Predictable Media

Predictable with Stu Burguiere

News EN ↓ 441 episodes

Predictable with Stu Burguiere is a smarter, more useful way to follow the news, using prediction markets to break down what’s happening, why it’s happening and where it’s likely going next.

Be sure to visit the podcast's website and support the creator: predictable.substack.com

Author

Predictable Media

Category

News

Podcast website

predictable.substack.com

Latest episode

Oct 27, 2026

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Episodes

Are Bad Actors Using Prediction Markets to MANIPULATE Reality?! 27.10.2026

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere debunks the idiotic claim that prediction markets are being used to manipulate real life events and force ill-gained profits. Then, Stu examines the latest in the Vivek Ramaswamy campaign ad controversy and ponders why nobody is losing their minds over a similar Lindsay Graham ad from the left. Plus, what happens when the sports and prediction...

The GOP’s LAST CHANCE For Midterms Redemption 26.10.2026

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere reveals the one last underdiscussed factor that could salvage the GOP’s chances in the upcoming November midterm elections. Then, Stu examines the latest out of Brazil as Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva wins the presidential election over opponent Flávio Bolsonaro and breaks down what lessons we can learn about a vital topic in the investment space:...

The Midterm Debates Get HEATED 22.10.2026

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere reacts to some of the spiciest moments from last night’s political debates in Michigan and Kansas. And, friend-of-the-program Dan Andros joins to draft his NBA fantasy team and maybe talk a little smack on LeBron James.

Are We Overlooking a MAJOR Factor in our Midterm Calculations?? 21.10.2026

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere reveals a major potential issue that EVERYONE might be missing when it comes to investing in the midterm elections. Then, Stu looks at the crazy breaking story about a popular pollster being exposed as a fake leftwing booster project. And, Stu defends the castle of the prediction market industry against yet another idiotic attack from the main...

The Countdown Is ON: Two Weeks Until Crucial Midterm Elections 20.10.2026

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down the state of the race for both the Senate and Gubernatorial candidates in the United States and analyzes what exactly the prediction markets are telling us to expect about the outcome. Then, a new NBA season is upon us; Stu previews what’s to come and dives into LeBron James’s upcoming start with his new team, the Philadelphia 76er...

PANIC DAY: What Level of Freak-Out is Appropriate for YOUR Investments? 19.10.2026

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere faces PANIC DAY head-on and explains how to make the most of your prediction market investments as we get closer to what appears to be a disastrous midterm election season. Then, Stu shares his “Prediction Pain” over the extremely-short tenure of former Trump administration Press Secretary Katie Zacharia. Plus, a prediction market-based story...

FINAL Pre-Panic Day Senate Board Check-In (NO TOSS-UPS) 15.10.2026

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere does one FINAL check-in on the state of the Senate before this upcoming Monday’s PANIC DAY and rearranges his Senate board to get rid of any lingering toss-up race options. Then, legendary prediction market trader PMT returns to the show to detail his investment and profit plans for the midterm elections in November. And Stu breaks down a mark...

The One MAJOR Midterms Issue that Could Flip the Election on its Head 14.10.2026

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere reacts to the newest inflation report and breaks down whether or not it’s too late to get gas prices under control and put the GOP back on track to prevail in November’s midterms. Then, Dan Andros is back to help build his own Predictable w/ Stu Senate Fantasy League team. And Stu weighs the recent federal raid on Ilhan Omar’s home against her...

What Midterm Money Movement Predicts About Upcoming Election Results 13.10.2026

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down the latest polling and markets on James Talarico and makes the case for taking the smart investment on the race as opposed to being led astray by emotion and fear. Then, a look into the GOP’s recent financial movement as certain races around the nation are stripped of cash while Elon Musk is making massive monetary injections in ce...

Funding Your Prediction Market Wallet with the SENATE FANTASY LEAGUE 12.10.2026

On today’s “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere explains how you can fill your prediction market wallet by joining and playing in our brand new Senate Fantasy League! Then, a new edition of “Predictable Postmortem” featuring Donald Trump’s new press secretary and the WNBA’s Sixth Player of the Year. And, Stu learns to hedge his life when it comes to the Philadelphia Eagles.

The Republican FREAK OUT Index 08.10.2026

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down the states whose Republican Party should be freaking out the most about the upcoming midterm elections and outlines the criteria that will ultimately affect voter opinion the most. Then, David “Scottilicious” Bensoussan returns to the program to give an expert prediction market trader’s view on what to expect in November.

What the Polls and Prediction Markets Tell Us About the (Near) Future (Midterms) 07.10.2026

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down the most recent Senate and Gubernatorial polling for the upcoming midterms while comparing and contrasting how the data lines up with what the prediction market world is saying. Then, BlazeTV’s Steve Deace joins for an on-the-ground look at Iowa’s political situation and a more general conversation on November’s big election. Plus,...

Does Abdul El-Sayad REALLY Have a Shot in Michigan Senate Race? 06.10.2026

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere tallies up the most recent polls, prediction market data and breaking news to make a determination on whether or not Abdul El-Sayad REALLY has a shot at becoming the United States Senator from Michigan. Then, an extremely unique edition of “Candidate Countdown!” should make a few waves with the audience. Plus, an in-depth look at the biases th...

There MIGHT Be Some Hope Left for GOP in the Midterms 05.10.2026

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere looks into a few brand-new polls that might suggest Republicans have a few silver linings left in the black cloud that has become the 2026 midterms. Then, Stu examines an interesting new media strategy coming from Angela and Ken Paxton in Texas. Plus, today’s “Candidate Countdown” ventures into the bayou for a race out of Louisiana! And, Stu h...

The UNDERCOVER Election: Party ID Goes ROGUE for the Midterms 01.10.2026

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere examines our unintentional theme from our shows this week: Republicans and Democrats seem to be running in record numbers as the opposite party or as straight-up independents. What could this mean for the integrity of our elections and what effect is it having on the prediction markets? Then, new economic polling could mean more trouble for th...

The Latest Midterms RED ALERT Hits the GOP 30.09.2026

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down the latest major warning sign for Republicans in the midterm elections and compares it to what the prediction markets are saying about November. Then, a new edition of “Candidate Countdown” focuses in on a small, but important, New Jersey House race. And Stu reacts to the news that Adam Kinzinger is being investigated for predictio...

Oh Look, Another Race We Were TOTALLY Ahead of the Curve On! 29.09.2026

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere takes a look at the state of the midterm elections as we hit the five-weeks-away mark and breaks down some of the newest polling and prediction market info on the race for Los Angeles mayor between incumbent Karen Bass and Democratic Socialist Nithya Raman. Then, a new edition of “Candidate Countdown!” focusing on an independent in Nebraska. A...

The Rise of the FAKE Independents & Senate Balance Check 28.09.2026

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere reveals the latest on his Predictable Midterm Consensus and breaks down what the Senate makeup could look like post-election season in November. Plus, an investigation into how so-called “Independent” candidates are affecting the polls in several states around the country. Then, Mick Bransfield of Kingston Chase Consulting joins for a look at...

You Won’t Believe this MAJOR Twist in Critical Senate Race 24.09.2026

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down a crazy twist in one of this November’s major Senate races and theorizes on whether or not this show is cursed and responsible. Then, another edition of “Candidate Countdown!”... this time out of Illinois. And Brent Evans joins to talk about some of his favorite market investments involving the NFL and professional golf.

When Is the Right Time for MIDTERMS PANIC?! 23.09.2026

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere takes a logical and dispassionate look at the November midterms and zeroes in on which exact day is the right one for conservatives and Republicans to truly start panicking. Then, a new edition of “Candidate Countdown!” out of Alaska. And, Stu goes over a market he “kinda likes” regarding Nathen Fielder’s wild new documentary on Theranos found...

The GOP’s BEST-CASE Scenario for Midterms EXPLAINED 22.09.2026

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere outlines the best-case scenario for Republicans to emerge victorious from the midterm elections this November, and what the prediction markets are hinting at as we get closer to voting day. Then, Jesse Rosen and Tanner Lux from the Predict2026 conference join the program to outline what their New York City event will contain this coming Decemb...

The Republicans STRIKE BACK! 21.09.2026

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere reveals the GOP’s plans to turn their approach to the midterms around and checks in on the markets to analyze the viability of their plans. Then, it’s a brand new edition of “Candidate Countdown!”... this time out of Ohio. Plus, Stu breaks down a couple of markets he ‘kinda likes’ including ones involving Kamala Harris’s 2028 plans and the MLB...

The Senate Midterms Info You NEED to Maximize Your Election Investment Value! 17.09.2026

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere reveals his long-awaited midterm election GUT CHECK for the Senate. Then, Dan Andros joins to react to those predictions and teams up with Stu for a special edition of “Candidate Countdown!”... this time out of Maine.

Sydney Sweeney & Lebron James: When Prediction Markets and Celebs Collide! 16.09.2026

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere looks at the prediction market industry through the lens of culture and examines the LeBron James / Polymarket situation as well as actress Sydney Sweeney and her provocative deal (and advertisement) with Novig. Then, Stu heads to Minnesota for today’s “Candidate Countdown!” Plus, Stu analyzes what the market has to say about potential 2028 pr...

The Shocking Senate Market FLIP That Nobody Saw Coming! 15.09.2026

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down the recent polling and market flip of the Senate from Republican favor to Democrat and finds the value opportunities hidden in the chaos. Then, today’s edition of “Candidate Countdown!” features a major race out of New York. Plus, Stu “Defends the Castle” against bad faith takes on investing in prediction markets and the many major...

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