Colton Thomas

Charged Alpha Stock Encyclopedia

Charged Alpha reviews earnings for each stock in the Russel 1000 every quarter. Each podcast gives thorough analysis, along with an in-depth profile in the beginning of the episode of the company, what they do, how they earn money and what to look for.

Author

Colton Thomas

Category

Business

Podcast website

chargedalpha.podbean.com

Latest episode

Jul 10, 2026

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Episodes

MDT Stock: +10% Revenue Growth but GLP-1 Still Haunts Diabetes Q2 FY2026 04.06.2026

Ciena Corporation Q2 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $505.21 - HOLD - BUY below $440.00 with $370.00 stop - AVOID above $620.00 TRIGGER: Webscale bookings hold above $1.5B quarterly; no sequential demand decline WINDOW: 12 months TRACKER: WALL STREET CONSENS...

NTSK Stock: ARR +29% Q1 FY2027 04.06.2026

Netskope Q1 FY2027 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $12.40 - HOLD - BUY below $10.50 with $8.50 stop - AVOID above $17.00 TRIGGER: CFO successor named AND Q2 net new ARR $40M would turn this into a BUY WINDOW: 12-18 months - the platform multiple requires net new AR...

PVH Stock: Calvin Klein + Tommy Beat Q1 FY2026 04.06.2026

PVH Corp Q1 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $98.00 - HOLD - BUY below $85.00 with $72.00 stop - AVOID above $115.00 TRIGGER: Non-GAAP op margin progression toward 8%+ in Q2 OR management raises FY26 guide OR Middle East normalization WINDOW: Through Q3 FY202...

AVGO Stock: AI Semis +143% YoY Q2 FY2026 04.06.2026

Broadcom Q2 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $479.23 - HOLD - BUY below $400.00 with $320.00 stop - AVOID above $550.00 TRIGGER: Pullback to $380-400 with AI revenue trajectory intact turns this into a strong BUY WINDOW: 12-18 months — the AI XPU ramp compo...

CRWD Stock: 4-for-1 Split + Record ARR Q1 FY2027 04.06.2026

CrowdStrike Holdings Q1 FY2027 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $747.61 - HOLD - BUY below $620.00 with $500.00 stop - AVOID above $850.00 TRIGGER: A pullback toward $620 with net new ARR trajectory intact turns this into a BUY - below consensus PT with the outage r...

FIVE Stock: Comp +22.7% Q1 FY2026 04.06.2026

Five Below, Inc. Q1 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: BUY (4/5 conviction, STRONG) - CURRENT @ $222.89 - BUY - BUY below $215.00 with $175.00 stop - AVOID above $270.00 TRIGGER: Q2 FY26 comp sustaining above +10%; tariff sourcing diversification reducing China COGS exposure below 50% WINDOW: Through Q3...

VEEV Stock: +16% Rev Beat Q1 FY2027 04.06.2026

Veeva Systems Q1 FY2027 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $178.66 - HOLD - BUY below $155.00 with $135.00 stop - AVOID above $230.00 TRIGGER: Two consecutive quarters of Veeva AI agent contract announcements with material revenue contribution OR net retention rate ac...

RDW Stock: Jefferies Downgrades After 223% Rally as Insider Signals Selling 2026 04.06.2026

Redwire Corporation (RDW) event-driven analysis — 2026-06-03. Today's -9.52% move on 40.78M shares (9x average volume) explained: Jefferies downgrade Buy->Hold (PT raised $13->$24), insider Form 144 filing, and textbook crowded-trade unwind after a 223% YTD rally. THE CATALYST - Jefferies: Buy to Hold | PT raised $13.0->$24.0 - Core concern: backlog-to-revenue conversion execution risk at...

OLLI Stock: EPS Beat Revenue Missed Q1 FY2027 03.06.2026

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Q1 FY2027 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $78.97 - HOLD - BUY below $70.00 with $55.00 stop - AVOID above $100.00 TRIGGER: Q2 FY27 revenue re-acceleration above estimate; or Big Lots conversion ROI evidence WINDOW: Through Q2 FY2027...

MDT Stock: +10% Revenue Growth but GLP-1 Still Haunts Diabetes Q4 FY2026 03.06.2026

Medtronic Q4 FY2026 earnings deep-dive — conversational walkthrough of the strongest annual top-line growth in a decade, the GLP-1 diabetes overhang, Hugo robotics vs ISRG, and the pulsed-field ablation (PFA) competitive race. THE NUMBERS — Q4 FY2026 (As of close, 2026-06-03) - Revenue: $9.807B (+9.9% YoY) — best annual growth in 10 years - Non-GAAP EPS: $1.55 (vs $1.54 est, beat by $0.01) - GAAP...

THO Stock: Revenue BEAT But EPS Guide CUT Q3 FY2026 03.06.2026

Thor Industries, Inc. Q3 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $74.76 - HOLD - BUY below $65.00 with $55.00 stop - AVOID above $90.00 TRIGGER: Two consecutive quarters of North American Towable backlog growth, or gross margin recovery above 14%, or a rate cut cycl...

M Stock: Macy’s EPS Crushed 6.5x - Turnaround Real or Sugar-High? Q1 FY2026 03.06.2026

Macys Q1 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $21.49 - HOLD - BUY below $18.00 with $14.00 stop - AVOID above $26.00 TRIGGER: Two consecutive quarters of comp sales above +2.5% OR Q2 FY2026 showing op margin expansion above 3.0% without one-time gains WINDOW: Thr...

ADBE Stock: Down 38% From High — AI Threat or Hidden Value? Q1 FY2026 03.06.2026

Adobe Inc. Q1 FY2026 earnings deep-dive — a clean beat (+12% revenue, +11% EPS) but the stock is down 38% from its 52-week high on AI disruption fears. Value trap or the best AI setup in enterprise software? THE NUMBERS — Q1 FY2026 (As of close, 2026-06-02: $262.11) - Revenue: $6.398B (+12% YoY) — beat $6.350B estimate - GAAP EPS: $4.61 (+11.1% YoY) — beat $4.47 estimate - GAAP Operating Margin: 3...

BWLP Stock: $55.5K/Day TCE Rate, Q2 Guidance at $81K Q1 2026 02.06.2026

BW LPG Limited Q1 2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $20.23 - HOLD - BUY below $17.50 with $14.00 stop - AVOID above $25.00 TRIGGER: Q2 TCE rate confirmation above $75K/day OR spot rates sustaining Q3 bid above $70K WINDOW: Through Q2 2026 earnings (August 2026)...

MOMO Stock: EPS Crushed Estimates +16% — Is the Cheapest China App Worth Owning? Q1 2026 02.06.2026

Hello Group Inc. Q1 2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $5.76 - HOLD - BUY below $4.50 with $3.80 stop - AVOID above $7.50 TRIGGER: A sustained MAU stabilization across two consecutive quarters, OR a formal capital return acceleration (special dividend / buyback 1...

GTLB Stock: +23% Revenue Growth & Duo AI Monetization Q1 FY2027 02.06.2026

GitLab Q1 FY2027 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $31.82 - HOLD - BUY below $25.00 with $22.00 stop - AVOID above $45.00 TRIGGER: Q2 print confirms $271.5M guide AND customers $1M ARR accelerate to 900 accounts WINDOW: 12-18 months — Duo AI monetization and FY28 i...

ULTA Stock: Beauty Bounced Back — Rev +11%, EPS +15.8% Q1 FY2026 02.06.2026

Ulta Beauty Q1 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $494.87 - HOLD - BUY below $460.00 with $400.00 stop - AVOID above $580.00 TRIGGER: Q2 comp sustaining above +2% OR management raises FY26 EPS guidance on Q2 call WINDOW: Through Q3 FY2026 earnings (November 202...

PANW Stock: Revenue +31% as NGS ARR Hits $8.1B Q3 FY2026 02.06.2026

Palo Alto Networks Q3 FY2026 earnings deep-dive — conversational walkthrough of the first $3B quarter, NGS ARR breakout, and the GAAP vs non-GAAP story. THE NUMBERS — Q3 FY2026 (As of close, 2026-06-02) - Revenue: $3.00B (+31% YoY) — landmark first $3B quarter - Non-GAAP EPS: $0.85 (vs $0.81 est, +4.9% beat) - NGS ARR: $8.1B (+60% YoY) incl. ~$1.6B from CyberArk + Chronosphere - GAAP Net Loss: -$1...

DCI Stock: HOLD Call - Record Quarter But Priced For Perfection Q4 FY2026 02.06.2026

Donaldson Q4 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $84.56 -> HOLD - BUY below $75.00 with $65.00 stop - AVOID above $105.00 TRIGGER: A pullback toward $75 with Life Sciences organic growth confirmed above ten percent would be a BUY entry WINDOW: 12-18 months —...

SIG Stock: Flat Revenue, EPS Held Steady Q1 FY2027 02.06.2026

Signet Jewelers Q1 FY2027 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $88.00 - HOLD - BUY below $78.00 with $65.00 stop - AVOID above $105.00 TRIGGER: Pullback below $78 OR Q2 FY2027 comp sales showing positive comparable-store growth above plus 2 percent WINDOW: Through Q2 FY...

DG Stock: EPS +13.5% YoY Q1 FY2026 02.06.2026

Dollar General Corporation Q1 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $107.02 -> HOLD - BUY below $95.00 with $78.00 stop - AVOID above $130.00 TRIGGER: Two consecutive quarters of comp acceleration above +2.5%, or SNAP/tariff clarity removing the macro overhang...

CRDO Stock: Revenue +157% -- AEC Hyper-Growth Hits $437M Q4 FY2026 01.06.2026

Credo Technology Q4 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: BUY (4/5 conviction, STRONG) - CURRENT @ $226.10 - BUY - BUY below $220.00 with $185.00 stop - AVOID above $280.00 TRIGGER: Q1 FY27 print confirming $475M guide AND Microsoft AEC renewal / second hyperscaler expansion WINDOW: 12-18 months -- FY27 hyp...

HPE Stock: Revenue +41% & Juniper Deal — Is the AI-Server Rerating Real? Q2 FY2026 01.06.2026

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Q2 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $47.06 - HOLD - BUY below $40.00 with $33.00 stop - AVOID above $58.00 TRIGGER: Q3 print confirms revenue above $10.2B AND op margin recovers above 5% as integration costs ease WINDOW: 12-18 month...

CHA Stock: Margin Collapse as China Tea Giant Expands Overseas Q1 2026 01.06.2026

Chagee Holdings Q1 2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $12.83 - HOLD - BUY below $11.00 with $8.50 stop - AVOID above $18.00 TRIGGER: Q2 2026 operating margin above 18%, confirming the trough is past and margin recovery is real WINDOW: Through Q2 2026 earnings (Au...

NGL Stock: +416% Off Lows — Water Solutions Drives Permian Growth Q4 FY2026 01.06.2026

NGL Energy Partners LP Q4 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $17.17 - HOLD - BUY below $14.00 with $10.50 stop - AVOID above $21.00 TRIGGER: Leverage drops below 4.5x AND distribution reinstatement announced WINDOW: 12-18 months through FY2027 leverage confirma...

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