Real Vision: Finance & Investing

DB-Nov 15,2021: Dave Floyd, founder of Aspen Trading, joins Maggie Lake to talk about the U.S. dollar against the Canadian dollar, Austria’s enforcement on a lockdown on the unvaccinated, and why Boris Johnson, who until now has been resistant to more lockdowns, warns that one may soon be possible given the struggling NHS. Floyd discusses the implications of these European lockdowns on supply chai...

DB-Nov 12,2021: The government has engaged in endless borrowing and endless wasting since World War II, and at some point, according to the latest issue of Macro Link, we’ll have to meet the consequences of that. Consumer spending is at the lowest level in a decade, according to The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, which dropped to 66.8% in November. Over 4.4 million workers have q...

DB-Nov 11,2021: Elon Musk sells over 4.5 million Tesla shares this week after posting a poll on Twitter about whether he should unload a tenth of his stake in the company and spurring controversy about taxation of the ultra-wealthy. Meanwhile, Rivian’s IPO, one of the US’s largest since Facebook, lifts off with an almost $88 billion valuation at market close on Wednesday. The IPO’s positive recept...

DB-Nov 10,2021: There’s no question about it: inflation is not transitory. The latest Consumer Price Index revealed prices of everything except food and energy went up 4.6%, the quickest spike since August 1991. The CPI also showed a 6.2% surge from October last year. U.S. consumers are feeling the hike in energy prices—oil is at nearly $82 a barrel, and electricity bills are at the highest they’v...

DB-Nov09,2021:What’s going on with General Electric? After a decade of being only a shell of its former self, the manufacturing giant founded by Thomas Edison is splitting up into three separate companies, each focused on aviation, health care, and energy. Tony Greer discusses why U.S. stocks suspended the longest rally since 2017 amid surging treasuries and why the S&P 500 collapsed for the first...

DB-Nov 08,2021:The House passed a $1 trillion bipartisan infrastructure bill on Friday to revamp the country’s transportation, utilities, and broadband structures. Meanwhile, despite Friday’s positive news of the October jobs report, U.S. treasury bonds still fell. This happened after the Fed’s announcement earlier last week to begin tapering bond purchases by $15 billion a month. On Twitter, Elon...

DB-Nov 05,2021: We’re ringing in the holiday season with some good news: U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 531,000 in October, beating the estimate of 450,000. Spreading more cheer, unemployment fell to 4.6%, a new pandemic low. As more people head back outside and hit the gym, a jewel of the pandemic, Peloton, suffers major blows to its stock today, falling nearly 35%. Jim Bianco, president of...

DB-Nov 04,2021: The Fed announced their long-awaited taper to begin later this month with room for adjustment based on changes in the economic outlook. While the Fed focuses on keeping the inflation rate at 2%, the Bank of England’s market-defying announcement to hold rates steady at the 0.1% benchmark has investors scratching their heads over the Fed's position in this ultra-inflationary environm...

DB-Nov 03,2021: The FOMC meeting begins today as Fed officials come together to decide on the tapering of their asset purchase program. The economic recovery seems to be slowly but surely underway with the ADP survey for October demonstrating unexpected strength with a 571,000 gain in jobs and the ISM Services index showing rapid growth at 66.7%. Darius Dale, founder and CEO of 42 Macro, joins the...

DB-Nov 02,2021: Tony Greer is back on the Daily Briefing, this time discussing the events surrounding energy this week and the price action around oil, natural gas, uranium, and more. With COP26 underway in Scotland this week and next week, world leaders are discussing ways to fight climate change. So far, President Joe Biden has backed a plan to reduce methane emissions, one of the most harmful g...

DB-Nov 01,2021: Seasonal effects on the markets are in play with heightened volatility and earnings causing aggressive price movement across asset classes. Katie Stockton, CMT, founder of Fairlead Strategies, dives into the charts to examine tech, commodities, precious metals, and cryptocurrencies. With mega cap tech stocks such as Tesla, Apple, and Microsoft leading equity markets higher and oil’...

DB-Oct 29,2021: The Core PCE Index's rise of 3.6% is the latest inflation pressure that has the markets beat. Real Vision CEO and co-founder Raoul Pal joins to unpack the latest in the supply chain deterioration saga amid a weak labor market. With Facebook's latest announcement to change the company’s name to Meta, Raoul discusses why the metaverse is an entirely new layer of GDP with endless poss...

DB-Oct 28,2021: The last time Harry Melandri of MI2 Partners was on the Daily Briefing, he urged people to sell their Euro Dollars due to high inflation and a strengthening economy. Those factors continue to prevail, and Melandri says he expects inflation to soar higher and continue to apply pressure. Naked Wines, an online wine retailer in the U.K. that ships monthly wine subscriptions throughout...

DB-Oct27,2021: Orders for durable goods, big-ticket items that are meant to last over three years, have fallen 0.4% in September, the first decline since April of this year. This comes amid continuing labor shortages and increased material costs. General Motors and Boeing Co. specifically have felt the brunt of the supply chain issues with the releases of their quarterly earnings today, demonstrat...

DB-Oct26,2021: Earnings season continues with Microsoft, Twitter, Alphabet, Visa, and Robinhood due to release their reports today after market close. With the VIX also rising today, earnings thus far have beaten investor and analysts' expectations, lifting equities to all-time highs. Jared Dillian, editor of the Daily Dirtnap, maintains that it’s far too early to bet on a 180 move in inflation an...

DB-Oct25,2021: Markets are up as stocks rally across the board ahead of weeklong releases of earning reports from tech giants Facebook, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, and Apple. PayPal also jumped 2.6% after it backed away from acquiring Pinterest. In the crypto world, last week’s Bitcoin ETF’s created a record $1.5 billion inflow. Tony Greer joins us on Daily Briefing to discuss the state of the ma...

DB-Oct22,2021: Former President Donald Trump’s new social media company is skyrocketing on Wall Street, sparking speculation about whether this is the next meme stock. Meanwhile, current U.S. President Joe Biden backs away from hiking corporate taxes to fund his infrastructure and spending bill and is devising how to end the filibuster role in the Senate. Across the ocean in China, Evergrande is p...

DB-Oct21,2021: Tesla stock jumped midday after reporting better-than-expected Q3 earnings, a particularly commendable feat given the major supply chain issues plaguing several industries, while the Russell 2000 fell today in intraday trading. Notably, PayPal is shaking up the equities market with talks to acquire popular social media platform Pinterest. Tommy Thornton, founder of Hedge Fund Teleme...

DB-Oct20,2021: Bitcoin hits its all-time high at nearly $67,000 in intraday trading following the launch of the ProShares Bitcoin Futures ETF yesterday. VanEck may soon follow step with the launch of their own Bitcoin ETF as early as next week. Darius Dale, CEO and founder of 42 Macro, joins the Daily Briefing to break down Bitcoin's exuberant price action and the changes in his models that are le...

DB-Oct19,2021: After languishing for a decade, uranium prices are finally rising, which is now, in part, being driven up by enthusiastic, individual traders. Tony Greer of TG Macro joins to discuss how this resurgence of interest for the commodity will play out for the energy sector in light of also rising oil and natural gas prices. Greer also examines the price action of the newly launched ProSh...

DB-Oct 18,2021: Bitcoin continued to climb to all-time highs with ProShares planning to launch the first ever Bitcoin-linked ETF, which will track the Bitcoin futures market, tomorrow on the NYSE. Dave Floyd, founder of Aspen Trading, joins the Daily Briefing to examine the trading around Bitcoin since the ETF was announced and will share his perspective on how it will continue to influence its tr...

DB-Oct 15,2021: Amid supply chain issues and inflation fears, the crypto wave continues strong with Bitcoin topping $60,000, nearing a record high. Real Vision CEO and co-founder Raoul Pal discusses the massive arbitrage opportunity that the Bitcoin Futures ETF provides and what this means for the retail investor and the crypto industry as a whole. This week’s strong bank earnings triggered the ma...

DB-Oct 14,2021: With markets rallying across the board, Bank of America and Citigroup both reported stronger-than-expected results as the economy continues to improve. However, labor shortages persist. Thousands of workers at Deere & Co. went on strike Thursday for the first time in more than three decades to demand better pay. Even Domino’s is hurt by a worker shortage. Jack Farley and Ash Bennin...

DB-Oct 13,2021: September’s CPI report revealed that, as energy and food prices climbed, consumer prices rose 0.4%, pushing the year-over-year inflation to an uncomfortably hot 5.4%. Yield curves flattened after the CPI released with shorter-dated yields rising and longer-dated yields falling. Tech stocks are advancing while banks and energy stocks are faltering, including JP Morgan ($JPM) despite...

DB-Oct12,2021: Energy prices continue to jump higher, and global supply shortages continue to worsen just as the IMF now cuts their growth forecast to 5.9%, which is 0.1% lower than their July forecast and is rooted in growing inflationary concerns and the potential of tightening monetary policy. Tony Greer of TG Macro joins the Daily Briefing, diving into the energy sector and providing his outlo...