The Breakdown

On March 12, as the U.S. government struggled to wrap its head around the emerging COVID-19 pandemic and markets floundered, bitcoin had one of its worst days in history, crashing by thousands of dollars and even hitting below $4,000 on some exchanges.  That evening, NLW and podcaster Preston Pysh recorded a conversation about bitcoin, central banks and what happens when currencies fail. Nine mont...

Balaji Srinivasan is an angel investor and entrepreneur, the former CTO of Coinbase, a former General Partner at Andressen Horowitz and more.  In this wide-ranging conversation with NLW, he discusses: How networks are taking a power role once reserved for god and the state Why pre-internet institutions will not survive the internet  Why bitcoin at $1 million is a global government Woke capital vs....

With so much focus on bitcoin’s record-setting price run, a number of huge (and hugely bullish) stories have gotten comparatively short shrift. In this episode, NLW looks at: Ruffer LLP’s $744 million bitcoin buy Hedge Funder Alan Howard and One River’s $1 billion digital assets bet Northern Trust getting into crypto custody Guggenheim Partners’ CIO calling for $400,000 BTC CoinDesk sister company...

After weeks of flirting with all-time highs, bitcoin has broken through the most significant psychological barrier: $20,000.  In today’s episode of The Breakdown, NLW looks at why the moment is so significant, arguing: Bitcoin is an incentive design system where price drives more benefits than financial gain  The validation of retail traders and more recent institutional investors creates an even...

Ben Hunt is the founder of Second Foundation Partners and lead author of Epsilon Theory. Alex Gladstein is the chief strategy officer at the Human Rights Foundation.  In this conversation, they discuss one of the most important burgeoning topics of the year: In a world where bitcoin goes mainstream with traditional financial institutions, can it keep its more renegade spirit? More important, can i...

Today on the Brief: First COVID-19 vaccines roll out in the U.S.  Are IPOs the new ICOs? U.S. Treasury and other federal departments hacked  Our main discussion: A massive new category of bitcoin demand?  Last week, when MassMutual announced its $100 million buy, NLW explored whether it would be the beginning of a trend for other insurance companies. A recent note from JPMorgan analysts suggests t...

This week’s edition of Long Reads Sunday is a reading of “How Much Debt Is Too Much?” by Raghuram Rajan on Project Syndicate. In it, the author explores the shifting conventional wisdom on national debt and worries that countries may reach their limit far earlier than they think.

On this edition of the weekly recap, NLW looks at the brewing battle to be the bitcoin and crypto bank of the future. He looks at three stories reporting banks getting into crypto (BBVA, Standard Chartered and DBS) as well as crypto companies applying to become banks. Finally, he examines why this is happening right now, and what are the true stakes of the game. 

Today on the Brief: FDA panel recommends Pfizer vaccine approval as initial jobless claims soar Antitrust lawsuit calls for Facebook breakup Crypto-friendly CFTC chairman to resign at the beginning of the year Our main discussion: Why MassMutual bought $100 million in bitcoin and why it matters. In this episode, NLW looks at recent news that MassMutual had purchased $100 million in bitcoin for its...

Hester Peirce is a commissioner at the Securities Exchange Commission, sworn in for her second term in August.  Sometimes referred to as “Crypto Mom,” Peirce has been a fierce advocate for the industry in a regulatory context that hasn’t always been on her side.  In this conversation, she and NLW discuss: Why the SEC’s approach on crypto has been too slow and too ambiguous Why it matters that FinH...

What were the most important trends? Who were the most important people? Was it the year of Bitcoin Macro, the year of DeFi or both? Ryan Selkis is the founder and CEO of Messari. Each year he puts together a massive “Crypto Theses” report that looks at the year that was and the year to come. On this episode, he and NLW discuss the highlights of Selkis’ 2020 report, including: The top 10 people in...

Today on the Brief: BBVA set to offer crypto trading and custody Wells Fargo discusses bitcoin in recent investor memo Square launches Bitcoin Clean Energy Initiative with $10 million  Our main discussion: Michael Saylor is back at it.  The CEO of MicroStrategy and Giga Chad himself announced MicroStrategy would be offering $400 million in convertible bonds with the intent to purchase more bitcoin...

Today on the Brief: COVID-19 vs. Stimulus  Small hedge funds outperform large brethren  Equities now worth 115% of global GDP  Our main discussion: Why the newest trial of China’s central bank digital currency is its most important trial yet.  In this episode, NLW discusses: The significance of the “Double 12” shopping festival  How the participant merchants have changed Comparison of the size of...

On today’s Long Reads Sunday, NLW reads Niall Ferguson’s latest Op-Ed for Bloomberg: “Bitcoin Is Winning the COVID-19 Monetary Revolution” In it, Ferguson argues that bitcoin’s sovereignty and “built-in scarcity in a virtual world characterized by boundless abundance” are driving its adoption.  He also argues that rather than adopt a China-style central bank digital currency, incoming President Jo...

On this edition of the weekly recap, NLW looks at the consolidating narrative of a bitcoin rally that is: Being driven by institutional investors Shifting the center of the industry from East Asia to North America  Winning converts from major research houses and institutions  Driving the price of bitcoin to new all-time highs

Today on the Brief: Payrolls report underperforms expectations Spotify looking for crypto director Lame-duck crypto legislation on the way?    Our main discussion: Will we see a “Santa Claus rally” this year?  This kind of rally refers to the fact that in about two-thirds of years since 1969, late December has seen a stock market rally, averaging a 1.4% gain.  This year, vaccine optimism combined...

On Wednesday, three U.S. congressional Democrats announced the STABLE Act, an 18-page bill that would require, among other things, stablecoin issuers to acquire banking charters, get approval from the Federal Reserve and hold FDIC insurance.  The bill’s authors claim stablecoins represent a continuation of the shadow banking system that preys on poor communities. The crypto industry argues this ov...

Josh Brown is the CEO of Ritholtz Wealth Management. He is also the host of “The Halftime Report” on CNBC, author of the “Reformed Broker” blog and host of “The Compound Show” podcast.  Most recently, he is the author of “How I Invest My Money: Finance Experts Reveal How They Save, Spend, and Invest.” In this fun and freewheeling conversation, Josh and NLW discuss: Why financial advisers give a lo...

Today on the Brief: Libra is now “Diem”  Christine Lagarde comes down on private stablecoins  Dow closes its best month in 33 years  Our main discussion: AllianceBernstein changes its mind.  Yesterday, CoinDesk received access to a private client research report from AllianceBernstein, a global investment giant with more than $631 billion in assets.  In this episode of the Breakdown, NLW reads exc...

On this historic day, NLW looks at bitcoin’s punching through its previous December 2017 all-time high. Specifically, he looks at: How different people benchmark the all-time high  What drove the latest price action, including the prospect of new investment from institutional asset management giant Guggenheim  Why historian Niall Ferguson is arguing bitcoin has won the COVID-19 monetary revolution...

On this edition of The Breakdown’s Long Reads Sunday, NLW reads a recent piece by Hong Fang, CEO of OKCoin.  In it, Fang provides a set of valuation models and scenarios that plausibly lead to bitcoin achieving a significant $100,000 value over the course of 2021.

On this edition of The Breakdown weekly recap, NLW looks at what was an absolutely action-packed holiday week.  He discusses: Bitcoin’s price action  The Dow’s 30,000 psychological milestone  Eth 2.0 cleared for Beacon chain launch  The implications of Janet Yellen’s nomination for Treasury secretary

One of the most significant macroeconomic questions facing the world is what the future of the global reserve system, dominated for the last 80 years by the U.S. dollar, holds.  Today’s episode is a replay of NLW’s epic conversation with macro analyst Luke Gromen from April 2020. In it, Luke discusses the entire history of that U.S. dollar system, including: Bretton Woods and why the world went on...

When NLW asked Crypto Twitter for recommendations of the best way to convince friends and family about bitcoin and crypto, one of the ideas was to review old articles that have stood the test of time.  With that in mind, NLW today reads Chamath Palihapitiya’s May 2013 piece for Bloomberg, “Why I Invested In Bitcoin.”  Even among prescient early pieces, this one is particularly salient.

Today’s Breakdown is a prep kit for the inevitable conversations about bitcoin as friends and family sit down at the Thanksgiving table this year.  NLW discusses arguments ranging from price action to who is buying to why they’re buying to good old-fashioned supply and demand. He leaves with one big conclusion: If there was ever a year to discuss bitcoin, this is it.