Moving Markets

Equity markets remain fragile as a renewed focus on trade fears derailed a short-lived recovery in risky assets as a busy central bank week draws to a close. Tim Gagie, Head of FX & PM Solutions Geneva, talks about the impact of the latest central bank communications on currency markets, and what he expects for gold going forward. 00:00 Introduction by Bernadette Anderko (Investment Writing) 0...

The US Federal Reserve has kept interest rates steady at 4.25%-4.5%, while downgrading the growth forecast to 1.7% and increasing inflation expectations to 2.8%. Chairman Powell's comments sparked a positive market reaction, with the Treasury curve steepening and equities rising on hopes of future rate cuts. Meanwhile, Turkey's lira plummeted over 10% after the detention of Istanbul's mayor. The E...

The German parliament voted in favour of a significant fiscal package yesterday, paving the way for increased defence spending and a substantial infrastructure fund, subject to the bill passing through the Bundesrat on Friday. This news was warmly received by investors, helping to drive a solid performance in European markets. In contrast, the US market told a different story, with all three major...

It was a good day almost across the board for US stocks yesterday with rallies in all the major indices. The megacaps though did not fare so well and a gauge of the Magnificent 7 fell 1.1%. European markets rallied ahead of Germany’s debt brake vote which is expected to be successful in the Bundestag today. Asia joined in the rally party this morning with China tech stocks leading the charge. Japa...

After gold reached a record high on Friday, breaching USD 3,000 an ounce for the first time, driven by investor anxiety over the economic impact of tariffs and trade wars, US stocks managed to claw back some of last week’s harsh losses, but still ended the week in the red. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, shares his outlook for markets from a technical perspective. Cyril Demaria-Bengoch...

US trade policy continues to weigh heavily on financial market sentiment, leading to a dismal day for US equities yesterday. The S&P 500 officially entered correction territory, joining the Nasdaq, while the Russell 2000 approached bear market territory. However, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent played down concerns, stating that he was not worried about ‘a little bit of volatility over thr...

US equity indices rose modestly yesterday following relatively subdued inflation data. However, the rebound, that was driven primarily by the performance of the Magnificent Seven, was short-lived, while European markets continued to outpace their US counterparts. As the possibility of a US government shutdown this Saturday looms, investor sentiment remains cautious. Also on the show today is our G...

A fresh flurry of trade-policy headlines touched off another volatile trading day on Wall Street, with the S&P 500 Index’s three-week selloff briefly reaching 10% before paring some losses after Trump walked back on more tariff threats. Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy, will talk about the details of the recent sell-off and what it means for the market outlook. And we have Manuel Vill...

US markets plummeted yesterday due to growing fears of a looming recession, with the major US stock indices all falling sharply, amid ongoing trade tensions and uncertainty over the Trump administration's tariff policies. The sell-off was particularly brutal in the tech sector, while the VIX volatility index surged 19% and bond yields plunged, reflecting heightened investor anxiety. On today’s pod...

Last week, the S&P 500 fell 3.10% suffering its worst week since September last year. The Dow Jones fell 2.37%, while the Nasdaq Composite lost 3.45%. Meanwhile, in Europe the Stoxx 600 closed 0.46% lower on Friday, marking its first losing week in 2025. Nevertheless, Europe’s new plans to increase spending on defence did have a positive effect on the aerospace and defence sectors. Canada has...

US equity markets continued to sell-off yesterday, driven by disappointing tech-earnings, Chinese AI innovations, and the ongoing uncertainty surrounding Trump's tariff policy – even after he decided to exempt some goods from Mexico and Canada. In contrast, European equities largely defied the trend, with German equities continuing to rally. Joining us today to discuss the energy landscape is Norb...

European markets surged following German Chancellor-in-waiting Friedrich Merz's commitment to do 'whatever it takes' to ramp up defence and infrastructure, but this vow comes with a price tag:  increased fiscal spending. Consequently, government bond yields soared across the continent. Meanwhile, in the US, markets rebounded after President Donald Trump temporarily lifted his 25% tariffs on Canadi...

Investors have a lot to digest. With US tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China now in force – along with some retaliatory measures from affected countries – US Commerce Secretary Lutnick hinted that the US may reconsider some tariffs. Meanwhile, in Europe, the European Commission and Germany have unveiled plans to significantly increase defence spending. In Asia, all eyes are on China's National Peo...

US equities did not like the news of weak manufacturing data and President Trump's announcement of tariffs on Canadian and Mexican goods, as well as increased tariffs on Chinese imports. The move prompted swift retaliation from Canada and China, who imposed their own tariffs on US goods. The S&P 500 fell 1.8% and Nvidia dropped nearly 9% but defensive sectors, like healthcare and consumer stap...

US President Trump's surprise announcement that Bitcoin will be included in a new US strategic reserve saw its value soar over 20% from last week's lows. Meanwhile, investors are now in wait-and-see mode as to whether Trump will push through his planned 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada and the extra 10% on China this week. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, shares his outlook for markets...

Tariffs are back on the table after President Trump confirmed yesterday that the delayed tariffs on Mexico and Canada will take effect on 4 March, while China will face an additional 10% tariff on top of existing levies. While investors are still wondering if this is just a negotiating tactic or not, stock markets were broadly lower yesterday and overnight. Meanwhile, Nvidia had to say goodbye to...

The much-anticipated earnings report of chipmaker Nvidia, the posterchild of the AI revolution, failed to spark enthusiasm although it did suggest that the AI investment boom remains alive and well. For now, European stocks may be a good place for investors too with benchmark indices scaling fresh highs almost daily. Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation, shares his insights on how a potential pe...

US growth concerns and geopolitics keep investors busy ahead of Nvidia’s much-anticipated earnings report later today. Germany's incoming chancellor seeks to boost defence spending, while US yields decline amid uncertainty over Trump's policies and weaker-than-expected US consumer confidence data. Global markets react, with bonds rallying, the dollar down, and equities slipping, especially tech st...

US stock markets lost steam yesterday with big tech leading losses and the 10-year US Treasury yield moving back towards the 4.40% level while European bourses put in a mixed performance as investors digested the results of German federal election. Meanwhile the gold price continues to gain ground trading just shy of the USD 3000 mark. On today’s podcast we are also joined by Manuel Villegas Next...

The S&P 500 experienced a sharp decline on Friday, falling 1.7% in its worst session of 2025, after hitting record highs earlier in the week. Concerns about stagflation spooked investors. In Germany, the opposition conservative CDU/CSU won the election with 28.5% of the vote. In a first reaction, German equities and the EUR rose on Monday morning. Berkshire Hathaway reported strong earnings gr...

While the US labour market remains resilient despite a modest increase in initial jobless claims, concerns are growing about a potential stagflation scenario in the US. Meanwhile, in Europe, eurozone consumer sentiment improved slightly in February, albeit from a low base, and UK retail sales beat expectations. In Asia, markets digested news that Japan's inflation rate hit a two-year high of 4%, b...

US President Trump's plan to impose 25% tariffs on European imports triggered a sell-off in European markets. The European Stoxx 600 had its worst day of the year, while US markets closed flat. Bonds and currencies also felt the impact of the tariff news, with gold hitting a new all-time high overnight. And we also have Nicolas Jordan from the CIO office on the show to discuss the reasons behind t...

Hopes for an end to the conflict in Ukraine has provided a significant sentiment boost, driving European and US stocks to new heights. Despite ongoing discussions, announcements, and postponements of new tariffs, markets are increasingly looking beyond the short-term noise. For a deeper analysis of the latest developments, we turn to our experts. Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, offers...

European leaders yesterday called for increased spending to boost the continent's defence capabilities, amid hopes of a potential Ukraine/Russia peace deal. Meanwhile, Asian markets today are being led higher by a surge in Chinese technology stocks as investors express optimism about fresh potential support measures from the Chinese government. On today’s podcast, we are also joined by Manuel Vill...

Friday was a mixed bag for Europe’s and America’s main indices, but they still saw gains on the week. The Munich Security Conference gained more attention than usual as the world awaits a solution for Ukraine. As of Friday it seemed that Ukraine and Europe would be left out of negotiations to end the war, but since then US Secretary of State Marco Rubio has said that both Ukraine and Europe will b...