Establish the Edge Fantasy Football

Mark Dankenbring and Jack Miller of Establish the Run recap the crazy NFL offseason and give you their takes on who has gained and lost the most value and what opportunities exist at current ADPs on Underdog and FFPC. -Russell Wilson to Denver -Deshaun Watson and Amari Cooper to Cleveland -Tyreek Hill to the Miami -Davante Adams to the Las Vegas -Brady unretiring and getting the gang back together...

JJ Zachariason of lateround.com joins Mike Leone to talk about evaluating RB prospects, both in general and specific to the 2022 draft class.  Specifically, the duo discuss: -What matters when evaluating RB prospects -Why draft capital is important -How to use speed score in RB evaluations -College receiving share as an important indicator of versatility and talent (and a potential warning sign fo...

Pat Kerrane of NBC Sports Edge and Ship Chasing joins Mike Leone to discuss Year 1 to Year 2 WRs and how we should value them in both dynasty and redraft: -what metrics to look for in year 1 NFL performance -how to weight that against prospect profiles -Ja'Marr Chase da god -Jaylen Waddle's value with Tyreek Hill in town -Kadarius Toney changing minds -Terrace Marshall disaster and much...

Anthony Amico joins Mike Leone to talk about evaluating WR prospects, both in general and specific to the 2022 draft class. Amico provides updated Dynasty rankings all year round on Establish The Run. Specifically, the duo discuss: -What matters when evaluating WR prospects -Why age and early declares matter -Why we care about stats like yards per team pass attempt -ETR's tier 1 of dynasty WR...

Two of the best NFL DFS Showdown players, Cody Main and Colin Drew, join Mike Leone to talk high level showdown strategy and how we can apply those contests to this year's Super Bowl: -Common Mistakes People Make -Who to Play at Captain and How to Build Around That -Which correlations are overlooked? Underutilized? -How Can We Get Unique in a Smart Way

Mike Leone takes a look at Establish The Run's updated playoff rankings and how to make the best use of them: -Understanding when to use positional scarcity -Evaluating the many muddled RB situations He also takes a look at specific strategy for FFPC and NFFC: -why there are obvious smart leverage opportunities in KC, CIN, and SF that could play huge dividends -trying to figure out what swaps...

Pat Kerrane of NBC Sports Edge and Ship Chasing joins ETR's Mike Leone to discuss strategy for the FFPC Playoff Challenge contest. The two discuss: -Common mistakes drafters make -How to use scenario planning to make better teams -Why people undervalue first round upsets -When galaxy braining goes too far

Chris Vaccaro of The Athletic joins Mike Leone of Establish The Run to talk about NFFC's playoff fantasy contest. It's a unique multiplier contest that creates a lot of avenues for potential edges. Among those, Mike and Chris talk about: -Scenario Based Selections and Working Backwards -Why it's *good* to have a couple of skill players lose in Round 1 -How to get contrarian in smart...

Mike Leone and Anthony Amico take a look at why format and rules are dictate your playoff fantasy football strategy. Stemming from that, the duo look at how to calculate expected games played and how to use that based on your league format. The two then galaxy brain some playoff betting takes, taking a look at: -Market shopping and reducing the hold -The known unknowns that can cause markets/model...

Justin Herzig, co-founder of Own The Moment and ETR contributor, joins Mike Leone to talk playoff best ball on Underdog. The unique playoff contest offers a lot of room for edges. The duo discuss: -Understanding the rules -Winning via Roster Construction, not Player Values -Stack 2 or 3 teams and which teams work together best -It's better to get the best players on a worse team than worse pl...

Madison Parkhill (@MadisonParkhill) of RotoViz joins Mike Leone to review the best ball regular season and preview the upcoming playoffs, plus analyzing the good, bad, and ugly of their own teams: -Extreme strategies rule the day -Leonard Fournette bias is killing us -Mike cries over his rookie QB exposure -How can we get unique "Super Teams" without sacrificing advance rate -Is ZeroRB s...

Chris Allen, contributor of 4for4, FootballGuys, and NBC Sports Edge, joins Mike Leone to discuss the impact of weather on fantasy football: At what point should we be worried when it comes to wind and precipitation? How do real NFL teams alter their game plans based on the weather? Additionally the two talk about: -Our Bengals -Mike's Thunderdome victory -Chris' Home Brewing -Road Race...

Rich Hribar (@LordReebs on Twitter) of sharpfootballanalysis.com joins Mike Leone to talk about establish his edge in fantasy football: -Rich's weekly "The Worksheet" column -Finding micro edges as the fantasy industry becomes sharper as a whole -The Konami Code QBs: Why running QBs break fantasy and how that may be changing in today's fantasy football landscape -The importance...

Joe Holka joins Mike Leone to talk FanDuel tournament strategy as well as how Joe broke into the fantasy sports industry. Among other things, the pair discuss: -Pricing/Scoring Difference between FanDuel and DraftKings -How do you go about stacking on FanDuel? -Do you have to pay up at QB on FanDuel? -How Joe broke into the industry -The importance of consistency, quality, and intrinsic value -Pla...

Mike Leone answers ETE listener questions on a variety of topics - from DFS to best ball to landscaping: -When should we be stacking in DFS and how much? -How do we adjust for the field getting smarter with leverage plays in tournaments? -What's the opportunity cost of drafting a QB early in best ball? -Why is it worth paying someone to mow your lawn?

Michael Leone is joined by Pat Kerrane of NBC Sports Edge and Anthony Amico of Establish the Run to mock draft a SuperFlex/TE premium rookie back, adjusting for what we now know five weeks into the NFL season. Among other topics, the trio discusses: -Trevor Lawrence or Trey Lance as the top QB? -Which skill player is best - Ja'Marr Chase, Kyle Pitts, or Najee Harris? -Is it time to give up on...

Mike Leone goes solo this week, waxing philosophically over how we can apply Daniel Kahneman's new book, Noise , to NFL DFS. Mike outlines: -why simple models beat human beings at prediction -the danger of the "illusion of validity" -how human judgement improves the information we feed the Establish the Run projections -why we should trust those projections and not be variable or to...

Mike Leone and Mark Dankenbring of Establish The Run discuss changes to the ETR staff top 150 rest of season. Conversation includes: -Why Tyreek Hill is the WR1 -Should we be worried about Kamara, Zeke, and other early RBs -Cooper Kupp's early season breakout -Disappointing play calling in Cincinnati -Being patient with Atlanta players -How to handle young players going in different direction...

Mike Leone and Ben Gretch dive into some of the more interesting Week 1 observations as far as team play calling and success and individual usage. -Will ATL and TEN bounce back? -Wheel's Up for Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb -Is CIN low pass rate worrisome despite their success? -Lot of optimism around the Chargers -David Njoku, CLE TE1? -Encouraging W1 usage for a handful of backs: Darrell Hen...

Mike Leone is joined by Peter Overzet to talk about the concepts you should be applying when playing DFS small field tournaments: -Common mistakes to avoid -Thinking macro not micro -Winning the low scoring slates -Balancing ceiling and leverage -Knowing your competitors -Utilizing late swap For a limited time, ETE listeners can receive 5% off of any Establish the Run premium package by using prom...

Mike Leone is joined by Pat Kerrane of NBC Sports Edge to help you identify some potential breakout sleepers for fantasy this season, especially for keeper leagues. The duo discuss: -Legendary RB Upside -Profitability of Rookie WRs -A Small Miss, Big Hit Philosophy -Acting Fast on the Waiver Wire -IR Stashes -Specific Players Who Can Make Big Leaps For a limited time, ETE listeners can receive 5%...

Mike Leone's ETR Establish the Million cohost Drew Dinkmeyer joins the show to talk about dominating your home league. Unlike sharp leagues where our edge is primarily in roster construction, home leagues have a lot more potential edges - roster construction, waivers/trades, player evaluation, etc. With all of these potential avenues to get and edge on our opponents, how do we truly maximize...

Shawn Siegele of RotoViz joins Mike Leone to talk about WR heavy drafting, or Zero RB, and specifically how to apply that to NFFC drafts. To do this, Mike and Shawn recap one of Mike's recent NFFC drafts from the 12-spot. The pair hit on: -How/why does Zero RB work and what exactly is it -Why you want 6 Top 15 WRs if possible -Elite TEs are undervalued on NFFC -When to take detours for RBs ea...

Anthony Amico joins Mike Leone on the Establish the Edge podcast to talk 2QB and SuperFlex redraft strategy: -How early can/should you take your first QB? -Why the number of flex spots matters -Zero RB is enhanced in SuperFlex leagues -The importance of being tethered to market value -The Hero QB strategy -Rookie QBs are the skeleton key to success in any format this season Join the ETR team and g...

Mike Leone takes a look at the 2020 Best Ball Mania data to determine why extreme RB strategies were successful. Despite being seemingly at odds with one another, players that took RBs early but not a lot of them (HyperFragile) and players that took no RBs early but took a lot of them (Zero RB) were among the most profitable builds last season. This podcast looks into what makes those strategies w...