McAlvany Weekly Commentary

Secular Bear Markets are substantially longer & deeper than cyclical bears Dollar up over 11% – Gold only down 3.3% YTD NFTs (Digital Rocks) lose 90% YTD   Markets Fall: The Difference Between Old vs. Bold Pilots July 5, 2022 “You have bear

Credit has long been a tool for politicians Former NY FED President Dudley predicts “Inevitable” recession H.R. 2543 – See Attached Document In Notes https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/house-bill/2543/text   The Fed’s New

Powell’s .75% increase: ain’t Volcker, but it’s somethin’ Europe deploys “anti-fragmentation” grenade China & Empire… Rolls out third aircraft carrier   Everything Bubbles & Endless Summers… End

3.2 Trillion in leveraged bets to unwind this week Gold in relative terms up 50% vs Bitcoin, up 20% in Yen Powell’s Rock and Hard Place question: Implode or Inflate?   Market Horror: Three Witches and a Slice of Fruitcake June 14, 2022 “You do have t

PHD Central Bankers slapped with “NO Confidence” vote by Bond Markets The FED is 700 basis points behind the curve Trade settlement in Rubles and Yuan up 1067% in 100 days Bond Markets Revolt against Central Banks June 7, 2022 “This notion of

Oversold stock market bounces… (dead cat)? Russia & China fly joint “nuclear-capable,” bombers near Japan & South Korea Only 5 months ago the predicted inflation rate was 2.2%… oops The McAlvany Weekly Commentary with David

Inflation is the next global pandemic China’s Debt to GDP 280% & that’s an understatement For every $1 of productivity, $50 goes to the rich The McAlvany Weekly Commentary with David McAlvany and Kevin Orrick When Is Enough Enough … Or Not

“Perception management tool” is failing politicians Strawman? Biden pins inflation blame on wealthiest corporations Consumer Sentiment Plummets… Inflation Dragon Now Too Big To Hide May 17, 2022 “Here in the U.S., the most significant is

Powell: Hawk, Dove, or maybe both? Bitcoin breaks down through major support level Momentum Speculators of today should learn from RCA of yesterday   The McAlvany Weekly Commentary with David McAlvany and Kevin Orrick If You’re Addicted To Gain, Prep

FED Loses $500 billion in Q1 Netflix down 70% from peak, Amazon 30% down Japanese Yen loses 80% relative to gold in 22 years The McAlvany Weekly Commentary with David McAlvany and Kevin Orrick Mortgage Rates Explode… Housing Affordability Threshold? April

The five causes of prolonged warfare The pathways to avoiding prolonged warfare Realizing the economics of the War decision can lead to peaceful compromise Why We Fight: Interview with Christopher Blattman April 26, 2022 “Narratives can unravel this

From loose, looser, loosest policy to tight, tighter, tightest? Ukraine agricultural harvests will be cut in half this year Is China signaling preparation for war with the west?

Rates on 30 year mortgages rising at fastest pace since 2003 Gold up 13% over 12 months Ex-FED President Dudley “The Fed will have to shock the markets”   The McAlvany Weekly Commentary with David McAlvany and Kevin Orrick Inflation Makes

Is Russia/Ukraine an energy heist? Putin “will sell oil for Rubles” – Ruble rebounds Stimulus money still a coiled spring, only 30% has been spent https://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/business-sites/en/global/corporate/pdfs/energy-economics

The $500 trillion Interest Rate house of cards Stocks rally & bonds crumble Consumer Pessimism highest since WWII The McAlvany Weekly Commentary with David McAlvany and Kevin Orrick China Stockpiles 80% of World’s Copper & 70% of the World’s Corn

“Control oil & you control nations. Control food & you control people.” – Kissinger Russia & Ukraine generate 10% of all global calories Powell raises rates – How much more will he go before reversing again? Collectivis

London Metals Exchange cheats the rules & commits suicide for nickel Russia can only continue in Ukraine with China’s help German GDP to tumble if energy from Russia is halted https://www.econtribute.de/RePEc/ajk/ajkpbs/ECONtribute_PB_029_2022.p

Europe’s GREEN Agenda creates dependence on Putin’s energy U.S. severs buying of Russian Oil Battle-tested, gold is worth its weight   The McAlvany Weekly Commentary with David McAlvany and Kevin Orrick Is This Commodity Price Spike Trans

Russia & China to seek alternatives to the Dollar Why We Fight: Five key reasons for war March 1st, A year of inflation in a day   The McAlvany Weekly Commentary with David McAlvany and Kevin Orrick The SWIFT De-Dollarization Of The World March 1

Is your broker still managing as if there is no inflation? Can we really blame the Russians for $100 oil? James Grant: “Inflation is kryptonite to the financial markets”   The McAlvany Weekly Commentary with David McAlvany and Kevin Orric

Jeffrey Currie: “We’re out of everything, it’s the molecule crisis” Producer Price Index up to 9.7% Gold shines for 2022   The McAlvany Weekly Commentary with David McAlvany and Kevin Orrick Is It Financial Inclusion or Exclus

Central Banks tightening, credit markets take cover Flood insurance works well as long as there is no flood Advice: Prepare for difficult times.   The McAlvany Weekly Commentary with David McAlvany and Kevin Orrick Doug Noland: “Bubbles Don’t Work In

Central Banks are gobbling up Gold: Demand up 82% in 2021 China demand for gold up 36.5% Derivatives traded exceeds stocks traded The McAlvany Weekly Commentary with David McAlvany and Kevin Orrick Runaway Train Towards Recession: Complements of The FED F

What will Putin do after he attends the Olympics in China? U.S. is “overstretched superpower” & Xi & Putin know it. Join us for the Q4 Tactical Short Call – Click Here To Register The McAlvany Weekly Commentary with David McAlvan

Coup of 22: Elizabeth Warren seizes control of American credit Who needs the “war distraction,” most? Xi, Putin, or Biden? Need income? Evergrande debt is paying 99%! He Who Controls The Credit Makes The Rules January 18, 2022 “The checks that