The Real Investment Show (Full Show)

Should you stay invested during today's market volatility? Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn dive into why staying the course could be your best long-term strategy — and when it might make sense to rethink your plan. Whether you're worried about a market correction or planning for the future, we'll help you navigate through the noise with smart, practical advice. Lance and Jonathan also address how...

The market correction continues, and understanding the value of risk management is more critical than ever. Lance Roberts breaks down why market volatility is a normal part of investing, how risk management strategies protect your portfolio, and practical steps you can take today to stay disciplined. Learn how to navigate downturns, control emotions, and plan for long-term success. Key Topics: • M...

Are you contemplating a Roth IRA conversion in 2025? With potential tax rate increases on the horizon, now might be the optimal time to act. Richard Rosso and Jonathan McCarty delve into:​ * The benefits of converting to a Roth IRA before 2026 * Strategies to minimize taxes during conversion * How Roth conversions can impact your retirement planning * The role of Roth IRAs in estate planning​ Rich...

Will the market soar to new heights, stall in uncertainty, or plummet into correction? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the key drivers that will shape the economy and stock market in the months ahead. From Federal Reserve policy shifts to earnings forecasts, geopolitical risks to liquidity conditions—this is your investor’s guide to what's next. Whether you're managing a portfolio or p...

On today's show, Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff dig into the growing tensions between Donald Trump and Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Should Trump fire Powell? What would it mean for interest rates, inflation, and market stability? Join me as we explore the politics behind the Fed, the potential fallout for investors, and what history tells us about presidential pressure on the central bank. SEG-1: The E...

We're not exactly going where no man has gone before, but a recent piece in Forbes.com caught our eye, and it's worth...exploring. Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn blend a little pop culture with personal finance on today's episode: What if logic—not emotion—guided your financial decisions? How might the legendary Vulcan's rational mindset be applied to modern investing. From avoiding behavioral bi...

Is the dreaded death cross a warning sign—or a buying opportunity? In this episode, I break down what the death cross really signals for the stock market and whether it reliably marks a market bottom or just more volatility ahead. We’ll look at historical patterns, technical analysis indicators, and investor behavior during past bear markets. If you're trying to navigate through the noise and make...

Markets could experience volatility today as options expire; healthcare stocks are also being sympathetic to UnitedHealthCare's unhealthy quarterly report and performance of weight loss drug makers' stocks. Markets are recovering from recent lows: Did the "Death Cross" mark the bottom? Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's recent remarks criticizing President Trump's tariff policies, highlighting...

Lance Roberts' opening monologue covers Easter prep, DMA Death Crosses, and rising recession risk; an earnings season update (so far, okay), the lack of forward guidance, and negative earnings revisions (except in the Russell 2000); the significance of the 50-DMA crossing below the 200-DMA: Know the context. Event-driven vs. Construct-driven corrections; Scott Bessent and tariffs, tax cuts, and de...

It's Tax Day 2025 — are you ready? Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn review last-minute tax tips, filing strategies, and how to avoid costly IRS penalties. But frankly, if you haven't gotten it done by today... There are market benefits from Tax Day, as some tax return money finds its way back into play; stock buy back will also supply some support to markets. In an event-driven market (tariffs), ha...

Are we heading toward a recession in 2025? In this episode, Lance Roberts explores why yield curve inversions and widening credit spreads suggest the risk isn’t over yet, what the bond market is telling investors, and how these indicators have predicted past recessions and what it could mean for your portfolio. Lance covers: * The Tariff impact on Apple * The mistake of confusing trade deficits wi...

Quarterly reporting season is upon us, with JP Morgan setting the tone for earnings, as the tariff tango with China continues; how are advisors handling the turmoil? Consumer front loading pulling forward future demand will lead to economic irregularities later. Richard and Matt discuss dealing effectively during corrections and taking advantage of tax efficiencies; creating a "loss bank;" paying...

What really happened behind the scenes as President Trump seemingly performed an about-face on tariffs, sending markets zooming on Wednesday: Markets enjoyed their 3rd best performance since WW-2, erasing all the losses since tariffs were first announced last week. Lance reviews the Basis Trade terror, not tariffs, that caused the turn about. The correction cycle is likely not over, however; marke...

China retaliates to Trump's retaliation to China's tit-for-tat response to tariffs; downward pressure continues as markets trying to recalibrate with a moving tariff target; there are cracks appearing in the treasury market from the basis trade; what will the Fed do? Lance explains the latest gyrations in markets and the sharp rise in bond yields. Basis trade explained; appears to be at 20X levera...

Markets jumped on a false report of a 90-day wait on tariffs, and took investors on a roller-coaster ride Monday.ance Roberts & Jonathan Penn explore the possibilities, plus why should shouldn't even LOOK at your portfolio right now...also, is a recession coming? That is the billion-dollar question investors now face. One gauge to help us answer the question is corporate bond yield spreads. When t...

Are markets close to a short-term bottom? The response to the unexpected magnitude of tariffs creates pain and anxiety, as markets reprice valuations and trade negotiations begin. Some markets suspend short-selling; US markets are over-sold; bonds are doing well; the Fed is expected to cut rates five times. Lance discusses markets' hope and fear (charts); lessons investors can learn from the Coog'...

Markets scuttled over 5% following President Trump's initial reveal of intended tariffs on trading partners he says have been trading unfairly with the U.S. The fallout continues today, and Richard Rosso and Jonathan McCarty examine Tariffs and Retirement Planning, the rise of protectionism vs globalism, and how tariffs affect the economy. Bonds are playing an important role in a 60/40 portfolio,...

President Donald Trump's tariff terrors were revealed Wednesday afternoon, and markets were not enthused. At all. The worse than expected tariff rates are the highest ever. Trade policy is still uncertain, however, as the tariffs are seen as a negotiating tactic, and subject to revision. But this makes it difficult for companies to re-calculate forward looking estimates of earnings. And as the rip...

Liberation Day arrives: Clarity about tariffs should help markets. What will be the impact on economic growth: Will consumers pay higher prices or choose alternatives? There are too many variables to calculate the true economic impact. Market performance this year is all about diversification of assets within portfolios...and what's working this year may not work next year. Avoid complacency! Befo...

Investors must remember that we're coming off two years of exceptional market returns, and that market corrections must be viewed in their proper context...and expected. Lance discusses the positive and negative impact of Mag-7 stocks on markets due to their weighting; meanwhile, the First Quarter has ended with institutional buyers acting in the final minutes of Monday's trading day, boosting sto...

There are no discernable signs of economic stress...yet, bu tconsumers are concerned about wages and job security. The question begging to be asked: When is the Fed going to step in (Fed purview: Employment and price stability...AND by extension, consumer confidence). How will markets react to Liberation Day (4/2)? Corporate buy backs will resume 3rd week of April. Markets pulled back on Friday (m...

Richard Rosso and Matthew Doyle discuss rising healthcare costs and their impact on retirement healthcare planning: What would happen if you were to outlive retirement savings...and how to successfully initiate financial planning for medical expenses so you can better manage healthcare inflation in your retirement years. There's also conversation about Tariff Terror and the markets' dislike for un...

Tariff talk is giving markets a fit, unable to price equities or make reasonable earnings estimates amidst the on-again, off-again tariff threats. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow economic forecasting tool predicts an imminent recession, which is fueling investor angst. However, the New York and St. Louis Feds’ Nowcast economic forecasts predict continued economic growth in the first quarter. Confused? La...

Is the risk of recession rising? Consumer sentiment is flagging following last week's market correction. Investors cannot dismiss sentiment and money flows. Everything that drives the market gets down to earnings. The next round of earnings reports will commence in a couple of weeks. It appears the Dollar has bottomed, and markets are setting up for a rally short term. Lance and Danny address misi...

Lance launches today's show with Tariff Talk: the sticks and carrot strategy to gain more favorable trade conditions for the U.S.; the threat of tariffs and their impact are weighing on markets. Meanwhile, the Mag-7 and Mag-10 stocks continue to provide life to markets. Money flows have turned positive, and the MACD momentum signal has issued a buy signal. Portfolio managers rebalancing this week...