Bilal Hafeez
Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez
We talk economics and markets with leading policymakers and investors.
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Episodes
Ep. 201: Henry Ritchotte on Managing Banks, Start-Ups, and the New Investment Era 02.02.2024 56:36
Henry Ritchotte is the Founder of RitMir Ventures, investing in financial services businesses with a focus on regulatory- and technology-driven business models. Before that, Henry served as Chief Digital Officer of Deutsche Bank, creating the blueprint for a digital challenger bank within Deutsche Bank. Previously, Henry was Chief Operating Officer and a member of the Management Board and Group Ex...
Ep. 200: Julia Azari on Trump's Dictatorial Powers, Biden's Unpopularity, and US Elections 26.01.2024 1:07:42
Julia Azari is Professor in the Department of Political Science at Marquette University. She holds a Ph. D in political science from Yale University. Her research focuses on the American presidency, American political parties, political communication, and American political development. She is the author of 'Delivering the People's Message: The Changing Politics of the Presidential Mandate'. She i...
Ep. 199: Dominique Dwor-Frecaut on Fed Slashing Rates and Trump Winning 19.01.2024 25:05
Dominique Dwor-Frecaut is the Chief US economist and macro strategist for Macro Hive and is based in Los Angeles. Before that, she worked at various hedge funds including Bridgewater. Prior to the buy side, she worked at the New York Fed, the IMF , and the World Bank. She holds a PhD in economics from the London School of Economics. This episode covers what has made Dominique switch from being haw...
Ep. 198: Chris Rauh on How to Use AI to Predict Conflicts 12.01.2024 49:52
Chris Rauh is a Professor of Economics and Data Science at the University of Cambridge. He works with complex datasets and applied methodologies, including machine learning and structural modelling. He co-founded conflictforecast.org and has conducted projects for Britain's Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office, the German Foreign Office, and the IMF. He's also listed amongst the top 1% of...
Ep. 197: John Floyd on the Biggest Trades and Risks for 2024 05.01.2024 48:35
John was previously Head of Macro Strategies at Record Currency Management, an $80 billion currency manager. Prior to that, John was Chairman and CIO of Floyd Plus Currency Fund. Before that, John was a Senior Macro Proprietary Trader at Deutsche Bank and Senior Portfolio Manager at the highly successful $3bn Swiss Bank Currency Fund. John's successful track record in both macro and currency only...
Ep. 196: Rerelease: Niall Ferguson on Cold War 2, Middle East Conflict and Woke Students 29.12.2023 52:33
This podcast was recorded in March 2023. Niall Ferguson is the Milbank Family Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution, Stanford University, and a senior faculty fellow of the Belfer Center at Harvard, where he served for twelve years as the Laurence A. Tisch Professor of History. He is the author of sixteen books. This includes the international bestseller, The Ascent of Money: A Financi...
Ep. 195: Bilal Hafeez on 2023 Surprises, Getting AI Right, and Best TV of 2023 22.12.2023 50:42
Bilal is the CEO and Head of Research at Macro Hive. Before that, Bilal was Global Head of International Fixed Income Strategy at Nomura, and Head of Multi-Asset Research and Advisor to the CEO at Deutsche Bank. Bilal started his twenty-year career at JP Morgan. Academically, Bilal was an Honorary Visiting Professor of Finance at Cass Business School and studied Economics at St Johns College, Camb...
Ep. 194: Liang Ding on Can China Avoid a Hard Landing 15.12.2023 33:40
Liang is currently based in Shanghai and has close to twenty years of market experience as a currency strategist, China economist, portfolio manager, and quant analyst. He has worked for DWS, Sal Oppenheim, and Union Invest. This week's podcast covers: sentiment on the streets of Shanghai, how the China economy performed over 2023, more supply than demand, and much more. Follow us here for more...
Shiloh Bates on Demystifying CLO Myths 08.12.2023 41:04
Shiloh Bates is the Chief Investment Officer of Flat Rock Global in 2018 – a $750mn credit manager. Prior to joining Flat Rock Global, Shiloh was a Managing Director at Benefit Street Partners, and Head of Structured Products at BDCA Advisor. During his 20-year career, Shiloh has worked for several CLO managers and invested over $1.5 billion in CLO securities. He is the author of the recently publ...
Yesha Yadav on Crypto Bankruptcies, Stablecoin, and Treasury Market issues 01.12.2023 43:02
Yesha Yadav is Associate Dean and Professor of Law at Vanderbilt University Law School. She is one of the world's leading experts on financial and securities regulation. Before Vanderbilt, Yesha worked as legal counsel with the World Bank and before that she practiced regulatory and derivatives law at Clifford Chance. This week's podcast covers key bankruptcies in crypto from Celsius to FTX, crypt...
Greg Lippmann on The Big Short, Latest US Housing View, and Finding Alpha in Structured Products 24.11.2023 45:30
Greg Lippmann is the Managing Founding Partner and the Chief Investment Office r of the $9.8bn asset management firm, LibreMax . Prior to founding LibreMax , Greg was head of all non-agency RMBS, ABS , and CDO trading globally at Deutsche Bank . His prescient call on the subprime crisis was immortalized in the book and film The Big Short . In the film, Gre g i s played by Ryan Gosling . In this po...
Charlie McElligott on Year-End Rally, Duration Buying, and Carnivore Diets 17.11.2023 36:22
Charlie McElligott is the leading expert on all things positioning, flow, sentiment, and quant factors. He is a Managing Director and Cross-Asset Macro Strategist for the Global Markets Americas business at Nomura Securities International, with more than 15 years' experience in macro markets. Prior to joining Nomura, Charlie was Head of US Cross-Asset Macro Strategy at RBC Capital Markets. Before...
Dr Douglas Greenig on Trend-Following, the End of Pax-Americana, and Why He ls Long Volatility 17.11.2023 57:23
Dr Douglas Greenig is the CEO, CIO, and founder of Florin Court Capital, a systematic, trend-following asset manager uniquely broad in its focus on over 500 markets. Doug has over 25 years of experience in portfolio management and trading. Prior to founding Florin Court, Doug started in markets on Goldman Sachs' bond arbitrage proprietary desk through the late '90s after being hired as an Assistan...
Marc Goldwein on the Unprecedented US Budget Problem and How to Fix It 10.11.2023 38:38
Marc Goldwein is the Senior Vice President and Senior Policy Director for the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, where he guides and conducts research on a wide array of topics related to fiscal policy and the federal budget. He works regularly with Members of Congress and their staffs on budget-related issues. In this podcast we discuss: the scale of US debt and deficit, how COVID impact...
Macro Hive Webinar: (The Weekly Call Recorded 1 November 2023) 03.11.2023 38:55
This week we have a special podcast episode for you! Listen to the Macro Hive Pro Markets Webinar and hear the key views of our leading researchers on their respective markets. This week, US macro expert Dominique Dwor-Frecaut reveals her outlook on the Fed (pre-FOMC), EM strategist Mirza Baig presents his new Emerging Markets Vulnerability and Scenario Analysis report, which reveals the countri...
Boris Vladimirov on Macro Volatility, US Yields, and Recession Risks 27.10.2023 39:09
Boris is one of the leading macro thinkers in the market. He is a managing director at Goldman Sachs. Before GS, he was partner and portfolio manager at Rokos Capital Management, Fortress, and Brevan Howard. Boris started his career on the sell-side which included working at UBS and Dresdner. Boris will be giving his personal opinions and not those of Goldman Sachs or any other organisations he is...
Daniel Rock on How AI Will Reshape Economies 20.10.2023 40:53
This episode is sponsored by Masterworks ( www.masterworks.art/macrohive) Professor Daniel Rock is an Assistant Professor of Operations, Information, and Decisions at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. His research is on the economic effects of digital technologies, with a particular emphasis on the economics of artificial intelligence. His research has been published in vari...
Martin Lueck On the Scientific Investing, Trend Models and Macro Divergences 06.10.2023 39:27
Marty co-founded Aspect Capital, which manages over $8bn in a range of systematic investment solutions . He is the Research Director and oversees the Research Team responsible for generating and analysing fundamental research hypotheses for development of all Aspect's investment programmes. He currently serves on the Board of the National Futures Association and as Chair of the Oxford Physics Dev...
Jason Halliwell on Value Investing, Systematic Macro and Carry 29.09.2023 44:42
This episode is sponsored by Masterworks Jason Halliwell is the head of GMO's Systematic Global Macro team and a partner of the firm. GMO is a leading value-oriented asset manager with $60bn under management. Jason joined GMO in September 1999 from Westpac Investment Management where he spent three years in research and development of quantitative tactical asset allocation methods . In the podcast...
Barry Eichengreen on Fixing the Debt Problem, Dollar Demise and Tech Impacts 22.09.2023 39:58
Barry Eichengreen , Professor of Economics and Political Science at the University of California, Berkeley, is a former senior policy adviser at the International Monetary Fund. He is the author of many books, including most recently "In Defense of Public Debt ". He was also a presenter at the Fed's 2023 Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. In the podcast, we talk about t he rise of debt around the w...
Phil Suttle on US Recession Risks, AI Impact, and BoJ to 1% 15.09.2023 48:30
Phil is the founder of Suttle Economics – a leading research consultancy. Before that, he held senior roles at Tudor , the Institute of International Finance (IIF) , JP Morgan, Barclays, the New York Fed and World Bank. He was educated at Oxford University and lives in the US. In the podcast, we talk about w hat will cause a recession, s urprise factory building, v iew on Euro-area and UK, and muc...
Dominque Dwor-Frecaut on What Everyone Gets Wrong on Inflation, Recessions and Fed Policy 08.09.2023 18:30
Dominique Dwor-Frecaut is a Senior Macro Strategist for Macro Hive based in Los Angeles. She has been producing alpha-generating trade ideas in FX and rates in EM and G10 at established and startup macro hedge funds in the US since 2011, including at Bridgewater. She has also produced in-depth analysis of central banks policies and procedures drawing on her experience at the New York Fed, the IMF...
Mustafa Chowdhury on Fed Policy, US Industrial Policy and Housing Risks 01.09.2023 44:57
Mustafa is a rates guru and member of the research team at Macro Hive. Before this, Mustafa was the Head of Rates, FX, and Derivatives at Voya Investments, where he helped manage $40 billion of assets. Prior to that, he was a Managing Director and Head of US Rates and MBS Strategy at Deutsche Bank. And in the 1990s, he was Co-head of Asset-Liability Management at Freddie Mac, where he was responsi...
Professor Adrian Williams on Everything You Wanted to Know About Sleep [Replay] 25.08.2023 1:00:28
Dr. Adrian Williams is the UK's first Professor of Sleep Medicine. Adrian graduated from University College, London, UK, and after a lectureship at The Cardiothoracic Institute, Brompton Hospital in 1975 took up an appointment at Harvard, Boston, USA, followed by an invitation to University of California (UCLA) in 1977. In 1985 Professor Williams became tenured Professor of Medicine at UCLA and co...
Denise Shull on Emotions as a Dataset and Avoiding Investment Mistakes [Replay] 18.08.2023 59:37
Denise Shull is the Founder and CEO of ReThink. In that role, she uses neuroscience and modern psychoanalysis to help clients become successful in investing, trading, and leading teams. She has consulted on the development of Showtime's BILLIONS , coached Olympic champions, and often appears on CNBC, Bloomberg and in the Wall Street Journal . Before ReThink, Denise worked in finance. She start...
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