Miro Benes

Earnings Unscripted: Stock Earnings Calls & Analysis

Business EN ↓ 407 episodes

Earnings Unscripted delivers short-form earnings call analysis. Each episode breaks down corporate earnings calls, compares management commentary with financial results, and highlights key insights for investors seeking fast earnings analysis.

Author

Miro Benes

Category

Business

Podcast website

redcircle.com

Latest episode

Jul 10, 2026

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Episodes

Semtech (SMTC): The 35% data center leap & a 3x optical supply crunch [Q1 2027] 27.05.2026

Semtech’s Q1 2027 earnings confirm an aggressive pivot toward hyperscaler connectivity, balancing skyrocketing AI demand against steep fab integration costs. In ~10 minutes: • Why data center guidance projects a staggering 35% sequential bump 📈 • The GaN optical chip demand currently outstripping supply 3-to-1 • How the Hyfo integration temporarily crushed Signal Integrity margins • Offloading th...

Zscaler (ZS): The 20% stock crash, server hoarding & AI agents [Q3 2026] 27.05.2026

Zscaler posted record profits for Q3 2026, but the market instantly wiped 20% off its valuation after management threw cold water on their long-term growth. In ~10 minutes: • Why the stock crashed 20% despite a clean revenue beat • How a global AI hardware shortage is driving panic CapEx • Unpacking the sudden departure of top sales executives • Why $480M in Z-Flex deals is masking a new logo drou...

Daily Earnings: Assassinating the outside middleman (TTWO, WDAY) | May 21 22.05.2026

Corporate AI optimization is explicitly pivoting outward to eliminate expensive third-party consulting and marketing agencies, while physical supply chain constraints force major retailers to bleed margin to ocean shippers. - Take-Two (TTWO) used internal generative AI to produce premium $100,000 commercial spots for zero dollars. - Workday (WDAY) aims for zero-dollar deployments, freezing headcou...

Workday (WDAY): Flat headcount mandates & the zero-dollar software deployment [Q1 2027] 22.05.2026

Workday ($WDAY) delivered strong Q1 2027 contract growth, but the real story is management’s radical decision to flatline human hiring and replace external consultants with internal AI. In ~10 minutes: • How 14 million automated actions are replacing corporate recruiting headcount. • Why the new "Deployment Agent" targets a $0 installation cost. • The structural risk of replacing the compa...

Star Bulk (SBLK): The $470M shadow deal & profiting from Red Sea friction [Q1 2026] 22.05.2026

Star Bulk's Q1 2026 results prove that geopolitical chaos and restricted vessel supply are the ultimate ingredients for massive operating leverage. In ~10 minutes: • How net income surged 11,600% despite a shrinking active fleet. • The hidden $470 million contingent agreement for 16 competitor ships. • Why management is halting all new shipyard orders for buybacks. • Tracking the El Niño weath...

Take-Two Interactive (TTWO): The $0 AI ad agency & the $8B gravity of GTA 6 [Q4 2026] 22.05.2026

Take-Two’s Q4 2026 results reveal a company building a financial fortress for an $8 billion year, while quietly proving out real-world AI cost deflation. In ~10 minutes: - How a two-person team used AI to replace a $100k ad agency. - Why underpricing Mafia: The Old Country at $50 drove massive sales. - The hidden margin risks as legacy Zynga mobile titles age out. - Management's case against G...

Walmart (WMT): A million drone deliveries & the $175M invisible fuel drain [Q1 2027] 22.05.2026

Walmart's top-line revenue looked bulletproof in Q1 2027, but the retail giant is quietly subsidizing a massive physical logistics buildout with high-margin digital advertising. In this episode: • Why soaring distribution fuel costs secretly drained $175M in operating income. • "Sparky" the conversational AI assistant driving cart sizes up 35%. • How plummeting egg prices artificially...

Daily Earnings: AI voltage walls & zero-tolerance labor traps (NVDA, ADI, TGT) | May 20 20.05.2026

Today’s earnings window highlights massive physical bottlenecks forming in the AI hardware supply chain, alongside a stark reminder of how Wall Street values human headcount. • Analog Devices (ADI) is hoarding 168 days of inventory to solve extreme NVIDIA power-density bottlenecks. • Intuit (INTU) purged 17% of its workforce to eliminate middle-management bloat despite record cash flows. • Target...

Target (TGT): Exclusive hype drops, surging labor costs & a $593M legacy ghost [Q1 2026] 20.05.2026

Target delivered a massive bottom-line beat in Q1 2026, but Wall Street punished the stock as the heavy cost of fixing the customer experience began to bite. In ~10 minutes: • Why a 31% adjusted EPS beat caused a stock selloff • Foot traffic surges driven by exclusive Pokémon and Parachute drops • How higher store payroll and "Baby Concierges" are threatening margins • The unadjusted $593M...

Intuit (INTU): Axing 17% of staff & treating $12B Mailchimp like a sunk cost [Q3 2026] 20.05.2026

Intuit delivered a monstrous $8.5 billion Q3 2026, but the massive earnings beat was instantly overshadowed by a sweeping 17% workforce reduction and structural software fatigue. In ~10 minutes: - Why the 17% layoff is about middle management bloat, not AI. - How the $12B Mailchimp deal was downgraded to a legacy cash cow. - Conceding defeat to free DIY tax tools after "losing on price." -...

Analog Devices (ADI): Hoarding silicon for the AI power war [Q2 2026] 20.05.2026

Analog Devices posted massive Q2 2026 margins, but beneath the headlines, the hardware giant is hoarding raw silicon and aggressively acquiring tech to capture the impending AI infrastructure boom. In ~10 minutes: • Why ADI bought Empower Semi to solve GPU voltage bottlenecks • How one-off channel repricing artificially boosted 73% gross margins • The strategic gamble of purposefully hoarding 168...

NVIDIA (NVDA): The $119B supply lock-up & Jensen's live dividend edit [Q1 2027] 20.05.2026

Despite an absolute blowout Q1 2027 and a multi-trillion dollar shift toward "agentic" AI, Wall Street barely reacted to NVIDIA's latest historic revenue figures. In ~10 minutes: • Jensen Huang's awkward live correction of the CFO's dividend math. • Locking down a staggering $119B in global supply commitments. • Why they officially stopped hiding stock-based compensation from N...

Daily Earnings: Hacking supply chains and absorbing costs (KEYS, HD, CAVA) | May 19 20.05.2026

Today’s earnings reveal physical companies taking on heavy internal costs to forcefully bypass their own growth bottlenecks instead of waiting on the consumer economy. • Keysight (KEYS) hiked CapEx 25 percent strictly to build physical AI testing equipment. • Home Depot (HD) injected localized acquisitions into national pipelines to bypass regional HVAC laws. • CAVA intentionally ate food inflatio...

CAVA Group (CAVA): Refusing price hikes & the penny-neutral salmon [Q1 2026] 20.05.2026

In Q1 2026, CAVA drove a massive 9.7% traffic surge by deliberately refusing to raise menu prices, defying the broader fast-casual industry slump. In ~10 minutes: - Why same-store sales jumped 9.7% primarily on foot traffic. - How "penny-profit neutral" salmon will intentionally compress margins. - Why heavily expanding middle management pushed AUVs past $3M. - The tax accounting shift mas...

Keysight (KEYS): A $93M Supreme Court glitch & the race to test AI physics [Q2 2026] 20.05.2026

Keysight Technologies just reported a massive Q2 2026, but the headline numbers hide an obscure legal windfall and an intense internal capacity race to keep up with AI. In this episode: • How a Supreme Court ruling printed $93M out of thin air. • Why 1H AI-related business has already surpassed all of fiscal 2025. • The 25% mid-year CapEx hike to build physical AI testing infrastructure. 🏗️ • Stre...

Home Depot (HD): The $100B HVAC loophole & freeing the Orange Apron [Q1 2026] 20.05.2026

Home Depot's Q1 2026 earnings reveal a brilliant logistics loophole that expanded their addressable market by $100 billion, even as aggressive acquisitions temporarily squeeze margins. In ~10 minutes: - How an HVAC parts acquisition bypasses regional distribution laws 🔧 - Reorganizing store labor to let Orange Apron associates focus on selling - Why management is blaming spring rain for slugg...

Daily Earnings: Hardware gridlock forces FPS orders & Figma’s AI paywall | May 14 15.05.2026

The extreme physical gridlock of the AI boom is forcing hardware buyers to prioritize delivery speed over price, while software platforms finally proved they can successfully force users to pay an AI premium. - Applied Materials (AMAT) is draining $1.75 billion in working capital to fund physical manufacturing. - Forgent Power (FPS) is winning massive contracts purely by delivering grid hardware s...

Figma (FIG): Ignoring the AI paywall curse & funding operations with Adobe's $1B [Q1 2026] 15.05.2026

Figma’s Q1 2026 results prove that human design is becoming software’s most valuable commodity in an AI-generated world. 🎨 In ~10 minutes: • How enforcing strict AI usage paywalls resulted in almost zero churn. • Why usage of their Model Context Protocol for developers spiked 5x. • The $56M one-off corporate bonus masking their true free cash flow. • Deploying the $1B Adobe termination fee into T...

Applied Materials (AMAT): Panic booking to 2027 & the hidden cash drain [Q2 2026] 15.05.2026

Chipmakers are so desperate for capacity that Applied Materials (AMAT) secured a two-year waitlist for Q2 2026, but the explosive growth is severely straining their working capital. In ~10 minutes: • Why top semiconductor foundries are "panic booking" equipment into 2027. • The $685M paper windfall hiding a severe free cash flow drop. • How the "NEXX" acquisition drives advanced pa...

Intuitive Machines (LUNR): The $800M M&A hangover & the orbital data center pivot 14.05.2026

Intuitive Machines nearly tripled its revenue in Q1 2026, but the massive integration costs of buying an infrastructure competitor sent operating losses and cash burn skyrocketing. In ~10 minutes 🛰️: • How the $800M Lanteris buyout temporarily wrecked operating margins. • NASA's "fail small" pivot giving the company recurring rover revenues. • The wild strategic pitch for 60,000-watt o...

Forgent Power (FPS): 6-month data center grids & the $200M insider tax drain 14.05.2026

Forgent Power Solutions' Q3 2026 print proves that speed is the ultimate currency in the AI infrastructure boom, but rapid scaling comes with a hidden corporate price tag. In ~10 minutes: • How 6-month turnaround guarantees are capturing massive $100M+ data center whales. • The strategic shift to bundled "Powertrain" systems (revenue up 113% QoQ). • Why a newly crystallized $207M insid...

Daily Earnings: Hardware Rewiring & Supply Hoarding (CSCO, USAR) | May 13 14.05.2026

Corporate America is fundamentally re-engineering its physical and human supply chains to bypass crushing component inflation and severe geopolitical bottlenecks. • Cisco (CSCO) is redesigning its upcoming hardware portfolio to mathematically require 50% less physical memory. • Defense contractors are hoarding raw, unfinished components from USA Rare Earth (USAR) to dodge military sourcing mandate...

USA Rare Earth (USAR): Panic buying magnets & a $2.8B stock dilution [Q1 2026] 14.05.2026

USA Rare Earth's Q1 2026 pivot to active commercial manufacturing reveals a frantic push to secure Western supply chains, balancing rapid global scale with severe stock dilution risk. In ~10 minutes: • Why automakers are hoarding unfinished magnet blocks as safety stock 🧲 • The $2.8B Serra Verde acquisition that nearly doubles the share float • Achieving 99.5% pure yttrium for extreme defense...

Cisco (CSCO): The $1B AI pivot & designing gear with 50% less memory [Q3 2026] 14.05.2026

Cisco’s Q3 2026 results sent shares surging 22% as the company forcefully bypassed supply chain inflation and re-wired its talent structure for AI hyperscale dominance. In ~10 minutes: • How a 15-day quote window squeezed buyers and padded margins. • Designing new hardware that physically requires 50% less memory. • Why the $1B restructure isn't a traditional cost-cutting measure. • Splunk&#39...

Daily Earnings: Cold War Plutonium & Tariff Turnarounds (OKLO, UAA, NXT) | May 12 13.05.2026

To satisfy the staggering physical demands of AI infrastructure, the energy sector is radically rewriting its supply chains, while completely different industries use tax math to disguise their struggling core operations. - Oklo (OKLO) bypasses paralyzed commercial uranium markets, sourcing surplus defense plutonium for AI micro-reactors. - Nextpower (NXT) weaponized battery millisecond startup sp...

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