Bilal Hafeez
Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez
We talk economics and markets with leading policymakers and investors.
Be sure to visit the podcast's website and support the creator: macrohive.com
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Episodes
Ep. 217: Mustafa Chowdhury on Surging Wealth, Hidden Bond Buyers and Fed Mistakes 24.05.2024 44:35
Mustafa is a rates guru and member of the research team at Macro Hive. Before this, Mustafa was the Head of Rates, FX, and Derivatives at Voya Investments, where he helped manage $40 billion of assets. Prior to that, he was a Managing Director and Head of US Rates and MBS Strategy at Deutsche Bank. And in the 1990s, he was Co-Head of Asset-Liability Management at Freddie Mac, where he was responsi...
Ep. 216: Dominique Dwor-Frecaut on Inflation Persistence, Immigration Surge and Trump Effect 17.05.2024 38:30
Dominique Dwor-Frecaut is the Chief US economist and macro strategist for Macro Hive and is based in Los Angeles. Before that, she worked at various hedge funds including Bridgewater. Prior to the buy side, she worked at the New York Fed, the IMF, and the World Bank. She holds a PhD in economics from the London School of Economics. This episode covers the t wo regime model of inflation, that f ina...
Ep. 215: Nick Rohatyn on How to Navigate Emerging Markets Investing 10.05.2024 51:02
Nick Rohatyn is Founder and serves as Chief Executive Officer of The Rohatyn Group. TRG is a global asset manager specialising in emerging markets and real assets, with over $8bn in assets under management. Prior to founding TRG in 2002, Nick spent 19-years at J.P. Morgan, including 5 years as a member of J.P. Morgan's executive management team, holding a variety of leadership positions in emergin...
Ep. 214: Lindsay Politi on Higher Inflation Regime, Recession Risks and Debt Dynamics 03.05.2024 30:41
Lindsay Politi is Head of Inflation Strategies at One River Asset Management. Lindsay began her career at Wellington Management in Boston where she was head of Global Inflation-linked Investments. In that role she was one of the top TIPS managers by assets, managing over $10 billion in dedicated assets, with a top quintile track record for excess in her peer group. She then joined Tudor Investment...
Ep. 213: Bilal Hafeez on Fed Cuts, Dollar Strength and AI Hype 26.04.2024 42:09
Bilal is the CEO and Head of Research at Macro Hive. Before that, Bilal was Global Head of International Fixed Income Strategy at Nomura, and Head of Multi-Asset Research and Advisor to the CEO at Deutsche Bank. Bilal started his twenty-year career at JP Morgan. Academically, Bilal was an Honorary Visiting Professor of Finance at Cass Business School and studied Economics at St Johns College, Camb...
Ep. 212: Nick Baltas on Mastering Systematic Strategies from Alpha to AI 19.04.2024 56:51
Nick Baltas is a managing director and head of R&D, cross-asset delta-one and commodity systematic trading strategies at Goldman Sachs. Prior to joining Goldman Sachs in 2017, Nick was an executive director in the quantitative research unit of UBS. Previously, he was a lecturer in finance at Imperial College Business School, a visiting lecturer at Queen Mary University of London, as well as a risk...
Ep. 211: John Coates on How a Few Financial Institutions Control Everything 12.04.2024 1:08:17
John Coates is the Deputy Dean of Harvard Law School. He has served at the Securities and Exchange Commission, and was a partner at Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz, specializing in financial institutions. He has testified before Congress and provided consulting services to the Department of Justice, the Department of Treasury, and the New York Stock Exchange. He is author of the 'The Problem of Twe...
Ep. 210: Mark Koyama on What Makes Some Nations Richer Than Others 05.04.2024 1:03:01
This podcast is sponsored by Supernormal ( Supernormal - AI That Writes Your Meeting Notes / https://supernormal.com/ ). Mark Koyama is Associate Professor of Economics at George Mason University and Mercatus Center. Mark earned his PhD in Economics from the University of Oxford. He focuses on how historical institutions functioned and on the relationship between culture and economic performan...
Ep. 209: Darrell Duffie on Treasury Market Dysfunction, Dollar Dominance and CBDC 28.03.2024 47:59
Darrell Duffie is a leading expert on bond markets. He is the Adams Distinguished Professor of Management and Professor of Finance at the Graduate School of Business, Stanford University. He has been on the finance faculty at Stanford since receiving his Ph. D. from Stanford in 1984. He is author of several books, including 'Fragmenting Markets: Post-Crisis Bank Regulations and Financial Market Li...
Ep. 208: David Dredge on Inflation, Underpriced Risks and Sharpe Ratio Flaws 22.03.2024 58:58
David Dredge is the Chief Investment Officer of Convex Strategies, which is an agnostic value investor in volatility. David has over 30 years experience managing risk across global markets. Prior to launching Convex Strategies, David served as a Managing Director and Portfolio Manager at Artradis Fund Management in Singapore, where he was responsible for the fixed income aspects of their volatilit...
Ep. 207: Dave DeWalt on Cyber Warfare, Attacks on US Election, and AI 15.03.2024 46:54
Dave DeWalt is Founder, CEO, and Managing Director of NightDragon , an investment and advisory firm focused on growth and late-stage cybersecurity, safety, security, and privacy companies. Before NightDragon , Dave helped create more than $20 billion in shareholder value during his 15-plus years as President and CEO of Documentum, McAfee, and FireEye. That includes driving the most successful cybe...
Ep. 206: Nigel Toon on How AI Thinks and How We Can Control It 08.03.2024 1:00:47
This podcast is sponsored by Supernormal ( https://supernormal.com/ ). Nigel Toon is the founder of Graphcore, which builds unique IPU chips designed for AI. He sits as a Non-Executive Director on the board of the UK Research and Innovation Council and has sat on the UK Prime Minister's Business Council. He has been ranked #1 on Business Insider's UK Tech 100 and named as one of the 'Top 100 e...
Ep. 205: Gary Gerstle on Unprecedented Trump, Unrecognised Biden, and Unusual Times 01.03.2024 48:20
Gary Gerstle is the Paul Mellon Professor of American History Emeritus and Paul Mellon Director of Research at the University of Cambridge. He is the author and editor of more than ten books, including two prize-winners, American Crucible: Race and Nation in the Twentieth Century (2017) and Liberty and Coercion: The Paradox of American Government from the Founding to the Present (2015). His most r...
Ep. 204: Claudia Sahm on Inflation Risks, Fed Cuts, and Recession 23.02.2024 1:08:02
Claudia Sahm is a well-known, highly regarded, Washington-based expert on monetary and fiscal policy and forecasting. She has advised decision-makers at the Federal Reserve, White House, and Congress. She created a widely used and highly accurate recession indicator, the Sahm rule. Sahm is the founder of Stay-at-Home Macro (SAHM) Consulting. Previously, she was a section chief at the Federal Reser...
Ep. 203: Melanie Mitchell on Can Artificial Intelligence Beat Human Thinking 16.02.2024 52:30
Melanie Mitchell is one of the leading AI researchers in the world. She is Professor at the Santa Fe Institute. Her current research focuses on conceptual abstraction and analogy-making in artificial intelligence systems. Melanie is the author or editor of six books and numerous scholarly papers in the fields of artificial intelligence, cognitive science, and complex systems. Her most recent book...
Ep. 202: Alberto Gallo on Trump, Fiscal Risks, and Market Outlook 09.02.2024 44:05
Alberto Gallo is Chief Investment Officer and Co-founder at Andromeda Capital Management. Prior to that, Alberto initiated and ran the Global Credit Opportunities fund at Algebris Investments. Previously, he ran macro credit research at RBS in London, and served in senior research roles at Goldman Sachs in New York, Bear Stearns in New York and London, and Merrill Lynch in London. In this podcast...
Ep. 201: Henry Ritchotte on Managing Banks, Start-Ups, and the New Investment Era 02.02.2024 56:36
Henry Ritchotte is the Founder of RitMir Ventures, investing in financial services businesses with a focus on regulatory- and technology-driven business models. Before that, Henry served as Chief Digital Officer of Deutsche Bank, creating the blueprint for a digital challenger bank within Deutsche Bank. Previously, Henry was Chief Operating Officer and a member of the Management Board and Group Ex...
Ep. 200: Julia Azari on Trump's Dictatorial Powers, Biden's Unpopularity, and US Elections 26.01.2024 1:07:42
Julia Azari is Professor in the Department of Political Science at Marquette University. She holds a Ph. D in political science from Yale University. Her research focuses on the American presidency, American political parties, political communication, and American political development. She is the author of 'Delivering the People's Message: The Changing Politics of the Presidential Mandate'. She i...
Ep. 199: Dominique Dwor-Frecaut on Fed Slashing Rates and Trump Winning 19.01.2024 25:05
Dominique Dwor-Frecaut is the Chief US economist and macro strategist for Macro Hive and is based in Los Angeles. Before that, she worked at various hedge funds including Bridgewater. Prior to the buy side, she worked at the New York Fed, the IMF , and the World Bank. She holds a PhD in economics from the London School of Economics. This episode covers what has made Dominique switch from being haw...
Ep. 198: Chris Rauh on How to Use AI to Predict Conflicts 12.01.2024 49:52
Chris Rauh is a Professor of Economics and Data Science at the University of Cambridge. He works with complex datasets and applied methodologies, including machine learning and structural modelling. He co-founded conflictforecast.org and has conducted projects for Britain's Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office, the German Foreign Office, and the IMF. He's also listed amongst the top 1% of...
Ep. 197: John Floyd on the Biggest Trades and Risks for 2024 05.01.2024 48:35
John was previously Head of Macro Strategies at Record Currency Management, an $80 billion currency manager. Prior to that, John was Chairman and CIO of Floyd Plus Currency Fund. Before that, John was a Senior Macro Proprietary Trader at Deutsche Bank and Senior Portfolio Manager at the highly successful $3bn Swiss Bank Currency Fund. John's successful track record in both macro and currency only...
Ep. 196: Rerelease: Niall Ferguson on Cold War 2, Middle East Conflict and Woke Students 29.12.2023 52:33
This podcast was recorded in March 2023. Niall Ferguson is the Milbank Family Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution, Stanford University, and a senior faculty fellow of the Belfer Center at Harvard, where he served for twelve years as the Laurence A. Tisch Professor of History. He is the author of sixteen books. This includes the international bestseller, The Ascent of Money: A Financi...
Ep. 195: Bilal Hafeez on 2023 Surprises, Getting AI Right, and Best TV of 2023 22.12.2023 50:42
Bilal is the CEO and Head of Research at Macro Hive. Before that, Bilal was Global Head of International Fixed Income Strategy at Nomura, and Head of Multi-Asset Research and Advisor to the CEO at Deutsche Bank. Bilal started his twenty-year career at JP Morgan. Academically, Bilal was an Honorary Visiting Professor of Finance at Cass Business School and studied Economics at St Johns College, Camb...
Ep. 194: Liang Ding on Can China Avoid a Hard Landing 15.12.2023 33:40
Liang is currently based in Shanghai and has close to twenty years of market experience as a currency strategist, China economist, portfolio manager, and quant analyst. He has worked for DWS, Sal Oppenheim, and Union Invest. This week's podcast covers: sentiment on the streets of Shanghai, how the China economy performed over 2023, more supply than demand, and much more. Follow us here for more...
Shiloh Bates on Demystifying CLO Myths 08.12.2023 41:04
Shiloh Bates is the Chief Investment Officer of Flat Rock Global in 2018 – a $750mn credit manager. Prior to joining Flat Rock Global, Shiloh was a Managing Director at Benefit Street Partners, and Head of Structured Products at BDCA Advisor. During his 20-year career, Shiloh has worked for several CLO managers and invested over $1.5 billion in CLO securities. He is the author of the recently publ...
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