Schwab Network

Simon Lack sees upside risk to oil prices with crude potentially pushing above $100 as the White House holds back action until after the midterm elections. He says China remains a swing buyer that calibrates purchases based on price, and views US energy exporters as the big winners since America is a reliable supplier with rising volumes in any scenario. He also warns a diesel export ban would bac...

Market breadth is the key factor Nathan Peterson is watching in the S&P 500 (SPX). He explains why "there's some healing that needs to be done" in sectors beyond tech. Also mind the volatility he sees hitting markets at Wednesday's close due to the combination of Micron (MU) earnings and quarter-end rebalancing. Nate looks ahead to October and tentative headwinds he sees weig...

Kevin Green tells investors to keep an asterisk next to the core PCE print that lifted equities at the beginning of Wednesday's trading session. He makes the case that the year-over-year metric will be the most important one for investors to mind. The latest GDP read shows an uptick driven primarily by AI spending. Speaking of AI, KG discusses the "White House Accord on Super Intelligence...

Adam Coons says the Fed is unlikely to raise rates again despite consensus, as the consumer nears a breaking point with mortgages above 7%. He warns that tech names with stretched valuations and refinance risk, like Oracle (ORCL), could get punished this earnings cycle. He also likes Japanese financials and Southeast Asian semiconductors for diversification and prefers higher-dividend energy names...

Citi downgraded Moderna (MRNA) following the stock's astronomical rally in recent weeks. Boeing (BA) pens a $20 billion deal with the U.S. Navy for its next generation fighter jets. Jabil (JBL) shares didn't move much on its earnings beat and strong guidance. Diane King Hall turns to the biggest stories moving markets following Wednesday's opening bell. ======== Schwab Network ========...

Mike Talaga breaks down hyperscaler debt issuance surging toward $400 billion next year and why the AI buildout differs from the telecom boom. He's bearish on generic investment grade tech debt due to supply pressure but likes utilities and former Bitcoin miners transitioning to AI data centers for yield. He also sees a rotation from money markets into credit as rates move and investment grade...

Core PCE flashed a green light for equities when the print came in lighter than expected. Kevin Hincks runs through the report to explain how it significantly reduces interest rate hike probabilities for October. He then runs through the GDP and ADP employment data to add more color on both sides of the U.S. economic picture. Kevin turns to reports from JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs which state that...

Micron (MU) reports earnings after Wednesday's closing bell as the unofficial close to earnings season. Rick Ducat analyzes the technical trends he sees in the AI memory chipmaker's stock chart and shows key levels to watch following the company's report. He then turns to an example options trade for Micron. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every m...

Caleb Silver says investors his company surveyed still feel confident overall in the stock market, though the percentage saw a significant drop. Higher crude oil prices, interest rates, and Treasury yields all pile onto concerns that an AI bubble continues to grow. Caleb talks about why investors surveyed by Investopedia are moving out of key software names like Palantir (PLTR), Microsoft (MSFT),...

Reid l'Anson talks about the geopolitical movers hitting the energy trade beyond the U.S.-Iran war and focuses on how the Russia-Ukraine war adds to mounting headwinds. Turning to the U.S. itself, Reid addresses how he sees it shaping the Fed's interest rate decision in October. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market...

The correlation between crude oil and Treasury yields moving higher is breaking, says Kevin Green. He highlights how the former moving lower as the latter inches higher raises a new warning flag investors need to watch. So when will markets see a relief bounce in equities? KG believes it will come once Wall Street gets through his week's inflation and jobs data. President Trump's meeting w...

Moderna (MRNA) and its "overexuberant" breakout takes Patrick Ciummo of Charles Schwab's focus. He shows how the 30-day price action ran hot and how it sets the stage for a likely cooldown in the coming sessions. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Down...

Fair Isaac (FICO) closed as the worst performer on the S&P 500 (SPX) on its worst session since 1989. On the other side of the index, Carnival (CCL) and Bloom Energy (BE) closed as the top performers. Marley Kayden has more on Tuesday's biggest market movers. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter -...

Anthropic may be the biggest IPO poised to hit public markets, but don't miss headlines surrounding Oura and its own IPO delay. Sam Vadas explains how the headline reflects the souring market sentiment. That sentiment extends to consumer confidence, with Marley Kayden touching on what's driving the freefall in that report between August and September. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empow...

Futurum CEO Daniel Newman addresses the back-and-forth sentiment surrounding AI development for safety reasons. He agrees that guardrails are needed by highlighting arguments in the middle ground between Nvidia (NVDA), Meta Platforms (META), Anthropic, and OpenAI leadership. Daniel explains how those same concerns were shown in Anthropic's leaked IPO prospectus as the company readies for a $2...

Matthew Sheffield says the discourse around Bitcoin and crypto regulation actually did a favor for the space. He says the concerns highlighted by dissenting opinions on the Clarity Act, paired with calls for more guardrails, were the catalysts that drove federal institutions to make that call themselves. Matthew discusses the repricing of crypto assets and the needs banking institutions see for de...

Eli Tan, technology reporter for The New York Times, talks about how he had Meta Platforms' (META) Muse AI agent "take over my life." He considers it "one of the most useful AI products" after giving it access to financial, personal, and professional information. That said, Eli recounts times where Muse got "tripped up" and needed human assistance. He walks throug...

Joe Sticco says regulators are "picking up the ball and running" to create new guardrails on crypto following the failed Clarity Act vote from the Senate. He discusses ways federal rules will help lift Bitcoin in an attempt to start a new bull cycle. Joe also touches on how the blockchain continues to blur the line between traditional and evolving investment strategies. ======== Schwab N...

Mike Khouw breaks down the launch of MUYY, a single-option income ETF on Micron Technology (MU) that generates weekly income through covered call spreads. He notes an implied move of about $81 ahead of earnings, with JPMorgan expecting a beat and raise, and Micron trading under 7x forward earnings with revenue up 10x since 2023 and options volume rivaling Nvidia (NVDA) and Tesla (TSLA). He also we...

Tony Zipparro breaks down CarMax's (KMX) earnings beat driven by 14% higher car sales and a 43-cent EPS surprise, but says the real story is the financing side. CarMax Auto Finance generates about 60% of profits from just 5% of revenue, with subprime lending growing from 10% to 22% of the business. He warns that rising rates and a weakening economy could squeeze lower-end borrowers, and is tak...

Energy and infrastructure bottlenecks are the key concern for Oracle (ORCL) and other companies building out AI data centers, says Mario Tufano. He believes small and mid-cap companies will fill in those missing links needed to ensure Oracle's growth picture stays intact. He highlights companies he believes are poised to benefit from the buildout, including Emcor (EME) and National Fuel Gas (N...

Anthropic's products, including Claude, have seen 17 times more corporate activity year-over-year and saw a spike in user retention, according to data from Omri Shtayer of Similarweb. He helps investors analyze his firm's data and ways retention data reaffirms to Omri that Claude is leading the AI software space. Revenue from Claude and how much enterprises use it are key question marks fo...

Megan Brantley of LikeFolio shows how Starlink leads consumer interest for SpaceX (SPCX) through the company's Google search growth. "This is the first time we're really seeing the company go mainstream," says Megan, who makes the case SpaceX's satellite business ramp shows a long-term story forming for the company. Turning to LikeFolio's data on SpaceX's other busine...

Mike Shorr sees trading opportunities forming across the AI space, from chips and software to quantum computing. He offers example options trades for IonQ (IONQ), Akamai (AKAM), and STMicroelectronics (STM). Rick Ducat offers his technical analysis in all three stocks to support Mike's insights. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Options in...

Morningstar's Jaime Katz says Carnival's (CCL) record Q3 results show cruising demand holding up despite broader discretionary spending concerns. She notes the value proposition versus landed vacations is becoming even more important as inflation pressures consumers, and highlights increased European capacity next year as a key theme to watch when Royal Caribbean (RCL) and Norwegian (NCLH)...