Market Pulse by Monex USA

The U.S. Dollar is broadly softer as markets digest the official reopening of the U.S. government after the longest shutdown on record, with weeks of missing data still clouding visibility and keeping investors cautious despite a modest return of risk-taking. Odds of a December Federal Reserve rate cut have fallen to about fifty-two percent, yet […]

The U.S. Dollar is trading in familiar ranges as markets return from Veterans Day and await resolution of the U.S. government shutdown, with a vote expected on day forty-three; historically, the S and P five hundred has risen after prior federal recess announcements except in twenty eighteen. Caution prevails amid weak private labor gauges, recent […]

This morning's market is defined by a softer U.S. dollar, which has fallen to its weakest point since late last month on optimism that Washington is progressing toward a deal to reopen the federal government. This has fueled a risk-on tone ahead of the Tuesday holiday, with global equities, futures, gold, oil, and Bitcoin all […]

The U.S. Dollar softened as markets grew uneasy about labor risks and uncertainty around the government shutdown, though negotiations appear to be gaining traction. Banxico delivered a twenty-five–basis-point cut but hawkish-leaning language and rising inflation supported the Mexican Peso, which is up eleven point zero percent in 2025. In Canada, a surprisingly strong October jobs […]

The U.S. dollar softened to its weakest level in a week after a sharp downside surprise in labor data, with October Challenger Job Cuts showing tens of thousands of layoffs and a year-on-year jump of 175.3 percent versus an expected negative 25.8 percent. The deterioration in jobs data boosts expectations that the Federal Reserve could […]

The U.S. dollar is holding near its strongest levels since late July as October’s ADP report showed 42,000 jobs added versus 30,000 expected, hinting at stabilization after September’s contraction. This eases pressure for immediate Federal Reserve cuts, with market odds around a 25-basis-point reduction in December near 66 percent. At 9:45 AM, the S & […]

The U.S. Dollar rallied to multi-month highs as investors rotated into safe-haven assets amid concerns over high valuations and market concentration, with tech sector disappointment, notably Palantir, weighing on risk appetite. ISM manufacturing marked an eighth straight month of contraction and delivery delays for imported goods pressured new orders, while the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index […...

The U.S. dollar starts November firm as signals from Washington and Beijing ease fears of rapid economic decoupling, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index up one point seven percent in October. With limited official data amid government shutdown risk, markets keep Fed rate-cut odds near sixty percent, elevating the importance of Wednesday’s ADP jobs report […]

As October concludes, the U.S. Dollar is ending the week with a slight gain, potentially finishing the month up by one percent, influenced by tariffs and central bank policies amidst tentative trade de-escalation. Broader equity markets are softening as enthusiasm for further easing fades, though odds for a twenty-five basis point Fed cut in December […]

The U.S. Dollar climbed to fresh highs after a hawkish-leaning Federal Reserve cut of 25 basis points, with dissent among policymakers and Chair Powell signaling a December cut is not guaranteed, pushing rate-cut odds down to 69.0 percent. With the U.S. government shutdown delaying Jobless Claims and third-quarter GDP, markets remain headline-driven amid reported U.S.–China […]

The U.S. Dollar is trading mixed ahead of today’s 2 PM Fed decision, with markets expecting continued rate cuts but bracing for potential hawkish commentary from Chair Powell that could spur treasury volatility and lift the dollar. Trade sentiment improves ahead of a South Korea meeting between Presidents Xi and Trump, with talk of a […]

The U.S. Dollar is trading in familiar ranges as markets await tomorrow's Federal Open Market Committee decision, with equities finding support as roughly seventy point zero percent of S&P 500 firms beat sales estimates amidst mixed international trade headlines. Key currency movements include Sterling falling to an early-August low following a potential U.K. productivity downgrade, [&#823...

The U.S. dollar starts the week slightly weaker as improved global risk sentiment on trade and diplomacy lifts S and P five hundred futures by about one point zero percent. Markets are focused on a packed central bank calendar—the Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada on Wednesday and the European Central Bank on Thursday—alongside heavy […]

The U.S. dollar softened initially on softer-than-expected September inflation, reinforcing expectations for continued Federal Reserve rate cuts, but later recovered as October S and P PMIs beat estimates and reversed earlier losses; in Europe, H C O B PMIs showed expansion in both manufacturing and services, with manufacturing rising above the fifty expansion threshold for […]

Markets are cautious with the U.S. Dollar trading mixed as investors digest new U.S. sanctions on Russia’s Rosneft and Lukoil, which sent equities lower and Brent crude up five percent to around sixty five dollars per barrel. Attention turns to tomorrow’s PMI releases across the U.S., U.K., and Euro-zone, alongside the delayed September CPI, amid […]

The U.S. Dollar is trading within tight ranges as markets await the U.S. September Consumer Price Index report due this Friday. With a limited flow of domestic data due to the ongoing government shutdown, equities are holding steady on improved sentiment regarding China-U.S. relations and any developments in Eastern Europe peace talks. In other market […]

The U.S. Dollar strengthens as a safe-haven asset while a global stock rally pauses, with investors awaiting Friday's key September CPI report for its potential impact on the Federal Reserve's policy ahead of reporting companies have beaten earnings expectations, equities and gold are both easing from recent highs. The Euro remains soft due to fiscal […]

The U.S. Dollar holds to familiar ranges amid eased U.S.–China tariff tensions signaled on social media, while a fourth week of U.S. government shutdown keeps key data from BLS, BEA, and Census offline; equities steadied on earnings. Near term, any progress on China trade could support the global growth narrative and weigh on the Dollar, […]

The U.S. dollar traded in tight ranges but slightly softer as tensions around U.S.-China trade talks eased, pulling the Cboe Volatility Index back from April highs and leaving the dollar on track for its largest five-day loss since late July; in the U.S., the ongoing government shutdown is limiting official data flow, so Purchasing Managers […]

The US Dollar remains stable with little economic data to drive movement. Global stocks are on the rise, boosted by positive earnings from tech companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and a strong performance from the S&P 500. Meanwhile, Gold is reaching new highs, showing a significant 60% increase in value this year.

The U.S. Dollar is drifting lower within familiar ranges as U.S.–China trade tensions remain the dominant market driver. While the U.S. floats broad tariff hikes, China is responding with targeted measures—including shipping constraints and reduced soybean purchases—escalating cross-border friction. Domestically, the third week of the U.S. government shutdown is limiting economic visibility by del...

The U.S. Dollar strengthened to its highest level since late July after a long banking weekend marked by escalating U.S.–China tensions, including a Friday announcement of one hundred percent tariffs on Chinese imports that triggered an equity selloff. The negative market reaction overshadowed progress on a Gaza ceasefire, while China’s sanctions on parts of a […]

The U.S. Dollar is poised to end the week about one point zero percent stronger, according to the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, as markets navigate geopolitical breakthroughs and mixed risk sentiment. With official government releases delayed, investors are leaning on private gauges to assess labor and inflation trends, while the Bureau of Labor Statistics aims […]

The U.S. Dollar is trading mixed as markets react to signs of progress toward a ceasefire in the Israel–Hamas conflict, lifting risk sentiment. Stocks remain near record highs amid ongoing enthusiasm for artificial intelligence, though doubts are emerging about its real-world impact. Policymakers are signaling concern about a softening labor market, with New York Fed […]