Rigatoni Capital Podcast

This morning I do a portfolio update and walk through the stocks I added during the recent pullback. Goldman Sachs reported a strong quarter this morning, beating on both EPS and revenue, yet the stock is selling off pre-market which is helping drag the Dow Jones lower than the other indexes. I dig into why that might be happening and promise to have more on it tomorrow. I also share my honest tak...

Kevin, aka Bagholder, is back on the Rigatoni Capital Podcast and came prepared. This episode we go deep on the hyperscaler CapEx cycle and what happens to Nvidia when Microsoft, Google, Meta, and Amazon eventually pull back on spending. Kevin draws a compelling parallel to what happened to Intel and Cisco when Dell cut its CapEx in 2000, and the numbers he found are worth taking seriously. We als...

Michael Burry posted on X that Anthropic is eating Palantir's lunch, citing Anthropic's ARR growth from $9 billion to $30 billion and data showing Anthropic now captures 73% of new enterprise AI spending. Palantir dropped 6% on the news. Then Burry deleted the post. This morning I walk through the argument, why I think the framing of Anthropic versus Palantir misses the point, and why thes...

I sat down with Simeon McMillan of the Accrued Interest newsletter on Substack for a deep dive right before earnings season kicks off. Simeon is one of the best stock analysts I know in the media and advertising space. We covered what Meta's Form 4 filings are actually telling investors about where management thinks the stock is going, why Netflix's price increases are not slowing down any...

Trump posted on Truth Social this morning that "a whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again" as his 8pm ET deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz approaches. US strikes on Kharg Island have already begun. WTI is spiking. This morning I cover what this means for markets, go through Jamie Dimon's annual letter and his list of risks, talk about OpenAI...

This morning I make the case that AI disruption is a bigger headwind for markets right now than the US-Iran war. Microsoft sits at the center of that story and I walk through why. I also look at IGV and what the broader software selloff is telling us, and make the case for why Netflix is still a great long term investment even after the recent pullback. Rigatoni Capital is a daily morning podcast...

Trump gave his first prime-time address on Operation Epic Fury last night and said the war is nearing completion, promised to hit Iran extremely hard over the next two to three weeks, and threatened to bomb Iran back to the Stone Ages. Oil went up anyway. This morning I cover that and get into my new Substack post on the 5 headwinds investors need to think about before buying a 10% correction. I a...

Jordi Visser has been raising concerns about white collar job displacement and what the broader SaaS tech selloff means for the market. This morning I cover that thesis and where I agree and where I push back, specifically on whether the Mag7 should be avoided right now. Rigatoni Capital is a daily morning podcast for long term, buy and hold investors. This is not a show for short term traders or...

Warren Buffett was on CNBC's Squawk Box with Becky Quick this morning and made clear that a 10% correction is not enough to get him excited. I cover that interview and share my own 5 reasons why I am also not buying this dip yet. We also go through a handful of tickers on my radar right now. Rigatoni Capital is a daily morning podcast for long term, buy and hold investors. This is not a show f...

AppLovin is down over 40% year to date, Meta has been selling off, and the broader software and tech space is deeply out of favor right now. This morning I walk through what is happening across the software and tech selloff, why the market is punishing names like AppLovin despite genuinely strong fundamentals and free cash flow... I also give my honest take on why I am not yet stepping in to buy t...

I sat down recently with Satishan, the writer behind the AlphaMonk newsletter on Substack, for the second time. The first episode felt like two people who had accidentally discovered they were reading the same books. The overlap of our work is pretty crazy. We covered Amazon's path to a trillion dollars in revenue, BlackRock as the East India Company of the 21st century, Larry Fink's 2026...

This morning I look at Broadridge Financial Solutions, which has now fallen for seven straight days and is down over 8% in that stretch despite beating earnings estimates. I also cover SMH as a way to get semiconductor exposure without having to pick winners and losers in what is a very complicated space right now. Netflix gets a look as well, and I close out on why Bitcoin has real value and why...

Today I cover: Microsoft and Google stock, Brown and Brown, and why you should not panic sell during wartime. I also touch on the humanoid robotics space including Figure and Amazon's Fauna Robotics and why at Rigatoni Capital we believe humanoid robots are a distraction. The better investing thesis is to own the semiconductors that will power these robots, not the robots themselves. Rigatoni...

Rigatoni Capital is a daily morning podcast for long term, buy and hold investors. This is not a show for short term traders or people looking for quick wins. Every morning I go through the most important headlines in finance, markets, and macro, and call out fake narratives in the financial media so you know what actually deserves your attention and what to ignore. The goal is to own a portfolio...

Rigatoni Capital is a daily morning podcast for long term, buy and hold investors. This is not a show for short term traders or people looking for quick wins. Every morning I go through the most important headlines in finance, markets, and macro, cut out the B.S., and call out fake narratives in the financial media so you know what actually deserves your attention and what to ignore. The goal is s...

Rigatoni Capital is a daily morning podcast for long term, buy and hold investors. This is not a show for short term traders or people looking for quick wins. Every morning I go through the most important headlines in finance, markets, and macro, and call out fake narratives in the financial media so you know what actually deserves your attention and what to ignore. The goal is to own a portfolio...

Rigatoni Capital is a daily morning podcast for long term, buy and hold investors. This is not a show for short term traders or people looking for quick wins. Every morning I go through the most important headlines in finance, markets, and macro, and call out fake narratives in the financial media so you know what actually deserves your attention and what to ignore. The goal is to own a portfolio...

Rigatoni Capital is a daily morning podcast for long term, buy and hold investors. This is not a show for short term traders or people looking for quick wins. Every morning I go through the most important headlines in finance, markets, and macro, and call out fake narratives in the financial media so you know what actually deserves your attention and what to ignore. The goal is to own a portfolio...

Rigatoni Capital is a daily morning podcast for long term, buy and hold investors. This is not a show for short term traders or people looking for quick wins. Every morning I go through the most important headlines in finance, markets, and macro, and call out fake narratives in the financial media so you know what actually deserves your attention and what to ignore. The goal is to own a portfolio...

Rigatoni Capital is a daily morning podcast for long term, buy and hold investors. This is not a show for short term traders or people looking for quick wins. Every morning I go through the most important headlines in finance, markets, and macro, and call out fake narratives in the financial media so you know what actually deserves your attention and what to ignore. The goal is to own a portfolio...

Rigatoni Capital is a daily morning podcast for long term, buy and hold investors. This is not a show for short term traders or people looking for quick wins. Every morning I go through the most important headlines in finance, markets, and macro, and call out fake narratives in the financial media so you know what actually deserves your attention and what to ignore. The goal is to own a portfolio...

Rigatoni Capital is a daily morning podcast for long term, buy and hold investors. This is not a show for short term traders or people looking for quick wins. Every morning I go through the most important headlines in finance, markets, and macro, and call out fake narratives in the financial media so you know what actually deserves your attention and what to ignore. The goal is to own a portfolio...

Oracle reported last night and the stock is jumping, CPI came in at 2.4% in line with expectations, and I walk through what both of those mean for the market and for long term investors. On Oracle, the numbers were strong across the board. Total revenue came in at $17.2 billion, up 22% year over year. Cloud revenue surged 44% and infrastructure revenue jumped 84%. The company also raised its fisca...

Today feels like a brief pause before the next wave hits. CPI data is coming and the market knows it, which means the volatility we have been living through is far from over. I go through what I am watching this morning and why I think the calm will be short lived. We cover oil prices, which remain elevated as the Iran war continues to grind on with no clear off ramp. I also break down the VIX. I...

Markets are under serious pressure this morning and I walk through exactly what I am watching and what I am doing as a long term investor. Panic is not a strategy. I go through the macro picture, the charts, and the key events ahead this week. Overnight, Iran named Mojtaba Khamenei, the 56-year-old son of the assassinated Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, as the country's new supreme leader. The As...