Miro Benes

Earnings Unscripted: Stock Earnings Calls & Analysis

Business EN ↓ 407 episodes

Earnings Unscripted delivers short-form earnings call analysis. Each episode breaks down corporate earnings calls, compares management commentary with financial results, and highlights key insights for investors seeking fast earnings analysis.

Author

Miro Benes

Category

Business

Podcast website

redcircle.com

Latest episode

Jul 10, 2026

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Episodes

Gloo (GLOO): Guardrailing God's AI & a massive $143M debt-to-equity flip [Q4 2025] 15.04.2026

Gloo's ugly Q4 2025 earnings miss was actually a brilliant illusion, masking a massive balance sheet restructuring and a bold pivot into autonomous "faith-based" AI. In this episode: • Why the headline GAAP net loss hides a $143M debt wipeout • The Trojan-horse strategy behind their EMD Workday acquisition • Transitioning from traditional SaaS to an API consumption model • Building rig...

Horizon Aircraft (HOVR): The anti-air taxi bet & dropping a wing fan [Q3 2026] 15.04.2026

Horizon Aircraft’s Q3 2026 reveals a pre-revenue OEM racing against its cash burn by rigidly avoiding the capital-heavy urban air taxi model. In this episode: • Why management literally removed a fan to increase prototype speed. • Audited data proving a hyper-efficient $0.97 operating cost per seat-mile. • The ambitious $250M market cap target tied to new executive bonuses. • How a $7.59M Q3 opera...

JPMorgan (JPM): Dimon's arbitrage threat and the truth about AI in banking [Q1 2026] 15.04.2026

JPMorgan Chase blew past estimates with a massive $50.54 billion in Q1 2026 revenue, but CEO Jamie Dimon used the earnings call to prepare the market for stagflation rather than taking a victory lap. In ~10 minutes: * Why Q4's $2.2B Apple Card setup makes today's credit metrics look artificially clean. * Jamie Dimon’s live-mic threat to use "arbitrage" against obtuse new Federal Re...

Goldman Sachs (GS): The Treasury AI summons & running the capital tank hot [Q1 2026] 13.04.2026

Goldman Sachs printed its second-highest revenue quarter ever in Q1 2026, but the real story is how aggressively the firm dropped its safety nets to deploy capital. In ~10 minutes: • Early adoption of eSLR rules to unleash a $5B buyback • The 13.2% tax rate anomaly inflating a massive EPS beat • Why executive leadership was summoned to the Treasury over AI • FICC lending's claim of zero realiz...

WD-40 (WDFC): The AI earnings hallucination & the 120-day oil forcefield [Q2 2026] 10.04.2026

Financial bots panicked over an algorithmic hallucination, but WD-40's actual Q2 FY2026 numbers reveal a masterclass in supply chain defense. In ~10 minutes: • Why automated scrapers flagged a massive, entirely fake EPS miss. • How strategic inventory hoarding built a 120-day crude oil price shield. • Operating income accelerated 13% sequentially despite macro volatility. • Premium "Smart...

BlackBerry (BB): The AI safety layer & the 50M share mystery [Q4 2026] 09.04.2026

BlackBerry’s Q4 2026 results mark the official end of its turnaround era, but a live accounting blind spot stole the spotlight. In ~10 minutes: • How QNX acts as the deterministic safety wrapper for AI heart pumps. • The $38 million deferred cash one-off padding this quarter's free cash flow. • Secure Communications flipping from a multi-year drag into a growth engine. • The Q&A moment the...

Constellation Brands (STZ): Flying blind into the World Cup & Pacifico's surge [Q4 2026] 09.04.2026

Constellation Brands just handed its new CEO a withdrawn multi-year outlook and a struggling wine division for Q4 2026. In ~10 minutes: • Why management explicitly killed their FY 2028 financial guidance. • The massive, front-loaded marketing bet placed on the World Cup. • How Pacifico's 21% volume surge is acting as a backup engine. • The structural collapse of Wine & Spirits margins to j...

Applied Digital (APLD): Shrinking revenue to double profit & 1.2GW of shadow power [Q3 2026] 08.04.2026

Applied Digital practically flatlined its top-line revenue for Q3, but a massive 118% jump in operating profitability tells a completely different story about shedding low-margin weight. In ~10 minutes: • Why dropping construction revenue doubled adjusted EBITDA • The backdoor public spin-out of the GPU cloud business • Using SPVs to secure A3 debt and slash borrowing costs • Guaranteeing an off-b...

Delta Air Lines (DAL): The $2B fuel shock & the macro-immune traveler [Q1 2026] 08.04.2026

Delta Air Lines’ Q1 2026 earnings reveal a fascinating paradox: record premium revenue colliding with a sudden $2 billion geopolitical fuel shock. In ~10 minutes: • Why Delta is aggressively canceling its off-peak red-eye flights. • Premium cabin configurations shifting to cover 50% of the fleet. ✈️ • How their privately owned oil refinery will save $300M. • The hidden B2B margin booster: TechOps...

Aehr Test Systems (AEHR): The AI bookings surge & a simple clock error [Q3 2026] 08.04.2026

Aehr Test Systems reported an anemic $10.3 million in Q3 revenue, but a 500% explosion in behind-the-scenes AI bookings is singlehandedly carrying the bull thesis forward. In ~10 minutes: - Why a basic "clock" configuration error delayed a top-tier AI benchmark. - How skyrocketing CoWoS substrate costs make wafer-level testing mandatory. - The exhaustion of the $40M ATM and the countdown t...

Levi Strauss (LEVI): The hidden $35M tariff sandbag & the pivot past denim [Q1 2026] 08.04.2026

Levi Strauss just delivered a massive Q1 2026, but the real story is a hidden $35 million earnings cushion secretly baked into their hyper-conservative tariff guidance. In this episode: • Why ignoring a Supreme Court tariff pause created a $35M safety net. • How a 13% spike in "Tops" expands Levi's market to $100 billion. • The front-loaded European shipment shift that will artificiall...

T1 Energy (TE): The solar fire sale & flipping solar for AI servers [Q4 2025] 01.04.2026

T1 Energy’s Q4 2025 results look like a massive miss on paper, but beneath the negative gross margins is a deliberate inventory fire sale engineered to harvest government tax credits. In ~10 minutes: • Selling modules at a loss to beat new OBBBA regulations. • Restructuring intellectual property to a non-FEOC Singapore entity. • Why a $34M cash saving is banned from the income statement. • Pivotin...

Beyond Meat (BYND): The 5x share dilution & the pivot to GLP-1 diet drinks [Q4 2025] 01.04.2026

Beyond Meat magically swung to a record $409 million profit in Q4 2025, but it required multiplying their share count by five and quietly abandoning the meat aisle. In ~10 minutes: • How a $548M debt swap masked severe operating bleed. • Why the SEC just blocked their fast-track equity raises. • A $38.9M unexplained litigation charge hiding in Q4 expenses. • Rebranding to escape the "resurgenc...

NIKE (NKE): The $4B sneaker purge & the $230M cost of abandoning DTC [Q3 2026] 01.04.2026

Nike’s Q3 2026 net income plunged 35%, but the footwear giant claims the pain is an entirely intentional move to save the brand's prestige. In ~10 minutes: • Why pulling $4B in Air Force 1s and Dunks was necessary • The $230M severance charge attached to reversing their DTC-first strategy • How an accounting tax anomaly artificially deepened the 35% profit drop • Why management is deliberately...

Sigma Lithium (SGML): Monetizing waste dust & the $151M liquidity cliff [Q4 2025] 31.03.2026

Sigma Lithium’s Q4 2025 results present a wild paradox: management is marketing a "cash machine," while the filings reveal a brutal going concern risk. In ~10 minutes: • How selling low-grade waste dust saved Q4 gross margins. • The aggressive math behind management's $31M "pro-forma" cash flow. • Grant Thornton’s adverse opinion on internal financial controls. 📉 • Firing the...

Fermi America (FRMI): The sprint to build-up AI Power Infrastructure [Q4 2025] 31.03.2026

Fermi America’s Q4 2025 reveals a massive $474 million infrastructure spending spree, even as a key prospective tenant walked away from a $150 million cash advance. In this episode: • Why a massive tenant canceled their $150M funding advance. • The $30M tariff evasion at the Port of Houston FTZ. 🚢 • Refusing 200MW deals to hold out for gigawatt-scale whales. • The looming insider stock sell-down...

Carnival (CCL): Cruise ships & the $500M fuel landmine [Q1 2026] 27.03.2026

Carnival (CCL) just printed record Q1 2026 revenue, but a massive unhedged fuel bill and a buried depreciation tweak reveal a company running its engines at absolute redline. In ~10 minutes: • Why extending ship lifespans artificially boosted this quarter's earnings. • Management's risky bet to absorb a $500M fuel shock without hedging. • How record $7.9B in customer deposits offset Medite...

The Metals Company (TMC): Seabed mining & scavenging dead oil rigs [Q4 2025] 27.03.2026

In Q4 2025, TMC officially abandoned international gridlock for a total pivot to U.S. jurisdiction, pitching deep-sea mining as a matter of national security. In ~10 minutes: • Net loss narrowed 78% after dodging Q3's massive non-cash charges. • The wild plan to repurpose scrapped oil rigs for seabed mining. 🚢 • Why the proposed 1,400-acre Texas refinery hinges on federal subsidies. • Bringin...

Veritone (VERI) Q4-25 earnings: Sold out of AI data & the fast-food camera barter 27.03.2026

Veritone’s Q4 2025 results reveal a company so starved for AI training data that they are literally bartering software for access to fast-food security cameras. In ~10 minutes: - The bizarre $12.9M non-monetary fast-food video transaction. - Why the company turned down $10M in hyperscaler orders. - Wiping out 100% of senior debt to slash carrying costs. - Massive 38% shareholder dilution to bridge...

PONY AI (PONY) Q4-25 earnings: The $132M trading illusion & the zero-CapEx robotaxi 27.03.2026

Pony AI posted a historical first-ever GAAP profit in Q4 2025, but the autonomous driving company made it by playing the stock market, not the streets. In ~10 minutes: • Why an apparent $75.5M net income masks worsening operational burn. • How OEM partners like Toyota dropped Pony's CapEx by 71%. • The red flag behind flat quarter-over-quarter robotaxi revenue figures. • Validating proprietary...

Argan (AGX) Q4-26 earnings: Building the physical AI grid & the 25% margin pop 27.03.2026

Argan’s Q4 2026 earnings highlight an incredible 25% gross margin achieved simply by finishing a mega-project two months ahead of schedule. In ~10 minutes: • How the early Trumbull exit drove a 630 bps profitability spike. • Winning a new $125M contract for direct data center power. • Acting as a balance sheet bully with $895M in cash and zero debt. • Why operational constraints strictly cap activ...

Karman Holdings (KRMN) Q4-25 earnings: The $1B backlog & the cost-plus margin trap 26.03.2026

Karman Holdings' Q4 2025 results reveal a defense prime scaling at breakneck speed, but a ballooning backlog is bringing lower margins and heavy debt along for the ride. In ~10 minutes: • Why 47% YoY revenue growth couldn't prevent a flat EPS quarter. • The M&A strategy that pushed debt to $768M for supply chain control. • How inherited cost-plus maritime contracts are squeezing 2026 E...

Worthington (WOR) Q3-26 earnings: The accidental AI cooling play & a $205M cash drain 26.03.2026

Worthington Enterprises' Q3 FY2026 reveals a legacy metal manufacturer accidentally transforming into a critical AI infrastructure play while aggressively draining its cash for acquisitions. In ~10 minutes: • ASME data center liquid cooling business expects to triple • Stock staged a fierce V-shaped recovery after morning sell-off • Cash plummeted from $180M to $6M post-LSI acquisition • Consu...

Ondas (ONDS) Q4-25 earnings: The $82M paper loss & a $550M defense prime pivot 26.03.2026

Despite soaring revenues and expanding margins, Ondas Holdings' Q4 2025 headline results were completely distorted by an $82 million paper accounting charge. In ~10 minutes: • Top-line revenue surged 198% quarter-over-quarter to $30 million. • Decoding the massive non-cash warrant valuation footprint on EPS. • The strategy behind deploying $550 million across five defense acquisitions. • How n...

PDD Holdings (PDD) (the Temu guys): Chinese ecommerce & the price of a rural moat 26.03.2026

PDD Holdings just delivered 14% revenue growth in Q4, but intentionally cratered its own net income by 16% to bankroll remote logistics and factory R&D. In ~10 minutes: • Why operating cash flow was slashed by nearly 50% QoQ. • Funding physical factory upgrades instead of buying cheap ad traffic. • Absorbing rural transit fees to unlock a massive new demographic. • Management's blunt admis...

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