Patrick Boyle On Finance

Send us a textMillionaires are leaving the UK faster than any country in the world other than China, new data shows. According to the Henley Private Wealth Migration Report, 9,500 millionaires, defined in US dollar terms are leaving the UK this year. Only China - which has more than twice as many people with seven-figure net worths - saw more millionaires leave. This is a new record outflow for th...

Send us a textDemetri Kofinas came up with the term Financial Nihilism in 2019, describing it as a philosophy that treats the objects of speculation as though they are all intrinsically worthless. Financial nihilism according to Demetri represents an ideological standpoint that questions the value and legitimacy of financial systems, markets, and even the concept of money itself. It doesn’t involv...

Send us a textIndia’s stock market took its worst tumble in four years after Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s BJP lost its parliamentary majority in a surprise outcome. This result means that Modi will need to rely on smaller parties to form a governing majority in the Lok Sabha, the lower house of India’s parliament, raising uncertainty about the Indian leader’s ability to pursue his pro-bus...

Send us a textTrolls of Wall Street on Amazon: https://amzn.to/4e40D5MAn interview with Nathaniel Popper the author of Trolls of Wall Street - How the Outcasts and Insurgents Are Hacking the Markets. Trolls of Wall Street is a new book telling the story of an improbable gang of self-proclaimed “degenerates” who made WallStreetBets into a cultural movement that moved from the fringes of the interne...

Send us a textRed Lobster was America’s largest casual dining seafood chain, with almost 600 locations across the United States and Canada. Its bankruptcy was announced earlier this week. The bankruptcy declaration insinuates that the chains equity owner who was also their biggest seafood supplier might have decided that their equity stake in the business was worthless, but that they could extract...

Send us a textOver a four-day period Japan is suspected to have carried out two interventions to support the yen at an estimated cost of $59 billion dollars. The first intervention came after the yen fell below 160 to the dollar for the first time in 34 years. The second intervention came a few days later after Jerome Powell announced that a rate hike was unlikely to be the Fed’s next interest-rat...

Send us a textEurope’s largest oil and gas company Shell was accused in an investigative report from Greenpeace Canada of selling millions of carbon credits tied to CO2 removal that never took place. Let’s look at what Shell did, how carbon offsets work, and how environmentally beneficial they actually are. Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For Th...

Send us a textThe Société Générale Delta One Desk is back in the news after two traders were dismissed - accused of placing unauthorized risky options trades. Kavish Kataria – one of the traders in question - attacked the banks leadership with a LinkedIn post on Thursday saying the “entire risk team and other bosses” were equally responsible for the trades and complaining that his bonus had been w...

Send us a textLina Khan's Federal Trade Commission is suing to block Tapestry's $8.5 billion acquisition of Capri Holdings, saying the deal would harm consumers by reducing competition and raising prices in the affordable luxury handbag sector. Monday's lawsuit challenges the proposed deal that would have Tapestry controlling Coach, Kate Spade, Stuart Weitzman, Michael Kors, Versace and Jimmy Choo...

Send us a textCheck out Eight Sleep and unlock $200 off using my link: https://www.eightsleep.com/boyle/ British stocks closed at an all-time high this week, but as exciting as a new all-time high might sound, the British stock market has been lagging US and European stocks since the Brexit referendum. A recent report from Goldman Sachs says that the British economy is 5% smaller than it would hav...

Send us a textSaudi Arabia’s plan to build a 170km long, 500m tall, mirrored city in the desert, filled with 9 million people has been curtailed to 2.4km long. According to Bloomberg, Saudi Arabia’s government had “scaled back its medium-term ambitions” for Neom, of which The Line is the most significant sub-project. The Saudi government had hoped to have 9M residents living in The Line by 2030, b...

Send us a textSales growth of electric vehicles has slowed dramatically this year. Tesla delivered 20% fewer cars in the first quarter of 2024 than in the prior quarter, and BYD who was previously the world’s biggest EV maker saw sales decline more than 40% over the same period. BYD’s EV sales were still up 13% when compared to the same quarter a year earlier, while Tesla’s sales were down 9%. Bot...

Send us a textJapan’s central bank raised interest rates last week for the first time in seventeen years, ending the world’s only remaining negative interest rate regime. The Bank of Japan also abandoned its yield curve control policy which has been in place since 2016, which saw it buying Japanese government bonds to keep longer term interest rates from rising. It has however maintained bond buyi...

Send us a textAfter a decade of decline, bankruptcy filings around the world are on the rise. In the United States, business bankruptcy filings rose more than 40 percent last year and non-business bankruptcy filings rose 16 percent. Bankruptcies in England and Wales just hit a 30-year high according to the latest figures. In Japan, corporate bankruptcies involving a total liability of 10 million Y...

Send us a textElon Musk filed a lawsuit last week against OpenAI and its CEO Sam Altman, alleging the company’s deal with Microsoft compromised the start-up’s original mission. Musk is seeking disgorgement, additional unspecified damages and specific performance. Let’s go through these claims one by one, see what legal experts have been saying about the case. We will also discuss the Open AI memo...

Send us a textOffice mortgage default rates are rising around the world which could mean problems for the banks, insurance companies and pension funds who lent money to real estate investors. Let’s discuss the distressed sales of office buildings that have been happening over the last few months, why New York Community Bancorp is down more that 65% year to date, what banking regulators are saying...

Send us a textA new Harvard Business School study analyzed the impact of giving AI tools, to white collar workers at Boston Consulting Group. In the study, management consultants who were told to use Chat GPT when carrying out a set of consulting tasks were far more productive than their colleagues who were not given access the tool. Not only did AI-assisted consultants carry out tasks 25 per cent...

Send us a textAs the global fight over manufacturing share and exports heats up, with surplus economies doubling down on exports, and deficit economies discussing protectionist strategies, the policies of the largest global economies are in clear conflict. Are trade wars likely, how do they work, and can the global economy regain balance? Michael Pettis Books:The Great Rebalancing: https://amzn.to...

Send us a textAdam Neumann has been trying to buy WeWork - the company he cofounded out of bankruptcy — allegedly with the help of the hedge fund manager Dan Loeb of Third Point. Neumann’s new real estate company "Flow" has sent a letter to WeWork requesting that they consider its takeover approach. Flow has already raised $350 million from the venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz, disclosed i...

Send us a textA Delaware court this week voided Elon Musk’s $55.8 billion dollar pay deal with Tesla. The voiding of these stock options erases about a quarter of Musk’s current wealth. The judgement came in response to a shareholder lawsuit launched by Richard Tornetta who owned nine shares in the company. Judge Kathaleen McCormick found Tesla directors, who negotiated the pay package, were "perh...

Send us a textJesse Lauriston Livermore was a famed American stock trader known for his huge successes and devastating failures in the early 20th century. Starting as a "chalkboard boy" in a Boston brokerage, he became hugely wealthy as a trader first in "bucket shops" and then on the exchange in New York. Livermore made millions in the Panic of 1907, the roaring 20's and in the 1929 market crash....

Send us a textBig startups are shutting down. More than 3000 private venture backed startups failed in the last year. Of the startups raising money, 19% were funded at a lower valuation than in prior funding rounds. 38% of VCs disappeared from dealmaking last year and more than a quarter of a million workers at tech companies lost their jobs over the same period. US corporate bankruptcy filings cl...

Send us a textHow much do you need to earn per year to be in the top 1%? The answer to this question varies depending on if you are asking about the 1% in a given country or globally? In today's podcast we discuss how much you have to earn and how wealthy you have to be to be considered in the top one percent. We discuss the careers and lifestyles of the one percent. We look at inequality research...

Send us a textHow is China able to sell European drivers so many cheap cars? Customs data shows that Chinese EV shipments to the European Union have increased by 361% since 2021. All over the world, Chinese automakers are taking market share which is threatening European automakers. Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor: https://...

Send us a textDozy Mmobuosi, the founder and CEO of Tingo Mobile has been accused by US Regulators of running a "staggering fraud."Tingo Mobile claimed to provide mobile phones to rural farmers in Nigeria and build a fintech super app. It quickly grew into a multibillion-dollar empire with a listing on New York’s Nasdaq stock exchange. Dr Dozy, the London-based tycoon attempted to buy the Premier...