BBC Radio 4
More or Less
Tim Harford explains - and sometimes debunks - the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life.
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Episodes
Transgender Numbers, Parkrun and Snooker 02.02.2018 31:14
How many transgender people are there in the UK? The UK produces official statistics about all sorts of things – from economic indicators to demographic data. But it turns out there are no official figures for the number of transgender people in the UK. We explore what we do know, and what is harder to measure. Do 4% of the population drink nearly a third of the alcohol? According to recent headli...
Is the US Census Under Threat? 29.01.2018 9:04
The survey question that could affect the accuracy of its results. The United States are due to run their next nationwide census in 2020, but already critics are warning that underfunding and proposed question about citizenship could affect the accuracy of its results. We look at the real life consequences if groups choose not to complete the 2020 census, and ask whether the recent politically cha...
A Girl's First Time, Shark's Stomachs, Prime numbers 26.01.2018 23:46
First sexual experience - checking the facts A short film for the Draw A Line campaign has made the claim that one in three girls first sexual experience is rape. This seems shockingly high, but what is the evidence? Is it just for the UK or a global figure? We go back to the reports that were used to source the claim, and find the research has been misinterpreted. How long can a shark go for with...
WS More or Less: Real Lives Behind the Numbers 22.01.2018 8:58
If you ask an economist to explain what is happening in a country’s economy. They rely on economic data points to describe what is happening – they might talk about the unemployment rate, average wages, and the numbers of people in poverty. They pull together the information available for thousands or millions of people to work out trends. But are we getting the whole picture? We speak to Rachel S...
Gender Pay Gaps and How to Learn a Language 19.01.2018 27:47
Gender Pay Gap This week the Office for National Statistics has published analysis trying to find out why it is that on average women are paid less than men in specific industries and occupations. We examine their findings, as well as taking a look at the current discussion about equal pay at the BBC. Alcohol reaction times We take a look at a study that suggests that people's reaction speeds are...
WS More or Less: How Louis Bachelier Scooped Economists by Half a Century 15.01.2018 9:09
A forgotten French mathematician is the focus of our programme. He anticipated both Einstein's theories and the application of maths to the stock market. Born in the 1870s, his work was unusual at the time. With the help of Alison Etheridge, Professor of Mathematics at the University of Oxford, we explain how his ideas were rediscovered decades after his death. (Photo: Pocket watch. Credit: Kanyap...
Missed appointments, graduate pay, plus cocaine on bank notes 12.01.2018 28:13
Did missed appointments cost the NHS £1 billion last year? New figures published recently suggest that the financial cost to the NHS for missed appointments was £1 billion last year. But our listeners are curious. How has this figure been worked out? And don’t missed appointments actually ease the pressure on an overcrowded system? Graduate pay – is it always higher than non-graduates’ pay? It is...
WS More or Less: Just how rare is a hole-in-one? 07.01.2018 8:58
Why it isn’t as simple to work out as you think.
More or Less: Statistics of the Year 2017 31.12.2017 9:25
Phones, lawn mowers and how Kim Kardashian helped the public understanding of risk.
WS More or Less: Will Bitcoin use more electricity than the United States? 24.12.2017 9:40
Measuring the energy used to keep the cryptocurrency secure.
WS More or Less: Diet Coke Habit; 'Contained' Wildfires 18.12.2017 9:43
Could the US President’s Diet Coke habit affect his health? and 'contained' wildfires
WS More or Less: Does Eating Chocolate Make Your Brain Younger? 11.12.2017 10:21
Headlines claim that eating chocolate can protect you from developing Alzheimer’s disease. The theory is that bioactives within chocolate called flavanols can help reduce the risk of heart attacks, strokes and even make your brain 30 years younger! But isn’t this all a bit too good to be true? The BBC’s Head of Statistics, Robert Cuffe, investigates whether research findings are misrepresented by...
WS More or Less: Just how lucky are regular lottery winners? 04.12.2017 10:04
Are some people just very lucky? The maths suggest that is unlikely.
WS More or Less: How Rich was Jane Austen’s Mr Darcy? 26.11.2017 8:58
What the Pride and Prejudice character would have earned in today’s money.
How expensive is Italy's World Cup failure? 17.11.2017 8:58
The Italians are calling it the apocalypse. Their team has failed to make it to the World Cup for the first time in 60 years. But it is about more than just national pride - there is a financial cost too. Some have suggested that it will cost FIFA $100m. Is this really true? We speak to sports writer Graham Dunbar who has been counting how much money football's world governing body might lose out...
WS More or Less: Why Albums are Getting Longer 12.11.2017 13:18
Chris Brown’s latest album is stuffed with so many songs it runs at a sprawling two hours and twenty minutes. It’s only the latest in a string of lengthy album releases that includes artists like Drake, The Weeknd and Lil B. More or Less speaks to Hugh McIntyre, a music journalist who has found out that a numerical change in the way the album charts are measured is tempting artists into making lon...
WS More or Less: Do Nigerian lawmakers get $1.7m and do Yams cause twins? 05.11.2017 8:59
Finding out if Nigerian politicians really get paid more than the American President.
WS More or Less: Novelists in numbers 30.10.2017 8:58
Counting the favourite words of well-known authors: Stephen King, Hemingway and others
WS More or Less: Are US millennials more politically engaged online? 20.10.2017 8:58
Did the 2016 US election galvanise young people to become more engaged in politics?
How Richard Thaler changed Economics 13.10.2017 22:17
The behavioural economist who has inspired governments around the world.
WS More or Less: Kilobyte to Brontobyte 10.10.2017 8:58
Naming the monster numbers - how the names of digital storage files evolved.
WS More or Less: Big polluters - ships versus cars 02.10.2017 9:12
Do the largest ships emit as much pollution as all the cars in the world?
Uber; EU passports; counting domestic violence 29.09.2017 24:12
Is Uber safe? The post Brexit dual nationality surge and measuring partner abuse.
WS More or Less: Sperm - Are we going extinct? 25.09.2017 9:19
How much of a problem is falling sperm count?
Statistics abuse, tuition fees and beer in 1887 22.09.2017 25:22
Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson is accused of mis-using official statistics.
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