Blue Creek Commodities

Hedge Heads

Business EN ↓ 120 episodes

Commodity market discussion. We don't know where the market's going, but we have some ideas.

Author

Blue Creek Commodities

Category

Business

Podcast website

sites.libsyn.com

Latest episode

Jul 7, 2026

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Episodes

The Corn Dilemma: Lock It In or Let It Ride? 18.02.2025

In this solo episode, Jon Prischman dives into the latest commodity market trends while Ryan enjoys some Arizona sun. Topics include new crop corn strategies, the impact of acreage reports, seasonal market trends, and key hedging considerations for grain and cattle producers. Jon also breaks down wheat market dynamics, energy price trends, and how traders can approach this volatile season   "Hedge...

Navigating Uncertain Markets: Cattle, Grains & Risk Strategies 10.02.2025

In this episode, Jon and Ryan dive into the latest market trends, including the seasonal patterns in live cattle, the complexity of hedging options, and what to watch for in grains ahead of the upcoming USDA report. They break down the challenges of protecting profitability in a volatile market and discuss strategies to manage risk effectively.   "Hedge Heads" is your go-to podcast for cutting thr...

Market vs. Limit Orders: When to Use Each in Volatile Markets 03.02.2025

Volatility can be an opportunity—or a disaster—depending on how you trade it. In this episode of Hedge Heads , Jon Prischmann and Ryan Tungseth break down what's moving the markets, how to execute the right trades, and why order selection matters more than ever. Markets aren't trending cleanly, news is shifting fast, and traders are struggling to find their footing. We dive into the difference bet...

Brace for Impact: When Wall Street Meets the Heartland 27.01.2025

Could a tech market shakeup rattle commodity prices? Jon and Ryan break down why funds fleeing tech could matter to your grain marketing plan. Plus: tackling tough old crop decisions, navigating March-May spreads, and why those narrowing corn-wheat spreads might be sending us a signal.   "Hedge Heads" is your go-to podcast for cutting through the noise of the futures markets. We get down to the ni...

Market Moves: The Signals Smart Money Is Watching 20.01.2025

Timing is everything - and Jon and Ryan are breaking down the hidden market relationships that could shape your spring strategy. From spread opportunities to option plays, get actionable insights for what's ahead. Plus: Breaking news about exciting new HedgeHeads features you won't want to miss! "Hedge Heads" is your go-to podcast for cutting through the noise of the futures markets. We get down t...

Game-Changing USDA Report Opens New Marketing Opportunities 13.01.2025

Jon and Ryan discuss the implications of a record-breaking USDA report that dramatically shifted the corn market outlook. They explore why market structure doesn't match the bullish numbers, examine strategic marketing approaches for 2025 crops, and analyze how upcoming political changes could impact agricultural markets. "Hedge Heads" is your go-to podcast for cutting through the noise of the fut...

Pre-USDA Strategy Session: Corn Butterfly Spreads, Rate Hedging Tools, & Why Short-Dated Options Might Be Your Best Play 07.01.2025

Don't let the casual start fool you - this episode builds into an essential pre-USDA report strategy session. Get specific plays for Friday's report, including why butterfly spreads might be your best corn trade and how to use short-dated options in this low volatility environment. Jon and Ryan break down why current corn spreads are telling a different story than flat price, what's really happeni...

End of Year Strategy: Comparing Storage Costs to Market Opportunities 23.12.2024

Jon and Ryan break down the crucial end-of-year decision between paying for storage and exploring market alternatives. Learn how to evaluate storage costs against option premiums, understand when traditional storage might be eating into profits, and discover strategies for maintaining upside potential while managing costs. "Hedge Heads" is your go-to podcast for cutting through the noise of the fu...

The Calm Before the Storm? Why These 'Boring' Markets Could Explode in 2025 17.12.2024

In this eye-opening episode, Jon Prischmann and Ryan Tungseth dive deep into why current grain market calm might be deceiving, with a particular focus on corn's unusually low volatility. The hosts break down why March corn options could be significantly underestimating the potential for major moves ahead, especially with looming political transitions and South American weather uncertainty. The con...

2025 Corn Hedging Strategies: Using December's Rally to Build Protection 11.12.2024

In this episode, Jon Prischmann and Ryan Tungseth analyze the shocking December USDA report that cut corn ending stocks by 200 million bushels. They explore why this unusual December adjustment might signal more changes ahead and discuss specific hedging strategies for 2025 corn and soybeans. The hosts also examine the current strength in livestock markets, sharing insights on both cattle and hog...

Low Volatility, High Risk: Why Option Traders Should Be Cautious in Current Markets 04.12.2024

In this episode, Jon Prischmann and Ryan Tungseth tackle the deceptively calm grain markets, where unusually low implied volatility masks significant risks ahead. With record-breaking South American weather, upcoming political transitions, and unprecedented spread patterns in corn and cattle markets, the hosts explain why this period of apparent calm might be the worst time to sell options. They d...

From Bitcoin to Bulls (The real ones): Fund Money Floods Commodities and Ryan Considers ZapCat 27.11.2024

Join hosts Jon Prischmann and Ryan Tungseth as they examine how investment funds are pouring money into meat markets while cryptocurrency wealth reshapes traditional commodity trading. While the hosts analyze warning signs in cattle markets and discuss practical hedging strategies in this evolving environment, they also explore how everything from Bitcoin to commodity futures seems strangely conne...

Funds Go Long Corn: Genius Move or Giant Bet? 20.11.2024

In this episode, Ryan and Jon analyze the dramatic shift in fund positioning in corn markets, where funds have flipped from being short 350,000 contracts to now being long 100,000-120,000 contracts. They discuss the implications for hedging strategies, South American weather impacts, and the challenges of navigating current market conditions including cattle markets, inflation buying, and politica...

Trading Perplexity: Markets React to Trump's Return 13.11.2024

In this episode of Hedgeheads, Ryan Tungseth and Jon Prischmann tackle the perplexing state of commodity markets following recent political developments. The hosts break down why traditional market indicators aren't behaving as expected, from corn spreads to cattle futures. They discuss how South American weather patterns, potential trade policies, and fund positioning are creating one of the most...

The Three Pillars of Profitable Trading: What Chicago & Wall Street Won't Tell You 06.11.2024

Tired of chasing hot market signals and dreaming of beach-side algorithmic trading? In this eye-opening episode, Ryan and Jon break down the three essential market indicators that serious traders can't ignore: spreads, national basis, and commitment of traders. While everyone else is hunting for the perfect trading algorithm, discover why experience and grit still trump automation in commodity mar...

Corn's Surprise Comeback? Understanding Unusual Demand Patterns & Smart Storage Strategies 01.11.2024

In this eye-opening episode of Hedge Heads, hosts Ryan Tungseth and Jon Prischmann dive into unexpected developments in the corn market, where unusual global demand patterns are challenging bearish assumptions. The hosts break down why South Korea, Mexico, and other countries are aggressively buying U.S. corn, and what this could mean for prices. They offer practical insights on storage decisions,...

Warning Signs: When Every Market Breaks The Rules 22.10.2024

In this episode of Hedgeheads, Ryan and Jon dive into the confusing market dynamics of October 2024, discussing the surprising surge in gold and silver, monster corn yields across the country, and the potential impact of upcoming elections on commodity markets. They explore the peculiar phenomenon of rising commodity prices alongside a strengthening dollar, while examining signs of possible stagfl...

Elevators, Options, and Crystal Balls: Riding the Commodity Rollercoaster 08.10.2024

Join Ryan and Jon as they dive into the latest commodity market trends, from broad-based buying to the intricacies of hedging. Discover why elevators are not your only option, learn about the resurgence in the cattle market, and unpack the difference between hedging and speculating. Whether you're a seasoned trader or new to the game, this episode offers valuable insights on navigating current mar...

Hedge and Thrive: Why Black-and-White Thinking Is Costing You Big 24.09.2024

In this eye-opening episode of Hedge Heads, Ryan Tungseth and John Prischmann challenge the "all-or-nothing" approach to grain marketing. Against the backdrop of a surprising harvest-time rally, they reveal why flexible hedging strategies are crucial for maximizing profits in unpredictable markets. Learn how to protect your downside while keeping upside potential open, and discover why "gray area"...

Hedging Hell: Why Your 'Expert' Market Advice Might Be Burning Your Profits 17.09.2024

In this episode, Ryan Tungseth and Jon Prischmann dive into the importance of hedging in commodity markets, even when price directions are uncertain. They discuss common misconceptions about hedging, the difference between true hedging and poor trading practices, and the challenges of finding quality market information. The hosts also share insights on market patterns, the impact of news on tradin...

Cherry Picking and Baseball Stats 11.09.2024

In this episode of Hedge Heads , hosts Ryan Tungseth and Jon Prischmann explore how cherry-picking statistics—much like in baseball—can distort analysis in the commodity markets. From AI-driven narratives to misleading correlations, they dive into the dangers of relying on selective data in trading. With a mix of humor and hard-hitting truths, Ryan and Jon share insights on how to stay ahead by fo...

Rally Signals or Red Flags? Decoding the Market's Moves 03.09.2024

In this week's episode of HedgeHeads, Ryan Tungseth and Jon Prischmann dive into a market rally that's raising eyebrows. Is this the start of a bullish trend, or just a short-covering blip? They dissect what the bear spreads are really saying and highlight the markets that were jumping off the screen today—especially hogs and platinum. With unexpected twists and potential opportunities on the hori...

Growing Pains: From Failed Gardens to Grain Markets 27.08.2024

In this episode of Hedge Heads, Ryan and Jon dig deep—literally and figuratively. From Jon's gardening disasters to the latest twists in the grain markets, they discuss everything from the importance of planting what you actually want to eat, to how the markets love pulling a fast one just when everyone thinks they have it figured out. Tune in for a light-hearted chat that transitions into some se...

Bear Markets, Bullish Moves, and the Truth About Spreads 20.08.2024

In this episode of Hedge Heads, Ryan Tungseth and Jon Prischmann dig into the gritty details of today's commodity markets. As they navigate through the bear markets in grains, they discuss the recent trends in soybean spreads, the ongoing challenges in corn, and why cattle markets are getting particularly "mean" this week. Tune in as they highlight the importance of understanding spreads, debate t...

Politics, Corn, and Tough Calls: When to Tune Out the Noise 14.08.2024

In this episode of Hedge Heads , Ryan Tungseth and Jon Prishmann tackle the tricky terrain where politics meets commodity trading. Kicking off with a spirited debate on why political chatter might be the worst thing for your portfolio, they explore how staying focused on market fundamentals—like corn and soybeans—can lead to better trading decisions. Ryan and Jon share candid insights on the chall...

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