THE WINDOW: Sports Betting Podcast

Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) opens the show talking about the NBA action from Monday night - why the Raptors are the bet for game six, and why he’s had a change of opinion on the Clippers. Then it’s a mea culpa on game one of the Lightning and Isles, not because we lost a bet (we didn’t), but because one key factor got lost in the shuffle of sports chaos. Also, he reiterates the plan for Vegas-D...

Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down his personal betting strategy for the VGK-DAL series thanks to a game 1 win for the Stars. What do his numbers say for the Lightning-Islanders series? The NBA is heating up, even if the Heat are cooling down. Why betting an odds-on fave is a bad idea - Novak Djokovic edition. (CIRCA CONTEST email: Matthew.d.russell10@gmail.com / DMs open as well)

Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the two tiers of the NFC east division, liking one team in each of the tiers to outplay the other by a wide margin this season. (CIRCA SURVIVOR contest email: Matthew.d.russell10@gmail.com, Twitter DMs open as well)

Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the NFC South. Why each team is more interesting than it has been in a while, but why there’s nothing all that interesting from a wagering standpoint before the season starts. But first, a quick recap on Wednesday action in sports, and what we like for Thursday and golf for FRIDAY’s TOUR Championship.

Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the NFC North, the one division in the NFC that might have a surprise winner. But first, we need to discuss what the hell happened in the Jazz-Nuggets game, and to the Raptors ability to put the ball in the basket, along with plays for Wednesday on the court. Plus, what to do about the Dallas Stars - why a hedge sometimes is the right thing to do.

Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) celebrates the Lightning’s victory over the Bruins, waits for another day for Dallas, and what he’s doing for Tuesday’s games. Then it’s a look at the NBA, where our Heat get it done (and under the total!). Also, a good day in MLB. Then it’s the moment you’ve all been waiting for, the start of a division by division breakdown in the NFL, with the NFC WEST leading the...

Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) busts out the spreadsheet to grade his handicapping of the four NHL series through 4 games, and why there shouldn’t be any reason to bet the individual games going forward. Then it’s some #betregret in the NBA. Finally, he looks back at the two different routes that DJ and Rahm took to their playoff matchup from a live-betting standpoint, and why there’s two differen...

Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) opens the show announcing that the podcast is creating an entry in the CIRCA SURVIVOR contest (with a million dollar guaranteed prize pool) and that YOU the listener can join in on the entry and be a guest on the podcast during the NFL season. Then we take the protest pause to take a wider view of what we have in the NHL, and why we need to tread even MORE lightly wi...

Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by “Vegas Matty” Simo from footballcontest.com to give us an update on the NFL contest scene in Vegas, and why COVID-19 has created a massive opportunity for contestants in the CIRCA MILLION, CIRCA SURVIVOR and THE SUPERCONTEST. Then, it’s the plays for Thursday night, are we back on the Isles for game three? What about the Canucks chances? Plus, the week 5...

Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at a big night on the ice, and what to do for each of the four series, with three of them in action on Wednesday. Then it’s Wednesday’s NBA slate, why a winning night in MLB left a sour taste, and then it’s a look at the Fedex Cup Standings to help breakdown the BMW Championship. Is Webb Simpson’s absence somehow the key to handicapping the PGA TOUR’s “sem...

Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by friend of the show Ted Ballantyne (35:00) to chop it up about things like their favourite Padres nickname, who would scrap their franchise for a Vegas-like expansion deal, and other complete nonsense. But first, a breakdown of what Matt’s doing for the NHL series, why NBA coaches can’t be trusted to be consistent, and some plays in MLB.

Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by COOLBET CANADA’s Kris Abbott to discuss what happened in round one and what to expect from a betting standpoint in round two of the Stanley Cup Playoffs. With three game ones already in the books, where is there value with updated series prices? Plus, is the wrong team favoured between the Flyers and Islanders??

Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the numbers behind the Vancouver-Vegas series, and whether the Canucks have a chance for an upset, relative to the betting market’s opinion on the series. Also, what affect, if any, does a futures ticket on Vegas have on making a bet on this series?

Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) gives his numbers for the series between Tampa Bay and Boston, including his true moneyline, and a bet in the derivative market. Plus, how do we measure the difference between Jaroslav Halak and Tuukka Rask between the pipes??

Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) runs the numbers for the Stars and Avalanche series ahead of their surprise Saturday start BEFORE the lines come out for the game and series.

Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) crunches the numbers from the six completed first round series to analyze what the pre-series odds should have been based on what we know now about the 5-on-5 scoring chances that occurred and the power play opportunities each team had. But first, it’s a look back on Thursday’s action on the diamond, and on the hard court. With three plays for Friday in the NBA.

Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) talks a little bit about resilience after a disappointing day on Tuesday, and how nice it is to feel like a winner again. He’s got three more plays in the NBA, but nothing on the ice - and he’ll tell you why. Then it’s the Week 4 report in MLB, along with a bunch of plays for Thursday.

Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at Tuesday’s action finding a silver-lining in getting worked over by the NBA, then it’s a monster slate of NHL action after surviving the rare -190 bet with Golden Knights and the Stars being.... stars. Also, a 2-unit night in MLB helps mitigate the NBA damage, so it’s back to the diamond for more plays. Finally, we circle some targets for the Northern Tr...

Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) talks about the weird day in sports with the favourites winning at an alarming rate. Then it’s plays for day 2 of the NBA playoffs, a trio of bets in the NHL, including why laying a ton of juice is the value side with one hockey team. Then it’s the return of “Tuesday’s with Ted” (42:00 mark) as the boys admit that neither of them are prepared for this week’s segment....

Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the weekend that was. Ups on the ice and in the NBA play-in game, and downs on the course at the Wyndham Championship. We evaluate where we stand and what we’ve learned from the first half of the first round series in the NHL. Then it’s a look ahead to the NBA Playoffs after a 35-16-1 Bubble showing.

Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) break down Thursday’s NHL action from a betting perspective, and why uncertainty is creeping in with adjusted series prices. Also, an A+ reverse jinx snaps the Hurricanes scoring drought, and sleeping on the Flames. Finally, some important live-betting notes for the Wyndham Championship.

Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at a busy day on the ice, with a 2-3 split salvaged in the wee hours of the night. Who’s worth pressing in the series markets, and what the best bets for Thursday? Then it’s trying to make head nor tail of what’s going in the NBA, including rolling with the Blazers. Finally, a Week 3 recap in MLB including a possible 3-team division parlay?! Sure, why not.

Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down what we learned from a 5OT thriller between Tampa Bay and Columbus. A recap of a win with Calgary, and why not betting on Chicago feels like a win. Then it’s a look back at Damian Lillard’s fluky three that helped our Blazers, and a VERY sketchy Wednesday board in the NBA. A quick look back at a 3-1 day in baseball and then it’s a look at who Matt has his...

Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Kris Abbott (@CoolbetKris) to breakdown the FIRST round series of the Stanley Cup Playoffs. Can Matt top the success of the qualifying round? Will Montreal do it again? Is there a “this round’s Montreal”? Why there might be a couple of traps set by the sportsbooks, and which teams have the hunger factor in what is a razor thin tomorrow. Plus, Kris throws...

Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at an awesome PGA Championship for the podcast, featuring Collin Morikawa’s victory, DJ’s last clutch putt, and Matthew Wolff’s storming of the leaderboard. Some Top20 tips, and a round of “I’m not mad, I’m just disappointed”. Then it’s a full betting recap of the NHL’s qualifying round, and a celebration of the Habs big upset and what metric shows they al...