Guggenheim Macro Markets

Matt Bush, Guggenheim Investments U.S. Economist, and Evan Serdensky, Portfolio Manager on our Total Return team, share their updated outlook following some recent surprises in the economic data. They discuss the likelihood of a soft landing, the possible path of monetary policy, market dynamics, and investment strategy and positioning. Related Insights: Use This ‘Goldilocks Market’ to Prepare for...

Karthik Narayanan, Head of Structured Credit for Guggenheim Investments, and Tom Nash, a director on our Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS) sector team, join Macro Markets to discuss drivers of performance, current conditions in real estate, and where they are finding value in CMBS and in other types of structured credit. Related Insights: 3Q23 High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook Appealing...

Matt Bush, US Economist; Maria Giraldo, Investment Strategist; and Paul Dozier, Economist, join Macro Markets to discuss the first issue of our newest Thought Leadership publication, Quarterly Macro Themes. We also answer listener mail. Related Insights: 2Q23 Quarterly Macro Themes A new quarterly publication from our Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, spotlights critical and timely area...

Anne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer for Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, analyzes the economic and credit cycles, evaluates market opportunities, opines on drivers of returns going forward, and shares portfolio strategies. Rising idiosyncratic risk, she says, calls for active fixed-income management. She also offers advice to young women looking to make a career in asset management. Rel...

Allen Li, Managing Director and Head of Guggenheim Investments’ Municipal Bond Sector Team, explains the structure and characteristics of the $4 trillion municipal market, the importance of technical dynamics, and where he is finding value. U.S. Economist Matt Bush updates the economic outlook. Related Content: 2Q23 Fixed-Income Sector Views Opportunity in fixed income rises with uncertainty Read...

Tom Hauser, Co-Head of Corporate Credit for Guggenheim Investments and senior portfolio manager for the firm’s high yield and leveraged loan portfolios, discusses his team’s analytical process, the importance of credit selection, and his current views on opportunity in leveraged credit. Take a deep dive with Tom into the fundamental and technical drivers of performance, his default outlook, and ge...

Adam Bloch, Portfolio Manager for Guggenheim Investments, checks in with Macro Markets to discuss opportunities, tactics, and strategy in today’s uncertain economic and market environment. With the relatively high level of income available in the market today, it pays to be patient, and diversified, with an eye towards becoming a liquidity provider in the future. Related Content: 2Q23 High-Yield a...

Justin Takata, Head of Investment Grade Corporate Credit for Guggenheim Investments, discusses the interplay between primary issuance and trading volumes, developments in credit fundamentals, and where he is seeing risk and opportunity. U.S. Economist Matt Bush updates the Fed outlook following recent economic data. Also, we answer listener mail. Related Content: A Not-So-Funny Thing Happened on t...

Matt Bush, Guggenheim Investments’ U.S. Economist, and Evan Serdensky, a Portfolio Manager on our Total Return team, share their perspectives and outlook following two eventful weeks in markets and the economy. They discuss the future path of monetary policy, the effects of a possible credit crunch, and investment strategy and positioning. Related Insights: A Not-So-Funny Thing Happened on the Way...

Karthik Narayanan, Head of Securitized for Guggenheim Investments, gives a master class in structured credit, including where he is finding attractive absolute and relative value in mortgage-backed securities, asset-backed securities, and collateralized loan obligations. U.S. Economist Matt Bush discusses the resilience of recent economic data and what it means for the Federal Reserve’s inflation...

Steve Brown, Chief Investment Officer for Total Return and Macro Strategies for Guggenheim Investments, shares a CIO’s unique perspective on active portfolio management in a time of higher yields and macroeconomic complexity. He discusses recent economic data, relative value opportunities, and the importance of making asset allocation decisions for a range of different outcomes. Related Insights :...

Brian Smedley, Chief Economist and Head of the Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, discusses the Fed rate decision, recent inflation, labor, and GDP data, and possible next steps for monetary policy. He also provides key takeaways for investors from our 10 Macroeconomic Themes for 2023. Related Insights: 10 Macroeconomic Themes for 2023 10 charts illustrate the macroeconomic trends we bel...

Scott Minerd, Global CIO for Guggenheim Partners and Chairman of Guggenheim Investments, joins the year-end episode of Macro Markets on Fed Day for a wide-ranging discussion of the Federal Reserve’s execution of monetary policy, economic conditions, the investment landscape for risk assets, portfolio strategy, and more. Related Insights Global CIO Outlook: That Sound You Hear is the Fed Breaking S...

Karthik Narayanan, Head of Securitized for Guggenheim Investments, discusses the structure and value in the residential mortgage-backed securities market and other ABS sectors. Anne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer for Fixed Income, answers a listener question on liquidity. Jerry Cai, an economist in our Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, brings the latest on the labor picture and an upda...

Anne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer for Fixed Income, joins the podcast to give her analysis of where we are in the economic and credit cycle, and her views on risk and opportunity across the fixed income landscape. Related Insights Fourth Quarter 2022 Fixed-Income Sector Views Market and value updates by sector Read Fixed-Income Sector Views The Jobs Data Trend Is Duration’s Friend October jobs...

Investment Strategist Maria Giraldo takes us through the fixed-income market to evaluate risk and return prospects with spreads near their historical wides and bond prices at levels not seen in decades. Jerry Cai, an economist in the Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, provides an update on the latest macro data. Also, we answer listener mail. Related Content: Global CIO Outlook: That Sou...

Steve Brown, Chief Investment Officer for Total Return and Macro Strategies for Guggenheim Investments, gives a CIO’s unique perspective on managing portfolios and market dynamics in a complex macro environment. He discusses credit performance, relative value in corporate and structured credit, duration strategy, risk management, and more. Paul Dozier, a Director in the Macroeconomic and Investmen...

In the newest episode of our award-winning podcast, Brian Smedley, Chief Economist and Head of the Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, covers a lot of ground in his analysis of the Federal Reserve’s third straight 75 basis point rate hike. He discusses how monetary policy is intended to tame inflation, the Fed’s reaction function going forward, and possible recession timing, as well as th...

Jim Pass, head of project finance for Guggenheim Investments, and Kate Newman from the World Wildlife Fund talk about the most recent research collaboration between Guggenheim and WWF, a survey of infrastructure investors and developers. Read the report here . Related Insights: 3Q22 High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook Signposts for credit investors as next recession approaches Read Report 3Q22 Fixed-...

Matt Bush, Guggenheim’s US economist, discusses the fast-moving economic data and what it might mean for the future course of monetary policy. Aditya Agrawal, head of the Agency MBS Sector Team, reports on developments in his sector, which is directly affected by the Fed's balance sheet management.  3Q22 Fixed-Income Sector Views Relative Value and performance drivers across fixed-income sectors....

Jenny Marler, head of Guggenheim Real Estate, focuses on hotels and hospitality, one of the real estate sectors hardest hit by the pandemic. Jerry Cai, a Vice President in the Guggenheim Investments Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group provides an update on latest Federal Reserve decision and other macro developments. We also answer a listener’s question. If you have a question to direct to...

Episode 18: Investment-Grade Corporates and the Macro Backdrop Thursday, July 21 Justin Takata, head of Guggenheim’s Investment-Grade Sector Team, discusses the technical and fundamental drivers of value in his market. Guggenheim’s U.S. Economist Matt Bush reviews the latest CPI and jobs data, and outlines his views on recession timing and the possible progression of monetary policy. We also answe...

In Episode 17: “Fixed Income in Retirement Plans” (July 6, 2022), portfolio manager Adam Bloch, a managing director and a leader of our total return team, discusses economic and market conditions in fixed income, and offers perspective on considerations for plan sponsors, advisors, and plan participants when evaluating the bond allocation in retirement accounts. If you have a question to direct to...

Brian Smedley, Guggenheim’s Chief Economist and Head of Macroeconomic and Investment Research, discusses the impact of the Fed’s 0.75% rate hike on markets and the economy. If you have a question you would like to direct to the podcast, please email macromarkets@guggenheiminvestments.com Related Insights: Macro Markets Podcast: Episode #15 Paul Dozier on how stocks have performed in midterm electi...

Paul Dozier, a Director in the Guggenheim Investments Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group discusses the performance of equity markets during mid-term election years and provides an update on the latest economic data. Head of Guggenheim’s foreign exchange and derivatives trading desk, Managing Director Cameron Crosby, shares the latest on the currency markets. We also answer a listener’s qu...