Michael A. Gayed, CFA
Lead-Lag Live
Lead-Lag Live is your front-row seat to unscripted, real-time conversations with the sharpest minds in finance, economics, and investing. Hosted by Michael A. Gayed, CFA — publisher of The Lead-Lag Report and a widely followed voice on macro strategy — each episode features candid discussions with top portfolio managers, economists, ETF strategists, best-selling authors, and market practitioners. No scripts. No teleprompters. Just raw insight from people who move markets. Every week, we go deep on the themes that matter most: macro trends, interest rates and Fed policy, equity and bond markets...
Author
Michael A. Gayed, CFA
Category
Podcast website
Latest episode
Jul 4, 2026
Where to listen?
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Episodes
Dollar Decline vs Market Concentration: Henry Greene on Emerging Markets Tech & the Next AI Winners 03.03.2026 25:00
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Henry Greene, Investment Strategist at KraneShares, to discuss how a weakening U.S. dollar and global AI capital spending could reshape leadership in technology markets. From Taiwan and South Korea’s semiconductor dominance to China’s growing AI innovation ecosystem, Greene explains why emerging markets technology may offer exposure to the same gro...
Embodied AI in Action: Derek Yan on Humanoid Robotics, KOID ETF & the Physical AI Shift 03.03.2026 17:35
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Derek Yan, Senior Investment Strategist at KraneShares, to explore why humanoid robotics is moving from research labs into real-world deployment — and what that means for investors. From embodied AI and general-purpose robotics to global supply chain dynamics between the U.S. and China, Yan explains why the KraneShares Global Humanoid and Embodied...
Truth Is the Battleground: Peter Todd on Ukraine, Information Warfare, and the Epstein Files 03.03.2026 24:00
In this special episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Peter Todd, Founder of OpenTimestamps, for a conversation that goes far beyond Bitcoin volatility or market narratives. Peter joins us directly from Kyiv, where he has been working on the ground to support Ukrainian units through targeted fundraising efforts including delivering repaired and donated 4x4 vehicles to frontline teams and suppo...
The AI Trade Is Global: Derek Yan on Dollar Weakness, EM Tech, and Hidden Concentration Risk 03.03.2026 18:04
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Derek Yan, Senior Investment Strategist at KraneShares, to explore how the next phase of the AI boom may be driven by emerging market technology companies rather than US mega caps alone. With nearly 40 percent of the S&P 500 concentrated in just ten names, Derek explains why investors may be underexposed to critical parts of the global AI suppl...
The AI Trade Is Shifting: Adoption, Infrastructure Risk, and Hidden Concentration in the S&P 500 24.02.2026 22:47
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Kai Wu, Founder and CIO of Sparkline Capital, to break down why the AI boom may be entering a new phase and why investors concentrated in infrastructure stocks could be taking more risk than they realize. With nearly half of the S&P 500 tied directly or indirectly to AI infrastructure buildout, Kai explains the dangers of crowded positioning, e...
Rotation vs Concentration: Michael Germano on Cyclicals, Commodities, and the AI Risk Trade 23.02.2026 19:21
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Michael Germano, Founder and Wealth Manager at Key Sage Wealth, to discuss whether markets are entering a major rotation after years of mega-cap tech dominance. From signs of mean reversion and passive-driven distortions to the case for a commodity supercycle and a weakening U.S. dollar, Germano explains why investors may want to rethink concentrat...
Hype vs Deployment: Derek Yan on Humanoid Robotics, KOID ETF, and the Global AI Arms Race 17.02.2026 20:28
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Derek Yan, Senior Investment Strategist at KraneShares, to discuss whether humanoid robotics is a real commercialization story or just the next overhyped thematic trade. From factory deployment by Tesla, BMW, and Amazon to China’s aggressive industrial push, Yan explains why embodied AI may represent the next structural shift in automation — and ho...
Playing Offense With Wealth: Grant Cardone on Bitcoin, Real Estate, and Conviction 17.02.2026 34:44
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Grant Cardone for a wide-ranging and unusually candid conversation on Bitcoin, real estate, and what it really means to invest with conviction. Grant is blunt about one thing most people never admit: even after buying Bitcoin for years, he doesn’t pretend certainty. He openly talks about the discomfort of drawdowns, the difference between convictio...
Markets, Rates & ETF Innovation | A Conversation with GraniteShares 17.02.2026 35:15
Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive . Support the show
3 Rate Cuts, Small Caps Surge & 9% Income? | Jay Hatfield's 2025 Market Outlook 17.02.2026 34:29
Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive . Support the show
Leverage Without Speculation: David Dziekanski on Return Stacking, Income ETFs, and Portfolio Risk 11.02.2026 19:18
This video is sponsored by Quantify Funds and contains discussion of exchange-traded funds sponsored by Quantify Funds. Quantify Funds paid the creator a flat fee for this endorsement and unscripted interview. This compensation gives the creator an incentive to recommend Quantify Funds, resulting in a material conflict of interest. Quantify Funds did not produce, review, approve, or redistribute...
Trust Is Gone: Ted Oakley on Inflation, Fed Failure, and Why Energy Looks Undervalued 11.02.2026 15:22
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Ted Oakley, Founder of Oxbow Advisors, to break down why inflation remains sticky, why investors should be skeptical of Federal Reserve guidance, and where real value may be emerging beneath the surface of today’s market. With more than four decades of experience advising high-net-worth investors, Ted explains why mega-cap stocks now represent conc...
Commodities Are Back: John Love on Energy Shocks, Precious Metals, and the New Risk Premium 11.02.2026 18:20
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with John Love, President and CEO of USCF , to break down why commodities are re-emerging as a critical part of portfolios as markets face inflation uncertainty, geopolitical risk, and supply fragility. From a historic spike in natural gas driven by extreme weather to renewed risk premiums in oil, gold, and silver, John explains how commodity markets ar...
Discipline vs Mania: Seth Cogswell on 1999 Parallels, AI Excess, and Why Risk Is Being Ignored 05.02.2026 32:15
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Seth Cogswell, Managing Partner at Running Oak Capital, to break down why today’s market feels increasingly speculative and why disciplined investing is being left behind. From meme-style factor leadership and zombie-company outperformance to extreme concentration and AI spending risk, Cogswell explains why chasing returns tends to end the same way...
Diversification Is Misunderstood: Alex Shahidi on Inflation Risk, Portfolio Balance, and Investing Into 2026 05.02.2026 11:59
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Alex Shahidi, Managing Partner and Co-Chief Investment Officer at Evoke Advisors , to break down why markets heading into 2026 are forcing investors to rethink diversification, risk, and portfolio construction. With inflation remaining sticky, political uncertainty rising, and stocks and bonds often moving together during inflation shocks, Alex exp...
Why Power Is the Real Bottleneck in AI, Drones & Telecom | KULR CEO 21.01.2026 14:10
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live , Melanie Schafer sits down with Michael Mo, CEO of KULR Technology Group (NYSE: KULR) , to explore why energy reliability is emerging as the critical constraint behind AI, robotics, drones, telecom infrastructure, and next-generation data centers. Fresh off CES and following KULR’s newly announced $30M telecom battery supply agreement , Mo explains how high-power,...
Global Rotation Underway: Hervé Van Caloen on Japan’s Revival, Semiconductors, and Defense Spending 21.01.2026 14:27
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Hervé Van Caloen **, Owner and Portfolio Manager at ** Mercator Investment Management , to break down why global markets outside the United States are entering a powerful new phase of leadership. From Japan’s aggressive stimulus and corporate reform push to structural dominance in semiconductors, defense technology, space, and energy infrastructure...
Inside Xtrackers XAIX: Why Most AI ETFs Get It Wrong and How XAIX Does It Better 21.01.2026 19:53
Artificial intelligence is driving one of the largest capital spending cycles in market history, yet most AI investment strategies focus on surface level exposure rather than true innovation. In this Lead-Lag Deep Dive, Melanie Schaeffer sits down with Aram Babikian of Xtrackers to examine how AI investing is evolving and why research intensity and patent activity may matter more than headlines. T...
Equity Isn’t Ownership: Kaitlyn Walsh on Stock Options, Tax Traps, and the Mistakes Employees Regret 21.01.2026 14:32
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Kaitlyn Walsh, Wealth Advisor and Equity Analyst , to break down what employees actually own when they receive stock options and why misunderstanding equity compensation can lead to costly mistakes. From incentive stock options and vesting schedules to fair market value, AMT exposure, and record-keeping errors, Walsh explains the decisions that mat...
The Bailout Economy: Luke Lloyd on AI, Liquidity, and Why Retirement Thinking Is Broken 16.01.2026 17:06
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Luke Lloyd, President and CEO of Lloyd Financial Group , for a candid conversation on markets, mindset, and the economic forces shaping investor behavior. From why retirement is not a finish line but a reinvention, to how AI, government liquidity, and bailouts are reshaping wealth outcomes, Lloyd explains why investors must adapt both financially a...
How Geopolitics and National Security Are Changing Tech Investing 13.01.2026 19:43
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Aram Babikian, Head of Xtrackers Wealth at DWS, to explore how rising geopolitical tensions are reshaping technology investing and why national security has become a core investment lens. From US–China decoupling and critical technologies to AI, quantum computing, and supply-chain risk, Babikian explains how investors can gain exposure to future-fa...
Research & Selectivity: Davis Advisors Market Outlook & Active ETFs 12.01.2026 47:46
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, Michael Gayed sits down with Dodd Kittsley, Co-CIO of Davis Advisors, to discuss why fundamental research and selectivity are becoming increasingly critical as markets transition into a period of normalized interest rates. From Davis Advisors’ 60-year history of “eating their own cooking” to the evolution of active equity ETFs, Kittsley explains how a high-convict...
Fixed & Equity Income Strategies for 2026 | Rates, Rotation & Returns 12.01.2026 36:20
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, Michael Gayed sits down with Jay Hatfield, CEO and Portfolio Manager at Infrastructure Capital, to discuss how investors should approach fixed income and equity income strategies for 2026 as markets adapt to a changing interest rate environment. From Federal Reserve rate cuts and inflation trends to credit spreads, preferreds, and equity sector rotation, Hatfield...
Hype vs Reality: Kai Wu on AI CapEx Risks, Market Concentration, and the Next Phase of AI Investing 24.12.2025 17:10
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Kai Wu, Founder and CIO of Sparkline Capital, to break down how the AI investment cycle is evolving as scrutiny rises and market enthusiasm becomes more selective. From hyperscaler spending and data center economics to market concentration and fading euphoria, Wu explains why investors need to rethink where real AI returns may come from and why the...
After the Rate Cuts: Jay Hatfield on Why Income, Small Caps, and Credit Could Lead Into 2026 24.12.2025 15:04
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Jay Hatfield, CEO of Infrastructure Capital Advisors , to break down what the Fed’s latest rate cuts mean for markets, income investors, and portfolio positioning heading into 2026. From a potential melt-up toward 7,000 on the S&P 500 to why preferreds, high yield credit, and small-cap value could outperform as rates fall, Hatfield explains how...
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