Capital Markets Quickie

August CPI came in at 3.4% with core at 2.4%, cementing expectations for a Fed rate hike at next week's meeting. Stocks rallied anyway as oil retreated from nearly $110 Brent, with the Dow jumping 1% to snap its longest losing streak since late April, though all major indexes still posted weekly losses. >>> Follow me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/endrit-cela/ >>> F...

The biggest wave of shipping attacks since the war began sent WTI up 6.7% to $102 and Brent to nearly $108, their highest closes since mid-May, handing stocks a fourth straight losing day. With PPI accelerating, Fed hike odds climbed to about 70%, the ECB raised rates to 2.5%, and Friday's CPI report now decides everything. >>> Follow me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/endrit...

Brent crude broke above $100 for the first time since July as the US destroyed five Iranian tankers and the fighting spread toward the Red Sea, sending the DAX down 1.7% while US stocks lost about half a percent. The Treasury countered with a tripled $6 billion bond buyback, and Meta jumped on its new AI agent Muse ahead of Thursday's ECB decision and US producer prices. >>> Follow me...

Houthi attacks on Saudi oil facilities pushed Brent to the brink of $100, handing the Dow a 628-point loss as Wall Street returned from the Labor Day weekend. Canada's retaliatory tariffs added to the pressure, while the DAX treaded water at 26,000 points ahead of Thursday's producer prices and Friday's crucial consumer price data. >>> Follow me on LinkedIn: https://www.linked...

With US markets closed for Labor Day, Europe treaded water as the DAX held the 26,000 mark and Brent crude climbed above $97. Asia's tech markets rallied on, led by South Korea, and now everything turns to this week's US inflation data, which experts say will decide between a Fed hike and a hold. >>> Follow me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/endrit-cela/ >>> Foll...

August payrolls came in at 162,000, roughly triple expectations, pushing September rate-hike odds back above 50% and the 2-year yield to its highest since January 2025. Stocks slipped modestly, Lululemon crashed around 20% on cut forecasts, while the DAX defied the data thanks to a 6.5% Volkswagen surge. >>> Follow me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/endrit-cela/ >>> Foll...

Fed Governor Christopher Waller signaled he'd support holding rates steady in September, sending the Dow up 1.2% for its best day in a month while yields eased from multi-year highs. The DAX reclaimed 26,000 points, and now all eyes turn to Friday's US jobs report, the last big data point before the Fed's decision. >>> Follow me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/endrit-...

US stocks snapped a three-day losing streak on Wednesday as the 10-year yield retreated from 4.82%, its highest since November 2023, with Nvidia, Microsoft and Amazon leading the way. Weak ADP jobs data and a cautious Fed Beige Book set the stage for Friday's crucial jobs report, while Asia's tech indexes slid up to 4%. >>> Follow me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/endrit...

Escalating attacks in the Strait of Hormuz pushed oil toward $90 and global bond yields higher, handing the Dow its worst day in weeks at -0.8%. Apple bucked the trend, rising almost 3% on John Ternus's first day as CEO, while the DAX slipped 1.1% to below 26,000 points. >>> Follow me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/endrit-cela/ >>> Follow me on Instagram: https://ww...

US strikes on Iranian rocket launchers near the Strait of Hormuz pushed oil back above $85 and the 10-year yield to its highest since January 2025, sending stocks modestly lower on Monday. Still, August closed as a winning month, with the Dow up 1.4%, the S&P 500 gaining about 2.5% and the Nasdaq around 3%, powered by tech. >>> Follow me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/endrit...

Kevin Warsh used his first Jackson Hole speech as Fed chair to declare inflation too high, sending September rate-hike odds toward 60% while Wall Street slipped only modestly. Germany's Dax celebrated instead, climbing 0.8% to a fresh record high as falling oil prices and hopes for a Strait of Hormuz reopening added support. >>> Follow me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/endri...

Wall Street rewarded the earnings fireworks, with Nvidia jumping more than 8%, Salesforce and CrowdStrike posting double-digit gains and the Nasdaq climbing 1.3%. Attention now shifts to Jackson Hole, where hawkish Fed voices set the stage for Kevin Warsh's first big speech as Fed chair. >>> Follow me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/endrit-cela/ >>> Follow me on Inst...

Salesforce stole Nvidia's spotlight, surging over 12% after hours on strong results, a raised outlook and the launch of Claudeforce with Anthropic, a plugin that brings sales work directly into Claude. Nvidia also beat, with revenue more than doubling and guidance of $108 billion, well above estimates. >>> Follow me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/endrit-cela/ >>> Fo...

US stocks rose for a third straight day as yields eased, oil fell about 3% on Iran de-escalation signals and chip stocks rebounded ahead of Nvidia's earnings. After the bell, Intuit beat expectations with 14% revenue growth and its first $20 billion-plus year, though its fiscal 2027 outlook points to slower growth. >>> Follow me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/endrit-cela/ &g...

Semiconductor stocks slid on Monday ahead of Nvidia's crucial Wednesday earnings, dragging the Nasdaq down 0.8% while the Dow rose 0.3% on easing yields. Washington unveiled its 'Operation Economic Outcast' sanctions campaign against Iran, yet oil fell more than 2% and Bitcoin hit its highest level since May. >>> Follow me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/endrit-cela/...

Stocks closed a turbulent week on a friendly note, with the Dow up about 1% as bond markets calmed and US business activity hit a four-year high, though all major indexes still posted weekly losses. Bitcoin surged 6.6% to $77,000 for its best week in two years, while gold climbed to a three-month high. >>> Follow me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/endrit-cela/ >>> Follow...

The Dow tumbled about 700 points on Thursday as bond yields rebounded, oil neared $100 and Walmart sank 9% after flagging a cautious US consumer despite beating earnings estimates. In stark contrast, South Korea's Kospi surged 5.9% on massive Samsung and SK Hynix shareholder-return plans. >>> Follow me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/endrit-cela/ >>> Follow me on Ins...

US stocks snapped a three-day losing streak on Wednesday after the Treasury said it would more than double its buybacks of longer-dated bonds, pulling yields off multi-decade highs. Moderna doubled on cancer vaccine data with Merck, while Asia saw a brutal chip selloff with the Kospi down 5.8%. >>> Follow me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/endrit-cela/ >>> Follow me on I...

Global bond yields surged to multi-decade highs on Tuesday as the US-Iran standoff kept oil elevated, with the 30-year Treasury yield hitting a 19-year high. Semiconductors bore the brunt: the chip index plunged 5.5%, dragging the Nasdaq down 1.3% and the S&P 500 0.7% lower. >>> Follow me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/endrit-cela/ >>> Follow me on Instagram: https:...

US stocks fell on Monday as fears of a renewed US-Iran escalation pushed oil up more than 2.5% and the 30-year Treasury yield to its highest level in decades. Japan's Nikkei bucked the trend with a record close near 70,000, powered by a 15% surge in chipmaker Kioxia. >>> Follow me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/endrit-cela/ >>> Follow me on Instagram: https://www.in...

Wall Street paused after Thursday's records, with the S&P 500 slipping 0.2% but still sealing its third straight winning week as consumer sentiment soured. Reddit jumped over 10% on its upcoming S&P 500 inclusion, while the DAX rose 0.5% on SAP strength and Asia ended mixed. >>> Follow me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/endrit-cela/ >>> Follow me on Instagram...

The S&P 500 crossed 7,800 for the first time ever after flat July producer prices cooled fears of a September rate hike. Meanwhile, Cisco and Cerebras slumped after earnings, oil dropped more than two percent, and Tokyo's Topix closed at a record high. >>> Follow me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/endrit-cela/ >>> Follow me on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com...

US stocks moved mostly higher as July inflation cooled slightly and strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve could keep rates unchanged in September. Middle East tensions and Brent crude near $90 remain key risks for inflation and bond yields. >>> Follow me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/endrit-cela/ >>> Follow me on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/endrit...

Wall Street slipped as tensions between the US and Iran kept oil prices elevated and weighed on Big Tech. Attention now turns to today’s US inflation report and what it could mean for Federal Reserve policy. >>> Follow me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/endrit-cela/ >>> Follow me on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/endritcela_official/ Disclaimer for "Capital Ma...

US stocks edged lower as rising oil prices and weakness in Nvidia weighed on sentiment. Investors are now looking toward Wednesday’s CPI report as the next major test for markets and the Federal Reserve. >>> Follow me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/endrit-cela/ >>> Follow me on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/endritcela_official/ Disclaimer for "Capital Market...