Bloomberg
Bloomberg Surveillance
Listen for the latest in finance, economics and investment. Jonathan Ferro, Lisa Abramowicz and Annmarie Hordern bring you interviews from Bloomberg Surveillance Television. Join Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney for the best conversations from Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. Watch Surveillance TV LIVE each mornings: http://bit.ly/3P7nstQ. Watch Surveillance Radio LIVE weekday mornings: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
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Episodes
Surveillance: Bank Supervision with Clarida 16.03.2023 24:59
Richard Clarida, Former Federal Reserve Vice Chairman, PIMCO Global Economic Adviser & Columbia University Professor, sees tighter supervision on banks. Dominic Konstam, Mizuho Americas Head of Macro Strategy, says it's "fairly intuitive that in the long run" Credit Suisse ends up merging with another bank. Peter Oppenheimer, Goldman Sachs Chief Global Equity Strategist, cites the "underlying...
Surveillance: Banking Jitters with Roubini 15.03.2023 33:48
Nouriel Roubini, Roubini Macro Associates CEO & Author of "Megathreats", says Credit Suisse "might be too big to fail, but also too big to be saved." Peter Tchir, Academy Securities Head of Macro Strategy, says the ECB needs to put enough "firewalls" in place to help Credit Suisse. Ken Leon, CFRA Director of Equity Research, says there might be counterparty risk for some of the US banks in reg...
Surveillance: CS CEO Koerner Urges Patience 14.03.2023 47:46
Ulrich Koerner, Credit Suisse CEO, said the bank had seen client inflows on Monday amid the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. Magnus Billing, Alecta CEO, says its $2.1 billion bet on three niche US banks was “a big failure.” Ethan Harris, BofA Securities Head of Global Economic Research, says we are experiencing a "stress event" in an otherwise "strong" financial system. Rep. French Hill, (R) Arka...
Surveillance: SVB Fallout with Michaud 13.03.2023 27:34
Tom Michaud, KBW CEO, says we need a government support mechanism to make things orderly following SVB's collapse. Subadra Rajappa, Societe Generale Head of US Rates Strategy, says she wouldn't be surprised if we see another leg higher in yields if we start to price in more hikes. Michael J. Wolf, Activate Founder & CEO, says it was a "dark weekend" for startups and venture capital firms. Mayr...
Surveillance: US Payrolls Top Estimates 10.03.2023 31:10
Marty Walsh, US Labor Secretary, discusses the US February payrolls report. Randy Kroszner, University of Chicago Booth School Professor of Economics & Former Fed Governor, says the US labor market is still pretty hot. Jeff Rosenberg, BlackRock Portfolio Manager of the Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund, says financial conditions aren't tightening enough. Mike Mayo, Wells Fargo Senior Equity Analy...
Surveillance: Tight Labor with Richardson 09.03.2023 31:14
Nela Richardson, ADP Chief Economist, says the labor market is still very tight. Andrew Sheets, Morgan Stanley Chief Cross-Asset Strategist, says we still need to be positioned for decelerating growth and weaker than expected earnings. Christian Mueller-Glissmann, Goldman Sachs Managing Director for Portfolio Strategy, says the global economy is accelerating. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Managin...
Surveillance: Fed Distractions with Donald 08.03.2023 28:19
Frances Donald, Manulife Investment Management Global Chief Economist & Strategist, says the focus on the Fed month-to-month can be distracting. Kelsey Berro, JPMorgan Asset Management Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, says "the risk of a hard landing does go up" if the Fed considers re-accelerating to 50 basis points. Alicia Levine, BNY Mellon Wealth Management Head of Equities & Capital Ma...
Surveillance: Tech Downside with Wilson 07.03.2023 32:14
Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley Chief US Equity Strategist and CIO, sees as much as 20% downside for tech, meme stocks. Dana Peterson, The Conference Board Chief Economist, says the Fed does not want to cause alarm. Iain Stealey, JPMorgan Asset Management International CIO for Fixed Income, says the ECB still has an inflation problem. Lupin Rahman, PIMCO Head of EM Sovereign Credit & Portfolio Man...
Surveillance: Formula One Growth with Horner 06.03.2023 28:18
Christian Horner, Red Bull Racing F1 Team Principal, discusses Formula One's growth in the US and Red Bull's win at the opening race in Bahrain. Jim Bianco, Bianco Research President, says the China reopening trade may be "overdone." David Lebovitz, JPMorgan Asset Management Global Market Strategist, says any possible US downturn won't be as severe as the recession of 2008. Ellen Wald, Atlantic Co...
Surveillance: Bonds are Back, says Schneider 03.03.2023 35:37
Jerome Schneider, PIMCO Head of Short Term Portfolio Management, says cash is back, bonds are back. Lindsey Piegza, Stifel Chief Economist, says we could see a 6% Fed funds rate. Kathryn Kaminski, AlphaSimplex Chief Research Strategist, expects a steepening of the curve if the stock market "wins." Thierry Wizman, Macquarie Global Interest Rates and Currencies Strategist, says Europe's economy is s...
Surveillance: Smart Fed Policy with Garvey 02.03.2023 28:52
Padhraic Garvey, ING Financial Head of Global Debt & Rates, says the way the Fed is pursuing policy here is smart. Carl Riccadonna, BNP Paribas Markets 360 Chief US Economist, sees persistent inflation everywhere. Priya Misra, TD Securities Head of Global Rates Strategy, says the Fed is committed to 2% inflation. Dan Ives, Wedbush Senior Equity Analyst, discusses Tesla following investor day. ...
Surveillance: Rising Prices with Weinberg 01.03.2023 23:06
Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics Chief Economist, says we still have more price increases to go, but this is not the spiraling inflation of the 70s. Mona Mahajan, Edward Jones Senior Investment Strategist, says the trade into more cyclical parts of the market "probably happened too fast, too soon" this year. Mike Schumacher, Wells Fargo Global Head of Macro Strategy, says it's tough to fade...
Surveillance: Equity Caution with Wei Li 28.02.2023 26:04
Wei Li, BlackRock Global Chief Investment Strategist, says equity markets are not appreciating the macro challenges ahead. David Page, AXA Investment Managers Head of Macro Research, thinks we could see an asynchronistic recession. Saira Malik, Nuveen Chief Investment Officer, explains why she thinks emerging markets look attractive. Ken Leon, CFRA Director of Equity Research, doesn't expect Goldm...
Surveillance: International Stocks with Arnott 27.02.2023 31:47
Rob Arnott, Research Affiliates Chairman, explains why he likes international value stocks. Frances Donald, Manulife Investment Management Global Chief Economist & Strategist, says we are moving closer to stagflation. Jay Bryson, Wells Fargo Chief Economist, thinks it is all about the Fed for the foreseeable future. Libby Cantrill, PIMCO Public Policy Director, discusses the current state of U...
Surveillance: One Year of War in Ukraine 24.02.2023 34:57
Yuriy Sak, Advisor to Ukraine Defense Minister, says Ukraine is fighting a smarter war. Alina Polyakova, Center for European Policy Analysis President & CEO and Johns Hopkins School of advanced International Studies Professor, thinks the war in Ukraine could end this year. Subadra Rajappa, Societe Generale Head of US Rates Strategy, thinks the Fed is near the end of their rate hike cycle and t...
Surveillance: Labor Balance with Luzzetti 23.02.2023 41:37
Matthew Luzzetti, Deutsche Bank Chief US Economist, says it's remarkable that the Fed has tightened as much as they have and you don't see the labor market coming into better balance. Julian Emanuel, Evercore ISI Chief Equity & Quantitative Strategist, sees a 30% chance of recession. Lara Rhame, FS Investments Chief US Economist, says the Fed needs to move the needle on employment. Leland Mill...
Surveillance: Fed Pause with Hyman 22.02.2023 37:02
Ed Hyman, Evercore ISI Chairman, says if he was on the Fed, he would pause. Geoff Yu, BNY Mellon Senior Market Strategist, says there's cash on the sidelines and "money has to be put at work." Amrita Sen, Energy Aspects Co-Founder & Head of Research, says oil prices haven't factored in China's re-opening. Carlos Tavares, Stellantis CEO, discusses Formula 1 and the company's transition to elect...
Surveillance: Oil Swings with Citi's Morse 21.02.2023 25:23
Ed Morse, Citigroup Global Head of Commodity Research, says Chinese and global oil consumption are approaching a peak as the energy transition away from fossil fuels gathers pace. Spencer Dale, BP Chief Economist, says the oil market remains very uncertain. Ben Laidler, eToro Global Market Strategist, says the rally has been fundamentally driven. Karen Short, Credit Suisse Analyst, reacts to earni...
Surveillance: Hawkish Fears with Morgan Stanley's Carpenter 17.02.2023 29:50
Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley Chief Global Economist, says further data showing that strength in January was “not an anomaly” will increase pressure on the Fed to accelerate their pace. Wendy Schiller, Brown University Taubman Center for American Politics Policy Director, discusses recent developments as the Munich Security Conference begins. Helane Becker, Cowen Senior Research Analyst, examines...
Surveillance: Purchasing Power with Meyer 16.02.2023 26:35
Michelle Meyer, Mastercard Economics Institute US Chief Economist, says the consumer has more purchasing power due to labor market strength and savings. Peter Tchir, Academy Securities Head of Macro Strategy, says market positioning can change on a dime. Russ Koesterich, Blackrock Global Allocation Fund Portfolio Manager, says stocks can have a decent year ahead. Dan Ives, Wedbush Senior Equity An...
Surveillance: Delayed Recession with Wizman 15.02.2023 33:27
Thierry Wizman, Macquarie Global Interest Rates and Currencies Strategist, expects a recession in the US this year, but 'it's clearly not going to start in the first quarter.' Dana Telsey, Telsey Advisory Group CEO and Chief Research Officer, says discretionary sales have moderated. Jim Bianco, Bianco Research President and Macro Strategist, says the 'no landing' scenario is growing. Stephen Schor...
Surveillance: US Inflation with Barkin 14.02.2023 51:01
Thomas Barkin, Richmond Fed President, reacts to US January CPI data. Stephen Stanley, Santander US Capital Markets Chief US Economist, says the latest inflation print came in 'as expected' but 'could have been worse.' Kenneth Rogoff, Harvard Professor of Economics & Public Policy & Former Chief Economist at the International Monetary Fund, says we could see interest rates at 6%. David Ros...
Surveillance: Paradigm Shift with Eisman 13.02.2023 38:56
Steve Eisman, Neuberger Berman Eisman Group Senior Portfolio Manager, sees an oncoming market regime shift. John Stoltzfus, Oppenheimer Asset Management Chief Investment Strategist, sees the S&P 500 at 4,400 year-end, but there's a "chance that we may see that exceeded." Priya Misra, TD Securities Global Head of Rates Strategy, says the markets are pretty well priced for the end point of the h...
Surveillance: Pagliuca's Investing Playbook 10.02.2023 37:41
Stephen Pagliuca, Bain Capital Senior Advisor & Co-Owner of the Boston Celtics, sees the return of the golden age of credit. Elsa Lignos, RBC Global Head of FX Strategy, reacts to reports of a surprise nomination for Kazuo Ueda to take helm at the Bank of Japan. Gregory Staples, DWS Group Head Of Fixed Income North America, says January's strong rally may have gone a little bit too far. Emily...
Surveillance: Golden Era with Zelter 09.02.2023 29:50
Jim Zelter, Apollo Asset Management Co-President, says this is a 'golden era' for private credit. Ian Shepherdson, Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Economist, expects the US to dodge recession. Luke Tilley, Wilmington Trust Chief Economist & Head of Asset Allocation and Former Philadelphia Fed Economic Adviser, says there's a 50/50 chance of a soft landing versus a mild recession. Kathryn Rooney...
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