Federal Fallout: The 2026 Midterms Edition

Hi Everyone, I’m Sam Shirazi and this is a special bonus episode where we will go over an October surprise that happened in the attorney general race and just think about how that might impact the final outcome in about a month when the results start coming in for the Virginia election So to set things up, there was a story on Friday that was revealed about the Democratic nominee, Jay Jones, for a...

Hi, everyone. I’m Sam Shirazi, and this is Federal Fallout, the 2025 Virginia Elections. This episode, we will first go over some of the fallout about what’s going on in D.C. with the shutdown. 00:11.01 Sam Shirazi And then I wanted to talk about a bunch of polls that we got this week in Virginia and specifically look at the question of turnout versus persuasion. All right, to begin, let’s talk ab...

Hi, everyone. I’m Sam Shirazi, and this is Federal Fallout, the 2025 Virginia elections. This is a shutdown special because today is October 1st, 2025, and the government is officially shut down because Congress was unable to pass a bill to fund the government. 00:18.54 Sam Shirazi And so that means as of the release of this podcast, the government is shut down. Now, I was thinking about this. I t...

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Hi everyone, I am Sam Shirazi and this is Federal Fallout the 2025 Virginia Elections. This is a special bonus episode where I will do an early check-in on early vote just to give everyone an update on how everything is going. 00:13.96 Sam Shirazi So to begin with, I wanted to just give you the big picture number. When this is released, there’s about four days of early voting that’s happened so fa...

Hi, everyone. i am Sam Shirazi, and this is Federal Fallout, the 2025 Virginia elections. This episode will go over everything early voting as early voting has started this Friday in Virginia. And then at the end, we will take a quick look at a new poll that came out from the CNU Wason Center. So... 00:20.13 Sam Shirazi To begin, I really wanted to talk about early voting because it's here. Voting...

Hi everyone, I'm Sam Shirazi and this is Federal Fallout the 2025 Virginia Elections. This episode we will go over the latest campaign to finance numbers and see what they might tell us about the Virginia elections. So on Monday it was the deadline for the campaigns running this year to file their campaign finance reports and it covered the months of July and August. 00:25.33 Sam Shirazi So big pi...

Hi, everyone. I'm Sam Shirazi, and this is Federal Fallout, the 2025 Virginia elections. This episode, I will be interviewing Stacey Carroll. She is the Democratic nominee in the 64th House of Delegates District, and that is in Stafford County. 00:16.44 Sam Shirazi She is running against incumbent Republican Paul Milde, and I'm happy to have him on at another time. But today we have Stacey. So tha...

Sam Shirazi All right. Well, let's go down back to Hampton Roads for House District 69. The incumbent is Chad Green, and you give him a 59% chance of winning. Chaz, this district was actually unopposed in 2023. So what why do you think it's actually this close in 2025? 00:20.94 Chaz Nuttycombe Yeah, I mean, that's going one of the biggest recruitment failures for the Democrats in 2023 because it d...

Hi everyone. I'm Sam Shirazi and this is Federal Fallout the 2025 Virginia Elections. This episode, will have Chaz Naticom back on and I'm really excited to have him because this is the first time we can hear from him after State Navigate has launched its forecast for the Virginia Elections and we're going to get into all those details. 00:20.41 Sam Shirazi So Chaz, thank you for joining me and co...

Hi, everyone. I'm Sam Shirazi, and this is Federal Fallout, the 2025 Virginia Elections. This is a special bonus episode where I will go over the results from the 11th District special election that happened this Tuesday evening in Northern Virginia in the Fairfax area. 00:17.21 Sam Shirazi And this was the election to choose the successor to the late Jerry Connolly. And it was not a huge surprise...

Hi everyone, I'm Sam Shirazi and this is Federal Fallout, the 2025 Virginia elections. This episode, we will first go over some sluggish job numbers that came out on Friday, and then we will look at question of how close really is the Virginia governor's election, given some recent polls and just everything going on in Virginia and across the country. So first, in terms of the numbers of jobs, so...

Hi everyone, I'm Sam Shirazi and this is Federal of Fallout, the 2025 Virginia elections. This episode, we will go over the sprint that will start after Labor Day that's on Monday. Obviously, right around the corner, we have that holiday. And traditionally, the old saying is that the final sprint of the campaign starts right after Labor Day because that's when voters start to get tuned in to the e...

Hi, everyone. I'm Sam Shirazi, and this is Federal Fallout to 2025 Virginia Elections. This is a special bonus episode where we will go over some news that happened Thursday evening in Arlington and just see how it might impact the campaign. 00:13.99 Sam Shirazi Now, for full full disclosure, I don't always record my podcasts on Saturday morning when they are released. And so the full episode this...

Hi, everyone. I'm Sam Shirazi, and this is Federal Fallout, the 2025 Virginia elections. This episode, we will go over a new poll from Roanoke College, and then we will dive into a different strategy that Winston-Merle Sears' campaign is trying in order to maybe come back in this race. 00:36.38 Sam Shirazi For Lieutenant Governor, it had Democratic nominee Ghazala Hashmi at 38% and Republican nomi...

Hi everyone, I'm Sam Shirazi and this is Federal Fallout the 2025 Virginia Elections. This episode I'm joined by former Democratic delegate and 2021 Democratic Lieutenant Governor nominee Hala Ayala. I'm really excited to have her on because she saw the original Federal Fallout in 2017 being swept in during a blue wave when she flipped a red seat, and then she knows what it's like to run statewide...

Hi, everyone. I'm Sam Shirazi, and this is Federal Fallout, the 2025 Virginia elections. This episode, I will go over the districts the Democrats are targeting this November. 00:11.81 Sam Shirazi And, you know, instead of going over the ratings and who's up, who's down, i thought I'd do a little bit something a little bit different and basically go over the district shapes and the lines because we...

I joined former Virginia Redistricting Commission citizen commissioner James Abreino on his podcast James Pod for a discussion about the Virginia elections and redistricting. Transcript below: Hey, folks, welcome to James Pod. Today I have a very interesting guest, a good friend of mine, Sam Shirazi. The main reason I wanted to start this podcast was really to talk about issues that impact Norther...

Hi everyone, I'm Sam Shirazi and this is Federal Fallout the 2025 Virginia Elections. This is a special bonus episode where we will go over some drama at the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Now I know that sounds pretty random, but there were some things that happened on Friday that I thought would be interesting to talk about and then also talk about how it might play out in the Virginia Elections. 0...

Hi, everyone. I'm Sam Shirazi, and this is Federal Fallout the 2025 Virginia Elections. This episode, I will interview Dwayne Yancey. He is the founding editor of Cardinal News, an independent news outlet covering Southwest Virginia and Southside Virginia. And I feel like Cardinal does a really good job covering that part of the Commonwealth that is not always covered in the traditional media. 00:...

Hi everyone, I'm Sam Shirazi and this is Federal Fallout to 2025 Virginia Elections. This is a special bonus episode where I will go over some recent redistricting news and see how Virginia plays into that and give you just an update on the state of redistricting a nationwide with kind of an explanation of what is going on with Virginia. 00:22.45 Sam Shirazi terms of redistricting. And the reason...

00:00.65 Sam Shirazi Hi everyone, I'm Sam Shirazi and this is Federal Fallout the 2025 Virginia Elections. This episode we are joined by Geoof Skelly. Fun fact, Goeff and I went to college together at the University of Virginia. So I've known Goeff for a long time and i followed his career as he has got into political analysis. 00:18.65 Sam Shirazi First, he was at the Center for Politics at the U...

Hi Everyone, I’m Sam Shirazi and this is Federal Fallout, the 2025 Virginia elections. This episode we will go over the panicking on the Republican side in terms of the Governor’s race and see if that panicking is warranted. Now, last week on the show, we talked about the VCU poll, which wasn't great news for the Republicans. And then we talked about the fundraising numbers, which, again, wasn't g...

Hi, everyone. I'm Sam Shirazi, and this is Federal Fallout, the 2025 Virginia elections. This episode, we will go over a new poll from the VCU Wilder Center, and then we will talk about the latest campaign finding finance numbers in Virginia. 00:15.45 Sam Shirazi And I think both of these things are really useful to get a sense of where the campaign is. 00:20.79 Sam Shirazi So to begin, i will fir...

Hi everyone, I am Sam Shirazi and this is federal fallout the 2025 Virginia elections this episode, I will be interviewing Pat Dennis the President of American Bridge 21st century Pat, thank you for joining me. 00:14.39 Pat deNNIS Hey, thanks for having me. It's great to be here. 00:16.27 Sam Shirazi so I guess the start I could you just tell me a little bit about yourself and your organization. 0...