Talking Real Money - Investing Talk

With geopolitical tension rattling markets and investors stampeding into cash, gold, and energy, Don and Tom step back to deliver a familiar message: nobody knows what’s next—and anyone claiming otherwise is selling something. They walk through the behavioral traps of market timing, explain why diversification (especially beyond U.S. large caps) is quietly doing its job, and highlight the role of...

The housing market is stuck in an unusual freeze, driven by the lingering effects of ultra-low COVID-era mortgage rates, reduced housing inventory, and sharply higher income requirements for buyers. With fewer people moving, less new construction, and more all-cash purchases, affordability has deteriorated and first-time buyers are older than ever. Don and Tom argue that homeownership is often ove...

Don fields listener questions on asset allocation, advisor timing, and investing complexity with his usual bias toward simplicity and self-awareness. He emphasizes that the decision to add bonds isn’t about age but about emotional tolerance for loss, shares his own shift to a more conservative 55/45 portfolio, dismisses futures markets as largely speculative noise for most investors, and advises a...

Morningstar’s latest research nudges the “safe” withdrawal rate down to 3.9%, but Don and Tom make it clear there’s no magic number—just tradeoffs. They walk through fixed vs. flexible withdrawal strategies, why spending adaptability matters more than rules of thumb, and how your goals (spend vs. leave money behind) shape everything. Listener questions tackle bond fund choices (yield vs. stability...

The show opens with a major announcement: Talking Real Money is leaving terrestrial radio and going fully podcast-only, marking the end of a 16-year Saturday run. A heartfelt surprise call from Don’s wife Debbie reflects on decades of friendship, trust, and listener connection before the tone pivots back to business. The main topic takes aim at perpetual crash predictors like Robert Kiyosaki, dism...

As Talking Real Money prepares to leave terrestrial radio and become a podcast-only show, Tom and Don pivot from logistics to a deeper issue: the growing financial fragility of retirees. With fewer than 3% of Americans over 65 holding $1M in retirement savings and bankruptcy rates rising among seniors, they explore whether the shift from pensions to 401(k)s helped or hurt. While critics call 401(k...

This Friday Q&A episode tackles several thoughtful listener questions covering 401(k) investment choices, Roth conversion strategies, bond market fears, inherited IRA planning, and investment club mechanics. Don explains why opaque collective investment trusts and “cycle” funds often hide market-timing strategies, cautions against making large Roth conversions based on predictions about future...

Exchange-traded funds began as simple, low-cost index vehicles, but their popularity has sparked a flood of increasingly speculative products. Don and Tom explain how more than 1,000 new ETFs launched in the past year—many involving leverage, crypto exposure, or even single-stock bets—turning what was once a sensible investment wrapper into a playground for risky financial engineering. They discus...

In this Friday Q&A episode, Don answers four listener questions covering fund recommendations, special-needs financial planning, retirement withdrawal strategy, and tax-efficient health savings. First, he addresses whether Talking Real Money receives commissions for mentioning Avantis and Dimensional funds (they do not) and explains why those firms’ evidence-based strategies stand out. A secon...

A debate over jelly bean flavors quickly pivots into a takedown of a flashy Inc. Magazine article claiming people shouldn’t save for retirement. Don and Tom dissect the “cash-flow over investing” pitch from entrepreneur Joseph Drups, exposing the realities of running small businesses, the risks behind claims of passive income, and the likelihood that the real money comes from selling the system ra...

Broadcast from RetireMeet 2026 in Bellevue, Don and Tom reflect on the evolution of retirement planning—from a narrow focus on investments to a broader conversation about purpose, relationships, and life after work. They interview Paul Merriman, who discusses portfolio construction, the role of small-cap value stocks, risk tolerance, and long-term investing discipline. The conversation also explor...

Broadcast live from RetireMeet in Bellevue, Don announces that after nearly four decades of Saturday radio shows, Talking Real Money will end its live radio run on March 28 and continue exclusively as a podcast. The episode features conversations with Joe Saul-Sehy of Stacking Benjamins and Morningstar’s Christine Benz about how people should approach retirement. The central theme is flipping the...

Don and Tom start with the classic “jelly beans in a jar” experiment to explain the wisdom of crowds and why large groups often produce surprisingly accurate predictions. That idea leads to a discussion of modern prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, which sometimes outperform professional economists when forecasting things like GDP, inflation, or Federal Reserve decisions. But the hosts...

AI hype is colliding with financial reality. Don and Tom examine Elon Musk’s suggestion that artificial intelligence could create such abundance that retirement savings might become unnecessary. They unpack the economics behind universal basic income, including the staggering cost—even a modest payment would require trillions in new revenue—and explain why most Americans aren’t betting their futur...

Financial education is expanding nationwide—but much of it is still teaching speculation instead of investing. Don and Tom critique stock-picking contests, flawed risk frameworks, and misleading “active vs. passive” framing, while arguing for evidence-based investing and early Roth contributions as the true foundations of financial literacy. They break down the compounding power of a 529-to-Roth s...

Don and Tom revisit the eternal temptation to beat the market, dismantling the appeal of equal-weight indexes and active management claims by highlighting implementation costs, tax drag, and decades of underperformance data. They explain why diversification isn’t about bragging rights but smoother returns and disciplined risk management. Callers tackle portfolio rebalancing for a multimillion-doll...

This episode dives into the surprisingly emotional world of fixed income investing, exploring whether traditional bond funds like BND still make sense or if newer laddered bond ETFs offer a psychological edge by returning principal at a set maturity date. Don and Tom unpack how these ETFs compare to CD ladders, why capital gains should never be expected from bonds, and how investor psychology ofte...

On this Friday Q&A episode, Don answers listener questions on international stock overweighting inside a Seattle city retirement plan, whether a Vanguard target-date fund might be a smarter emotional guardrail than self-managing allocations, how much term life insurance a family really needs (hint: it’s about replacing income, not funding Ivy League dreams), whether an aggressively small-value...

Vanguard slashes fees again, pushing its average expense ratio down to six basis points. Don and Tom contrast that with outrageously expensive ETFs charging 2% to 14% annually, walk through why evidence-based factor funds cost a bit more than pure index funds, answer listener questions about international tilts and fund-of-funds rebalancing, and clarify why diversification across assets still matt...

This episode focuses on smart portfolio construction across multiple accounts, using AVGV to complement limited 401(k) options, and why allocation should be viewed holistically. A caller debates stretching into a later target-date fund, prompting a discussion about risk versus actual retirement need. Crypto is challenged as speculation rather than investment. Dividend strategies and bond placement...

This episode moves from the origin of “rule of thumb” to why most investing rules of thumb don’t work for real people. Tom and Don explore a Yale professor’s personalized allocation model, walk through tax-smart strategies for funding a child’s car while managing Roth conversions and capital gains, warn about liquidity risks in private credit after restrictions at Blue Owl Capital, explain how to...

Don and Tom examine Kiplinger’s list of top retirement side gigs and separate practical ideas from pipe dreams, questioning whether executive coaching, IT consulting, online reselling, and landlord life truly offer “passive” or realistic income. They highlight more viable options like tutoring, handyman work, and tour guiding while emphasizing purpose over paycheck. Listener questions cover the ri...

After a bump in crypto-fueled listener calls, Don tackles a mix of practical and philosophical money questions: why Fidelity’s new “stablecoin” isn’t an investment at all, whether a heavily conditioned city 401k match is worth the risk versus a flexible Roth 457, how to safely reposition an 85-year-old’s idle savings without sacrificing liquidity, and why actively managed mutual funds can generate...

Vanguard lowers fees yet again, pushing its average expense ratio down to just six basis points — a move that underscores how dramatically fund costs have fallen over time. Don and Tom contrast this with shockingly expensive ETFs charging double-digit annual fees and explain why those costs are nearly impossible to overcome. They unpack the difference between pure index funds and factor-based fund...

Don and Tom tackle S&P 500 concentration risk and the dominance of the Magnificent Seven, explaining why diversification still matters despite compelling active management narratives. They clarify the difference between currency and investment in a pointed Bitcoin vs. U.S. dollar discussion, then pivot to fixed income strategy—highlighting why low-cost, large-scale bond funds like BND often ou...