Podcasts from Tricio Investment Advisors

John Calverley, Tricio's Chief Economist, discussed our latest Economics for Investment outlook. We cover tariffs, the Mar-a-Lago accord and potential risks and opportunities in equity and bond markets!

John Calverley, Tricio's Chief Economist, speaks with Gerry Celaya, Tricio's Chief Strategist, about the uncertainty surrounding the FX market at the moment. We talk Fed, BoE, BoJ, BoC and Trump tariffs! We also note that our USD forecasts have done well so far as the 'sell the fact' trade is unfolding, more ahead?

John Calverley, Tricio's Chief Economist, speaks with Gerry Celaya, Tricio's Chief Strategist about FX markets. It has been a volatile start to the year, and it is likely to continue!

John Calverley, Tricio's Chief Economist, speaks with Gerry Celaya, Tricio's Chief Strategist, about the US economic outlook under Trump II and the FX outlook for 2025. Embrace the chaos may be our mantra for the coming year!

Tricio's Chief Economist John Calverley speaks with Gerry Celaya, Tricio's Chief Strategist, about FX markets ahead of a slew of US data, the UK Budget and the US election.

Tricio's Chief Economist, John Calverley, speaks with Gerry Celaya, Tricio's Chief Strategist, about FX markets after the Fed's big rate cut. We talk EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY and our outlook for the CNY.

Tricio's Chief Economist, John Calverley, discusses his outlook for the Fed's terminal rate with Gerry Celaya, Tricio's Chief Strategist. As the Fed is set to start their rate cut cycle, where might fed funds end up at the end of the process? Inflation, growth, China, commodity prices, bond yields and equity market valuations are all in play!

Tricio's Chief Economist, John Calverley, discusses the potential implications of the Democrats sweeping the upcoming election with Gerry Celaya, Tricio's Chief Strategist. We also talk about food price caps and budget deficits!

Tricio's Chief Economist, John Calverley, speaks with Gerry Celaya, Tricio's Chief Strategist, about the big yen move that saw our 3-month USD/JPY target met in a few weeks! We also discuss our Fed, ECB, BoE and BoJ rate move expectations and outlooks for major FX rates. Will Cable meet our $1.40+ 12-month outlook?

Tricio's Chief Economist, John Calverley, speaks with Gerry Celaya, Tricio's Chief Strategist, about currency markets after the Bank of Canada, ECB and SNB rate cuts. The focus is on when the Fed may lower rates, and will the BoJ nudge rates higher again in July?

Tricio's Chief Economist, John Calverley, speaks with Gerry Celaya, Tricio's Chief Strategist, about the upcoming Bank of Canada, ECB, Fed, BoJ, BoE and SNB meetings and the chances of anything happening!

Tricio's Chief Economist, John Calverley, speaks about his outlook for the UK economy and the implications for the Bank of England. Rate cut in the summer and more before the end of the year?

Tricio's Chief Economist, John Calverley, speaks with Gerry Celaya, Tricio's Chief Strategist, about the 'hot' CPI reading seen in the US this week and what this means for our Fed outlook.

This podcast is our 14 March 2024 webinar which we hope that many of you enjoyed. For those that couldn't make it, John Calverley, Tricio's Chief Economist, and Gerry Celaya, Tricio's Chief Strategist, discuss elections, rate moves and FX outlooks.

Tricio's Chief Economist, John Calverley, discusses with Gerry Celaya, Tricio's Chief Strategist, how the current bout of USD strength may not persist in 2024. We look at the EUR/USD. USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CNY and even the TRY!

Tricio's Head of Investment Solutions, James Chu, has a fascinating chat with Steven Goldin, a founding partner of Parala Capital. They discuss the benefits and potential pitfalls of portfolio theory and asset allocation along with the difference between beta and alpha and some of the things to look out for in fund manager selection.

Tricio's Chief Economist, John Calverley, talks central banks, economic activity and inflation with Gerry Celaya, Tricio's Chief Strategist as we look forward to 2024! We also talk about previous 'Goldilocks' scenarios in US Fed history and wonder if 2024 will be a very volatile year for FX markets!

Tricio's Chief Economist, John Calverley, discusses the outlook for the US, Eurozone, UK, Japanese and Chinese economies. Rate differentials have been a driver for FX moves in 2023 and are likely to be key in 2024. Will our weaker USD outlook vs. the major FX rates work in 2024?

In this podcast John Calverley, Tricio's Chief Economist, speaks with Gerry Celaya, Tricio's Chief Strategist, about US bond yields. We discuss why they shot higher in late summer trading, and why we think bond yields may be near their peak for this cycle. 6% or 4% in the US 10-yr. note yield next quarter?

In this podcast John Calverley, Tricio's Chief Economist, discusses our Focus report that reviews key themes and our calls from 2020-2023. We did really well in some markets, ok in others, and could improve on a couple! You can read our report at https://808b5dca-ad61-4b76-be81-433fb036dc35.usrfiles.com/ugd/825b1d_652ac225618941e884a5e477961c2540.pdf

Tricio's Chief Economist, John Calverley, discusses the Fed and currencies with Gerry Celaya, Tricio's Chief Strategist. A busy central bank calendar looms from mid-August to late September, what will this mean for the USD? China slowdown risk is a factor as well, and the Fed may need to account for the US economy showing strength and inflation remaining above their target rate.

The Fed paused, the ECB hiked, the BoE is up next. John Calverley, Tricio's Chief Economist, and Gerry Celaya, Chief Strategist, discuss rates and currency outlooks. We also discuss our pinpoint accurate forecast for the EUR/USD from June 2022!

Ahead of the slew of central bank meetings coming up James Chu, Tricio's Head of Investment Solutions, John Calverley, Tricio's Chief Economist, and Gerry Celaya, Tricio's Chief Strategist, discuss what to expect. We also discuss the direction of the USD this year, the role of the USD as a reserve currency and gold - love it, hate it, wear it?

James Chu, Head of Investment Solutions at Tricio, leads a discussion on ultralong bond duration and convexity. John Calverley, Tricio's Chief Economist, and Gerry Celaya, Tricio's Chief Strategist, look at the role that bonds play in a portfolio, the return of 60/40 and the potential for bond yields to fall over the coming decades.

James Chu, Head of Investment Solutions at Tricio, discusses commodity markets and different aspects of futures with Gerry Celaya, Tricio's Chief Strategist. We talk about gearing, contango and backwardation, and how commodities can be used as an asset class within a balanced portfolio.