The Schaftlein Report

Schaftlein Report | One week until election Day. 21M already Voted Guest - Drew Allen 1) Arizona Senate race takes a turn as Libertarian drops out and endorses Masters. He was polling at 1% Jim McLaughlin Republican pollster has Kelly +2. Kari Lake up by 10 in governors race. Hispanic voters shift to GOP is the key. 2) Georgia - Scott Rasmussen pollster has Walker +5. The RCP average is Walker +2....

1) CBS projects +25 House Seats giving Republicans control. Real Clear Politics predicts +31 1A) The Economy/Inflation is the top issue. 1B) Independents have broken toward Republicans by 18 points over the past two weeks to lead 49-33. Two weeks ago, Democrats were +2 1C) Generic Ballot at Republican +3 2) Democrats desperately try to push Fetterman over the finish line. Democrats lied to the vot...

Schaftlein Report | Democratic Party Problems Persist Guest - Jeffrey Dunetz 1) Kelly and Masters are tied in Arizona. Kelly - "Arizonians are sick of Biden Border Policies" He is the Democrat. 2) Even Democrats and their Media are criticizing Fetterman as not qualified to be in the Senate. 3) Budd up by 4 over Beasley in NC 4) Walker now up by 2-5 points in GA according to Trafalger/Rasmussen 4A)...

1) Cook Political Report has Republicans winning 25 House seats 1A) Virginia Political Science Professor Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball gives Republicans clear edge in House 1B) Generic Ballot at Republican +2.4% 2) Biden approval rating at 39% in Reuters Poll. Democrats generally keeping him off the campaign trail. 3) 2 Suspects arrested in savage attack on Rubio volunteers in horrific political att...

1) Polling Numbers:   GA - Walker +2 Wisc. - Johnson +2 Nevada - Laxalt - +2 Ohio - Vance +3   N.H. Hassan +2 (Don Bolduc is gaining) Penn. - Fetterman +2 (mixed polling)   Generic Ballot - Republicans +3   Kemp +7 in GA Governor race over Abrams   Abbott +9 in TX over O'rourke   Hocul/Zeldon too close to call in NY   1A) A Biased media is keeping the race close with positive Democratic coverage a...

1) Inflation, Crime and Border/Immigration issues are working for Republicans 2) Generic Ballot has Republicans +3.4 2A) Real Clear Politics projects Republicans win 29 House seats and 3 Senate seats 2B) PA tied at 46%, one poll has Oz +4 2C) Laxalt up 1% in Nevada, Hassan up by 2 on Bolduc in New Hampshire - McConnell pulls funding? Vance +4 in Ohio, Johnson +3 in Wisconsin, Murray lead falls to...

1) Wide split on Biden energy policies showing the following disapproval: Republicans - 72% Independents - 54% Democrats - 15% Classic Definition of LOW INFORMATION VOTERS The Strategic Petroleum Reserve is at a 40 year low thanks to Biden poor policies. biden asks energy companies to produce more oil and slash prices. This is REVERSE Economic theory. 2) Housing delivers a mixed report: Home Sales...

1) Election Polls: Hocul (D) lead narrows to 4 over Zeldon (R) in NY Governor race - Quinnipiac poll Fetterman (D) lead over OZ (R) narrows to 2 in PA Senate Race - AARP poll Kelly (D) lead over Masters (R) narrows to 1 point in AZ Senate Race - Trafalger poll Lake (R) extends lead to +3 in AZ Governor Race - Trafalger poll 2) Biden approval holds steady at 40% and he does not go out on the campai...

1) Democrats are LOSING and Lying on ALL of the Key Issues 1A) Biden to release an additional 10-15M barrels of oil and sell 40M barrels beyond the 180M already authorized in an effort to stop the rise in gas prices before the election. Typical political move rather than solving the real problem. 2) Democrats feel they may have "Peaked too early" in Congressional races. We agree and we'll explain...

1) Generic Ballot Likely Voters 48-41 Rasmussen. Up from +4 at last polling. CBS Republicans +2, however 48-43 min competitive races. Harris Poll Republican +6 Trafalger Republican +5 New York Times Republicans +4 1A) CNN poll who do you trust to get the country moving in the right direction - Republicans 54-45%. Extremely motivated to vote Republicans52-46 59% say the economy is extremely importa...

1) Inflation at 8.2% is not going down despite Federal Reserve Rate Hikes. The CPI was .4% translating into a year over year figure of 8.2% The PPI or core rate increased by.6% to translate to a 6.6% increase year over year Americans are struggling to pay their bills. 25% are delaying retirement Mortgage Rates are now 7% 2) Utilities were up 2.9%, Transportation up 1.9% and Medical care rose 1%. F...

1) Why are the Markets so obsessed with the Federal Reserve? Why do some investors believe the"war on inflation" has been won? Is it due to the falling commodity prices 23%? "hope" for a pause is not a strategy in our opinion. It appears investors are "wishing for a Pivot" trying to talk rate hikes down and throwing out bad scenarios to the media that is needed to curb inflation. Talking their boo...

1) Gas prices on the rise as are Heating oil. Administration feels the effects of self inflicted wounds from terrible energy policies 2) Jamie Dimon CEO of JP Morgan sees 2023 Recession as do many others 3) Administration proposes changes to worker classifications for gig workers changing from Contract employment to employees. This is INSANE and follow CA law. Lyft, Uber and Doordash stock pummele...

1) Biden approval is -15 in 7 key swing states. The White House is constantly walking back his statements as he often appears confused. 1A) Biden is below 50% Approval on every top issue and is way down on crime and the economy. 62% say the economy is getting worse 1B) Democrats voting on Abortion and Republicans on the Economy. Who will Independents trust and vote for? 2) Crime:Gunshots at the ho...

1- Gas prices are headed up. OPEC+ cuts 2.0M barrels a day. Biden administration in panic ahead of mid terms. Administration was considering sinking offshore drilling lease sales. They now will continue releasing 1.0M barrels a day as our stockpile dwindles. 1A- Wall Street warns of Housing major slowdown 2- Democrats are unable to shake the "Soft on Crime" label as 77% of Americans feel it is a m...

1) Gas prices headed higher. Biden is powerless to stop it. White House "Disappointed". 1A) Home heating oil prices to soar just in time for winter. 1B Political Payback to Democrats just ahead of the election. We'll explain. 2) U.S. provides an additional $625M in aid to Ukraine. Russians leave behind bodies in the streets of Ly,am as Putin signs farcical Annexation order. 3) Biden Student Loan F...

1) Republicans are on the right side of the issues - 82%, 72%, 67% are top ranked issues 2) Biden approval 38% disapproval 54% 3) In Florida, DeSantis is +8 and Rubio is +7 4) NC Budd is only up 1 point 5) Democratic support among Black voters falls from 84% in 2020 to 74% today. No surprise as Biden policies are a disaster. 6) In Economic news, job openings fall from 11.0M to 10.5M 7) Oil product...

1- Favorably Rating R-44% , D- 39%: Generic ballot R +2 2- Al Sharpton - "Democrats are NOT Connecting with Black and Latino voters" He's correct 3- Sunday show the Liberal commentators ABC, NBC, CNN and MSNBC are cheering for Democrats as they see a sinking ship lead by Biden 3A- Abortion, Voting Rights and Climate are NOT the key issues. It's the Economy stupid - Carville 4- in Nevada, Laxalt +2...

1) Potentially hundreds dead, 2.0M without power, winds clocked at 150 MPH fifth highest ever. Captiva and Sanibel bridges wiped out. 2) Harris makes ridiculous statement saying we have a "strong alliance with the Republic of North Korea". She is not quailified to be VP. 3) Biden comes under severe criticism over deceased Congresswoman remark about Jackie Walorski 4) Oz within 3 points of that rad...

1) Storm Surge could be 15 feet, 150 MPH Winds,Widespread Power Outage 2) Russia to Annex part of Ukraine after Sham vote. Was the gas pipeline sabotaged? Americans urged to leave Russia 3) The Strategic Petroleum reserve is at a 37 year low due to Biden terrible energy policies. 4) Mortgage interest rates cross 7%. Demand plummets. 5) Democrats flip flop on crime as polling data blames Democrats....

1) Swing state Generic ballot has Republicans +9. This is a clear lean toward Republicans taking control of the House 2) Republicans are at +19 on dealing with the Economy as Interest Rates continue Upward trajectory and stock market declines. More evidence the Democrats can never be trusted with Economic stewardship. 2A) Biden upside down 42% - 53%. Harris down 39% - 51% 2B) Gov. Abbott up 8 over...

1) U.S. and major global markets are hitting year to date lows on rising interest rate fears and the strength of the u. S. Dollar. We'll analyze. 1A) British Pound hits record low against the dollar at $1.03. It rebounded to $1.07 . Their government is spending $80B to pay for high utility bills this winter while pitching tax cuts for the highest earners. This is bad policy and the market is punis...

1) Federal Reserve hikes Rates 75 basis points, Mortgage Rates rise, Gas price stop going down and are headed back up after 100 days of declines 2) Biden Confused on World Stage 3) NY Attorney General James gets way out over her skis on Trump 4) Putin expands War or does he? 5) Democratic representative Rashida Talib embarrassed by her own stupidity as bank CEO's put her in her place. She is an ab...

1) Background, Projects, Films, Books 2) How he decided to focus on the Hunter Biden Story 3) The complicated relationship between father and son, China and other business dealings 4) Media and Journalistic corruption heading into the 2020 election and beyond. 5) Why the Left continues to cover for the son Hunter 6) What happens next in the saga? 1) Background, Projects, Films, Books 2) How he dec...

1) Energy, Crime, Immigration and Inflation are Republican issues 60% important Pro Choice is Democratic talking point - 37% care 2) Border Crisis escalates - 2m enter, terrorists found 3) Home values slump as mortgage rates rise 4) Biden ridiculed "Pandemic is over" 5) 63% of Americans falling behind cost of living. Biden administration out of touch 6) Abbott up 11 in Texas governor, Johnson + 4...