Colton Thomas
Charged Alpha Stock Encyclopedia
Charged Alpha reviews earnings for each stock in the Russel 1000 every quarter. Each podcast gives thorough analysis, along with an in-depth profile in the beginning of the episode of the company, what they do, how they earn money and what to look for.
Be sure to visit the podcast's website and support the creator: chargedalpha.podbean.com
Author
Colton Thomas
Category
Podcast website
Latest episode
Oct 16, 2026
Where to listen?
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Episodes
FuelCell Stock: Backlog Tripled, Margin Collapsed - We Say AVOID (FCEL Q3 FY2026) 03.09.2026 15:10
FuelCell Energy (FCEL) Q3 FY2026 — The stock fell 15.7% on the print, from $17.08 to $14.40, on 1.9x average volume. FuelCell Energy tripled its order book to $3.65bn and signed its first data-centre power agreement - and the stock lost about a sixth of its value in a single session. The reason is four lines into the cost statement: product revenue of $18.0m against product cost of revenues of $37...
PANW Stock: Revenue +34%, But Its Own Filing Says 16% - We Say SELL (Q4 FY2026) 03.09.2026 15:10
Palo Alto Networks (PANW) Q4 FY2026 — The stock fell 9.3% the next session, from $362.09 to $328.48. Palo Alto beat every line of its own guidance, grew revenue 34.5% to $3.41bn, and guided fiscal 2027 above consensus on both revenue and earnings - and the shares still fell 9.3%. The reason sits in a table the company published three months earlier: on a pro forma basis, as though it had always ow...
Credo Stock: It Bought $1.25bn Mid-Quarter, Won’t Say What It Earns (CRDO Q1 FY2027) 03.09.2026 14:35
Credo Technology (CRDO) Q1 FY2027 — The stock fell 20.0% the next session, from $206.63 to $165.22. Revenue rose 9.6% sequentially and adjusted earnings beat. But the $1,251m DustPhotonics acquisition closed on 28 May, inside this quarter, and neither the release nor the Form 10-Q filed the next day discloses one dollar of the acquired revenue - Credo judged the acquisitions immaterial to its resu...
GTLB Stock: Shares Rose 10%, Gross Margin Fell A Sixth Time - GitLab Q2 FY2027 03.09.2026 14:26
GitLab (GTLB) Q2 FY2027 — Shares closed at $49.59 on September 2, up 9.98% on the print - but they opened at $55.20 and handed back more than half the move before the close, on 28.9M shares against a 5.4M daily norm. GitLab's revenue rose 21.3% to $286.3M and beat its own guide by $13.3M. Gross profit grew only 16.0%. Gross margin fell to 84.1% from 87.9% - the SIXTH consecutive quarterly decline,...
MongoDB Stock: Backlog +91%, But 70% Was Never Invoiced - We Say SELL (MDB Q2 FY2027) 03.09.2026 8:56
MongoDB (MDB) Q2 FY2027 — The stock fell 13.5% the next session, from $434.21 to $375.40. The contracted backlog nearly doubled to $1.52bn and the tape read that as visibility. The 10-Q says 70.5% of it has never been invoiced to anybody and converts at the customers' own discretion - and only 18% of first-half revenue was sitting on the balance sheet when the half began. THE CALL: SELL (3/5, MODE...
HealthEquity Stock: A Record Quarter - and a $3B Rate Lock. Why We Say HOLD (HQY Q2 FY2027) 02.09.2026 14:00
HealthEquity (HQY) Q2 FY2027 — The stock fell 10.6% the same day, from $104.42 to $93.39. Records on every line, guidance raised - and the filing shows the company has fixed the rate on $3.04bn of future HSA cash at 3.93%, a position now $91.5m underwater that Note 10 feeds back through custodial revenue. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$101.27 vs ~$97.00 today. KEY METRICS: - Re...
SAIC Stock: Pretax Profit Up 10%, Net Income Down 20% Q2 FY2027 02.09.2026 14:37
Science Applications International (SAIC) Q2 FY2027 — Shares gapped 11.5% on results day and touched a 52-week high of $142.66, then handed the whole move back to close at $128.22, up just 1.79% on 4.6x volume; one session later they sit at $126.78. SAIC's income before income taxes ROSE 10.2% to $119M. Its net income FELL 19.7% to $102M. The entire $36M gap is one line: the base quarter carried a...
Sasol Stock (SSL): HOLD Call - Best Year In Five, Written Down Again FY2026 02.09.2026 14:28
Sasol Limited (SSL) FY2026 — SSL closed at $12.45, +3.6% against the $12.02 prior close, on 1.99m shares - about 2.4x the prior session. The ADR has risen 79% in twelve months and is still 12.9% below the $14.29 it reached on 5 May. Secunda - the coal-to-liquids complex behind almost all of Sasol's profit - had its highest annual output in five years and beat guidance. Sasol wrote it down anyway:...
YEXT Stock: HOLD - The Beat Came From The Buyback Q2 FY2027 02.09.2026 13:20
Yext (YEXT) Q2 FY2027 — YEXT closed the reaction session at $6.53, -3.5% on 2.90m shares, 2.2x the prior session - a beat, sold. Adjusted diluted EPS went $0.12 to $0.21 against a $0.17 bar. Decomposed, 4.4 cents of the 8.1-cent rise is the smaller share count and only 3.8 cents is higher profit - so 54% of the growth came from the denominator, and the share-count effect is larger than the 4.0-cen...
MiniMed Stock (MMED): HOLD Call - $319M Owed On The Growth Q1 FY2027 02.09.2026 14:57
MiniMed Group (MMED) Q1 FY2027 — MMED closed the reaction session at $22.42, +10.7% - the highest close it has ever had, on 6.07m shares, 5.1x the twenty-day median and 21.7% of the entire public float. MiniMed Flex - the insulin pump behind a U.S. growth acceleration to 13.1% and a +10.7% session - was developed on $324m of funding from Blackstone Life Sciences. For the first two years after U.S....
NIO Stock: SELL Call - 24,193 More Cars And A Bigger Loss Q2 2026 02.09.2026 14:35
NIO Inc (NIO) Q2 2026 — NIO closed the reaction session at $4.06, -4.0% - the lowest close in twelve months, on 81m shares. It is 49.4% below its $7.89 high of 2 October 2025. NIO delivered 24,193 more vehicles in the June quarter than in the March quarter - a 29.0% jump, and 49.4% more than a year ago. Those extra cars brought RMB1,047m of incremental gross profit and cost RMB1,086m of incrementa...
SBSW Stock: BUY Call - All 4 Mines Dug Less And Sibanye Still Posted A Record H1 2026 02.09.2026 8:56
Sibanye Stillwater (SBSW) H1 2026 — SBSW went in at $11.85 and closed the reaction session at $11.66 (-1.6%) - a record half-year, and the tape shrugged. It is 44.8% below its January close of $21.12 and 45.8% above its July low of $8.00. Every one of Sibanye-Stillwater's four producing operations mined LESS metal in the six months to 30 June 2026 - SA PGM 4E -1.8%, SA gold -2.2%, US PGM 2E -2.3%,...
MDT Stock: Half of Medtronic’s 13.7% Growth Was an Extra Week | Q1 FY2027 01.09.2026 13:20
Medtronic plc (MDT) Q1 FY2027 — Shares closed $92.04, up 1.5%, after opening at $94.00 and giving most of the pop back. Fiscal 2027 is a 53-week year and the extra week landed in Q1. Medtronic's own footnote puts it at $570m - 49% of the entire organic revenue increase. Strip it out and organic growth is 7.0%, not 13.7%, which is below the bottom of the 7.25-7.75% full-year guide the company raise...
NCNO Stock: SELL Call - $176M Of Buybacks On $115M Of Cash Q2 FY2027 31.08.2026 14:37
nCino (NCNO) Q2 FY2027 — NCNO went into the print at $20.81, closed the reaction session at $21.51 (+3.4%) and $22.99 two sessions later - 10.5% up on the print, and 64% above its March low of $14.01. nCino grew revenue 8.2% to $161.0m and swung GAAP operating income to +$13.6m from -$9.3m. But in the same six months it spent $175.7m retiring its own stock against $114.8m of free cash flow - and t...
CMBT Stock: SELL Call - Record $364M Quarter, But The Net Debt Equals The Market Cap 31.08.2026 12:57
CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) Q2 2026 — The stock rose 3.6% on the print and closed the week at $18.35, a twelve-month high. CMB.TECH earned $364.4m in the June quarter - $1.26 a share against $0.04 a year earlier - on revenue of $703.9m, up 81.5%. We tested the obvious objection (that the profit was really vessel sales) and rejected it: disposals were 35% of profit, not the whole of it. Our problem is the p...
HEI Stock: SELL Call - Two Tickers, One Company, 35% Apart Q3 FY2026 31.08.2026 14:16
HEICO Corporation (HEI) Q3 FY2026 — HEI went into the print at $351.05 and closed at $336.53 three sessions later, -4.1%, having set a 12-month closing high of $374.67 on August 14. The non-voting Class A (HEI.A) closed at $250.06, -2.7% over the same three sessions. HEICO reported record net sales of $1,413.1m (+23.1%), record operating income of $355.2m (+34.0%) and record net income attributabl...
BOX Stock: HOLD Call - Revenue Guide Up, EPS Guide Down Q2 FY2027 31.08.2026 14:00
Box Inc (BOX) Q2 FY2027 — Shares closed the reaction session at $33.39, +1.2%, then ran to $34.98 by Friday - a 12-month closing high, and +63.7% off the April low of $21.37. Box raised full-year revenue guidance to $1.290bn and CUT full-year non-GAAP EPS guidance to $1.54 - below the $1.55 it started the year with. The entire cut is the share count, guided from 139m in May back up to 141m in Augu...
BILI Stock: HOLD Call - Server Book Tripled, Margin +10bp Q2 2026 31.08.2026 12:44
Bilibili (BILI) Q2 2026 — Shares rose +3.84% on the print to $16.77, on 3.0x the thirty session median volume - the 26th best session of the twelve months, not the first. One session later they sit at $16.60, +2.79% against the pre-print close, with 27% of the move handed back. The shares are -29% on the year and 54% under the January high. Bilibili reported Q2 2026 revenue of RMB7.94B, +8% year o...
XPEV Stock: SELL Call - Half The Gross Profit Was Not From Cars Q2 2026 31.08.2026 13:13
XPeng (XPEV) Q2 2026 — Shares gapped 3.0% BELOW the prior close, never traded back to it, and closed 7.1% under their own session high at $11.15, -8.53% on the day - a twelve month closing low on 4.1x the thirty session median volume. Four sessions later they sit at $11.53, -5.41% against the pre-print close. XPeng reported Q2 2026 revenue of $2,910M, +8.0% year on year, at a gross margin of 20.7%...
NTNX Stock: HOLD Call - EPS Up 8x On A Tax Entry, FY27 Guide Flat Q4 FY2026 31.08.2026 13:20
Nutanix (NTNX) Q4 FY2026 — Shares gapped 8.9% ABOVE the prior close on the reaction session, reached +13.8% intraday, then closed 6.2% under their own session high at $69.84, +6.81% on the day - and one session later they sit at $69.16, +5.77% against the pre-print close. Nutanix reported GAAP diluted EPS of $5.17 for fiscal 2026 against $0.65 a year ago. Approximately $1,208M of that - $4.14 per...
NVDA Stock: HOLD Call - Record Quarter, $105B Guarantee Q2 FY2027 31.08.2026 15:09
NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 FY2027 — Shares gapped 6.3% ABOVE the prior close and closed 1.1% under their own session high at $227.98, +8.74% on the day - the best session of the twelve months on 2.6x the thirty session median volume. One session later they sit at $217.55, +3.76% against the pre-print close, with 57% of the move handed back. NVIDIA reported Q2 FY2027 revenue of $96.2B, +106% year on year, at...
BILI Stock: HOLD Call - Server Book Tripled, Margin +10bp Q2 2026 30.08.2026 14:16
Bilibili (BILI) Q2 2026 — Shares rose +3.84% on the print to $16.77, on 3.0x the thirty session median volume - the 26th best session of the twelve months, not the first. One session later they sit at $16.60, +2.79% against the pre-print close, with 27% of the move handed back. The shares are -29% on the year and 54% under the January high. Bilibili reported Q2 2026 revenue of RMB7.94B, +8% year o...
NVDA Stock: HOLD Call - Record Quarter, $105B Guarantee Q2 FY2027 30.08.2026 14:28
NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 FY2027 — Shares gapped 6.3% ABOVE the prior close and closed 1.1% under their own session high at $227.98, +8.74% on the day - the best session of the twelve months on 2.6x the thirty session median volume. One session later they sit at $217.55, +3.76% against the pre-print close, with 57% of the move handed back. NVIDIA reported Q2 FY2027 revenue of $96.2B, +106% year on year, at...
KSS Stock: HOLD Call - The Beat And The Raise Were Both A Tariff Refund Q2 FY2026 30.08.2026 13:09
Kohl's Corporation (KSS) Q2 FY2026 — Shares gapped 5.8% lower at the open on the print, were marked 9.4% down intraday, then turned and closed +1.47% at $17.94 - and three sessions later they sit at $17.50, -1.02% against the pre-print close. Kohl's raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance by $0.80 at BOTH ends of the range, restarted its buyback, and reported a 303 bp gross margin expansion. Ap...
MRVL Stock: The 59 Million Shares Marvell Gave Google - Q2 FY2027 30.08.2026 14:08
Marvell Technology (MRVL) Q2 FY2027 — Shares fell 10.3% to $216.62 the next session, gapping down 6.7% at the open and never trading back - the session high was still 5.2% below Thursday, and it closed within half a per cent of its own low. Revenue grew 36.5% to a record $2.739bn and the adjusted gross margin FELL, to 58.9% from 59.4%. Marvell guides it lower again next quarter. Twelve days after...
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