Miro Benes
Earnings Unscripted: Stock Earnings Calls & Analysis
Earnings Unscripted delivers short-form earnings call analysis. Each episode breaks down corporate earnings calls, compares management commentary with financial results, and highlights key insights for investors seeking fast earnings analysis.
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Episodes
Uber (UBER): Autonomous AI coders & the new capital-light robotaxi era [Q1 2026] 07.05.2026 9:12
Uber’s Q1 2026 reveals a mature platform actively trading engineering headcount for AI compute power while finally ditching its pandemic-era profitability crutches. In ~10 minutes: • Why autonomous AI agents now write 10% of Uber’s codebase. 🤖 • The capital-light strategy to finance third-party autonomous vehicle fleets. • Why management officially retired Adjusted EBITDA as a core metric. • How...
Daily Earnings: Grid Walls, Sovereign Taxes & AI Coders (SMCI, AMD) | May 5 06.05.2026 3:31
The financial costs and physical limits of the AI transition became aggressively concrete today, revealing maxed-out power grids, new sovereign revenue-sharing demands, and the rapid obsolescence of human software developers. - SMCI and LITE face severe physical deployment walls as hyperscalers entirely exhaust local utility caps. - The U.S. government is demanding a structural fifteen percent rev...
Cameco (CCJ): Bypassing the spot market & the US government's 8% cut [Q1 2026] 06.05.2026 9:06
Cameco’s Q1 2026 reveals a brilliant supply chain arbitrage and an unprecedented government alliance, overshadowing a messy cash flow print. In this episode: • Borrowing 750k lbs of uranium internally to avoid open market prices ☢️ • How the U.S. government could secure an 8% equity cut of Westinghouse • Why standard $91 pricing metrics completely ignore new $150+ contract ceilings • The seasonal...
Super Micro Computer (SMCI): The data center power bottleneck & a $6.6B cash burn [Q3 2026] 06.05.2026 12:16
Super Micro Computer’s Q3 2026 results reveal a fascinating paradox: the biggest bottleneck for scaling AI is no longer silicon, but data centers lacking the electrical grids to plug in the servers. In this episode: - Why downstream facility power delays caused a 19% revenue miss. ⚡ - How enterprise software attach rates spiked gross margins to 10.1%. - The structural reality behind an astonishin...
Lumentum (LITE): Nvidia's $2B bankroll & the AI hardware supply squeeze [Q3 2026] 06.05.2026 9:34
Lumentum Holdings Inc.'s Q3 2026 earnings reveal an AI hardware shortage so severe they are actively forcing hyperscalers to bankroll their new factory capacity. In ~10 minutes: - How Nvidia directly injected $2B to secure its supply chain. - The "Scale-Across" AI architecture driven by maxed-out power grids. - Why Lumentum is outsourcing transceiver production to fix trailing margins....
Marathon Petroleum (MPC): Profiting from supply shocks & dodging SPR brokers [Q1 2026] 06.05.2026 10:17
While a massive 6 million barrels of global refining capacity went offline, Marathon Petroleum's Q1 2026 results prove a legacy U.S. refiner can operate like a nimble hedge fund. In ~10 minutes: • Bypassing brokers to buy 10M barrels directly from the DOE. • How a sudden IRS tax clarification saved the renewable diesel segment. • Expanding logistics by sending jet fuel and ULSD across the Paci...
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD): Agentic AI revives the CPU & a 15% US tariff [Q1 2026] 06.05.2026 10:16
Despite zero sequential revenue growth and sliding margins, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) surged 21% in Q1 2026 as Wall Street bought into an aggressive infrastructure pivot. In this episode: - How "Agentic AI" doubled the 2030 Server CPU market to $120B - Why the US Government expects a 15% royalty on China exports - Funding the Q4 MI450 GPU ramp at the cost of corporate margins - The Open...
Shopify (SHOP): The $116M lending trap & the bots writing half the code [Q1 2026] 06.05.2026 10:37
Shopify's Q1 2026 printed stunning revenue milestones, but the stock cratered 15% as Wall Street penalized the tech giant for inheriting traditional banking risks. In ~10 minutes: • Why Shopify Capital's $116M in credit losses terrified Wall Street • The truth behind a massive $581M paper net loss • How AI bots are now writing over 50% of Shopify’s code • Stripe and Amazon quietly adopting...
Daily Earnings: Ruthless optimization and bypassing the AI tax (PINS, PLTR, PSKY) | May 4 05.05.2026 3:48
Today's earnings revealed a ruthless new era of corporate optimization, where management teams are aggressively deploying compact AI and purging low-quality customers to strip empty calories from their operating models. - Pinterest (PINS) bypassed expensive generalized AI providers by building targeted visual models to dodge cloud taxes. - Palantir (PLTR) functionally replaced its traditional...
Pinterest (PINS): The $2B balance sheet shocker & bypassing the big-tech AI trap [Q1 2026] 05.05.2026 9:12
Pinterest executed a massive financial restructuring in Q1 2026, taking on new debt to aggressively swallow its own stock while fundamentally shifting its advertising playbook. In ~10 minutes: • How a debt-funded $2B buyback erased 16% of outstanding shares. • Why rejecting large, generalized LLMs protects their bottom line. • Merging mobile intent with smart TVs via the $450M tvScientific acquisi...
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH): Broken demand machine, cut-year guide [Q1 2026] 05.05.2026 12:30
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings’ Q1 2026 beat looked solid, but the real story was a booking-and-yield reset that forced management to cut the year. In this episode: - Why deposits rose while booking quality still weakened - CEO’s “self-inflicted wounds” turnaround framing - $125M SG&A cuts and salary-cost reset - Europe, Q3 yields, and Great Stirrup Cay’s 2027 test - Debt, capex, and leverage...
Palantir (PLTR): The AI token paradox & selling $1.6B with 7 reps [Q1 2026] 05.05.2026 10:08
As the cost of AI compute collapses, Palantir’s Q1 2026 results prove the exact opposite of what enterprise software expected: absolute demand is skyrocketing. In ~10 minutes: • How a 1,000x drop in token costs fueled record revenue • Why just 7 quota-carrying reps are driving $1.6B quarters • Ripping out a legacy enterprise CRM using native AIP agents • Driving a massive 145% Rule of 40 score wit...
Paramount Skydance (PSKY): The $2.1B Netflix fee & deleting 1.9M users [Q1 2026] 05.05.2026 8:51
Paramount Skydance’s Q1 2026 reveals a massive profitability swing driven by deliberate subscriber culling and a $2.15 billion debt gamble to secure the Warner Bros. Discovery merger. In ~10 minutes: • Why PSKY intentionally deleted 1.9M international subscribers • Taking on $2.15B in debt to pay Netflix's WBD breakup fee • How AI code-assist software halved engineering approval times • The de...
Daily Earnings: Tech's Fossil Pivot & Naked Hedges (CVX, XOM) | May 1 02.05.2026 3:16
The insatiable demand for AI infrastructure is breaking Big Tech’s climate pledges as hyperscalers turn directly to fossil-fuel giants for power, while physical shipping delays severely distort the quarterly accounting reality of the broader energy sector. * Microsoft is actively negotiating direct Permian gas pipeline deals with CVX for unmitigated AI power. * XOM flatly refuses to supply tech hy...
Dominion Energy (D): The 50GW AI power surge & measuring customer anger [Q1 2026] 02.05.2026 9:32
Dominion Energy’s Q1 2026 reveals a utility caught between an explosive 50-gigawatt data center pipeline and the intense capital pressure of overhauling the grid. In ~10 minutes: • Scaling to build an offshore wind turbine every two days. • A new Virginia law mandating 20GW of massive battery storage. • Deploying AI to track customer sentiment around high power bills. • Tapping the equity ATM to f...
Linde (LIN): Stagnant volumes, Gulf Coast delays & rocket fuel [Q1 2026] 02.05.2026 9:35
Linde’s Q1 2026 proves that absolute pricing power can mask a completely flat global industrial economy. In ~10 minutes: • How zero volume growth still yielded a 30% operating margin. • The logistics of pumping propellant for the commercial space race 🚀 • Why Gulf Coast labor shortages are delaying key clean energy mega-projects. • Ignoring the global helium spot shortage to lock down long-term c...
Exxon Mobil (XOM): The $4B naked hedge & conjuring a phantom refinery [Q1 2026] 01.05.2026 9:54
Exxon Mobil's Q1 2026 print is a masterclass in accounting illusions, where a staggering $3.88 billion paper loss masks an underlying operational machine running at absolute redline. In ~10 minutes: • How Middle East shipping delays triggered a massive "naked hedge" • Conjuring a "mid-sized refinery" out of thin air in just 30 days • The unexplained 40% tax rate spike draining...
Chevron (CVX): The $3B accounting trap & plugging Microsoft into the Permian [Q1 2026] 01.05.2026 9:59
Chevron’s Q1 2026 was a bizarre paradox where skyrocketing crude prices somehow plunged the supermajor into negative free cash flow. In this episode: • The $3B downstream accounting trap masking core operations • Why Chevron printed $5B in debt just to fund dividends • An exclusive West Texas power deal for Microsoft's AI ⚡ • Bypassing global spot markets to feed Asian refineries directly Whi...
Daily Earnings: The zero-sum hardware margin war (AAPL, SNDK, CAT) | Apr 30 01.05.2026 3:24
The AI infrastructure boom is fundamentally shifting supply chain dynamics, allowing upstream component and power providers to dictate structural terms and capture record profits at the expense of consumer-facing brands. • SanDisk (SNDK) is utilizing bank-guaranteed long-term contracts to extract massive memory margins from hyperscalers. • Apple (AAPL) faces immediate gross margin compression as t...
Royal Caribbean (RCL): The 40% airfare trap & private island economics [Q1 2026] 01.05.2026 13:58
Royal Caribbean defied a bizarre quarter where international flights briefly cost more than the cruise itself, delivering a massive Q1 beat and raising full-year guidance. In ~10 minutes: - How a 40% spike in transatlantic airfares briefly bottlenecked bookings. - Why hitting 40% repeat-cruisers permanently lowers acquisition costs. - The capacity illusion created by high-margin private beach club...
Caterpillar (CAT): The $12B AI power surge & eating a $600M tariff tax [Q1 2026] 01.05.2026 10:22
Caterpillar’s Q1 2026 results prove the heavy machinery giant is quietly transforming into the invisible power layer for the AI tech boom. In ~10 minutes: • How a $12B backlog surge is tied directly to prime power for data centers. • Why absorbing a surprise $600M tariff hit still resulted in 30% EPS growth. • Management's aggressive 3x capacity expansion for large engines. • The hidden margin...
Western Digital (WDC): The AI data exhaust pipe & wiping out $3.1B in debt [Q3 2026] 01.05.2026 9:48
In Q3 2026, Western Digital proved that Agentic AI's endless data loops are translating directly into record margins and an ironclad balance sheet. In ~10 minutes: • How Agentic AI creates permanent "synthetic data" exhaust 💾 • Wiping out $3.1B in debt using leftover SanDisk equity • Cramming 14 physical platters into a single enterprise drive • Why maintaining 50% gross margins event...
Apple (AAPL): Tim Cook steps down & tearing up the balance sheet playbook [Q2 2026] 01.05.2026 9:12
Apple sets a massive structural transition in motion for Q2 2026 as Tim Cook announces his exit alongside a fundamental shift in the company's financial doctrine. In ~10 minutes: • John Ternus named to take over as CEO this September • CFO permanently abandons the "net cash neutral" mandate • A secretive one-off expense spikes SG&A to $18.9B • The new MacBook Neo actively triggers...
SanDisk (SNDK): $11B in hostage money & the $42B subscription pivot [Q3 2026] 01.05.2026 9:10
SanDisk's Q3 2026 earnings reveal a radical transformation from cyclical hardware supplier to a SaaS-like memory fortress holding $11 billion in customer collateral. 🏦 In ~10 minutes: • Why Datacenter revenue exploded 233% sequentially. • The $42B backlog reshaping historical memory cycles. • Forcing customers to put up $11B in banking collateral. • Why SanDisk intentionally starved the marke...
Daily Earnings: Accounting illusions mask the AI CapEx bill (AMZN, GOOGL, META) | Apr 29 30.04.2026 2:22
Big Tech printed historic profit beats across the board this quarter, but those headline numbers rely on significant accounting anomalies to obscure a terrifying, cash-draining AI infrastructure bill. - AMZN and GOOGL utilized tens of billions in non-operating paper gains to artificially mask margin pressure. - Unprecedented compute expenditures forced Amazon to take on heavy debt and caused Alpha...
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