Capitalist Investor

The Producers Price index (PPI) is a measure of inflation for manufacturers. It is coming out this week and is expected to be high. How high (or low) it reads, could move the markets. The PPI is the best way to explain how much it costs manufacturers to make things.  This could possibly mean that inflation is not increasing as rapidly as previously thought, which could be seen as a positive by inv...

Despite warning signs, Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales still break records. The group discusses Black Friday shopping and whether it is bigger than Cyber Monday. They mention that while the sales were up when inflation is taken into account, there was no real progress made. The speakers discuss the market and Black Friday and mention that the rail strike and protests in China are having negati...

Welcome back to this week's episode of The Capitalist Investor! The group discusses Diamond Hands D's recent vacation, during which time the crypto market collapsed. On top of the crypto collapse, a recent statistic shows that personal savings in the US has decreased from $2 trillion to $600 billion in the last year. This could be due to increased spending, and that could lead to increas...

What's going on with the recent crypto meltdown and specifically the FTX exchange? The traditional banking system works in a similar way, lending out assets to make money for themselves. What is to blame? The banks? The exchanges? Regulation? Or is this a culprit of low-interest rates and the changes in behavioral finance? In the traditional banking system, banks will take customer deposits a...

Well.. the Mid-Term Red Wave wasn't really the Red Wave that many people expected. But the big question and observation is forecasting what this means for 2024 and your money. Does this shed some light into the future? What will be the impact on the economy & stock market? Also, we just head of major layoffs by big technology companies. What does that mean for unemployment as we head into...

1. Twitter is introducing a subscription model for verified users Twitter is introducing a subscription model for verified users. This means that users who have a blue check mark next to their name will have to pay a monthly fee in order to maintain their verified status. The exact amount has not been determined yet, but it is rumored to be around $8 per month. This is a controversial move, as man...

Taxes & More Taxes! After Mid-Term elections, California's tax rate might go even higher. And that's on top of the crazy rates they already pay. Here in Ohio, they actually are lowering taxes 1% down closer to 4%. In California, state tax rates will be almost 4x that of Ohio. What does that mean going forward for the state? All of this happening alongside news that China's leade...

Mark is back! And we are Rocking & Rolling this week talking about mid-term elections right around the corner. What are the odds of a red sweep in November? How will mid-terms impact the stock market and your investments? On top of all of that, Kanye West announced his acquisition of the social media app “Parler”. How will that turn out as an investment and for society? And of course, this wee...

Jamie Dimon is now ringing the recession bell suggesting that the economy will be in a recession within 9 months. This comes the same day that President Biden suggests that we have nothing to worry about in regards to the economy and if we do have a recession, it will very light and very small. What will actually happen? How deep will a recession be? All of this is discussed on top of news that so...

The past couple of months have been pretty crazy.. at first, we rallied almost 15% from the June lows, only to break through and create a new low. We ended up making the 52-week low on September 30th. The past couple of days have seen a 5% historical rally between just two days. Those kinds of rally’s usually happen during times of uncertainty if you look to the past. Is this just another bear mar...

MARK TEPPER IS BACK!! [12:35] The Fed put is no longer in play and the Fed will have to fight inflation by causing a lengthy recession in order to get inflation under control. This will lead to job loss and market decline. The biggest fear is that on the fiscal policy side if Democrats remain in office, there will be universal basic income which will be inflationary and penalize those who have don...

Credit Card debt is rising at the biggest quarterly increases in history. How long can debt continue to fuel the economy and when will the American consumer finally pull back their spending habits? The big question is whether demand will come down naturally or in limbo with the Federal Reserve hiking interest rates. With inflation rising, it’s not just hurting consumers, it’s also hurting business...

It’s important to think about the past sometimes before you can think about the future. And the past couple of years, fiscal policy and monetary policy has been nothing but accommodating. But when you’re overly accommodating, that usually comes with repercussions down the road. And we are dealing with one of those repercussions now through inflation. While President Biden took a victory lap this w...

The market has a lot of reasons that it could go lower. Does that actually mean that it will re-test the lows that we saw in June? If so, what is that going to look like and how quickly will that happen? One of the major topics in today's world is the energy crisis & stagflation environment we are seeing over in Europe. Is the energy crisis going to impact America? What about other geo-po...

For a very long time, good news seems to be bad news & bad news seems to good news. The market has been irrational digesting traditional econmic information. Over the past week, the market has become a lot more rational in it's thinking. What do we mean by that? On top of that, we haven't seen Joe Biden for a few weeks while he had COVID. After his rally, there were a couple key take...

Every week the guys come in prepared and ready with their takes on the latest news, politics and trends – but this time around it’s all about returning to their roots and talking about the markets. In Episode #141 of “The Capitalist Investor,” Luke and Tony dive into the Fed’s Jackson Hole trip and what will happen if Powell decides to be hawkish or dovish. The guys also analyze behavioral finance...

It’s called the Inflation Reduction Act but as we expected, it’s name hasn’t held up. Shortly before passing the legislation, electric vehicle companies announced they would be increasing their costs – stripping the act’s intention and the $7500 EV tax break it included. On this week’s episode of “The Capitalist Investor,” Derek, Tony, and Luke talk about the nightmares that come when one rushes a...

It's been a crazy week. Honestly, it's been a crazy month and ultimately, a crazy year. In Episode #139 Derek, Tony, and Luke discuss current events that pertain to your money, your life, and your investments. Part of the "Inflation Reduction Act" was $80 Billion dollars to increase the size of the IRS. Are they going after the billionaires or are they going after mainstreet Am...

Headlines are reading all over the map lately and this week’s episode of “The Capitalist Investor,” sifts through them. In Episode #138 Derek, Tony, and Luke touch on the usual topics: taxes, inflation, recessions, and employment. But after Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan, new issues have arised and the threat of economic warfare is looming. What’s happening today domestically and internationally i...

Do you believe in coincidences? How attached are you to textbook definitions? This week, Derek, Luke, and Tony talk about politicians and corporations buying time – or perhaps pitching lies. As we approach the second quarter GDP reading, the White House quickly adjusted the concrete definition of a recession to soften the administration’s blow, meanwhile companies are holding back a bit of the blu...

The banks aren’t providing the best guidance right now as we inch towards a recession. Simply put: they’re concerned, cutting buybacks a bit, hunkering down, and building up a war chest in case we repeat 2008. In Episode #136 of “The Capitalist Investor,” Tony and Derek spend time naming key recession indicators and how everything ties together – even employment, although lately it’s been raising...

While we may be experiencing some tough times here in the states, the European economy is taking some harder hits. For the first time since 2002, the value of the euro is about equal to the U.S. dollar again – a sign of a shrinking European economy and a surging American dollar.  This week, Derek and Tony discuss some of the good news going around: a strong U.S. dollar, cheaper imports, and a much...

Nothing these days is normal –– gas prices, food costs, inflation, and inverted yield curves are all onto worrisome paths. This week on “The Capitalist Investor,” Derek, Tony, and Luke talk about extremes and the warning signs the economy is giving off. While people are still spending, there’s still some panic going around. But when will the mass panic ignite? Will it be in the next month? Will it...

Inflation is hitting all over the globe right now, but American’s will really feel it where it hurts the most: on the Fourth of July. Cookouts, fireworks, and the typical Independence Day festivities will all cost a little bit more this year. So, what does being an educated consumer look like? Is now the right time to start buying into speculative stocks? Would a giant flying sky hotel be a mistak...

It’s more than touchdowns, football is a business just like everything else. In Episode #132 of “The Capitalist Investor,” Derek, Luke, and Tony discuss a local debate here in Cleveland –– the chances of a new billion-dollar Browns stadium.  Fan or not: this week’s episode focuses on the economics behind football stadiums, public tax funding, local infrastructure, and city revenue generation. It’s...