The Other Hand

The Irish government has released its latest assessment of where the economy is heading. It looks like. a forlorn attempt to dampen expectations ahead of another giveaway budget in a few months time. The last before the general election. The golden goose will someday stop laying its eggs. What will future generations think of us, what we did the largesses generously donated by the multinational ta...

Wing nuts are in charge? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Latest opinion polls - and a bit of political crystal ball gazing - points to no one party getting more than 30% of the vote at the upcoming Irish general election. Why is that and what might it mean? Will Ireland 'Go Dutch' (or Belgian...)? Are we in for weeks or even months of prolonged coalition negotiations? The deteriorating geopolitical situation might give voters pause for thought about the...

Initial financial market reaction to big events is often wrong Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

More thoughts on the. Economics of Irish reunification Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Professor Edgar Morgenroth has recently published a joint paper with professor John Fitzgerald that takes a deep dive into the potential costs of Irish reunification. We talk to Edgar about his work. We look at lessons from german reunification and the asumptions behind his estimates that it could cost the Irish taxpayer a lot of money. And a lot of sweat and tears. Planning will be essential. Bad...

Watch the oil price Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Irish and Eurozone inflation falls again - what is the ECB waiting for? In the US, the super soaraway economy is dashing hopes of quick rate cuts . Perhaps any rate cuts. We need to remind ourselves that this is a good thing. Will the earthquake in Taiwan create another supply shock? We think not but it is worth watching. So are oil prices worth close monitoring. Preparing for war on islands just...

One of the first thing that economists are taught is the Free Trade is a Good Thing. One thing that economists don't speak too much about is that free trade creates both winners and losers. Arguably, not nearly enough attention has been paid to the losers. Whether or free trade is always a net positive depends on many factors. And the alternatives to free trade - the choices made by politicians ab...

Leading journalist Sarah Carey talks to Jim and Chris about Leo Varadkar's departure and Simon Harris' accession. 'Harris needs to be much more than a good communicator'. The big test, one of many, will be his choice of cabinet. That will signal whether genuine change is on the way. 'The reshuffle will tell us if Harris is serious' Will any exiting FG TDs be tempted back? Why are so many voices of...

Global growth showing signs of acceleration Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Markets are telling us to stop worrying Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

A packed podcast! For the past year or so we have been noticing weakness in Irish exports, particularly pharmaceuticals and one or two other key areas. Falling exports were a big driver of the Irish 'recession' last year. At least part of this was Covid related and the fall represented payback for the massive boost arising from exports of vaccine and other health related products during the pandem...

Everybody in financial markets is starting to ask: is this another bubble, a near quarter century after the dot.com crash? Are those comparisons with 1999/2000 valid or is the AI boom for real? What does AI think of the AI 'bubble'? The UK ends its mild recession but lots of workers are going on the sick - the long term sick. This could be a real problem for growth prospects. The Central Bank of I...

All the latest economic data Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

All the latest economic news. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On the numbers, the Irish economy is in recession - but is it? Talking to one segment of the Irish diaspora - what do they think of their host country? And their thoughts on Ireland. European inflation comes in at 2.6% vs 2.5% expected. How awful. "The incumbent government is deeply unpopular with younger voters because NIMBY older voters are allowed to block all development" Which country is desc...

Current opinion polls are pointing towards another coalition government. How long would those coalition negotiations take? Would a prolonged period of no government be a bad thing for business and the economy? Are banks making too much money? If so, what is the right remedy? Tax those profits? Break them up to force competition? Encourage Fintech new entrants? Irish jobs at a record high. A truly...

House prices rise in Ireland - - for the fourth month is a row? How come? Plenty of buyers is the simple answer. It seems that higher interest rates don't work in the way they used to. Do they even work at all? Speaking of interest rates, the prominent economist who got the US - and global - inflation story right, and therefore the interest rate story right, is musing about the possibility that th...

A lawyer - a 'special prosecutor' - recently caused a furore with an allegation about Joe Biden's 'cognitive decline' In conversation with Professor of neuroscience Shane O'Mara we explore the mysteries of ageing and the emerging evidence about how to maximise our chances of becoming a 'Super Ager' That lawyer shouldn't have tried to diagnose Biden. Nor should any non-specialist. There are strict...

The other day we received the longest email ever sent to The Other Hand. It was a thoughtful point-by-point critique of pretty much everything we have said about Trump, Biden and the state of American politics. We get lots of emails and comments and Tweets etc. We try to reply respectfully to as many as we can. Indeed, we encourage the conversation. In replying to this email we attempt something d...

What is public service broadcasting for? Why does RTE exist? Should it? Whatever the answers to these questions, a new model for public serve broadcasting is sorely needed. Populist suggestions for an amnesty for licence fee dodgers are unserious politics. But that's the dilemma facing Sinn Fein: become a party of teh centre or spout more populist nonsense? As they lose votes to the anti-immigrant...

Inflation comes in higher than expected in the U.S. Markets push interest rate cuts further into the future. Inflation comes in lower than expected in the U.K. Markets think the Bank of England has a green light to cut soon. This might come as a surprise: nobody is quite sure what causes inflation. Central bank models assume the link between interest rates and inflation is via the labour market -...

Ever heard of DEXIT? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

John Bruton RIP Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.