Bloomberg Surveillance

David Pearl, Epoch Investment Partners Co-Chief Investment Officer & Portfolio Manager, says JP Morgan has a clear strategy which includes a large return of capital. Terry Haines, Evercore ISI Senior Political Strategist, thinks that celebrity endorsements do not have an impact on elections results. Gustavo Rangel, ING Chief LatAm Economist, explains that big Latin American countries are not v...

Geoffrey Yu, UBS Wealth Management Head of UK Investment Office, is not worried about tail risks. Krishna Memani, OppenheimerFunds CIO & Head of Fixed Income, thinks credit is the strongest place in the markets right now. Dana Peterson, Citigroup Global Markets Director and Economist, says an independent Fed is the best Fed. And Justin Leverenz, Oppenheimer Funds Director of EM Equities, highl...

Sebastian Mallaby, CFR Senior Fellow for International Economics, says the dollar's centrality in the global system has gone up since 2008. Claus Vistesen, Pantheon MacroEconomics Chief Eurozone Economist, thinks the Italian bond market is mispriced. Mike Mayo, Wells Fargo Securities Managing Director & U.S. Large-Cap Bank Research, prefers that banks have less revenues today but sustainable g...

Harm Bandholz, Unicredit Bank Chief U.S. Economist, says there is a good chance that we will see a downturn in 2020. Kathy Fisher, Bernstein Head of Wealth & Investment Strategist, does not expect a terrible recession whenever it comes. Yanis Varoufakis, Former Finance Minister of Greece, thinks Italy is not sustainable within the current rules of the Eurozone. And Admiral James Stavridis, For...

Willem Buiter, Citi Special Economic Adviser, says the Nobel Prize for Economics Winner William Nordhaus was a very inspiring teacher. Isaac Boltansky, Compass Point Managing Director of Policy Research & Senior Policy Analyst, says Kavanaugh's confirmation galvanized the political pulse for the midterms. Monica de Bolle, Peterson Institute for International Economics Senior Fellow, thinks Bra...

Howard Ward, Gabelli Funds CIO of Growth Equities, focuses on defensive growth stocks while the Fed is tightening. Betsey Stevenson, University of Michigan Professor & Former Chief Economist of the U.S. Department of Labor from 2010-2011, says wage growth goes mainly to the top end of the income distribution. Timothy O'Brien, Bloomberg Opinion Executive Editor, thinks that the debate around Ka...

We lead today's podcast with a Bloomberg Businessweek scoop: China used a tiny chip to infiltrate almost 30 U.S. companies. Then we turn to Tobias Levkovich, Citigroup Global Markets Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, who notes 75% of S&P revenues are U.S. driven. Max Baucus, Former U.S. Ambassador to China & Former Senator from Montana, says countries will have to reach agreements on technolog...

Ian Shepherdson, Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Economist, says people in the U.K. are sick of ten years of conservative austerity. Anna Edwards, Bloomberg Markets European Open Anchor, reports on PM May's speech at the Tory Party Conference. Craig Trudell, Bloomberg Autos Americas Team Leader, gives us a much needed autos update from Michigan. Edward Alden, Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fell...

Marc Chandler, Bannockburn Global Forex Chief Market Strategist & Managing Partner, thinks Italy needs growth. Bob Doll, Nuveen Asset Management Senior Portfolio Manager & Chief Equity Strategist, says Fed conversations are getting harder as we approach neutral. Christine Lagarde, IMF Managing Director, is pleased the USMCA exists. Alan Krueger, Princeton Professor of Economics, thinks Ama...

Bill Lee, Milken Chief Economist, says the USMCA is an example of the new bilateral approach to negotiations of the U.S. Mary Lovely, Peterson Institute Senior Fellow, says 70% to 100% of the tariffs in autos will fall on consumers. Kimberly Robinson, Bloomberg Law Legal Editor, comments on the political nature of Kavanaugh's speech. Abe Selassie, IMF Director of the African Department, highlights...

Barry Eichengreen, University of California Professor Berkeley, analyzes the IMF's future. Alberto Gallo, Algebris Macro Strategies Head, sees little contagion in Europe after the approval of the Italian budget. John Coffee, Columbia Law Professor, says the Tesla board is not strong. Elaine Kamarck, Brookings Institution Senior Fellow, notes the Republicans have no women on the Senate Judiciary Co...

Thursday’s Senate hearing over sexual assault allegations against Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh stirs memories of similar testimony from 1991. That’s when Supreme Court nominee Clarence Thomas was called back in his confirmation process to face the sexual misconduct allegations of Anita Hill. Bloomberg’s Bob Moon reports on how this scenario played out 27 years ago. See omnystudio.com/list...

Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy, says the dollar can climb higher. Libby Cantrill, PIMCO Head of Public Policy, is skeptical about Congress ratifying a bilateral trade agreement with Mexico. Peter Chatwell, Mizuho International Head of European Rates Strategy, thinks the ECB could go negative again in the future. And Michelle Meyer, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Head of US Economics, tell...

Jeff Currie, Goldman Sachs Global Head of Commodities Research & Partner, says they are bullish on owning oil. Werner Hoyer, European Investment Bank President, says Europe is behind in investment. Michael R. Bloomberg, Former Mayor of New York City & Bloomberg LP Founder, says the U.S. needs to have access to China's markets. Angel Gurria, OECD Secretary General, says it is crucial that t...

Michael Spence, NYU Professor & Nobel Laureate, says China wants to be a positive influence in the developing world. Chris Verrone, Strategas Partner & Head of Technical Strategy, sees discipline in the credit markets. Sarah Ponczek, Bloomberg News Cross Asset Reporter, is watching Facebook shares following the departure of Instagram's founders. Patrick Gregory, Bloomberg Supreme Court Rep...

Brian Levitt, OppenheimerFunds Senior Market Strategist, favors investment in technology. Rufus Xerxa, National Foreign Trade Council President, says breaking international trade rules undermines the competitiveness and cost structure of companies. Bogolo Kenewendo, Republic of Botswana Minister of Investment, Trade, and Industry, plans for Botswana to go from a middle-income to a high-income coun...

Peter Hooper, Deutsche Bank Securities Chief Economist, says there will be a slowdown in 2020 but it doesn't have to be a recession. Freya Beamish, Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Asia Economist, says there would have been monetary easing in China even without the trade war. Pennsylvania Representative Ryan Costello says voters want Congressmen who keep their independence. Betsy Graseck, Morgan Stan...

Daragh Maher, HSBC US Head of FX Strategy, says investors always ask if it's time to sell the dollar. Terry Haines, Evercore ISI Senior Political Strategist and Head of Political Analysis, predicts markets will understand that policy rollback in the U.S. is very unlikely. Sonali Basak, Bloomberg News Investment Banking Reporter, discusses her recent piece on Howard Lutnick, Cantor Fitzgerald CEO....

Geoff Dennis, UBS Head of Global Emerging Markets Equity Strategy, thinks money will go back to EM once the dollar goes down. Beth Comstock, Former GE Vice-Chair, says that MBA students are not encouraged to be entrepreneurial. Rep. Mike Turner, U.S. Representative for Ohio's 10th congressional district (R), says the president is making headway for Republicans by focusing his message on the econom...

Nouriel Roubini, Roubini Macro Associates Chairman & NYU Stern School of Business Professor, argues that a majority of the impact of tariffs on Chinese goods will be paid by U.S. consumers. Stephanie Segal, CSIS Deputy Director & Senior Fellow, asks whether, with dollar strength and increasing financial need, the U.S. is pulling financing away from the rest of the world. Jane Foley, Raboba...

Chris Flavelle, Bloomberg News Climate and Adaptation Reporter, reports on the historic rainfall in North Carolina brought on by Hurricane Florence. Shahab Jalinoos, Credit Suisse Global Head of FX Trading Strategy, says dispersion is "the name of the game" in currency performance. Mike Mayo, Wells Fargo Securities Senior Analyst, thinks banks are less susceptible to cycles than in the past. Franc...

It is September 15, 2008. Employees are pouring out of Lehman Brothers with boxes. The financial services firm has collapsed. In the 10 years since the largest bankruptcy filing in U.S. history, what have we learned? What has changed and what hasn't? This week, we reflect on the financial crisis with experts from Wall Street, central banks, and academia. This Surveillance Special is a compilation...

Brad Hintz, Former Lehman CFO & NYU Professor, says that from the 2008 financial crisis, we've learned that repo is not stable. Yousef Gamal el-Din, Bloomberg TV Daybreak Middle East Anchor, brings us an update from Turkey. Adam Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics President, says the ECB is not grappling with outrageous inflation. Megan Greene, Manulife Asset Management Chief...

We start off on a segment from our TV show with Ken Rogoff, Harvard Professor & Former IMF Chief Economist, and Mariana Mazzucato, University College London Professor & Author of "The Value of Everything." Following, Jim Roemer, Best Weather Inc. President, predicts Hurricane Florence will impact stocks more than commodities. Next, Steve Auth, Federated Investors Equities CIO, says tech co...

William Lee, Milken Institute Chief Economist, says firms are substituting capital for labor. Walter Piecyk, BTIG Research Analyst & Managing Director, says electronic companies have high profit margins and they can use these to avoid price increases from tariffs. Margie Patel, Wells Fargo Asset Management, says the Fed is very transparent in what they are doing. And Thomas Kean, 9/11 Commissi...