Padres Hot Tub

Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor gather after the final homestand of the 2023 season in which the Padres outscored the Cardinals 18-9... and took 2 out of 3. They also snapped their 8 game win streak when they lost their record-tying 12th extra inning game of the season. But most important were Padres CEO Erik Greupner's comments on the radio this past week paired with some new reportin...

Craig, Chris, and Raphie gathered for another YouTube live stream to chat both with patrons and YouTubers alike about the 7-game win streak the Padres currently find themselves in, and the explosive article dropped by Ken Rosenthal and Dennis Lin in the Athletic on Tuesday. Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join Group Therapy shows like this live! patreon.com/padreshottub Watch the show on Yo...

Craig Elsten and Chris Reed are joined live by Padres Hot Tub patrons on the Post Game Show stage on Discord to discuss a come-from-behind 3-2 win over Colorado, capping a three-game sweep while extending a season-long winning streak to seven games. What *actually* would have to happen for the Padres to sneak into the playoffs? We break it down and take listener questions live on air!

Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor gather in the midst of the Padres winning their 5th consecutive game, this one at home against the Rockies after a sweep in Oakland. But -- what does it matter? The Padres carry less than a 1% chance to make the playoffs, and must effectively win out to have a chance. The hosts talk about Peter Seidler's health news, possible payroll deductions, the lack...

Craig, Chris, and Raphie gather on our virtual live YouTube stage with a gaggle of PHT patrons to react to the bombshell piece from Kevin Acee in the U-T, effectively calling out Manny Machado and his leadership vacuum as a primary source of the team's woes in 2023. Watch the show on YouTube! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6qzLtwSA9vM Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join weekly Group Thera...

Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor convene on a Monday afternoon in which the Padres begin a three-game set in Los Angeles -- only it doesn't matter. The Padres were officially eliminated from NL West title contention on Sunday after a miserable series in Houston. The beat rolls on, but no word from either Peter Seidler or AJ Preller. How long can the silence continue? Plus, they discuss...

In Episode 23 of Pads Above Replacement, Raphie Cantor and John Precoda dive DEEP into the nerdy numbers behind what causes teams like the Padres to run out of pitching, and John has a new benchmark rule for quality that the Padres should be striving for. Watch the show on Youtube! https://youtu.be/uA2PF3UrJPk Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to get access to the PAR Discord at patreon.com/padr...

Craig, Chris, and Raphie gathered for the first time ever on a YouTube live stream to chat with PHT Patrons about the current state of the Padres. While FriarGoose was our lone exclusive patron call-in guest, the gang interacted with the live digital crowd via live polling before hopping into some text questions from patrons. You can watch a replay of the live show here: https://www.youtube.com/wa...

Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor meet up after the Padres win a series at home against the Giants before failing to comeback from a massive deficit against the Phillies on Labor Day. They do some storyline coverage (Rich Hill, Austin Nola, Manny Machado) before diving into the meat of the episode with a discussion on why Padres pitching has seemingly collapsed every season in the 2020s...

In Episode 22 of Pads Above Replacement, Raphie Cantor and John Precoda break down the terrible choice the Padres must grapple with for the remainder of the 2023 season. They break down how the Padres should go about doing it, the value to be gained/lost, and why the Padres may have ended up here in the first place. Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to get exclusive perks and join the PAR Discor...

Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor speak with patrons over video for the first time ever to discuss the state of the Padres as they consider their slide from mediocrity to abject failure, and ponder what it would take to seriously make a change. Become a patron to join Group Therapy live shows like this! patreon.com/padreshottub Watch Group Therapy on YouTube! https://youtu.be/uRbv3oncg4M

Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor gather after the Padres are swept out of Milwaukee and salvage a series opener in St. Louis -- but this season is finished. How should the Padres move forward? Just how powerful are the incentives for completely tanking? And what should the rest of the Padres 2023 season look like? Watch this episode on YouTube! https://youtu.be/xI_AYhW-KE8 Become a patr...

In Episode 21 of Pads Above Replacement, Raphie Cantor and John Precoda get back to their PAR roots and dive into a long awaited player-specific episode -- Manny Machado. What makes Manny Manny at the plate? And to what degree is his future linked to the Padres? Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join the PAR discord and get other great member perks! patreon.com/padreshottub Watch the show on...

Craig, Chris, and Raphie chat with a group of PHT Patrons on the PHT Discord to discuss egos, sage ceremonies, Shohei Ohtani, and much more as the Padres head to Milwaukee with their season hanging on by a thread. Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to get great perks and join live shows like this! patreon.com/padreshottub

Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor gather after a potentially season-ending series in which the DBacks took 3 of 4 from the Padres and decimated their playoff odds. But first, we start with a new segment - Positivity Corner! After all that, they spend the second half of the show on AJ Preller -- his Carpenter comments, his barrage of minor league promotions, and where his fate may lie. Be...

In Episode 20 of Pads Above Replacement, Raphie Cantor and John Precoda turn to the Padres 2023 preseason ZiPS projections and compare how their pitchers have fared compared to what was expected. What are the team trends? How have individual players changed? Opposing hitters hate this ONE trick! Spreadsheet for reference: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Ttn7JoKpl4TMT4nT-T2gHqqNewh-zeYJ/edi...

Craig, Chris, and Raphie chat with some PHT patrons as the Padres drop the series opener to Zac Gallen and the Dbacks 3-1 as the lights on the Padres playoff hopes grow dimmer by the day.

Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor catch up on a weekend in Arizona which likely brought the Padres 2023 playoff hopes to an unremarkable end. They get into the specifics of what makes this team so frustrating. Then, they give away a Blake Snell autographed ball. Finally, they welcome on Dallas McLaughlin of The Kept Faith to talk about his new album ( available here ) before getting into...

In Episode 19 of Pads Above Replacement, Raphie Cantor and John Precoda turn to the Padres 2023 preseason ZiPS projections and compare how their hitters have fared compared to what was expected. What are the team trends? How have individual players changed? Let's get nerdy with it! Spreadsheet for reference: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Tts7omwGuCjIX6WGZEMimLrM-bJus0qv/edit?usp=sharing&...

Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor come to you on the heels of the Padres getting swept out of Seattle on a brutal stretch that saw the Dodgers hangover bite them again. And yet -- they are still 4.5 out of a playoff spot with the ability to control their destiny still in their hands. What's next?

Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor gather after a home series against the Dodgers in which the Padres lost three of four games. And yet, their NL Wild Card competitors are also floundering. What do we make of the team's recent performance, Bob Melvin's decisions, Matt Carpenter's existence, and more? Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join the conversation in the PHT Discord and get a...

Raphie Cantor and John Precoda are back -- the results are in, and the Padres chose to buy instead of sell. Raphie and John break down the three trades AJ Preller and Co. made on Deadline Day and what they mean for the Padres in the short and long term. Watch the show and subscribe on YouTube! https://youtu.be/y2b60T-3nA8 Become a patron to join our Discord and chat with other statheads like you!...

Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor gather with PHT patrons around the virtual fire to discuss the San Diego Padres (54-55) after a deadline in which they bought and a series in which they were some mental errors away from a 6 game win streak. We discuss the vibes, get some great opposing takes on the deadline from some patrons, and talk about the upcoming series against the LA Dodgers. Be...

Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor gather for an extra-long trade deadline recap episode. The first hour or so details the Padres recent hot-cold streak, their woeful extra innings record, and who the Padres brought in on Deadline Day. Then, the team are joined by David Jay (@dmjay on Twitter) from madfriars.com to break down the prospects which the Padres gave up in their dealings. Final...

Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor are joined by their largest audience of PHT patrons in 2023 immediately after the Padres complete a 3-game sweep of the Texas Rangers, bringing further uncertainty to the trade deadline. Will the Padres buy or sell? Our hosts and patrons have theories! Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join post games shows on our Discord and support PHT!