Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Stocks surged for a second straight day, with all three major U.S. equity indexes rising more than 2% on what seems to be rising hope the Federal Reserve will indeed pivot from its aggressively hawkish inflation-fighting stance. Meanwhile, OPEC+ is considering an output cut of more than a million barrels per day, a historic move that could push crude oil back toward the $100-per-barrel mark. With...

The Dow Jones Industrial Average led the three major U.S. equity indexes higher on the first Monday of October, rising more than 700 points and 2.5% by midday. That’s despite the fact the Institute of Supply Management’s gauge of factory activity slipped to 50.9 in September, its lowest print since May 2020. The U.S. housing market is also slowing rapidly, with median home prices now falling as fa...

Raoul Pal recently participated in a Portal Asset Management webinar to talk about the current macro environment, growing global recession fears, developments in the crypto market, and much more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Cheap valuations, realistic catalysts for earnings growth, and a relatively young, educated population have Maciej Wojtal feeling very bullish on Iran and its economy. Wojtal, the founder and chief investment officer of Amtelon Capital, joins Harry Melandri to explain his optimism about a nuclear deal and to make the investment case for Iranian stocks and the Iranian rial. Never miss an episode of...

Brent Donnelly has spent most of his life in markets. He got into forex while working for top-tier banks in the U.S. He traded the dot-com bubble with his own money. And he was at Lehman Brothers when it collapsed. In this special episode of My Life in 4 Trades, Brent shares with guest host Andreas Steno Larsen his perspective on trading, including the big regrets that became some of his best less...

The major equity indexes were mixed as of midday, a fair-to-middling session welcome relief from recent wild whipsaws. We also saw mixed inflation data: the personal consumption expenditure accelerated more than expected in August in the U.S., and eurozone prices surged a record 10% in September, though American consumers’ inflation expectations eased this month. Much of the broad market conversat...

These are complicated times. Inflation is riding a 40-year high, and nobody knows when this cycle is going to end. That’s why Real Vision is slashing Essential memberships by 59% – to give you access to the brightest minds in finance. Co-Founders Raoul Pal and Damian Horner and Senior Editor Ash Bennington break down everything we’re doing at Real Vision to bring clarity for investors and traders...

The British pound’s wild ride took another turn after the Bank of England intervened in the bond market on Thursday, reportedly due to potential pension-fund implosions. The pound is now down more than 20% against the U.S. dollar in 2022, last among global currencies and just ahead of the Japanese yen. “The market may bounce if it doesn't break,” tweeted Dale Pinkert, “and the bounce can continue...

We’ve seen what could very well be an act of war perpetrated beneath the Baltic Sea. We’re watching the crumbling in real time of one of the world’s oldest, longest-standing economic, political, and financial pillars. And Hurricane Ian is bearing down on a densely populated coastal region extremely vulnerable to storm surge, high winds, and other attendant threats. But the three major U.S. equity...

The word “sabotage” is in heavy rotation today, as the world wonders why natural gas is leaking from two pipelines that run under the Baltic Sea from Russia to Germany. This can only make things worse, on a basic energy supply-and-demand level as well as for the more complex geopolitical landscape. The major U.S. equity indexes opened in positive territory but turned negative early in the trading...

The British pound reached a record low, the People’s Bank of China stepped up its support for the yuan, the Bank of Japan defended its own intervention in defense of the yen, and every major currency in the world traded lower against the U.S. dollar today. Meanwhile, yields are spiking, particularly at the short end of the curve, and bonds are in their first bear market in 76 years. Should we be o...

For the past 45 years, Rick Rule has been investing and speculating in the natural resource industry. The president and CEO of Rule Investment Media and the chair of Equinox Gold joins Harry Melandri to talk about why he’s turning his focus to uranium. In short, Rick is taking a long view on a resource that could help solve what will soon be a global energy crisis. Never miss an episode of Next Bi...

Denise Shull, an expert decision coach at The ReThink Group, leverages her background in neuroscience and modern psychoanalysis to guide professional investors, traders, athletes, and entrepreneurs to maximum performance at times of high risk. In this special episode of My Life in Four Trades, Denise joins Maggie Lake to talk about the universal lessons drawn from the eclectic and unique career of...

With global markets on the edge and investors concerned about a multitude of extant financial and potential political headwinds, Maggie Lake welcomes back Raoul Pal for today’s Real Vision Daily Briefing. “Are markets breaking?” sounds hyperbolic. But U.K. debt is being re-priced as if it’s issued by something less than a third-world country. And foreign-exchange markets “are presently screaming g...

Mere hours after the Federal Reserve announced a third consecutive 75 basis point rate hike and reiterated its commitment to bringing inflation back to its 2% target, the Bank of Japan stuck to its ultra-low interest rate policy and intervened in foreign-exchange markets on behalf of the Japanese yen for the first time since 1998. Weston Nakamura joins Andreas Steno Larsen at the top of today’s Da...

The S&P 500 was on its way to a fifth consecutive “decision day” gain this afternoon – until a unanimous Federal Open Market Committee confirmed the market’s 100%-priced-in expectation of a 75-basis-point increase to the federal funds rate target range but firmly underscored its hawkish tone. Stocks turned red and yields surged at 2:00 p.m. ET, as the FOMC’s “dot plot” suggested another 125 basis...

The Federal Reserve is just one of 16 central banks making interest-rate decisions this week, but it is the most widely watched monetary policy body in the world. And its current path – errant though it may be – is having a profound effect on the global economy by pushing up the U.S. dollar. The most recent data on the U.S. housing market surprised to the upside, but it’s just one piece of the puz...

All three major U.S. equity indexes were essentially flat at the halfway point of Monday’s trading session, with attention squarely focused on the outcome of Tuesday’s and Wednesday’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting. As a 75-basis-point rate hike is a foregone conclusion, the main event will be Jerome Powell’s post-meeting press conference. Incoming data continue to suggest the economy is sl...

Warren Pies is overweight energy for multiple reasons. The founder of 3Fourteen Research joins Harry Melandri to make the bullish case for everything related to hydrocarbon extraction, production, and delivery to market, citing years of poor management and negative cash flow as the primary reasons the sector was discounted. Warren explains why high-quality energy stocks should have a place in any...

Andrew Rosener has always had an entrepreneurial spirit. As the founder and CEO of Media Options – the No. 1 media domain brokerage in the world – he’s responsible for some of the largest domain sales in history. In a captivating conversation, Andrew talks to Maggie Lake about how he’s remained at the tip of the spear in the digital asset realm. He also shares his worst trade and how he’s come to...

FedEx withdrew forward earnings guidance and CEO Raj Subramaniam warned of a “worldwide recession” on Friday, sounding another “risk off” signal and sending all three major U.S. indexes to declines of at least 1% two hours ahead of Friday’s close. Warren Pies, the founder of 3Fourteen Research, joins Maggie Lake for today’s Daily Briefing to talk about how a “worldwide recession” would impact part...

U.S. equity indexes traded mixed Thursday, as investors priced in murky economic data and the reality that Jerome Powell’s Federal Reserve shall not pivot from its inflation-fighting stance. “We think the CPI report was very important for the market,” said Eric Johnston, the Senior Managing Director and Head of Equity Derivatives and Cross Asset at Cantor Fitzgerald. “It showed that inflation does...

Markets achieved a relative calm today following yesterday’s steep sell-off, as investors continued to process hotter-than-expected August Consumer Price Index data and priced in expectations-meeting Producer Price Index data. What we have now, as Darius Dale sees it, is the transition from the Federal Reserve pushing back on “pivot” expectations to market participants accepting the implications o...

The Nasdaq Composite led equity indexes to the downside, Bitcoin followed suit in the crypto market, and the yield on the two-year U.S. Treasury note spiked in the aftermath of this morning’s release of Consumer Price Index data for August. Expectations-beating 8.3% annual and 0.1% monthly readings all but guarantee the Federal Open Market Committee will announce a third straight 75-basis-point ra...

The New York Federal Reserve’s monthly consumer survey showed expectations for inflation over the next 12 months declined to 5.75% in August from 6.2% in July, as investors await Tuesday’s release of Consumer Price Index data for more clues about the direction of U.S. monetary policy. Gordon Johnson, the founder of GLJ Research, joins Maggie Lake to talk about how the Federal Reserve will interpre...