HyperChange

Palantir stock exploded to $103/share on the back of its Q4 2024 earnings report and guidance. This represents a $258B valuation and a whopping 90X price/revenue. Strong AI numbers have accelerated topline growth to 36% in 2024, but guidance implied growth slowing to 31% in 2025. What are your thoughts? Can Alex Karp take Palantir all the way? Is it crazy overvalued?? Has Palantirs hype as an AI s...

It was a legendary Tesla conference call!! Elon Musk sounded insanely focused and dialed in as he explained Tesla is planning to launch an self-driving robotaxi service in Austin in June of THIS YEAR. He also clarified he expects Tesla to launch full self driving in many regions across the US in 2025. Additionally, with Optimus and Cybercab Elon retierates he believes not only that Tesla will be t...

Tesla has released Q4 2024 earnings!! The financial results were a little disappointing, but the guidance of "volume production" for Cybercab in 2026 has investors excited, with shares jumping back above $400 after hours. The update is full of new financials, guidance about the updated Model Y, Tesla Semi, energy storage business, Cybercab rollout, Optimus progress and so much more! Let...

Tesla stock closed the day at $428 per share, representing a valuation of $1.5T. Reflecting on this milestone, I wanted to analyze what Tesla's financials were and what would be needed to justify a valuation of this level, and beyond. My high level theory is, Tesla is in a very unique spot. The core business is likely to generate $9B in GAAP operating income for the full year of 2024. Based on...

G 2 a Milly hit the 1 year mark! Woo!! In this video series I'm documenting building a stock portfolio, open-sourced. Now we are 366 days in, and the portfolio is worth $38,673, with 64% in Tesla, 26% in Airbnb and 10% in Coinbase. 2025 is bringing a ton of interesting dynamics to markets, we discuss the post-election Trump Bump, Tesla's robotaxi ambitions, what Airbnb will do next ... and most of...

Tesla's Q4 2024 deliveries are hot off the press. Tesla delivered 495,000 cars in Q4, and just under 1.8M for the full year. Additionally, it was a huge quarter and year for energy storage with deployments hitting 11GWh in Q4. The stock was down about 6% on these numbers, after its huge run up in the final months of 2024. What are your thoughts on the numbers? Cybertruck weaker than expected? Noth...

Elon Musk is the leader of 6 major companies changing our world: Tesla, SpaceX, X (formerly Twitter), XAI, Neuralink and The Boring Company. Today his companies are valued between $1.5-$2.5T depending on who you ask, and we think they are on track to be worth $100+ when it's all said and done. This is the Roman Empire of Capitalism, being built before our eyes. In this episode, me and Aidan break...

A new era of HyperChange is upon; The American Technological Renaissance. In this long-form podcast, we discuss our optimism surrounding the potential of using technology to improve our daily lives. We hold nothing back in this episode, covering Elon Musk's role in the new American government under Donald Trump, the idea of DOGE (Department of Government Efficiency), what that means for the future...

Rivian Q3 results have arrived! Revenues dipped below $1B/quarter for the first time since 2023, and gross margins got even worse to negative 45%. The company is still guiding for positive gross margins in Q4 2024 which would be a major win for the company, and I'd be extremely impressed if they hit. My biggest concern when looking at the stock is the sharecount is increasing at an accelerating pa...

Airbnb Q3 2024 results are hot off the press! Revenue grew 10% to $3.7B (all time high), and the company is planning to launch 1-2 new $1B+ revenue businesses next year, and every year going forward. On the conference call Brian Chesky kept comparing Airbnb today to Amazon when they were selling just books. Chesky sees the company expanding well beyond travel into new products and services. This w...

Donald Trump has just won the US Presidential election. Tesla stock is up 15% to its highest level in more than a year. What does this new American era mean for Tesla investors? A lot of the regulatory scrutiny (FSD, Elon's Pay Package) seems like it will go away. The regulatory approval path for FSD / Cybercab got way easier. And mainly, I think investors are just hyped because it means Elon and...

Interview with Amit (aka ‪@amitinvesting‬ ), where we discuss Palantir's valuation and growth prospects, I pitch him on Airbnb stock, we talk about Tesla's Optimus bot, the upcoming election effect on markets and finally on Robinhood stock. It was a blast to scheme with Amit, who does livestreams on his channel for the market open. He has also become the voice of retail shareholders for Robinhood...

Tesla stock soared 21% today after a monster Q3 earnings beat. It was a big day for the portfolio. But something wasn't right ... I was still stressing because of my Airbnb options position. So I had to make the tough call to sell my options for a small gain and roll the position into plain, old, boring Airbnb equity. A prudent move in the long term I believe, and one that will serve my sanity. I...

With US election just two weeks away, tensions are heating up. This could drive significant market volatility in the short term. I wanted to hop on to explain my take on the recent events with Elon Musk supporting Donald Trump so publicly and how that could impact the stock, depending on the election results. Then I dive into my Airbnb options bet and long term thesis for the company. Let me know...

Farzad Mesbahi comes on the channel to discuss Tesla's 10/10 event, the Cybercab, Robovan, Optimus and potentially something even bigger that the company didn't reveal on 10/10 ... a new affordable Tesla model that is set to enter production sometime in the first half of 2025. We also discuss Tesla's plans to launch an unsupervised full self driving service in California and Texas sometime in 2025...

Tesla's 10/10 We, Robot event in Los Angeles, CA looked insane. After just watching the livestream, my FOMO is pumping. The haters will say the timeline is slow, but we just saw the future. Mini Cybertruck robotaxis, Cybercabs, and Robovans ... Optimus robots walking around the party and serving drinks. When will we see Tesla's first autonmous ride like Waymo ... that is still TBD. Sounding like 2...

EVs are more like computers than cars. Early data is showing they can last 500,000+ miles, much further than the legacy gas cars they are disrupting. This is setting the state for an unprecedented change in the transportation economy, where ride sharing and autonomy become the norm over individual car ownership. With Waymo expanding rapidly, and Tesla on the cusp of a major self-driving announceme...

The G 2 a Milly series continues!! Your boy is getting lucky, right now the portfolio is up 24.5% vs 11.7% for the S&P in the same period. In this episode I give an update on my thoughts on Tesla (and how I've been buying since the last portfolio update), and my favorite new stock, Airbnb! I go deep on my love for Airbnb as a customer and why I think Brian Chesky is such a unique founder a...

Tesla's earnings are hot off the press! Revenue of $25.5B (+2.3%) and profits of $1.6B. On the earnings call CEO Elon Musk stressed the importance of FSD, and how its set to transform Tesla's business. He confirmed the Robotaxi unveiling will be on 10/10, and provided an update on Optimus, saying it will begin Version 1 production in 2025, and Version 2 production to outside customers in 2...

How much do you love the crunch of a fresh bagel ... or the gooey inside of a fresh cinnamon roll 🤤 When the inevitable future of self-driving cars & humanoid robots surrounds us everyday, breakfast will never be the same. Freshly baked goods, I'm talking Cinnamon Rolls, Bagels, Croissants & more, will, be available to the masses. Robots teaming up with human artisans to perfect recip...

Back on the lake in 90+ degree heat in Seattle pondering Tesla stocks zoom to $250+ per share, and $800B valuation. In this episode I explain my metaphor for analyzing stocks as Pokemon to understand businesses, and layering that framework to understand Tesla. The trifecta of technology pillars that Elon & squad have developed (battery and driving train, self driving & mass market sustaina...

Welcome to my new super-artisanal-limited-edition Summer Scheme Series: PaddleSchemin!!! This is just me having fun on the lake rambling about all the topics & schemes I'm having. In this episode we cover the following: 0:00 Live from Seattle, WA 1:08 Tesla Deliveries 1:33 Seaplane Takeoff 2:24 Travis Kalanick joining Tesla Cybercab project!? 5:08 Bumping into a big ship 6:15 I love my Pad...

Supercharging rant about how awesome it was to rent a Tesla on Turo and FSD to Grammy's house instead of taking the bus there. And it was only $240! ($290 including post trip supercharging reimbursement) vs ~$220 for the bus. And it took less time because the bus stops (and I didn't have to subway to the bus station). Shoutout Turo! On the drive while listening to BG2 podcast I had so many...

Elon Musk is betting on Tesla's autonomous future. The company is going all out to perfect its FSD technology and launch a Uber competitor/ride-sharing app later this year. After hearing Elon's excitement on FSD V12, on the conference call, mentioning the Cybercab, and stressing how important it was for investors to understand ... I've been doing homework on Tesla's self driving te...

Tesla Q1 2024 earnings are hot off the press! Tesla crushes it with a surprise $1B+ GAAP profit, strong guidance and and absolutely legendary conference call. Tesla is going all in on FSD with the new V12 rewrite, and its Robotaxi event on 8/8, where it looks like the 'Cybercab' will be unveiled. Elon Musk shocked Tesla fans and shareholders on the earnings call when he said the new cheape...