Moving Markets

It was probably too soon for the S&P 500 to feel the impact of Black Friday, but the index did just fine without it, closing the day, the week, and the month higher. The same could be said for the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Nasdaq Composite. The small cap Russell 2000 saw the biggest monthly gain though – up 10% since Donald Trump won the election. European stocks shrugged off poor i...

Trading volumes were low due to the Thanksgiving holiday in the US. Investors’ focus was on the French budget discussions as French bond yields surpassed those of Greece for the first time on budget concerns. This morning some headlines around a potential further stimulus package in China at a key policy meeting in December are shaping the markets going into the weekend. And we also have Tim Gagie...

French assets took a hit yesterday, with stocks and bonds underperforming all other major markets. The current coalition government's instability has investors spooked, causing French 10-year government debt to yield the same as its Greek counterparts. Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, and Nicolas Jordan, CIO Office, provide updates on the outlook for gold and Julius Baer's investme...

European markets closed lower yesterday, with auto stocks down 1.7%. The big US equity indices all inched higher, although small caps fell after Monday’s gains. Asia was mixed this morning with Chinese stocks up and Japanese stocks down. Bitcoin is now trading nearer USD 90,000 than 100,000. Geopolitical tensions have eased a touch today after a 2-month ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah was i...

Markets reacted to the nomination of Scott Bessent as the next US Treasury Secretary on Monday, with the dollar pulling back from two-year highs and US Treasury yields falling. US stocks rose, led by small caps which hit an intraday high, while European markets were mixed. A survey showed a drop in German business confidence and ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane called for gradual interest rate cuts...

After upbeat data out of the US provided a boost to investor sentiment, US markets extended their rally on Friday. A stock market rotation into small caps saw the Russell 2000 index make outsized gains last week, while safe haven assets continued to attract investors. As the market turns its attention to a data-packed week ahead, Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, offers an update on the...

European equities enjoyed a strong day yesterday, while Wall Street had a moderately positive day, marked by a rotation out of tech stocks and into more cyclical sectors such as financials, industrials and retail. Elsewhere, Gary Gensler announced his resignation as Chairman of the US Securities and Exchange Commission as of 20 January 2025. Treasury yields rose across the curve as investors diges...

The market’s reaction to Nvidia’s highly anticipated results last night indicates just how high expectations were. The company’s results exceeded analysts’ expectations and it delivered a strong forecast for the current quarter, but the revenue forecast just wasn’t enough for the market and the company’s shares fell 2.5% in extended trading. Asia’s tech heavy markets also sold off somewhat followi...

Escalating tensions between Russia and Ukraine dampened global risk appetite and sent investors scrambling for safe-haven assets yesterday. While European markets ended the day in the red, US equities recovered from earlier losses as the focus turned to Nvidia's earnings report due after the close today. Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy, talks about the most anticipated earnings report of...

US stocks yesterday regained some ground after last week's sharp sell-off that reversed the S&P 500’s post-election gains as Wall Street looks ahead to some major market-moving earnings reports and bets for a December Fed rate cut are losing steam. Fabian Wenner, Equities Research, provides an update on the healthcare sector, and Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research, shares with us the la...

The Trump rally came to a halt last week as the S&P 500 fell 2% despite confirmation that the Republicans also won the House of Representatives. The USD strengthened to a one-year high and gold had its worst weekly drop in three years. Trump's cabinet appointments raised concerns and led to a sell-off in pharmaceutical stocks on Friday. Upcoming events this week include the G20 Summit starting...

US equities stumbled yesterday, in contrast with a more positive day for European markets. The shift comes as investors reassess the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December, following a speech by Chairman Jerome Powell that suggested the economy was not sending any signals that would necessitate a rush to cut rates. Meanwhile, some ‘Trump trades’ have begun to unwind as investors cont...

European bourses closed Wednesday’s session lower. The Nasdaq followed suit in the US, with the Dow and the S&P 500 ekeing out small gains on the day. This followed the release of October US CPI data which came in as expected and added support to the expectation of another interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve in December. There was also further US political news last night as the Associ...

Following a strong start to the week, markets took a step back yesterday as investors continued to digest the implications of the US election outcome. With key events on the horizon – including a slew of earnings reports and the release of US inflation data later today – traders are cautious about the potential for further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Joining us to provide expert ana...

Stock markets in Europe and the US started the week on a high note, with all three major US indices hitting new record highs. However, the momentum did not carry over to the Asia-Pacific region, where markets fell across the board in overnight trading. Meanwhile, commodities were lower, with gold and oil also bucking the upward trend. In contrast, Bitcoin has been on a tear, rising nearly 30% sinc...

Donald Trump's presidential victory boosted US equities, with gains led by banks, energy and small caps – the S&P 500 had its best week so far this year. Bitcoin crossed USD 81,000 for the first time ever and Nvidia became the first company to surpass USD 3.6 trillion in market value. Meanwhile, China’s economic stimulus disappointed. Key economic data and earnings reports are due this week, i...

Global equities continued to celebrate the US election results, with European stocks joining the rally despite German Chancellor Olaf Scholz announcing potential snap elections. US equities hit new record highs yesterday, driven by technology stocks, upbeat earnings reports and another Fed rate cut. Chief Economist David Kohl expects this to be the last one for the year. And we also have Tim Gagie...

With Mr Trump confirmed as the next US President and a Republican sweep priced in as a 94% probability, US equities, especially those likely to benefit from his policy changes, took off yesterday. The rally was echoed by the US dollar and Bitcoin. US Treasuries sold off on expectations that Mr Trump’s fiscal plans and proposal to hike tariffs will boost inflation and erode the Fed’s ability to low...

Join us on MovingMarkets as we break down the market implications of a potential second term for Donald Trump. With his pro-growth policies, including corporate tax cuts, deregulation, and new tariffs, investors are betting on a boost to US stocks, the US dollar, and crypto assets. Meanwhile, concerns about inflation are driving up US Treasury yields. In this episode, we're joined by Dario Messi,...

While it's still anyone's guess who will become the next US President, some currency analysts took the latest polls favouring Kamala Harris to unwind some of their 'Trump trades' by selling the US dollar. US equities saw some volatility yesterday, but safe-haven US Treasuries rallied, suggesting that investors may be getting cautious ahead of the election result. Christian Gattiker, our Head of Re...

A busy week ahead with key events including the US presidential election, the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision, and China's National People's Congress meeting to name but a few. The latest Iowa poll shows Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump, despite him winning the state in 2016 and 2020. The US Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25bps on Wednesday. Among the 300 major...

Markets had a risk-off day, with global equities, gold and Bitcoin falling. Investors are getting jittery ahead of next week's US elections, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, and China's National People's Congress. European stocks slumped after the release of eurozone inflation data. Big Tech earnings disappointed, with Meta and Microsoft shares tumbling. Amazon was higher, but Apple w...

Global stock markets are facing headwinds as several high-profile companies have fallen short of earnings expectations. However, recent economic data releases have painted a more optimistic picture, with Germany's economy unexpectedly posting growth in Q3. In this episode, we're joined by Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, who shares his expert insights on the surge in the price of g...

European stock markets struggled yesterday, while US markets closed higher and a strong tech sector pushed the Nasdaq to a new all-time high. Earnings reports from top companies including Meta and Microsoft will be closely watched today as investors navigate high expectations and uncertain market conditions ahead of next week's US elections. An important event that is partly behind the recent rise...

Markets had a quiet session yesterday, but a flurry of earnings reports and economic data releases are set to breathe new life into trading in the coming days. The US presidential election and the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decision are also looming large on the horizon. Meanwhile in Europe, carmakers face significant challenges in maintaining profitability in a rapidly changing land...