Moving Markets

Bond markets rallied as signs of US disinflation reinforced bets the Fed will cut rates in September. This led to heavy profit-taking in the big tech space and a strong rotation into previously unloved stocks, which pulled the S&P 500 lower, while small caps jumped higher. And Tim Gagie, Head of FX & PM Solutions Geneva, also joins the show. He talks about the strength in gold, the weak US...

Big tech and chip companies were the main drivers of stock markets yesterday ahead of the all-important US June CPI data due out today. Even the CAC 40 closed the day in positive territory, despite France’s uncertain political future. Fed Chair Jerome Powell told Congress that the risks to the economy are more balanced between inflation and recession, and that the Fed does not need inflation to fa...

US stocks inched higher yesterday with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices reaching new record highs following Fed Chair Powell’s encouraging remarks that the US is no longer an overheated economy. Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, provides an update on the bond market ahead of the ECB’s monetary policy meeting next week. And Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy gives a preview of wh...

While European markets remain preoccupied with the prospect of a prolonged period of political uncertainty in France, investors in the US are shifting their focus to the upcoming earnings season, with the S&P 500 hitting a new all-time high. In Japan, the Nikkei 225 has also hit a new record high as the country sees a significant increase in machine tool orders. Meanwhile, the Chinese market i...

The bond market is starting to think about what another Trump presidency could mean for yields. Despite slowing inflation and weak growth figures in the US and Europe, equities are thriving – the S&P 500 and Japan's Topix have just hit new all-time highs. On Friday, US Treasury yields fell and gold rose after a downward revision to US employment data. The Q2 earnings season kicks off later thi...

With the US celebrating Independence Day yesterday, investors turned their attention to Europe where French equities continue to outperform ahead of the second round of the country's parliamentary elections. Meanwhile, UK voters have handed power to the Labour Party. Dave Meier, Macro & Next Generation Research, puts the election result into context and Tim Gagie, Head of FX & PM Solutions...

A string of weaker macroeconomic data out of the US yesterday was unable to shake investor sentiment, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite indices touching fresh all-time highs, propelled by a rally in mega-cap tech stocks. Nicolas Jordan, CIO Strategy & Investment Analysis, provides an update from our CIO office. Dr Damien Ng, Next Generation Research, joins us to talk about longevity an...

Markets reacted positively to Fed Chair Powell's upbeat comments on disinflation, sending US equities to another record high and bond yields lower. European equities struggled however, amid prevailing political concerns, despite inflationary pressures easing in June. Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, discusses what political risks in Europe mean for bond investors and why he believes the...

Germany's Ifo Institute predicts that inflation could fall to 2% by August. European equities rose after the first round of parliamentary elections in France suggested that no party would win an outright majority in the second round. The Nasdaq hit an all-time high, but stocks were held back by a jump in Treasury yields. In Asia, Japan's Nikkei 225 is back above 40,000. Manuel Villegas from Next G...

Most of the key US and European indices closed the first half of the year in positive territory, with the Nasdaq Composite turning in 18.1% in H1. In Asia, the Taiwan Weighted Index made a 28% gain. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, points out what he thinks investors should take away from the first half of the year. Europe’s focus is now firmly on the second round of the French election...

A batch of underwhelming data out of the US keeps rate cut expectations for the Fed alive. While that helped US yields to trade lower in yesterday’s session, European yields remained steady for the most part ahead of this Sunday’s first round of parliamentary elections in France. The political uncertainty continued to weigh on equities in Europe, while their US counterparts ended the day higher, w...

Major US stock indices eked out only minor gains yesterday as investors remained cautious ahead of the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation (PCE), due tomorrow. Shares in chipmaker Micron Technology slumped in afterhours trading yesterday, with reverberations being felt across Asia-Pacific markets today. Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research, shares his thoughts on the d...

While it was only a few consumer services and information technology stocks that drove the gains in the US equity markets yesterday, the good news came from a successful auction of 2-year Treasury notes by the US Treasury Department. Dario Messi of Fixed Income Research explains why the results of these US Treasury auctions have become so important for investors. 00:00 Introduction by Bernadette A...

European equity markets rose on reports that China and the European Union will sit down to discuss the EU's plan to impose additional tariffs on electric vehicle imports, despite uncertainty over the French election. 70% of the S&P 500 constituents were higher, but the index was lower on weakness in Nvidia. Shein is in the news for a possible IPO. Asian stocks are higher, but mainland China is...

After markets were rattled by weaker-than-expected economic data last Friday, investors are facing rising political risks this week, with the first US presidential debate between Joe Biden and Donald Trump scheduled for Thursday and the French election on Sunday. Recent leading indicators point to a slowdown in economic momentum in Europe, weighing on equities, while US technology companies are ha...

European equities were higher as investor confidence returned following a successful auction of French government debt. In the US, however, mega-cap tech stocks dragged the broader market lower, pausing the impressive rally seen in recent weeks. David Kohl, Chief Economist, discusses why he believes Swiss interest rates will continue to fall and that the Bank of England is unlikely to cut until Se...

Stock markets in Europe took a breather yesterday as traders looked for fresh catalysts to extend the latest tech-driven gains. After government bond yields across the eurozone edged higher, we take a look at the line-up of today’s central bank meetings and expectations for their policy decisions. Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, gives an update on supply and demand in the copper m...

Recent macroeconomic data from the US may encourage the Federal Reserve to start cutting interest rates, although officials have stressed that inflation needs to fall further before any action is taken. Meanwhile, in company-specific news, Nvidia’s share price soared, making it the most valuable listed company in the world. In Asia, Japan released a mixed batch of economic data, while minutes from...

French assets stabilised after last week's rout and the S&P 500 hit its 30th all-time high this year, while Indian equities also hit new highs after their election blues. Nvidia's rally this year is making life difficult for technology sector ETFs. The Reserve Bank of Australia left interest rates unchanged at its meeting today, but a rate hike was discussed. Bitcoin is at its lowest level in...

European markets were weighed down last week by heightened political uncertainty emanating from France, while US markets enjoyed a solid week on the back of encouraging inflation data. The divergence was clearly visible in relative equity performance, with the weekly gap between the S&P 500 (+1.6%) and the French CAC 40 (-6.2%) the widest since early March 2022, just after Russia's full-scale...

While most of Europe looks to Germany for football, investors are turning their attention to France, where President Macron’s decision to hold a parliamentary vote has caused quite a stir – French equities and bonds are both down on the week. Meanwhile, in the US, this week’s data pointed to a cooling of inflation and the labour market, making a strong case for interest rate cuts. David Kohl, our...

After US consumer prices for May rose by slightly less than expected, the US Federal Reserve yesterday left its policy rate unchanged, as anticipated, but dialled back its expectations for interest-rate cuts, now pencilling in just one for the rest of the year. Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, gives an update on the gold market and central bank purchases. And Nicolas Jordan, CIO St...

President Emanuel Macron's call for legislative elections sends shockwaves through European financial markets. It is the big day for US inflation and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Apple hits a new all-time high. China remains in a deflationary environment, while Japan's producer prices surprise to the upside. Dario Messi, Fixed Income Strategy, remains positive on peripheral Europe...

US stocks rose to new record highs yesterday as two of the major tech mega-caps led the way for the major indices. Meanwhile, Europe suffered a hangover of fresh political uncertainty after right-wing parties emerged victorious in the European Parliament elections over the weekend. Next Generation analyst Manuel Villegas shares his insights on the latest regulatory twists and turns in the crypto m...

US jobs growth surged in May and wages accelerated, prompting traders to push back the expected timing of US Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. US Treasuries sold off, pushing yields higher on Friday. And while equity markets in Europe ended the day lower, US stocks initially fell but largely pared losses to end the day just slightly in the red. Markus Wachter from our Technical Analysis team tal...