The Compound and Friends

Josh here - I really enjoyed talking with former JPMorgan strategist and the founder of Fundstrat Research about how he uses the evidence to understand what's happening in the markets.  Tom cites four indicators he uses to explain current trends and think about where markets and the economy might be headed. Among them, credit spreads, demographics and volatility.  Tom also talks about his bullish...

Josh here - we had Greg Zuckerman of the Wall Street Journal up at the Compound to talk about his new book, The Man Who Solved the Market - the first ever deep dive into Jim Simons and his legendary firm Renaissance Technology. Renaissance has pulled over $100 billion in trading profits out of the markets since its founding decades ago, in a highly secretive approach that combines mathematical equ...

The S&P 500 came into October this year up double digits. It has done so on 42 occasions since 1926. That’s almost 50% of the time.  Of those 42 times, in 35 cases the market went up through the end of the year. That’s an 85% success rate, about as one-sided as market statistics can get.  On only 7 occasions did it fall in the fourth quarter.  BUT.... The 3 worst Q4 losses ever all occurred with t...

Welcome to the latest edition of What Are Your Thoughts - Michael Batnick and Downtown Josh Brown break down the biggest topics of the moment. On this episode:  * Private markets used to be thought of as "the smart money" while public markets were for retail shleps - but this time around, it's the public investors who are calling bullsh*t on the VCs, private equity firms and insiders.  * It's not...

Dave Nadig, managing director of ETF.com, stops by The Compound to discuss how fee-free trading is changing the investment landscape with Ritholtz Wealth Management Chairman and CIO, Barry Ritholtz. 1-click play or subscribe on your favorite podcast app   Subscribe to the mini podcast on iTunes or Spotify    Enable our Alexa skill here - "Alexa, play the Compound show!"   Talk to us about your por...

Welcome to the latest edition of What Are Your Thoughts - Michael Batnick and Downtown Josh Brown break down the biggest topics of the moment. On this episode: * Get your story straight - are there too many IPOs coming out this year or not enough? 2019 is on pace to see the most capital raised by initial public offerings in a year since 2000, and possibly even break the record. The number of compa...

Campbell Harvey is a Professor at Duke University and a partner as Research Affiliates. He sat down with Michael Batnick and Josh Brown of Ritholtz Wealth Management to discuss the meaning of the inverted yield curve indicator, which he discovered in 1986 while working on a dissertation. Campbell cites the fact that 7 out of the last 7 recessions had been presaged by a yield curve inversion - whic...

Josh here - Charles Schwab announced that starting October 7th all commissions on stocks, ETFs and options would go down to zero. The march toward commission-free trading has been happening in slow motion for decades, ever since the 1970's. My take on it is this - it's terrific news for investors, as it lowers the cost of being an investor and gaining access to markets. But is it a "game changer"?...

Patrick Keane, CEO of The Action Network, joins Josh Brown and Michael Batnick at The Compound to discuss the future of sports betting and how it compares to trading. Patrick believes that prop betting will explode in popularity as sports venues warm to the additional revenue it can bring. He sees app-based betting coming to a state near you and many stock market traders becoming attracted to spor...

House Majority Leader Nancy Pelosi announced the beginning of formal impeachment proceedings of President Trump. As investors, it's important to remember that we don't have a lot of history to go by in terms of what impeachment might mean for the stock market and the economy. But there are some important takeaways from past impeachments of Richard Nixon and Bill Clinton. Crossing Wall Street's Edd...

Josh Brown and Nick Maggiulli, of Ritholtz Wealth Management, discuss data on investing a lump sum vs dollar-cost averaging, and the results might surprise you. Read Nick's post for the data and charts: https://ofdollarsanddata.com/the-cost-of-waiting/ 1-click play or subscribe on your favorite podcast app   Subscribe to the mini podcast on iTunes or Spotify    Enable our Alexa skill here - "Alexa...

On a new edition of What Are Your Thoughts?, Michael Batnick and Josh Brown discuss: * The Repo Rate mini-panic * Are we ready for the Daniel Jones Era? * Does it really take $350,000 a year to live in cities? * Standup comics up in arms over political correctness and "cancel culture" * People got excited about value stocks recently. Again. * More terrible sports takes from Josh * Do you need a ca...

Josh here - it was my honor and pleasure to interview Joe Duran, founder of United Capital, on stage earlier this week at the inaugural Wealth/Stack Conference in Scottsdale, Arizona. Joe made headlines earlier this year when he sold the firm to Goldman Sachs - a deal that was the largest Goldman has done in 20 years. Joe and I spoke about the need to advise clients on different aspects of their l...

Ritholtz Wealth Management CEO, Josh Brown, welcomes attendees to the inaugural Wealth/Stack conference in Scottsdale, Arizona. 1-click play or subscribe on your favorite podcast app   Subscribe to the mini podcast on iTunes or Spotify    Enable our Alexa skill here - "Alexa, play the Compound show!"   Talk to us about your portfolio or financial plan here:  http://ritholtzwealth.com/   Obviously...

“I have something to admit – I enjoy receiving a paycheck twice every month. Some people are willing to give up the sure thing to pursue a passion project, launch their own business, or take a year off to travel the world. While I’m envious of those with such conviction, I just can’t pull the trigger.” Kevin (@ferventfinance) blogs at Fervent Finance and is the co-host of the Reversion to the Mean...

“Because of the complexity of these compensation structures, I find that most people love the idea of having equity but do not understand it. With companies paying up to 50% of their employees total compensation package in equity, it’s important to understand what exactly is at stake when you decide to accept that job offer for “the next big thing.” Dasarte Yarnway (@dasarteyarnway) is the founder...

“A right balance is somewhere in between – enjoying Today while planning for Tomorrow. And there’s no magical, universal formula, spreadsheet, or ratio to figure this out. It’s entirely subjective to each person and family.” Jeremy Walter (@jeremywalter) is the founder of Fident Financial, LLC and logs at Calibrating Capital:. Tadas got Jeremy on the phone to talk about a recent post of his entitl...

Josh Brown here - Michael Batnick and I return with an all new What Are Your Thoughts! Today's topics: * What technologies that we use now that will soon be obsolete? * Why bother worrying about manufacturing data when consumer data is what drives the economy? * 75 million Amazon customers are watching shows on Prime Video - what the hell are they watching? * Where does Once Upon a Time in Hollywo...

Once upon a time, quality financial advice was only available for millionaires and the sophisticated investors who had the expertise to find the right advisors and understand exactly what they were getting.  Non-millionaires and younger investors were ignored by traditional Wall Street brokerage firms, left to fend for themselves or, worse, to be preyed upon by unscrupulous brokers and insurance s...

This isn't a financial business. It's a communications business. The sooner people get this through their heads, the better equipped they'll be to serve clients. In an all-hands meeting, Josh discusses the primacy of empathy and caring over everything else. 1-click play or subscribe on your favorite podcast app   Subscribe to the mini podcast on iTunes or Spotify   Enable our Alexa skill here - "A...

FAQ: What are the seven deadly sins of investing? Many of the questions we get from investors revolve around one of these seven mistakes that, if left unchecked, could doom a long-term investing portfolio or retirement plan. Lust! Gluttony! Envy! Pride! Wrath! Greed! Sloth! Michael Batnick, Ben Carlson and Downtown Josh Brown weigh in on each of these sins and why they can be so destructive to inv...

“Student debt has negatively impacted many American’s lives, but it’s not a crisis that I believe warrants an expansion of the government balance sheet to the tune of multiple trillions of dollars. Like anytime the government puts their thumb on the proverbial scale, actions have repercussions and should be carefully weighted ahead of time.” Andrew Thrasher (@andrewthrasher) blogs at Thrasher Anal...

“Where investing as a hobby might be sensible is with a small amount of your assets that you can afford to lose, and that you can handle psychologically. Being under the illusion that diving into investing in a meaningful way will result in above average performance is dangerous and likely to end poorly based on historical studies.”  David Schawel (@davidschawel) is the CIO of Family Management Co...

There are two types of authenticity and both are important to clients and potential clients of any business. Josh breaks it down, Live from the Compound Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

“As with most things in life you are in charge of your own stuff. If you want to drive a new luxury vehicle, more power to you. Just realize that there are financial (and environmental) trade-offs involved. But don’t be under the illusion that anyone really cares what car you are driving.”  Ben Carlson recently got Tadas Viskanta, Director of Investor Education at Ritholtz Wealth Management, on th...