Colton Thomas
Charged Alpha Stock Encyclopedia
Charged Alpha reviews earnings for each stock in the Russel 1000 every quarter. Each podcast gives thorough analysis, along with an in-depth profile in the beginning of the episode of the company, what they do, how they earn money and what to look for.
Author
Colton Thomas
Category
Podcast website
Latest episode
Jul 10, 2026
Where to listen?
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Episodes
PLAB Stock: HOLD Call - Stock Crashes 36% On Soft Print Q2 FY2026 29.05.2026 9:53
Photronics Q2 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $34.02 -> HOLD - BUY below $28.00 with $22.00 stop - AVOID above $46.00 TRIGGER: Two consecutive quarters of revenue stabilization AND gross margin back above 33%, OR an FPD/China display capex recovery WINDOW...
HRL Stock: HOLD Call - Profit Fell, Stock Jumped 12.5% Q2 FY2026 29.05.2026 10:14
Hormel Foods Q2 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $23.59 - HOLD - BUY below $21.00 with $18.50 stop - AVOID above $28.00 TRIGGER: A pullback under $21 (roughly 14x forward) OR a Q3 print that confirms cost pressure is easing and the upper-half EPS path is inta...
REX Stock: BUY Call - EPS Doubles YoY as Crush Spread Recovers Q1 FY2026 29.05.2026 9:37
REX American Resources Q1 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: BUY (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $48.26 - BUY - BUY below $46.00 with $38.00 stop - AVOID above $60.00 TRIGGER: 2nd straight double-digit op-margin quarter OR funded CCS credit WINDOW: Through Q3 FY2026 earnings (early Dec 2026) TRACK...
NTAP Stock: HOLD Call - Record Quarter But Priced For Perfection Q4 FY2026 29.05.2026 8:00
NetApp Q4 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $142.40 -> HOLD - BUY below $115.00 with $95.00 stop - AVOID above $165.00 TRIGGER: A pullback to $115 with FY2027 guide intact would turn this into a BUY WINDOW: 6-12 months - valuation needs the earnings to grow...
XPEV Stock: HOLD Call - Gross Margin Climbs to 20.6% Q1 2026 29.05.2026 9:53
XPeng Inc. Q1 2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. China's smart-EV turnaround: deliveries fell a third, but gross margin actually climbed. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $16.44 -> same - BUY below $14.00 with $12.00 stop - AVOID above $24.00 TRIGGER: Watch for Q2 deliveries to land inside th...
FUTU Stock: HOLD Call - Stock Rebounds +17% After $271M Fine Q1 2026 28.05.2026 10:06
Futu Holdings Q1 2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $104.91 - HOLD - BUY below $90.00 with $75.00 stop - AVOID above $140.00 TRIGGER: A clean resolution of the CSRC matter with no further fines, plus Q2 confirming paying-client growth and client assets holding th...
DOO Stock: HOLD Call - EPS Crushed It But Guide Cut 45% Q1 FY2027 28.05.2026 10:21
BRP Inc (DOO) Q1 FY2027 earnings breakdown - a conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. All financial figures in CAD; share price in USD (NASDAQ). THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $58.57 USD -> HOLD - BUY below $50.00 with $44.00 stop - AVOID above $72.00 TRIGGER: North American retail turns positive AND tariff guide stabil...
ATS Stock: HOLD Call - Bookings Fell 18% Q4 FY2026 28.05.2026 8:14
ATS Stock: HOLD Call - Bookings Fell 18% Q4 FY2026 ATS Corporation Q4 FY2026 Charged Alpha Pipeline X deep dive. Record revenue, but a softening order book. Q4 revenue C$744M (+3.2% YoY), adjusted EPS C$0.36, adjusted earnings-from-operations margin 10.3%. Order bookings C$704M fell 18.4% YoY; order backlog C$1.96B down 8.5%; trailing book-to-bill 0.99. Full-year net income swung positive after a...
ICLR Stock: BUY Call - Accounting Cloud Lifts +17% Q1 2026 28.05.2026 9:59
ICLR Stock: BUY Call - Accounting Cloud Lifts +17% Q1 2026 ICON plc (NASDAQ: ICLR), one of the world's two largest clinical-research organizations, jumped roughly +17% as its accounting investigation finally cleared. Revenue came in at $2,112.5M (+3.5% YoY), beating the ~$1.99B Street estimate, while adjusted EPS of $2.52 missed the ~$3.12 consensus on margin compression. The decisive catalyst: th...
ICLR Stock: BUY Call - Op Margin +1400 Bps to 13% Q1 FY2027 28.05.2026 9:59
ICON plc Q1 FY2027 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: BUY (4/5 conviction, STRONG) - CURRENT @ $136.80 -> BUY - BUY below $130.00 with $95.00 stop - AVOID above $190.00 TRIGGER: Q2 print confirming book-to-bill holding above 1.2x AND operating margin stabilizing or expanding off the 12% base WINDOW: 12-18 mo...
LI Stock: HOLD Call - Gross Margin Crashes to 7.9% Q1 2026 28.05.2026 9:58
Li Auto Inc. Q1 2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. China's former EV profit champion just swung to a loss. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $15.54 -> same - BUY below $13.00 with $11.00 stop - AVOID above $22.00 TRIGGER: Watch for gross margin to climb back toward the low-to-mid teens over th...
GAP Stock: HOLD Call - Beat EPS, Cut Sales Guide, Rose 4% Q1 FY2026 28.05.2026 8:58
Gap Inc Q1 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $25.01 -> HOLD - BUY below $21.00 with $17.00 stop - AVOID above $31.00 TRIGGER: A pullback under $21 (sub-9x forward) OR a Q2 comp re-acceleration with the sales outlook restored to plus 2-3 percent WINDOW: Thro...
OKTA Stock: BUY Call - 25% Margin + 35% FCF Q1 FY2027 28.05.2026 9:54
OKTA Stock: BUY Call - 25% Margin + 35% FCF Q1 FY2027 Okta delivered a clean beat: total revenue $765M (+11% YoY), non-GAAP EPS $0.91 vs $0.85 Street (+7%), with a 25% non-GAAP operating margin and a 35% free cash flow margin. Current RPO grew 12% YoY to $2.50B, GAAP EPS turned positive at $0.42, and buybacks pushed diluted share count lower year over year. The full-year FY27 guide was reiterated...
MDB Stock: BUY Call - Atlas Re-Accelerates +22% Q1 FY2027 28.05.2026 10:12
MDB Stock: BUY Call - Atlas Re-Accelerates +22% Q1 FY2027 MongoDB delivered a clean beat-and-raise: total revenue $687.6M (+25% YoY), beating the Street, with Atlas revenue up more than 29% YoY (now ~77% of total). Non-GAAP EPS came in at $1.32 vs $1.18 Street (+11.9%). Free cash flow nearly doubled YoY to $197.5M, RPO jumped 88% to $1.46B, and customers above $100K ARR reached 2,895. Management r...
ADSK Stock: BUY Call - Beat & Raise But Fell 4% AH Q1 FY2027 28.05.2026 9:45
ADSK Stock: BUY Call - Beat & Raise But Fell 4% AH Q1 FY2027 Autodesk delivered a clean beat-and-raise after the close: revenue $1.93B (+18% YoY, +2.1% beat), non-GAAP EPS $2.99 vs $2.84 Street (+5.3%), GAAP operating margin 28% (+730bps YoY), and free cash flow $876M (+58% YoY). Total billings grew 18% and management RAISED full-year FY27 guidance across revenue, EPS and FCF. Yet the stock fe...
DELL Stock: BUY Call - $51.3B AI Server Backlog Q1 FY2027 28.05.2026 8:04
Dell Technologies Q1 FY2027 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: BUY (4/5 conviction, STRONG) - CURRENT @ $317.05 -> BUY - BUY below $300.00 with $250.00 stop - AVOID above $420.00 TRIGGER: Q2 print confirms $44.5B guide AND AI server backlog holds above $50B WINDOW: 12-18 months - AI server backlog conversion...
BBY Stock: HOLD Call - Comps Turned Positive, Stock Jumped 16% Q1 FY2026 28.05.2026 9:22
Best Buy Q1 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $74.74 -> HOLD - BUY below $65.00 with $55.00 stop - AVOID above $85.00 TRIGGER: A pullback under $65 OR a Q2 comp print above the roughly plus 1 percent guide that confirms the plus 2 percent Q1 was the start o...
SQM Stock: BUY Call - EPS +167% as Lithium Recovers Q1 2026 28.05.2026 9:05
SQM Stock: BUY Call - EPS +167% as Lithium Recovers Q1 2026 SQM (Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile) Q1 2026 Charged Alpha Pipeline X deep dive - the lithium-price recovery. Revenue $1.76B beat by 3.9% and up 69.8% YoY. EPS $1.28 missed the $1.65 Street estimate by 22% but jumped 166.7% YoY from $0.48. Gross margin recovered to 44.2% from 29.4% a year ago; operating margin 41.5%. Lithium volume ~6...
COST Stock: HOLD Call - 51x Earnings After 6-Cent Miss Q3 FY2026 28.05.2026 8:40
Costco Wholesale Q3 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $1000.69 -> HOLD - BUY below $870.00 with $820.00 stop - AVOID above $1100.00 TRIGGER: A membership fee increase announcement OR the stock derating toward 40x forward earnings WINDOW: 12-18 months - mult...
DLTR Stock: BUY Call - Comps +3.5% Guide Raised +18% Pop Q1 FY2026 28.05.2026 8:42
Dollar Tree Q1 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: BUY (4/5 conviction, STRONG) - CURRENT @ $112.85 -> BUY - BUY below $110.00 with $92.00 stop - AVOID above $140.00 TRIGGER: Q2 FY26 print confirming comps hold at 3 percent or better and gross margin sustains the 120bp expansion WINDOW: 12-18 months as...
BURL Stock: HOLD Call - Beat Everything, Stock Fell 7.5% Q1 FY2026 28.05.2026 8:40
Burlington Stores Q1 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $301.40 -> HOLD - BUY below $270.00 with $235.00 stop - AVOID above $345.00 TRIGGER: A pullback under $270 (roughly 22x forward) OR a Q2 comp print above the +1-3% guide that confirms the +6% Q1 was not...
HPQ Stock: HOLD Call - Triple Beat +4.4% Q2 FY2026 28.05.2026 8:51
HP Inc Q2 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $25.49 - HOLD - BUY below $22.00 with $18.00 stop - AVOID above $28.00 TRIGGER: Q3 FY26 print confirming $14.4B revenue AND Personal Systems op margin above 5.5% WINDOW: 9-12 months PC refresh cycle ramp TRACKER: cha...
SNOW Stock: BUY Call - Blowout +37% AH AI Inflection Q1 FY2027 28.05.2026 10:01
Snowflake Q1 FY2027 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: BUY (4/5 conviction, STRONG) - CURRENT @ $175.26 - BUY - BUY below $168.00 with $180.00 stop - AVOID above $280.00 TRIGGER: Q2 FY27 print confirming $1.42B guide AND non-GAAP op margin step up toward 13.5% FY27 target WINDOW: 12-18 months - AI workload mone...
NCNO Stock: BUY Call - Op Margin +1400 Bps to 13% Q1 FY2027 28.05.2026 10:05
nCino, Inc. Q1 FY2027 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: BUY (4/5 conviction, STRONG) - CURRENT @ $15.19 -> BUY - BUY below $14.50 with $13.00 stop - AVOID above $22.00 TRIGGER: Q2 FY27 print confirms $158.75M guide AND non-GAAP op margin holds above 25 percent WINDOW: 12-18 months - FY27 op margin expansion...
UHAL Stock: HOLD Call - FY26 EPS -74% Annual Report Q4 FY2026 28.05.2026 8:31
UHAL Stock: HOLD Call - FY26 EPS -74% Annual Report Q4 FY2026 U-Haul Q4 FY2026 Charged Alpha Pipeline X deep dive. Annual report tonight, the housing-churn tell. Revenue $1.272B missed by $38M (+3.1% YoY). Diluted EPS -$0.70 beat by $0.02 (-52% YoY). Full-year FY26 EPS collapsed to $0.44 from $1.69 in FY25 (-74% YoY). Operating margin trough -13.2%. Self-Storage compounds steadily while Self-Movin...
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