Patrick Boyle
Patrick Boyle On Finance
This podcast is all about quantitative finance and financial history. Subscribe to hear about financial markets, derivatives, and how investors use quantitative tools from statistics and corporate finance theory. Included are interviews with some of the most interesting thinkers in finance. Occasional longer form financial documentaries, open up fascinating elements of financial markets history. Patrick Boyle is a quantitative hedge fund manager, a university professor, and a former investment banker. To contact Patrick visit http://onfinance.org Find Patrick on YouTube at: https://www.youtube...
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Episodes
Trump’s 50-Year Mortgage Plan: What You MUST Know! 16.11.2025 20:05
Is Trump’s 50-Year Mortgage Plan the answer to America’s housing affordability crisis—or a financial trap? In this video, we break down the economics, politics, and history behind ultra-long mortgages. You’ll learn:* Why a 50-year mortgage might not lower monthly payments as promised* How interest rates and risk pricing change with longer loan terms* The hidden costs: slower equity growth, higher...
Elon Musk's Anti Woke Encyclopedia 10.11.2025 30:48
Elon Musk says his new online encyclopedia Grokipedia will fix Wikipedia’s flaws by replacing human editors with AI. But can a chatbot really deliver “the whole truth and nothing but the truth” as he says? In this video, we dive into the battle between Wikipedia’s messy, transparent consensus and Grokipedia’s algorithmic certainty. Patrick's Books: Statistics For The Trading Floor: ...
China’s Rare Earth Chokehold! 03.11.2025 27:55
In this video, we explore how China’s dominance in rare earth elements has become a powerful geopolitical tool—and why the United States is struggling to catch up. From the Mountain Pass mine in California to Apple’s $500 million recycling push, we unpack the strategic importance of rare earths in everything from electric vehicles and smartphones to fiber optics and missile systems. We also look a...
Is AI’s Circular Financing Inflating a Bubble? 26.10.2025 24:02
The AI boom isn’t just about algorithms — it’s about money, power, and a race to build infrastructure on a scale we’ve never seen before. In this weeks podcast, we break down the circular deals between OpenAI, Nvidia, Amazon, Anthropic, and even Elon Musk’s business empire — and ask the hard questions: Who’s paying for this? Where will the electricity come from? And is the industry building a Möbi...
Private Equity’s Quiet Crisis! 19.10.2025 23:55
Private equity has long promised smooth returns, operational excellence, and sophisticated diversification. But behind the pitch decks and performance charts lies a growing crisis. In this video, we explore:🔹 Why private equity firms are struggling to exit investments🔹 The illusion of stability created by stale pricing🔹 The role of leverage in driving returns — and fragility🔹 The push into 401...
The Chainsaw Stalls: Can Milei Cut Through Argentina’s Currency Collapse? 12.10.2025 16:28
Argentina’s economy is in crisis—again. President Javier Milei’s reforms slashed inflation and balanced the budget, but now the peso is under siege. In this video, we unpack the $20 billion U.S. bailout, the speculative pressure on Argentina’s currency, and the political risks ahead of the October 26 midterms. We’ll look at:Why the U.S. Treasury is buying pesos for the first time in decadesHow Mil...
AAA Rated Junk: What Tricolor and First Brands Reveal About Credit Markets! 05.10.2025 22:39
Two companies collapsed last month. One sold used cars, the other distributed brake pads and spark plugs. Both issued debt rated AAA. Now their bonds are trading at cents on the dollar—and Wall Street is pretending not to notice. In this video, we dig into down the bankruptcies of Tricolor Holdings and First Brands Group to understand what they reveal about private credit, and why supposedly safe...
The End of Legal Immigration? 27.09.2025 26:39
Is America Closing the Door on Global Talent? Donald Trump’s new $100,000 fee on H-1B visa applications has sent shockwaves through the tech industry, universities, and foreign governments. In this video, we unpack the legal, economic, and political fallout — from panics at airports to diplomatic blowback, from the Hyundai factory raid to the eerie silence of Silicon Valley CEOs. Is this the end o...
Are the Rich Really Leaving Britain? 22.09.2025 25:18
Are Britain’s millionaires really fleeing the country—or is the “exodus” just a statistical mirage? This video digs into the numbers behind the headlines, from the much-quoted Henley & Partners migration report to the real impact of the UK’s non-dom reforms. We’ll look at what’s actually driving high earners to consider leaving, how tax policy shapes behavior, and why trust in government and v...
The Book That Wasn’t Supposed to Exist - Epstein's Birthday Book Released! 17.09.2025 36:28
In 2003, Ghislaine Maxwell compiled a 238-page leather-bound book for Jeffrey Epstein — filled with letters, sketches, poems, and photos from billionaires, politicians, scientists, and celebrities. This book was never meant to be public. But now, thanks to the House Oversight Committee, it’s part of the public record — and it’s worse than anyone expected. We’ll also explore the deeper questions: W...
New Meme Stocks Just Dropped! 08.09.2025 18:31
This summer, a new trend hit Wall Street: Chinese meme stocks. Promoted in WhatsApp groups, Reddit threads, and even under fake YouTube comments, a group of obscure Chinese companies soared — and then collapsed — wiping out billions in investor savings. In this podcast, we explore how how this happened and look at a chinese biotech stock which briefly reached a $38 billion valuation without sellin...
Is AI Slop Killing the Internet? 02.09.2025 24:42
AI chatbots are replacing search engines—and in the process, they’re gutting the economics of journalism, reviews, and the open internet. In this video, we explore how tools like ChatGPT, Claude, and Google’s AI Overviews are intercepting audiences, scraping content without compensation, and threatening the viability of independent news and trusted information. From collapsing traffic to lawsuits...
The Mortgage Divide: Why America’s Housing Market Is Splitting in Two! 26.08.2025 19:45
Why are some homeowners thriving while others are struggling to keep up? In this video, we explore how America’s housing market has fractured—creating a sharp divide between those who locked in low mortgage rates and those buying today at much higher costs. We’ll unpack:The lock-in effect and its impact on geographic mobilityWhy millennials face deeper inequality within their own generationHow ren...
15% to the Treasury: Trump’s Nvidia Export Kickback! 20.08.2025 28:05
In weeks podcast, we unpack Donald Trump’s controversial deal with Nvidia and AMD — a 15% revenue-sharing arrangement that allows U.S. AI chips to be exported to China. Is this a clever geopolitical strategy or a dangerous precedent that monetizes national security? We explore:How the deal was brokered and what it means for U.S. trade policyLegal and constitutional concerns surrounding export cont...
Sales Down, Pay Up: Inside Tesla’s Strange New Reality! 12.08.2025 31:37
Tesla’s sales are falling across the globe—from the UK to China to California. So why did the board just hand Elon Musk a $29 billion pay package? In this video, we break down the contradictions at the heart of Tesla’s current moment: collapsing demand, the Cybertruck debacle, the robotaxi fantasy, and a boardroom that seems more loyal to Musk than to shareholders. We’ll explore:Why Tesla’s fundam...
Is the Global Trading System Breaking Down? 05.08.2025 25:47
In this weeks podcast, we examine the implications of Trump’s latest trade deals —from the one-sided EU deal to politically charged moves against Brazil. Are the deals being structured to exclude China from global supply chains and are these tariffs just about trade, or something more? We explore how constant changes are disrupting business activity, whether manufacturing is really coming back to...
Epstein - Follow The Money! 28.07.2025 36:28
Jeffrey Epstein was a college dropout with no formal financial training who amassed a fortune worth hundreds of millions of dollars and mingled with presidents and billionaires. Drawing on court records and media investigations we trace where Epstein's money came from and what happened to it? From his first job as a high school teacher to involvement in a Ponzi scheme, secretive offshore firms...
The Mirage of Megaprojects: Why the West Keeps Getting Infrastructure Wrong 21.07.2025 19:09
Britain once built world-class infrastructure with speed and purpose—now it plans ideas like a £24 billion extension cords to Morocco that are unlikely to ever work. This video dives into the rise and fall of the Xlinks Morocco–UK Power Project, exploring how overcomplication, bespoke design, and regulatory gridlock have turned modern megaprojects into cautionary tales. From fish discos at Hinkley...
How Jane Street Made $4.3 Billion in India—Then Got Banned! 15.07.2025 23:29
Jane Street, a prominent quantitative trading firm, has been at the center of controversy in India regarding its options trading activities. The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI), have accused Jane Street of market manipulation and temporarily banned the firm from accessing the Indian securities market and are seeking to recover substantial profits, allegedly earned through these activ...
Bitcoin on the Balance Sheet: Why Companies Are Turning to Crypto as a Treasury Strategy 09.07.2025 19:25
As Bitcoin surges into the financial mainstream, a growing number of companies — from obscure microcaps to global tech giants — are transforming themselves into crypto-holding entities. This video explores the rise of the corporate Bitcoin treasury strategy, tracing its origins with MicroStrategy’s dramatic pivot, the global wave of imitators, and the political entanglements reshaping the crypto l...
How Big Tech Is Quietly Taking Over AI (Without Mergers) 29.06.2025 24:27
In the race to dominate generative AI, Big Tech firms haven’t just been building, they’ve been buying. But there’s something strange about most of the deals that they have struck. Companies like Meta, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, and Nvidia are embedding themselves deep within the AI ecosystem through strategic investments, exclusive partnerships, and talent acquisitions- with deals that stop just s...
Trader Rates Biggest Wall Street Films 24.06.2025 23:57
Patrick Boyle, a former Wall Street trader, rates the biggest finance movies like "The Wolf of Wall Street," "The Big Short," "Rogue Trader" and "American Psycho" for realism. Patrick's Books: Statistics For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3eerLA0 Derivatives For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF Corporate Finance: https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Way...
America’s Tax on Foreign Investors - Section 899 16.06.2025 30:05
As the Senate decides on Donald Trump’s One Big Beautiful Budget, a lesser-known provision tucked into the House-approved bill has drawn attention from Wall Street. The measure, known as Section 899, would allow the U.S. to add a new tax of up to 20% on foreigners with U.S. investments, including multinational companies operating in the U.S.Some analysts call the provision a “revenge tax” due to i...
The Trump Musk Blowup! 07.06.2025 19:01
Donald Trump and Elon Musk have been locked in a public fight after Musk spent days bashing Trump's "big, beautiful bill" — a multi-trillion dollar budget key to unlocking the president's agenda currently being voted on in the Senate. In return, the president threatened to cut the federal government's contracts with Musk's companies, including SpaceX.Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floo...
Art Market Collapse? 02.06.2025 18:10
Why did the star lot of the spring season, a bronze head by the master sculptor Alberto Giacometti, fail to sell at Sotheby’s? Alberto Giacometti’s 1955 bust, “Grande tête mince" (“Big Thin Head”), carried a pre-sale estimate of $70 million in Sotheby’s Modern evening auction. The auctioneer started the bidding at $59 million dollars. But no one bid - the piece went unsold. It was the second high-...
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