Bloomberg Surveillance

Tom Keene and David Gura talk to Niall Ferguson, a senior fellow at Stanford's Hoover Institution, about the role of populism in Donald Trump's election. Then, Willem Buiter, the chief economist at Citi, discusses what the role of the Fed could be under President Trump. Then, Robert Sinche, a global strategist at Amherst Pierpont, says he's still looking for an overshoot in the Mexican peso. Also,...

Steve Rattner, Willett Advisors' chairman, says Donald Trump's policies can transform the U.S. economy. Prior to that, John Burns of John Burns Real Estate Consulting, says the housing market is recovering and new home buyers are slowly entering the market. And Harris Associates' David Herro says that Trump was able to convince Americans that he understands them. Narayana Kocherlakota, a Bloomberg...

On an extended episode of Bloomberg Surveillance, Tom Keene and David Gura discuss the election of Donald Trump. Mohamed El-Erian, Bloomberg View columnist and chief economic adviser at Allianz SE, says Trump's victory shows how quickly the improbable can become reality. Bob Hormats, Kissinger Associates' vice chairman, says if President-elect Donald Trump is wise, he will reach out to Hillary Cli...

On election day 2016, Tom Keene and David Gura talk to Yale professor Stephen Roach, who says the decency of the American people will prevail when choosing the next president. Then they speak with Greg Valliere, Horizon Investments' chief global strategist, who says the GOP may split into two major parties after the U.S. election. Also, Harris Associates' David Herro says a Clinton presidency and...

Tom Keene and David Gura talk to former the Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan, who says that Fed forecasts are no better than those of a good economist. Prior to that, RBC Capital Markets' Jonathan Golub says fiscal policy attempts to move something that is unmovable while Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics' chief economist, says the Fed is tightening in December no matter who wins the...

Bill Gross, a fund manager at Janus Capital Management, says people should be cautious despite a good jobs report because structural changes such as technology are displacing jobs. Prior to that, Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley's chief U.S. economist, says the jobs data bar isn't set high for a December Fed rate hike. Alan Krueger, a Princeton University professor, says he doesn't put a lot of weigh...

Stephanie Flanders, chief market strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, says pound strength after the UK vote was significant, but whether it lasts is a big question mark. Charles Dumas, chief economist at TSL Research, says the BOE may exceed their inflation target by the end of 2016. Danny Blanchflower, a former BOE policymaker & Dartmouth professor, says the U.K. court ruling forces the g...

Willem Buiter, chief economist at Citigroup, says the Fed is excessively sensitive to what it thinks the markets might do and how markets react. Jim Grant, editor of Grant's Interest Rate Observer, says Janet Yellen and central banks ought to be nearly invisible. Ken Doctor, author and columnist of Newsonomics, says we have half the number of journalists in local newsrooms than we had in 1990. Ann...

Michael Darda, chief economist at MKM Holdings, says the Fed desperately wants to move short rates up and is likely to do so in December. John Glass, an analyst at Morgan Stanley, says Shake Shack is unique within the market because of its fantastic brand and high volume of sales. Jay Winik, a historian commissioned by the Council on Foreign Relations, says the election isn't rigged, but we may be...

Steve Rattner, Willett Advisors chairman, says that a divided government, an ongoing email investigation and a low approval rating should make Americans depressed about a possible Clinton presidency. Peter Hooper, chief economist at Deutsche Bank Securities, says the euro economy hasn't taken any significant hit from Brexit so far. Steve Wieting, global chief strategist at Citi Private Bank, says...

Bob Doll, chief equity strategist at Nuveen Asset Management, says rates are in a long-term bottoming process. Gene Munster, an analyst at Piper Jaffray, says Google has a lot to be excited about and has kept revenue growth going. Sara Senatore, a senior analyst at Sanford C. Bernstein, says the Chipotle brand is still very good. Robert Peck, senior director of internet research at SunTrust Robins...

Bloomberg Intelligence's Paul Sweeney weighs in on Twitter cutting nine percent of its workforce. Seth Masters, chief investment officer at Bernstein Global Wealth Management, says bond investors should shorten duration as long-duration debt faces price risk with rising interest rates. Ira Jersey, senior portfolio manager at OppenheimerFunds, says he is overweight on emerging markets and bullish o...

Dominic Konstam, global head of rates research at Deutsche Bank, says the U.S. will have to consider negative rates on a five- to 10-year view. Walter Piecyk, a BTIG tech analyst, says Apple needs to focus on getting iPhone volumes up to gain Samsung customers who don't have a product. David Kostin, chief strategist at Goldman Sachs, says top-line revenue growth is likely to grow four to five perc...

Kate Moore, chief equity strategist at BlackRock, says nimble and different companies are capturing growth. Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic adviser at Allianz, says a low-growth economy is giving rise to the politics of anger. Michael Chertoff, chairman of the Chertoff Group, says Yahoo's failure to disclose the hacking of 500 million accounts will have an impact on the merger with Verizon. John...

Three experts on media and telecom weigh in on the AT&T and Time Warner merger. Scott Galloway, a professor of marketing at New York University, says we are at peak advertising and people will pay to opt out of advertising. Craig Moffett, a partner and senior research analyst at MoffettNathanson, says an AT&T and Time Warner deal won't result in cost savings. Rich Greenfield and Walter Pie...

Richard Greenfield, an analyst of media and technology at BTIG, says HBO and Warner Bros. are the crown jewels of Time Warner and expects Viacom and CBS to merge. Brian Wieser, a senior research analyst at Pivotal Research Group, weighs in on the potential AT&T and Time Warner merger and the evolution of digital media. Nick Heymann, an analyst at William Blair, says project financing will be a...

Gina Martin Adams, an equity strategist at Wells Fargo says stock valuations for consumer staples are the most dangerous. Carsten Brzeski, the chief economist at ING, says the ECB will extend QE until the end of 2017. Ben Emons, the chief economist at Intellectus Partners, says the European economy is slowly recovering and discusses QE after the ECB rate decision. Jeromin Zettelmeyer, a senior fel...

Alan Ruskin, co-head of FX research at Deutsche Bank, says the pound could go into free fall. Sebastian Mallaby, senior fellow for international economics at the Council on Foreign Relations, discusses his new book on Alan Greenspan and says Greenspan called the Fed a historic disaster. Alan Krueger, professor of economics at Princeton University and an economic adviser to Hillary Clinton, speaks...

John Strickland, JLS director and analyst, says Ryanair is healthy despite pressure from the pound. Howard Ward, chief investment officer of growth equities at GAMCO Investors, says he would like to see Apple go after Time Warner. Ann Duignan, an analyst at JPMorgan, says Caterpillar has a strong board after the C-suite shakeup. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Brad Hintz, professor of finance at New York University, said London will remain the financial center post-Brexit. Lindsey Piegza, chief economist at Stifel Nicolaus, said there is no sense of immediacy to raise rates at this point. Matthew Mish, credit strategist at UBS, said foreign clients are increasingly looking at the U.S. high-grade, longer-duration credit markets. See omnystudio.com/listen...

Brad Hintz, adjunct professor of finance at New York University, says this was a good summer for fixed income for the banks. Dan Yergin, vice chairman of IHS, says the U.S. needs higher economic growth and more entrepreneurial energy. James Stavridis, dean of The Fletcher School of Tufts University, says he expects positive growth numbers in Greece next year. Erik Oja, banking analyst at CFRA Rese...

Edmund Phelps, winner of the 2006 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences, says innovation is making workers more effective, but what they are producing is less valuable and that's why wages are falling. Alessio de Longis, portfolio manager at OppenheimerFunds, says he expects a modest bounce in emerging market growth. Stan Collender, executive vice president of Qorvis MSLGROUP, says the uncerta...

Stephen Stanley, chief economist of Amherst Pierpont Securities, says 2016 inflation is very close to 2 percent. Craig Moffett, partner and senior research analyst at MoffettNathanson, says cable is best positioned for the next generation of wireless. Axel Merk, chief investment officer of Merk Investments, says the Fed wants to be behind the curve. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy informat...

Dennis Gartman, editor of the Gartman Letter, says he's not yet confident of a gold rebound. Steve Rattner, chairman of Willet Advisors, says the equity markets are fully valued and that he's reducing exposure to U.S. equities. Scott Clemons, chief investment strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman, says rising interest rates will be a tailwind for the equity markets because the Fed is confident abo...

Robert Sinche, global strategist at Amherst Pierpont Securities, says the long-term yield downturn is a global phenomenon. Greg Valliere, chief global strategist at Horizon Investments, says Hillary Clinton's policies aren't pro-growth. James Steel, chief commodities analyst at HSBC Securities, says the biggest driver of gold is Fed policy. Takatoshi Ito, a professor at Columbia University's Schoo...