Global Security Briefing by Factal and Emergent Risk International

First up Factal NORAM lead Joe talks about what went wrong with Hurricane Helene last year, this year's hurricane season forecast and the challenge of staffing shortages in NOAA and FEMA. Then Emergent Risk International Director of Analysis Kieran brings us up to speed on Ukraine's drone strike, Russia's asymmetric warfare and the chance for peace. Finally, ERI Senior Analyst Neil...

Hi all! Usually Producer Dave writes these episode descriptions, but he's on vacation and I (Tyler) am recapping this - apologies that there's not the professional intro music, I don't know what drawer Dave keeps it in.  This was a heater; Sachin Singh joins past midnight India time to answer lots of questions on India-Pakistan's big escalation. Kieran O'Leary adds comment...

April 2025 is busy. Tornado season started early. There's conflict brewing in South Asia. France has new terror attacks. Geopolitics happens in real-time. Tren de Aragua is getting more attention in the US than ever. Emergent Risk International and Factal tell you the foundations, the current events and what to watch for around them moving forward in this edition of the Global Security Briefi...

Live from India ERI analyst Dev brings us up-to-date on the changes in the waqf law and potential for disruptive protests. Kieran then presents on the potential security impact for US companies in the new tariff regime. Finally Cory demonstrated how the "human eye can no longer tell" when it comes to photos and video created using generative AI -- and what practitioners need to do about...

This episode of the Global Security Briefing was our five-year anniversary.  In it Factal senior editor Halima Mansoor updated the latest situation in Turkey with hundreds arrested after protesting the latest arrests of mayors apposing the national government. Global Head of Intelligence and Analysis Operations for ERI Hanna Poppy spoke to the rise of anti-American sentiment in Europe and analyst...

The March 13 episode of Global Security Briefing starts with Russia retaking Kursk while the US tries to take their ceasefire agreement with Ukraine to Russia. Next up is an update on USA-Canada relations, the tariffs and what it means for politics in Canada. Finally it ends with a look at why business leaders should be concerned about a US government shutdown. Since the earliest days of COVID, Fa...

Today's Global Security Briefing touched on the recent spate of terror attacks in Europe, US-India relations and US-China relations plus a long Q&A.  Kieran hosted the section on US bilateral relationships while Dave presented a recent briefing on terror attacks in Germany, France and Austria. Since the earliest days of COVID, Factal and Emergent Risk International have held an essential...

This edition of the Global Security Briefing starts with an update on the fragile Israel-Hamas ceasefire and what Factal editors are watching for. Then Emergent Risk International looks at the impact of the dramatic cuts to USAID and what that means for security. Finally we have the return of five things keeping Kieran up at night Since the earliest days of COVID, Factal and Emergent Risk Internat...

This week's Briefing featured stories from generative AI advancements, Trump's tariff diplomacy, Jamaica's security situation and what the designation of Mexico's cartels as Foreign Terrorist Organizations could mean. Since the earliest days of COVID, Factal and Emergent Risk International have held an essential hour-long briefing for global security and resilience professional...

The first Global Security Briefing of 2025 started with a look at the aftermath from the fires in Southern California by Factal Editor Jeff Landset. Then Kieran O'Leary, Director of Analysis for Emergent Risk International, gave a condensed version of their Strategic Intelligence Estimate . Finally, Iman Elbanna from ERI spoke about the announced, but not-yet-final, ceasefire between Israel a...

This edition of the Global Security Briefing touched on topics stretching from Seattle to Seoul with stops in Tbilisi, Aleppo and more. Madi started with a look at Georgia's election and the following protests Then she addressed Russian hybrid warfare and sabotage Poormina gave an update on the Syrian civil war as the regime there lost Hama this Thursday morning Kieran presented on the short-...

This briefing starts with a look at the flooding in Valencia, Spain that left more than 200 dead with nearly 100 missing over a week later. Then there is a look at what the results of the U.S. election mean for businesses globally. Since the earliest days of COVID, Factal and Emergent Risk International have held an essential hour-long briefing for global security and resilience professionals. Hel...

This briefing starts off with a look at security measures around the upcoming U.S. election from Factal. Emergent Risk International then speaks to Mexico's shifting security paradigm to include measures to bring down homicide, limit cargo theft and attempts to reduce organized crime's influence in the mining sector. Kieran than talks about Indonesia's new government. Finally, we en...

Factal producer Dave Clark talked about the Marburg virus outbreak in Rwanda, international travel changes from that and Rwanda's current containment. From Emergent Risk International Kieran O'Leary spoke about the East and Gulf Coast port strikes, China v. EU EV trade, hurricane season and more. Iman Elbanna from ERI gave an update on Israel-Lebanon and what it means for the various reg...

This Briefing starts off with what to watch for as Hurricane Helene heads towards landfall; the latest in the Israel-Hezbollah; disinformation, port strikes and more. Links from chat; 100-year anniversary of Ashville's "Flood to end all floods." (Ashville, NC government) Sept. 30 – International Longshoremen’s Association potential strike (Factal Forecast) Russia, Iran and China are...

This edition of the Global Security Briefing discusses government changes in France, Bangladesh and has a larger focus on Mexico. Plus what to expect regarding the potential U.S. government shutdown, East and Gulf Costs port labor negotiations, Nigerian energy and recent shifts in tactics for both Russia and Ukraine. Links from chat; 44% of Ukrainians believe it's time to start official peace...

Emergent Risk International starts this edition of the Global Security Briefing with four things Kieran O'Leary is tracking. Then the focus shifts to mpox, recently declared a global health emergency. Cory Bergman talks about the CEO of Telegram being arrested in France, the app's use in news and risk intelligence as well as Brazil's legal threats against X/Twitter. The Q&A touc...

The August 15 edition of the Global Security Briefing includes live updates as Ukraine takes territory in Kursk Oblast, Russia. Plus, what will President Macron do after losing the majority in France's parliament and what to watch for with Domestic Violence Extremism in the U.S. during the run up to the election. Since the earliest days of COVID, Factal and Emergent Risk International have he...

Today Factal and Emergent Risk International partnered to tell you about the situation in Venezuela after their disputed election. There are violent protests and diplomatic fallout. Together our two companies let you know the facts and what to follow in the future. Then ERI gives an update on the rapidly escalating hostilities between Israel, Hezbollah and Hamas. Finally, we end with security that...

Both Factal and Emergent Risk International spend most of this Global Security Briefing going over the timeline as it is known at the time of the Briefing, where the failures were, common misinformation, as well as the implications for the RNC and DNC. Also ERI presented on what's happening at the 3rd plenum of the Chinese Communist Party. Links from chat; FBI, DHS warn of possible retaliatio...

This edition of the Global Security Briefing starts with a look at inter-Korea tensions escalating because of K-Pop and poop balloons with Factal's Vivian Wang. Then it heads to the South China Sea for a look at the various disagreements on control of fishing rights and the islands there. Neil Thompson from Emergent Risk International also addresses China-EU trade tensions. Finally Kieran O&a...

Kieran starts off this week's episode looking at five things he's following including the reactions to the Trump verdict, India and Mexican elections and more. Klaudio discusses concerns around Euros 2024, including the recent increase in hooliganism. Cory demonstrates how you can use generative AI in risk intelligence. Links from chat; A practical guide for generative AI in risk intelli...

This edition of the Global Security Briefing was at a new time. Through the rest of the year every other Briefing will be at 3 pm GMT. Hopefully the varied schedule makes it easier for more people to attend live. Factal and Emergent Risk International started with coverage of helicopter crash in Iran that killed President Raisi and other leaders. Then ERI focused in on the attempted assassination...

This was a hefty episode. Emergent Risk International starts by covering the Israeli-Palestinian conflict with a focus on what businesses should be watching for. Then ERI addresses the Russia-Ukraine war and the lack of hope for peace there. Factal addresses political violence in Mexico, as well as the drought in Mexico City. Finally they end with a discussion about how AI companies are entering s...

Cory from Factal and Judd from ERI answer the question 'What's next for TikTok after the U.S. President signed the divestment law?'  Then Cory talks about the latest text-based social media platforms. Finally, Iman Elbanna talks about the pro-Palestinian protests on campuses and at corporate locations. Since the earliest days of COVID, Factal and Emergent Risk International have hel...