money on the series line, while late money appeared to go the Panthers way for Game 1. This provided a prime example of patience paying off thanks to having a plan...

On Monday’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at what went wrong the Hurricanes and Stars, as it’s a rare rematch in the Stanley Cup Final.  Carolina pulled a “Bennett Scheffler” when they had to chance to make the Eastern Conference Final interesting, while blowing it for our SGP that seemed like it had a path paved for victory.  Matt reflects on a Twit...

On Monday’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) does a deep dive into the second and third games of the Stanley Cup Playoffs’ Conference Finals. While the scoreboard looks lopsided for all of them, which games have told a different story than their results? Carolina’s previously excellent goaltending has, all of a sudden, had more than just five holes. Are the Panthe...

On Thursday’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) does a deep dive into the first games of the Stanley Cup Playoffs’ Conference Finals. Carolina goes down to Florida in the ECF opener, but was a 5-2 loss reflective of the actual performance by the Hurricanes, and is a -3 GSAx a fair assessment of Frederik Andersen? With Carolina now +200 for the series, is there reas...

On Monday’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at the second round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The Stars and Hurricanes have punched their ticket to their respective conference finals, as Dallas puts away the Jets in six games after Carolina took care of the Capitals in five. Why the return of Miro Heiskanen might end up being the difference-maker we had...

On Tuesday’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at how things are going in Round 2 of the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The “buzz around the range” about the Maple Leafs is that they “look like the old Leafs,” but is that really true? We dig into the metrics comparing Games 1 and 2 with Games 3 and 4, before looking at how the betting market has found its way to...

On Friday’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at the early games in Round 2 of the Stanley Cup Playoffs.  The Panthers have a goaltending issue that was at least kind of predictable??… “‘The Maple Leafs have the goaltending advantage in this series’. That’s a helluva sentence that the numbers are trying to sell us on, even at a 2% win probability estimat...

On Monday’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at a pair of historically improbably Game 7 comeback wins. The  Stars  keep hope alive for those holding Stanley Cup futures tickets on a team who might be getting better, while the  Jets  save their season and maybe the future of their goaltender with a last-second goal and a double-overtime victory. What to...

On Thursday’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at the last three nights of Stanley Cup Playoff action, and gets you set for all the Game 6s (and 7s?!?) left in the first round.  The Hurricanes, Capitals and Panthers have advanced. Matt does a betting autopsy on those three short series. Then, it’s an in-series breakdown of the other five. How statistica...

On Monday’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) explains why the NFL Draft has jumped the proverbial shark as a betting vehicle and why the case of Shedeur Sanders is a macrocosm of why, for the first time in as many as 20 years, Matt didn’t have a bet on the Draft. Then it’s an update on all the action of Stanley Cup Playoffs, as all eight series are still going. Ma...

On Monday’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks at the eight Stanley Cup Playoff games on Monday and Tuesday.  The Stars-Avalanche series continues to be a fascinating betting market, while Game 1 of Oilers and Kings provides more questions than answers. The Senators’ lack of experience has killed them early in Toronto (a city blissfully unaware of what a Tailg...

On Monday’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks at the first five games of the Stanley Cup Playoffs: How deserved was the winning team in each Game 1? How sustainable is the key element to victory? Is there a bet to make for Monday and Tuesday’s games? Plus, there’s three series still left to drop the puck, so Matt breaks down how he views those series per his...

On this week’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) opens the show discussing THE MASTERS, and a rare situation where cheering for someone or some THING superseded a by-the-rules bet. Until it led to one. Matt tells the story of how he eventually bet on Rory McIlroy after spending Sunday trying to balance the concept of the ‘heart hedge’.  Matt talks about how decades...

On this week’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) opens the show discussing Monday night’s National Championship between Florida and Houston. How the Gators outlasted the Cougars, only to have a riveting (if a little sloppy) end in the saddest of ways for those of us trying to watch from the perspective of a fan, having already secured a profit with futures tickets...