Market Misbehavior with David Keller, CMT

In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Tom Martin, Senior Portfolio Manager at Globalt Investments. Recorded 2/18/26. We dig into what’s driving markets in early 2026—why the S&P has gone “flat at the highs,” what elevated valuations mean in a screen-based, highly connected economy, and how AI CapEx is shifting the conversation from hype to ROI. Tom also shares ho...

In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Gina Martin Adams, Chief Market Strategist at HB Wealth. Recorded 2/17/26. We dig into what’s driving markets in early 2026—why leadership has shifted away from large-cap growth, how earnings season changed the outlook (even as Q4 results beat expectations), and why price-to-sales ratios may be the most “bubble-like” signal in th...

In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Rob Haworth of U.S. Bank Asset Management. We dig into what’s driving markets in early 2026—economic momentum vs headline risk, the real story behind consumer strength, how tariffs have filtered through inflation and earnings, the role of the Fed amid data uncertainty, and why elevated valuations make the 10-year Treasury yield t...

In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, I’m joined by John Kolovos, CFA CMT, Chief Technical Strategist at Macro Risk Advisors and current President of the CMT Association.  Recorded 1/29/26. We dig into what’s driving markets in early 2026—earnings season “gap lessons,” breadth and rotation, small caps vs large caps, precious metals, international equities, and why the U.S. dollar may...

A wide-ranging macro conversation with Simeon Hyman, Global Investment Strategist at ProShares. We explore what the first Fed meeting of 2026 may (and may not) change, why the “easy” rate cuts could be behind us, how to think about the dollar’s pullback, and what the strength in gold, commodities, and international equities may be signaling. Recorded 1/27/26. Simeon introduces a simple but powerfu...

Surviving the short term is often the price of admission for long-term success. In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Ted Hicks—portfolio manager, wealth manager, founder of Hicks & Associates Wealth Management, and author of Evidence-Based Investing—to unpack what “evidence-based” decision-making looks like in practice, especially in a choppy market environment....

In this episode, Dave is joined by Joe Rabil of Rabil Stock Research—one of my favorite chart-focused voices and a fellow StockCharts contributor. Joe describes his process as “trend following on steroids,” and he explains why this environment demands discipline: the major indexes can look fine on the surface, but momentum has been fading and leadership has been shifting beneath the hood. We dig i...

Markets don’t just move on fundamentals—they move on themes, positioning, and policy. In this episode, I’m joined by Matt Tuttle, founder of Tuttle Capital Management, to break down his “HEAT” framework: Hedge, Edge, Asymmetry, and Themes—and how those four ideas shape his daily approach to risk and opportunity. We discuss why Matt believes you should always be hedged, what real “edges” look like...

Jason Shapiro—featured in Unknown Market Wizards as “the contrarian”—joins me to unpack what actually creates longevity in trading: surviving drawdowns, learning from mistakes, and building a repeatable process built on risk-reward rather than prediction. We talk about how early wipeouts shaped his discipline, why “being right” is a trap, and why the best traders can lose more often than they win...

Seasonality isn’t a crystal ball—it’s a framework. In the 82nd episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast , Dave chats with Jeff Hirsch, editor of the Stock Trader’s Almanac, to review what surprised us in 2025 and how seasonal tendencies, election-cycle history, and market signals can help investors set expectations for 2026. Topics covered include: what the Almanac says about midterm election yea...

Sector rotation doesn’t always show up clearly on the index chart—it often reveals itself underneath the surface. In the 83rd episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, I’m joined by Julius de Kempenaer, founder of RRG Research and creator of the Relative Rotation Graph, to discuss the late-2025 change in market character and what relative strength analysis is signaling as markets hover near all-t...

In the 81st episode of The Market Misbehavior Podcast, Dave Keller sits down with Steve Sosnick, Chief Strategist at Interactive Brokers. With a career that spans from the 1982 market low through the crash of ’87, the dot-com boom, and today’s AI-driven markets, Steve brings a rare combination of historical perspective and real-world trading wisdom. They dig into the AI trade, bubble analogies, tr...

In the 80th episode of the Market Misbehavior Podcast, Dave speaks with Joanne Bianco, Senior Investment Strategist at BondBloxx and longtime fixed income portfolio manager. Joanne shares how she thinks about the macro backdrop, why corporate credit fundamentals remain strong, and how investors can use bond ETFs—across Treasuries, investment grade, high yield, and private credit—to build smarter f...

In the 79th episode of The Market Misbehavior Podcast, host Dave Keller sits down with Alan Ellman, founder of The Blue Collar Investor and a longtime educator on options strategies. Alan walks through a live example of a cash-secured put, explaining how he screens for elite stocks, sets strikes for downside protection, and manages risk through disciplined trade management. He also contrasts cover...

For the 78th episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave Keller sits down with technical analyst Andrew Thrasher, a two-time Charles H. Dow Award winner and portfolio manager at Financial Enhancement Group. Andrew shares how he built a routine-driven process, why market breadth is his primary tell in a concentrated market, and what his research reveals about volatility compression and the “5%...

In the 77th episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave Keller sits down with Jerry Robinson (FollowTheMoney.com) to explore his journey from day trading to swing trading to position trading—and the mindset shifts required along the way. Jerry shares how he “follows the money” with weekly trend models, the 40-week/200-day moving average, RSI, stochastics, and candlesticks, plus why he trades a...

In the 76th episode of The Market Misbehavior Podcast, host Dave Keller sits down with Steven Bavaria—author of The Income Factory and publisher of “Inside the Income Factory” on Seeking Alpha—to explore a radically different way of thinking about portfolio growth. Rather than chasing price appreciation, Steven explains how to build long-term wealth through credit-driven income streams, steady rei...

In the 75th episode of The Market Misbehavior Podcast, host Dave Keller sits down with Mike Dickson, Head of Research & Quantitative Strategies at Horizon Investments, for a deep dive on benchmarks, factor models, and why the path of returns matters as much as the destination. Drawing on his journey from academia to portfolio management, Mike explains how to translate elegant backtests into re...

In the 74th episode of The Market Misbehavior Podcast, host Dave Keller sits down with Jonathan Hoenig, founder of Capitalist Pig Asset Management, for a wide-ranging discussion on markets, discipline, and the enduring importance of price. Recorded live at the MoneyShow Orlando, the conversation traces Jonathan’s career from the trading pits of the Chicago Board of Trade to his evolution as a port...

In the 73rd episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Alicia Levine, Head of Investment Strategy and Equities at BNY Wealth, joins Dave Keller to share her perspective on U.S. markets, global policy shifts, and the delicate balance between long-term fundamentals and short-term volatility. Recorded live at the MoneyShow Orlando, Alicia explains why she still views the U.S. economy as exceptional,...

In the 72nd episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, former health-insurance exec Vibha Jha shares how she taught herself to invest, posted triple-digit returns, and topped the U.S. Investing Championship leaderboard—three separate years. We dig into her rules for buying, selling, handling earnings season, and using tools like follow-through days and the 21-day EMA. If you’ve ever wondered how t...

In the 71st episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave speaks with Tom Atkinson, Co-founder of FX Evolution.  Tom shares hard-won lessons on risk management (including how he caps sector exposure), scaling into winners, avoiding FOMO, and using market cycles and macro “pillars” (population, innovation, debt) to stay on the right side of big trends in 2025.  Recorded 10/13/25. You can learn mo...

In the 70th episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave speaking with Simon Ree, Founder of The Tao of Trading.  Simon discusses how martial arts training has helped him become a more mindful trader, how he uses moving average ribbon techniques to define market trends, warning signs he's looking for in Q4 after the incredible run higher for stocks, and how he coaches traders to use the op...

In the 69th episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave catches up with Mary Ellen McGonagle, Founder and President of MEM Investment Research.  Mary Ellen discusses her formative years as an institutional investor, lessons learned working with legendary investor William O'Neil, a new phase for the AI trade, strategies for playing overextended charts, and the biggest risks for equities in...

In the 68th episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave catches up with Frank Cappelleri, CMT, Founder & President of CappThesis.  Franks address the S&P 500 index becoming overbought, the relationship between the S&P 500 and Bitcoin, top trend following indicators and techniques, how Darvis boxes help understand the pace of an uptrend, and strategies based on trendline breaks.  Re...