QAV Investing Podcast (Free Edition)

This week we’re talking about our top three stocks from last week (PRU, BFG, CVL), SHJ (the quiet sleeper), why you shouldn’t innovate until you’re a QAV black belt, why we should NOT filter Price-to-Operating Cash Flow < 7 (whoops), and why Rule #1 is important. In the Club edition, we talk about the stocks of the week (WGX, ABA), the failed GCY acquisition (by WGX), the mistakes Tony heard on an...

This week we’re congratulating Brett and Rowan on their performance, talking about KPT turning into KIL, ZGL’s sudden collapse, new ANZ numbers, the iron ore chart fudge, our top three performing stocks from last week, Tony’s stock tips of the week (IMA and AMI), whether we should hold for a minimum of 12 weeks, GCY’s PE history, what Level 5 of QAV might look like, explaining the flat bottom rule...

This week we feature an interview with Louise Bedford, aka Candlestick Queen, author and Founder of Talking Trading. We chat with Louise about why there aren’t more women in investing, how to use candlesticks, and what it takes to be a long-term successful investor. In our club edition, we also talk about the three top performing stocks in our portfolio last week, talk more about market open price...

We talk about AIS starting to get coverage, the COG chart (again), our stock tip performance, our portfolio update, Charlie Munger speaking at Sohn Hearts &#038; Minds, the SXL chart, the ASX200 average Price:CashFlow, lumber is a 3PTL buy, changes to the checklist, copper is a buy again, and SFR is our Stock Of The Week. In the Club episode: platinum is a buy again, Tony sold HLS and bought NAB,...

This week we talk about hydrogen futures, the MOZ graph, our portfolio performance, selling MTO, our stock tip performance, Tony’s new idea to replace the 3PTL, GCY back on the buy list, CTP, IDZ’s qualified audit, mixed commodity miners, MMS, CLX, EHL. In the Club edition, we discuss the ethics of buying coal stocks, using a 25 day moving average, the timing for 3PTL sells, Tony's thoughts on Ell...

This week we introduce the “Gladys” graph and the “Napoleon” line. We talk about our stocks of the week (NHC, CVW), the doom and gloom in the global markets and how to use QAV to stay sane, the MYR collapse, how to calculate the sell line for SDG post-dividend, and the charts for AMI, BSE. In the Club Edition, we also talk about when to buy back into iron ore stocks like FMG, STO sentiment and oil...

This week we chat about MYR (Tony’s pulled pork), MHJ (our small cap stock of the week), live cattle futures, FMG as a challenger buy, ATL’s price increase, MWY back on the list, selling off the banks, using Sparklines and Excel’s STOCKHISTORY, discounting one-off cashflow events, getting back in to commodity sells, investing in businesses with mostly intangible assets, how to tell if Stockdoctor...

We chat with James Williamson, value investor, and Founder, Executive Director &#038; Chief Investment Officer at Wentworth Williamson Management. We also talk about Brett’s new 3PTL tool, Gary’s terrific QAV-based paper returns on Strawman, MYE fatality and price drop, ZGL price update, FMG - huge drop, execs leaving in droves, CVW financials in SD, handling some tricky flatline graphs, Corporate...

This week on QAV we talk about Bloody Thursday, James’ great QAV results, how Navexa calculates portfolio returns, Buffett’s global market indicator, CVW hiring investment bankers, CCV’s new QAV score, audit reports still coming out, ATL’s audit, lobbying ASIC about 4E statements, Josephines being due to dividend drops, Munger’s “always invert” lesson, Tony’s pulled pork is AIS, James asks about m...

Tony reports on his recent analysis on companies that go from a negative cashflow to a positive cashflow; Tony has been trying to find a place where a qualified audit is recorded that makes them easier to find than having to scroll through the annual report; GLE’s results are out and their shares are up; Speaking of scorecards, we’re publishing our first official scorecard since getting our AFSL t...

This week we have some big news, talk about some minor errors we’ve fixed in the checklist and bible, then Tony does a pulled pork on COG, we explain ASX’s cash flow anomaly from last week, Tony talk about some recent regression testing he has done on selling when the QAV score hits 0.5 and on using ROE in our checklist, Shell scenario planning frameworks, whether or not we should discount sentime...

This week we pull the pork on EHL, and talk about JBH, QBE, copper, AMP, Warren Buffett’s goat, URW, SWM, HUM, RMS, BHP, ASX, BFG, MIL, ASB, MHJ, we chat with young investor Lachie Duncan, and answer a bunch of your questions.

On this episode we talk about finding ASX300 stocks, CGF is the pulled pork, range trading, buying and selling during reporting season, Rule #2, calculating portfolio returns for volatile portfolios, natural gas, palladium, nickel and aluminium stocks, taking quality of management into consideration, the CBA off market buy back, the MXI 5:1 consolidation, sell lines for stocks going ex-dividend an...

Today Tony is talking a lot about commodity prices and what their decline means for our portfolio. Iron ore, gold, copper and platinum are all in decline. We also talk about the “Dogs of QAV” model, SKT, RIO, CBA, DSK, Superhero's performance issues, and explain what a “Josephine” is.

This week we talk about why MML crashed after it announced its quarterly results. How Tony uses “Rule #1” to avoid losing money. Lots of interesting things going on with oil at the moment. How mergers and acquisitions can be a signal of late market cycle behaviour. Why FMG’s huge dividend payout is a signal of things changing with the company. RIO’s results in Stock Doctor. How Tony updates his sc...

This week we talk about MIL’s “Emphasis of Matter”, MXI’s trading halt, MTO’s sell line, MML’s sell line, ABA’s buy line, WWG’s QAV score, investing in QAV to build up a deposit for a property, Tony’s pulled pork is HZN, CBA’s sell line, MQG’s sell line, the oil price’s sell line, ANZ’s sell line, tailwinds, using EV/EBITDA, XRO’s sell line, how Tony defines an uptick, and our guest today (club ed...

Amendments to the 3PTL wording in the bible; how to calculate performance of a volatile portfolio; creating wealth by gearing a property; updating your 3PTL alerts; the pulled pork on SUN; sell lines for banks and other stocks with high QAV scores; KRM is stopping gold production, what does that mean for investors; C6C has dropped, when do we sell?

Another long episode (1.5 hours)! We talk about our performance vs the top funds; Buffett’s ABCs; Why TK bought gold miners over retailers last week; the idea of a “second peak”; HUM’s exposure to Forum Finance; the performance of the 2017 Dogs; a deep dive on MML and MIL; how Rule #1 works; how TK would invest if he was 25 again; whether or not I should sell MYR; copper physical vs futures; and h...

This week we discuss our EOFY result (48%); decide to sell VUK again; MYR and Solly Lew; SOTW is GRR; the Sell price for BCN; contrarian investor Michael O’Higgins’s ‘Dogs of the Dow’ strategy; Duncan and The Mystery of The Reducing Scores; the Copper and Coal commodity prices; the chart for SUL; how to understand IMA’s market depth report; Magellan’s intention to transition its High Conviction Tr...

A massive two hour episode (for club members) this week! We talk about Gary’s Strawman results, a final portfolio update for the FY, Tony’s SOTW (BCN), Dylan the Intern’s latest modelling on flatlines, the chart for MIL, why we sold ATL, lots of questions about using Simple Moving Averages, thoughts on DSK, why Buffett still owns Coke, and then we finish with an interview with club member James Ol...

With the ASX in free fall, we talked about ATL’s sell line, selling VUK, some new stocks to hit my scorecard, including CLX, NGE, VTG and SHJ, Tony’s SOTW (KSC), comparing using MACD as a charting tool to the 3PTL, more thinking about how to use the new flatline rule, how to use indicators to pick a conservative stop loss, routines for maintaining a portfolio, and the Woolworths demerger.

We debate the 3PTLs for ATL and AGD, talk about the recent jumps in price for AIS and CGS, the ANZ price, the lag in dividend payments, the results of Tony’s recent analysis of the performance of dividend stocks in the QAV portfolio, why fudge is science, the poultry price on indexmundi, how to manually replace the SD financial health rating, some formula changes to the the TK Master Spreadsheet,...

We chat with James Holt, Director, Investment Solutions at Perpetual, then get into news and Q&#038;A. This week Tony answers your questions about how companies set their share price for a float, the application of Rule #1 vs. waiting for the sell line, shares that don’t seem to register any trade movements, how to build a QAV portfolio more weighted to dividend paying stocks, whether or not to el...

This week we’re talking about why we sold MRC and bought ATL; FMG is down and Tony’s current thinking about commodity 3PTLs; why we’re taking ETFs and LICs out of QAV; late stage market behaviour; SOTW; why we allow stocks in the scorecard with a quality score below 75%; why HUM is on the scorecard; if Myer is a Schrodinger; Ray Dalio’s thoughts on the stage of the market and how it applies to QAV...