Schwab Network

It's time to get defensive with your portfolios, says Eddie Ghabour, with his firm turning underweight on tech and growing its investments in gold. He adds that a "lose-lose" scenario with the FOMC's stance on rate cuts, paired with heightening tensions in the U.S.-Iran War, will lead to a 10% correction in the S&P 500. Eddie says "I hope I'm wrong on tech," tho...

Today's Charles Schwab big picture panel focuses on the FOMC and what Fed governors will say regarding Wednesday's interest rate decision. Collin Martin talks about the conundrum the committee has when it comes to weighing persistent inflation against a job market struggling to find its footing. Recent economic data signal a resilient economy, according to Collin, suggesting the Fed will &...

The NAHB housing market index suggests a still bearish outlook for the industry, says Kevin Green. Crude oil prices continue to slide lower as well even though strikes in the Iranian region continue. KG makes sense of the price action by weighing bullish optimism against bearish marks investors are missing. He later turns to the grains market by analyzing price action in soybean futures. ========...

Michael Shaoul says back-end energy prices show that the market anticipates the U.S./Iran conflict to only be a 60-90 day disruption. He sees inflation ahead, but not the “stag” part of stagflation, reviewing the latest economic data. “So far, I don’t think it’s realistic to expect any impact” from energy prices, though “things could go wrong” over the next few months. ======== Schwab Network ====...

Phil Rosen looks at history to make his bullish case for markets this year. He doesn’t think the story for investors has changed “that much” despite the U.S./Iran conflict. It might be time to buy the dip as a long-term investor; he advises against panic selling. On the other hand, he doesn’t see a lot of momentum from big tech, and he doesn’t anticipate the Fed cutting rates any time soon. ======...

Gene Goldman sees opportunities in software, which he thinks is oversold, though he is neutral towards technology overall. Instead, he likes healthcare and industrials and is making a short-term energy play. Within those, he likes biotech and managed care. He thinks the S&P 500 will end the year higher, but warns of a potential downturn beforehand. This week, he’s watching central bank meeting...

Ahead of Micron's (MU) earnings later this week, Diane King Hall talks about the company's completion of its Taiwan Fab acquisition. She talks about how it adds to the bull case for Micron and other AI memory chips. One blemish in tech: Qualcomm (QCOM) after Seaport downgraded the stock. Diane ends on the earnings front with a mixed report from Dollar Tree (DLTR). ======== Schwab Network =...

Micron's (MU) rally compared to other chipmaking peers has gripped traders over recent months. Rick Ducat shows the stock's recent consolidation near all-time highs and talks about the company's "vast outperformance" likelihood to continue. He then turns to the options front to show where traders are pricing moves ahead. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every inves...

Stablecoin institution adoption maintains the bull case for crypto, says Paul Golding. With stablecoin market cap holding above $300 billion, paired with more use cases being available to the public, Paul predicts a strong foundation maintaining crypto assets. He explains how it all plays into the big picture for stablecoin's future in finance in big banks and credit card businesses like Maste...

The first half of ServiceNow's (NOW) trading month is characterized by a "head and shoulders" pattern forming in the chart, says Rachel Dashiell with Charles Schwab. She highlights key support and resistance levels in the 20-day and one-year stock activity. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newslett...

Some countries are making alleged deals with Iran as some ships make their way through the Strait of Hormuz, says Kevin Green. He talks about crude oil's pressure to the downside to start the trading week and takes investors through other headlines in his "cautious optimism" take. On stock moves, Kevin Green talks about the deal between Meta Platforms (META) and Nebius (NBIS) where t...

Mike Dickson talks about ways investors can strategically position their portfolios as the U.S.-Iran War enters week three. He believes investors and traders alike have opportunity to leverage volatility to their advantage. Another place Mike sees opportunity: emerging markets. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute n...

Sam Vadas wraps up the trading week and previews the major events to keep on the calendar starting on Monday. She starts with a glimpse at Nvidia (NVDA) as investors and traders await CEO Jensen Huang's keynote address at their annual GTC event. On the earnings front, she highlights notable prints ahead for FedEx (FDX), Oklo (OKLO) and Macy's to name a few domestic names. But, Sam adds inv...

Ted Rossman explains how rising gas prices and geopolitical tensions are weighing on consumer sentiment, squeezing lower‑income budgets despite a resilient job market. He warns that uncertainty around inflation, rates, and energy costs could cool travel demand and pressure companies like The Walt Disney Company (DIS) as the Fed tries to manage the slowdown without hurting consumers. ======== Schwa...

The duration of the Iran conflict will determine near-term market moves, says Ahmed Riesgo. However, he thinks markets are expecting a TACO trade, and if that narrative is upended the move down could be bigger; sustained oil prices could force a de-escalation. Despite this, he thinks the U.S. will remain relatively insulated, and thinks the dollar can stay high and we will avoid a recession. Ahmed...

Patrick Mueller expects markets to start pulling back even if we see gains next week, arguing that we’re overdue. He’s rebalancing his portfolio, looking at international equities and fixed income, along with around 20% cash to “pounce” on opportunities. He stresses that investors should pay attention to credit; he believes consumers are worse off than the mainstream story says. Consumer debt is “...

Joanne Hsu reacts to the latest Consumer Sentiment report out of the University of Michigan. She says consumer sentiment has been “treading water” the last few months and has been historically low. Worries about inflation because of the Iran conflict are putting more pressure on sentiment, possibly presaging a continued decline. Consumers feel “increasingly burdened” across demographics and believ...

Traders are “throwing the baby out with the bathwater” during this market turbulence as inflation fears “feed on themselves,” says Robert Conzo. He tells them to remember the historical likelihood that less-loved S&P 500 companies will outperform. He feels “relatively good” about the market, citing bright spots like the retail sales report and a relatively unchanged PCE. Robert encourages inve...

As crude oil prices experience heightened volatility, historical data suggests the energy sector is just warming up. Lucas Downey analyzes the unprecedented surge in the United States Oil Fund (USO), noting that similar price spikes have historically preceded significant double-digit gains for the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE). Lucas notes Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX) as potential wi...

Friday was a busy day for economic data, including PCE and GDP reports. Joy Yang breaks down the latest numbers and reacts to geopolitical pressures on the market. She argues that the Iran conflict will likely not be over soon, which will continue to push oil prices up and impact investor sentiment. She thinks investors are staying on the sidelines, but notes that historically, markets tend to “ab...

Likefolio’s Andy Swan says Dollar Tree (DLTR) is a “different company than it was a year ago,” adding flexible pricing and ridding itself of Family Dollar. He thinks it is starting to “execute well” and that customers like the changes. He discusses what he’s looking forward to in their Monday earnings call and compares them to rival Dollar General (DG). ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering...

Prediction markets are evolving from a niche hobby into a sophisticated asset class as trading volumes for events like the NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament surge by 3,000% year-over-year. Unlike traditional sportsbooks, these federally regulated exchanges allow for peer-to-peer trading and flexible exits, mimicking the structure of traditional financial markets. Asaf Meir of Solidus Labs discu...

Sam Vadas details Meta Platforms' (META) ongoing efforts to jump into a crowded AI race. Sam shares an analogy from the NYSE Floor about its "Avocado" platform suggesting it might be too firm still and needs to ripen up before it's ready. She details the reported performance lagging Alphabet's (GOOGL) Gemini 3.0 and later dives into Meta's capex spend in data centers. ===...

Mark Gibbens and Matt Maher comb through Adobe (ADBE) earnings. Matt says fundamentals are “really strong,” highlighting their growth in monthly active users and tripling annual recurring revenue in AI products. However, two major headwinds come from AI-native tools and the CEO stepping down. Mark agrees that the CEO succession is a “pretty big deal,” but thinks it’s the right move in the long run...

Tim Bohen braves wintry weather in Michigan to join the latest Big 3 segment on Schwab Network. He and Jenny Horne discuss the fundamental setups for a trio of notable AI names: Palantir (PLTR), Nvidia (NVDA) and Alphabet (GOOGL). Rick Ducat describes the chart setup and technical patterns to watch in each. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Op...