Julius Baer
Moving Markets
Moving Markets is the home of podcasts at Julius Baer. Here, our expert teams share concise daily market updates in ‘Moving Markets Daily’ which is complemented by ‘Moving Markets: The View Beyond’, a weekly show dedicated to discussing the context, thematic angles, and investment implications behind key topics shaping the news cycle and conversations among our relationship managers and clients. The information contained in this podcast is marketing material. Opinions expressed do not constitute independent financial/investment research, investment advice, or an offer to buy or sell securities...
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Episodes
Markets react as expected to Trump tariff announcements 27.11.2024 13:37
European markets closed lower yesterday, with auto stocks down 1.7%. The big US equity indices all inched higher, although small caps fell after Monday’s gains. Asia was mixed this morning with Chinese stocks up and Japanese stocks down. Bitcoin is now trading nearer USD 90,000 than 100,000. Geopolitical tensions have eased a touch today after a 2-month ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah was i...
US small caps and Trump tariffs make the headlines 26.11.2024 10:47
Markets reacted to the nomination of Scott Bessent as the next US Treasury Secretary on Monday, with the dollar pulling back from two-year highs and US Treasury yields falling. US stocks rose, led by small caps which hit an intraday high, while European markets were mixed. A survey showed a drop in German business confidence and ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane called for gradual interest rate cuts...
Investor appetite buoyed by resilient US data 25.11.2024 10:21
After upbeat data out of the US provided a boost to investor sentiment, US markets extended their rally on Friday. A stock market rotation into small caps saw the Russell 2000 index make outsized gains last week, while safe haven assets continued to attract investors. As the market turns its attention to a data-packed week ahead, Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, offers an update on the...
The rotation continues 22.11.2024 14:00
European equities enjoyed a strong day yesterday, while Wall Street had a moderately positive day, marked by a rotation out of tech stocks and into more cyclical sectors such as financials, industrials and retail. Elsewhere, Gary Gensler announced his resignation as Chairman of the US Securities and Exchange Commission as of 20 January 2025. Treasury yields rose across the curve as investors diges...
Sometimes good just isn’t good enough 21.11.2024 11:31
The market’s reaction to Nvidia’s highly anticipated results last night indicates just how high expectations were. The company’s results exceeded analysts’ expectations and it delivered a strong forecast for the current quarter, but the revenue forecast just wasn’t enough for the market and the company’s shares fell 2.5% in extended trading. Asia’s tech heavy markets also sold off somewhat followi...
Markets shake off geopolitical tensions 20.11.2024 15:19
Escalating tensions between Russia and Ukraine dampened global risk appetite and sent investors scrambling for safe-haven assets yesterday. While European markets ended the day in the red, US equities recovered from earlier losses as the focus turned to Nvidia's earnings report due after the close today. Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy, talks about the most anticipated earnings report of...
Equities turn a corner after a tough week 19.11.2024 15:48
US stocks yesterday regained some ground after last week's sharp sell-off that reversed the S&P 500’s post-election gains as Wall Street looks ahead to some major market-moving earnings reports and bets for a December Fed rate cut are losing steam. Fabian Wenner, Equities Research, provides an update on the healthcare sector, and Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research, shares with us the la...
USD soars, gold plunges 18.11.2024 10:36
The Trump rally came to a halt last week as the S&P 500 fell 2% despite confirmation that the Republicans also won the House of Representatives. The USD strengthened to a one-year high and gold had its worst weekly drop in three years. Trump's cabinet appointments raised concerns and led to a sell-off in pharmaceutical stocks on Friday. Upcoming events this week include the G20 Summit starting...
A pause in the post-election party? 15.11.2024 13:38
US equities stumbled yesterday, in contrast with a more positive day for European markets. The shift comes as investors reassess the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December, following a speech by Chairman Jerome Powell that suggested the economy was not sending any signals that would necessitate a rush to cut rates. Meanwhile, some ‘Trump trades’ have begun to unwind as investors cont...
Stock rally pauses to assess US CPI data 14.11.2024 14:16
European bourses closed Wednesday’s session lower. The Nasdaq followed suit in the US, with the Dow and the S&P 500 ekeing out small gains on the day. This followed the release of October US CPI data which came in as expected and added support to the expectation of another interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve in December. There was also further US political news last night as the Associ...
Equities are taking a breather 13.11.2024 16:11
Following a strong start to the week, markets took a step back yesterday as investors continued to digest the implications of the US election outcome. With key events on the horizon – including a slew of earnings reports and the release of US inflation data later today – traders are cautious about the potential for further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Joining us to provide expert ana...
Bitcoin soars alongside record-high US stocks 12.11.2024 11:56
Stock markets in Europe and the US started the week on a high note, with all three major US indices hitting new record highs. However, the momentum did not carry over to the Asia-Pacific region, where markets fell across the board in overnight trading. Meanwhile, commodities were lower, with gold and oil also bucking the upward trend. In contrast, Bitcoin has been on a tear, rising nearly 30% sinc...
Nvidia hits USD 3.6 trillion milestone, Bitcoin tops USD 81,000 11.11.2024 10:34
Donald Trump's presidential victory boosted US equities, with gains led by banks, energy and small caps – the S&P 500 had its best week so far this year. Bitcoin crossed USD 81,000 for the first time ever and Nvidia became the first company to surpass USD 3.6 trillion in market value. Meanwhile, China’s economic stimulus disappointed. Key economic data and earnings reports are due this week, i...
Equities extend post-election rally 08.11.2024 16:13
Global equities continued to celebrate the US election results, with European stocks joining the rally despite German Chancellor Olaf Scholz announcing potential snap elections. US equities hit new record highs yesterday, driven by technology stocks, upbeat earnings reports and another Fed rate cut. Chief Economist David Kohl expects this to be the last one for the year. And we also have Tim Gagie...
Trump’s victory sparks US equity rally 07.11.2024 17:36
With Mr Trump confirmed as the next US President and a Republican sweep priced in as a 94% probability, US equities, especially those likely to benefit from his policy changes, took off yesterday. The rally was echoed by the US dollar and Bitcoin. US Treasuries sold off on expectations that Mr Trump’s fiscal plans and proposal to hike tariffs will boost inflation and erode the Fed’s ability to low...
The Trump effect: stocks, crypto, and rates surge 06.11.2024 12:23
Join us on MovingMarkets as we break down the market implications of a potential second term for Donald Trump. With his pro-growth policies, including corporate tax cuts, deregulation, and new tariffs, investors are betting on a boost to US stocks, the US dollar, and crypto assets. Meanwhile, concerns about inflation are driving up US Treasury yields. In this episode, we're joined by Dario Messi,...
It’s US election day 05.11.2024 12:29
While it's still anyone's guess who will become the next US President, some currency analysts took the latest polls favouring Kamala Harris to unwind some of their 'Trump trades' by selling the US dollar. US equities saw some volatility yesterday, but safe-haven US Treasuries rallied, suggesting that investors may be getting cautious ahead of the election result. Christian Gattiker, our Head of Re...
Fasten your seatbelt for a busy week 04.11.2024 12:18
A busy week ahead with key events including the US presidential election, the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision, and China's National People's Congress meeting to name but a few. The latest Iowa poll shows Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump, despite him winning the state in 2016 and 2020. The US Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25bps on Wednesday. Among the 300 major...
Mixed results from Big Tech 01.11.2024 17:11
Markets had a risk-off day, with global equities, gold and Bitcoin falling. Investors are getting jittery ahead of next week's US elections, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, and China's National People's Congress. European stocks slumped after the release of eurozone inflation data. Big Tech earnings disappointed, with Meta and Microsoft shares tumbling. Amazon was higher, but Apple w...
Market volatility: earnings misses and economic surprises 31.10.2024 12:06
Global stock markets are facing headwinds as several high-profile companies have fallen short of earnings expectations. However, recent economic data releases have painted a more optimistic picture, with Germany's economy unexpectedly posting growth in Q3. In this episode, we're joined by Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, who shares his expert insights on the surge in the price of g...
Can tech giants meet the high expectations? 30.10.2024 16:25
European stock markets struggled yesterday, while US markets closed higher and a strong tech sector pushed the Nasdaq to a new all-time high. Earnings reports from top companies including Meta and Microsoft will be closely watched today as investors navigate high expectations and uncertain market conditions ahead of next week's US elections. An important event that is partly behind the recent rise...
The calm before the storm? 29.10.2024 13:03
Markets had a quiet session yesterday, but a flurry of earnings reports and economic data releases are set to breathe new life into trading in the coming days. The US presidential election and the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decision are also looming large on the horizon. Meanwhile in Europe, carmakers face significant challenges in maintaining profitability in a rapidly changing land...
Political turmoil in Japan pushes yen to three-month low 28.10.2024 10:08
Japanese PM Ishiba’s gamble to call a snap election backfired yesterday, as Japan’s ruling party lost its majority in a general election amid political scandals and soaring inflation. The Japanese yen is plunging and stocks are surging on the news. As investors turn their attention to a busy, data-packed week ahead, Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, offers an update on the markets from a...
Popular Trump trades in the currency market 25.10.2024 11:01
Positive earnings surprises in the eurozone weren't enough to lift its major equity indices significantly, as economic data disappointed yesterday. Tesla had its best day since 2013 after a positive earnings release. US stock indices are in a wait-and-see mode ahead of some big earnings releases, starting with Amazon after the close today. Newmont Mining plunged as the gold miner struggles to keep...
Market volatility: earnings concerns and pre-election jitters 24.10.2024 14:31
US stock markets experienced a downturn, with all major indices posting significant losses. Consumer discretionary stocks felt the brunt of the decline, led by disappointing performances from Coca-Cola and McDonald's. Meanwhile, the tech sector faced pressure ahead of the highly anticipated earnings report from Tesla, the first set of Q3 results from the ‘Magnificent 7’, which were released after...
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