RBN Energy
RBN Energy Blogcast
Accelerating energy market analytics through collaboration, networking and alliances
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Episodes
Return to Me - Increasing Gasoline Grade Differentials Draw Attention Back to the Octane Market 18.09.2025 12:21
The last three years have seen historic changes in the U.S. octane market. The wholesale value of octane, the primary yardstick of gasoline quality and price, spiked threefold in 2022, followed by another year of high values in 2023. The numbers for 2024 and (so far) 2025 have been more stable, but still historically high. In today’s RBN blog, we look at why retail octane values have risen so high...
Let's Wait Awhile - E&Ps Worried About Oil Prices Keep Spending in Check as Acquisitions Boost Output 17.09.2025 15:19
Although Labor Day has passed, most of the country is still enjoying balmy and relatively tranquil weather as we approach the onset of fall. However, a decline in crude oil prices since a mid-June peak has induced a profound chill in the boardrooms of oil and gas producers. Investors are becoming increasingly nervous as the crude spot price approaches $60/bbl, a widely accepted inflection point th...
Apples and Oranges - In Midstream Space, a Medley of Natgas and Produced Water M&A and IPOs 16.09.2025 11:17
This summer, like the spring, winter and fall that preceded it, has seen a lot of dealmaking among midstreamers. And not just M&A and divestitures by the folks who gather, transport and process hydrocarbons but a major acquisition — and a rare IPO! — in the produced water slice of the midstream pie. Apples and oranges, maybe, but there are two common themes, namely that bigger is better and th...
God Blessed Texas - Proposed Data Centers in Texas Would Be Enormous, But How Many Will Be Built? 15.09.2025 11:44
The data center boom is sweeping across the country and Texas has garnered more proposals for new centers than almost any other state. If every planned project were to go forward, it would mean nearly 9 gigawatts (GW) of additional electricity demand, or just over 1 Bcf/d of natural gas. That’s enough to power the entire country of Switzerland. In today’s RBN blog, we’ll check out the biggest plan...
Don't Worry, Be Happy - NGL Markets Relying on the Permian Ask, What If Crude Production Is Peaking? 12.09.2025 9:04
OPEC+ is ramping up production, WTI is hanging below $65/bbl, and Permian crude oil production growth has slowed to a crawl, raising the question of whether oil output in the U.S.’s #1 shale play might, in fact, be peaking. That’s making some folks on the NGL side of things a little skittish. They’re wondering what a leveling off — or an outright decline — in Permian crude production would mean fo...
Do Ya Think I‘m Waxy? - A New Drill Down Report on Waxy Crude Production in the Uinta Basin 11.09.2025 9:54
Oil and gas producers’ interest in each of the U.S.’s shale and tight-rock production areas has waxed and waned over the past quarter century or so. First it was the Barnett Shale, the birthplace of the Shale Revolution in the late 1990s. Then came the Fayetteville, Haynesville, Marcellus/Utica, Eagle Ford, Bakken, Permian, Denver-Julesburg (DJ) and SCOOP/STACK. And, as always, E&Ps are lookin...
Get Together - Alberta Oil Sands Consolidation Fires Up With Cenovus-MEG Merger — Maybe! 10.09.2025 15:14
Merger activity this year has been frequent in Canada’s oil and gas sector as companies strive for scale and efficiencies in an increasingly competitive landscape. The latest M&A salvo arrived in late August when MEG Energy agreed to a takeover offer from Cenovus Energy to create the largest bitumen producer in Alberta’s oil sands. With billions of barrels of reserves up for development, it is...
Unpredictable - U.S. Refiners Must Adapt to Complex, Shifting Forces to Thrive in Today's Market 09.09.2025 10:53
The refining industry is complex and unpredictable. Recent plant closures in the U.S. and abroad, as well as mounting pressure to produce more renewable diesel (RD) and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), have shifted the landscape. In addition, an eight-year battle over CITGO’s three U.S. refineries has taken a new direction. Despite these shifts, the refining industry has remained resilient. In tod...
Two of Us - U.S., Canadian Energy Market Connections More Critical Than Ever Amid Rapid Changes 05.09.2025 11:12
North America is an integrated energy market so deeply connected that it functions as one massive, interdependent system for the three “drillbit hydrocarbons”: crude oil, natural gas and NGLs. But the rapid changes happening in the market now — driven not only by supply/demand dynamics and evolving infrastructure but also regulatory policies and political pressures — mean it’s more important than...
Won't Get Fooled Again - Forecasting Texas/Louisiana Data Center Demand for Natural Gas 04.09.2025 15:03
Which is true, A or B? (A) Data center demand to power AI applications is the most transformative force to hit energy markets in years, or (B) This is one of the most overhyped, inflated narratives ever. We hear a constant stream of announcements, promotions and proclamations from developers, tech giants, utilities and politicians, many predicting a revolutionary surge in electricity and gas deman...
Zero Sum Game - U.S. E&Ps Tilt Cash Allocation to Maintain Solid Balance Sheets as Cash Flows Ebb 03.09.2025 13:13
For most of us, matching spending with income is the logical path to financial stability. However, after decades of aggressive investment in search of growth, the “dollars in equals dollars out” method of allocating free cash flow has been an adjustment for many U.S. oil and gas producers. Their post-pandemic concentration on keeping capital spending well below inflows, maintaining healthy leverag...
Don't Stop Believin' - The Push to Enable Higher Appalachian Gas Flows Into North Carolina 02.09.2025 11:52
After a decade of regulatory and legal challenges, Mountain Valley Pipeline (MVP) finally came into service in the middle of last year. The 2-Bcf/d pipeline — soon to be expanded to 2.5 Bcf/d via additional compression — was designed to ease natural gas takeaway constraints out of the Marcellus/Utica and help production there break past its current plateau near 36 Bcf/d, but bottlenecks on the mas...
The Dog Days Are Over - U.S. Refiners Could Benefit from Struggles Refineries Are Facing Abroad 29.08.2025 12:50
Refineries in Europe, Latin America, Russia and China are facing a host of issues that could ultimately benefit U.S. refiners. Europe has high operating costs and political pressures. Attacks have damaged Russia’s refineries, and the country continues to get blasted with steeper sanctions. China’s aging plants are closing and there are no new large-scale projects on the horizon. Latin America lags...
Wrong Road Again - U.S. E&P Earnings Resume Slide in Q2 2025 After Promising Start to Year 28.08.2025 12:45
U.S. interstates are populated with electronic displays that update drivers in real-time on traffic conditions, road closures, weather alerts and other important events. If there was a sign for executives steering our nation’s oil and gas producers, it would likely read “Poor Visibility, Slow Down Ahead.” After a short-lived price rally in Q1 2025, the industry faced lower commodity realizations a...
We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together - Upstream Divestitures in the Wake of Big-Dollar M&A 27.08.2025 12:44
The fact is, many major E&P acquisitions include at least some production assets that don’t align with the acquiring company’s long-term strategic plans. Also, it’s often true that big-dollar M&A increases the buyer’s debt level — and it’s typical in such cases that the company commits to quickly reducing its debt through the divestiture of non-core assets. As we discuss in today’s RBN blo...
By the Time I Get to Phoenix - Energy Transfer to Take Permian Gas West on Transwestern Expansion 26.08.2025 10:29
Midstreamers developing natural gas takeaway capacity out of the Permian have understandably focused on pipelines to the Gulf Coast — and along the coast to LNG export terminals and other big gas consumers. But don’t forget the Desert Southwest, where demand for gas-fired power is soaring. Energy Transfer recently committed to building a 516-mile, 1.5-Bcf/d expansion to its Transwestern Pipeline s...
What Happened in Wyoming - Crude Differentials Tighten at Guernsey as Demand Rises, Production Ebbs 22.08.2025 11:18
In the U.S., crude oil trading hubs like Houston, Midland and Cushing get the lion’s share of the market’s attention. But travel a bit further north and you can find one of the more unusual and liquid crude markets in the country — Guernsey, WY — a focal point for producers in Western Canada, North Dakota, Wyoming, Utah and Colorado. Over the last few months, Guernsey differentials have tightened...
Finding My Way - Canada's Pitch on Data Centers Focuses on Hydropower, Natural Gas Resources 21.08.2025 9:06
As demand for data centers accelerates, developers continue to search for locations that offer the best combination of several factors, starting with the availability of uninterrupted (and affordable) power. Those variables have led to a data-center buildout in several parts of the U.S., such as Northern Virginia, Texas and California’s Silicon Valley, but Canada has its own set of positives to lu...
Can't Hold Back - Cactus I and II Pipelines Remain Key to Corpus Christi's Role as Crude Export Hub 20.08.2025 13:20
The original Cactus Pipeline was a pioneer in moving large volumes of crude oil from the Permian and the Eagle Ford to the Corpus Christi area, which quickly became a leader in U.S. crude exports. Cactus II, an even longer and larger pipeline that came online in H2 2019, only added to Corpus Christi’s export prominence. But the competition with Permian-to-Houston pipelines is fiercer than ever and...
Little Things Mean a Lot - Leak at ECHO Terminal Highlights Crude Market Sensitivity 19.08.2025 11:01
A crude oil leak last Tuesday at the Enterprise Crude Houston (ECHO) terminal disrupted regional flows and caused crude differentials to move higher over the course of the week. While the spill was swiftly addressed by terminal owner Enterprise Products Partners, it still affected inbound and outbound operations for a few days. In today’s RBN blog, we discuss the role of the ECHO terminal and...
The Race Is On – The Efforts to Develop More Crude Oil Pipeline Capacity From Alberta to Cushing 18.08.2025 9:49
A few months ago, Enbridge unveiled its plans to expand its massive Mainline and smaller Express/Platte crude oil pipeline systems into the U.S. Midwest/Great Plains. We blogged about those plans, and followed up with a look at how the incremental volumes of Western Canadian crude on the Mainline and Express/Platte might move south from PADD 2 to where they’re wanted most: the Gulf Coast. In today...
Anticipation - For Smaller Midstreamers, Betting on What's Needed Next Is the Key to Success 15.08.2025 11:29
The build-out of the Permian’s midstream infrastructure over the past 10 years has created extraordinary opportunities for startup companies, most of them backed by private equity. Each of us could cite several examples of midstreamers that, with a combination of guile and grit, developed gathering systems, gas processing plants, pipelines and other infrastructure to serve the fast-growing needs o...
Helter Skelter - Wave of LNG FIDs and Data Center Mania Spur a Flood of Gas Pipeline Projects 14.08.2025 13:15
Odds are there’s never been a busier, more frantic time for natural-gas-related infrastructure development in Texas and Louisiana than right now. Construction is underway or imminent at no fewer than seven Gulf Coast LNG export terminals with a combined capacity of 16 Bcf/d.
Us and Them - U.S. Refiners to Remain Global Leaders, but Prospects Vary Widely by Region 13.08.2025 16:24
The U.S. refining industry has undergone a number of changes in recent years and more turbulence looks likely as global economic and trade patterns shift and energy transition moves forward. For some refineries, this has led to closures due to weak profits, rising regulatory costs and declining demand for products, particularly gasoline. But other refineries have prospered — and even invested in e...
I Know Places - Tech Giants May Be the Surest Bets for Data Center Power Demand 12.08.2025 15:30
Data centers are a buzzy topic in the energy industry, and while there is still a lot of fuzziness about what will actually get built and how much natural-gas-fired power will be needed to support these projects, there’s no doubt that major technology companies are well along in planning a number of massive data centers across the country. In today’s RBN blog, we’ll offer a snapshot of the plans a...
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