Moz Afzal
Beyond the Benchmark by EFG
More than just your typical market analysis podcast, EFGAM'S CIO Moz Afzal goes Beyond the benchmark, delving into current topics and global trends with guests and experts from within EFG and further afield. The podcast is released fortnightly.
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Episodes
EP 96: Author and Global Head of Trust, Julie Collins | 26th April 2024 17.05.2024 49:21
Not many people can say they are a published author and Global Head of Trust at an international banking group, but Head of EFG Wealth Management Julie Collins can. Moz talks to the Jersey-based Julie on her career and writing. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: Julie Collins, Global Head of Trust and Managing Director of EFG Wealth Solutions Jersey https://bit.ly/3wEwbOS Henry...
EP 95: The evolving battlegrounds in the AI value chain | 10th April 2024 01.05.2024 40:30
The boom in the Artificial Intelligence value chain over the past 18 months has made stocks such as NVIDIA household names and delivered significant returns for well placed investors. However, as AI usage and commercialisation evolves and matures, who will the next winners be in this rapidly changing space? Moz talks with Jonathan Rawicz and Henry Walters to identify the future battlegrounds, look...
EP 94: Q2 2024 Insight, a new reality? | 9th April 2024 16.04.2024 45:25
Join us on Beyond the Benchmark as we review the Q2 2024 Insight document. The macro A-team come together to talk through the thinking behind the publication. The worst predictions for the state of the global economy fail to materialise once again, while the markets wake up to the new reality of a higher interest rate environment that's here to stay, with the Fed holding rates in the March FOMC. I...
EP 93: The biggest change in global populations we've ever seen with James Pomeroy | 25th March 2024 04.04.2024 50:18
While Japan and China have received a lot of attention in recent years for their unfavourable demographics, James Pomeroy, Global Economist at HSBC, points to research showing that much of the world is facing similar conditions. This is a fact that goes largely unreported yet could have enormous impacts on the global economy. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: James Pomeroy, G...
EP 92: Is there a ‘no-landing’ scenario for the global economy? With Chris Senyek | 14th March 2024 25.03.2024 41:06
Is there a 'no-landing' scenario for the global economy? Moz talks to Chris Senyek, Chief Investment Strategist at Wolfe Research about the unexpected strength of the US and global economy, with inflation numbers going in the right direction and the market bull run extending its 18 month run, repeatedly proving sceptics wrong. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: Chris Senyek, Ch...
EP 91: The far reaching impacts of GLP-1 drugs | 26th February 2024 14.03.2024 39:15
In the world of Healthcare, few recent innovations have caused as much of a stir as the emergent GLP-1 agonist drugs, which have proven to have a material impact on weight loss. In this episode Moz is joined by New Capital's Mike Clulow and Chelsea Wiater to talk through what GLP-1s are, how they work and the potentially far reaching impacts they may have on the consumer staples and healthcare ind...
EP 90: Understanding Catastrophe Bonds with Rhodri Morris | 4th March 2024 08.03.2024 40:42
This week we dive into the little-known world of Catastrophe Bonds, a sub category of Insurance Linked Strategies, exploring how they work and their potential upsides and downsides. To help understand this unique instrument, Moz is joined by Rhodri Morris, Head of ILS Analytics at Twelve Capital. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: Rhodri Morris, Head of ILS Analytics at Twelve...
EP 89: When will the Fed start cutting with Neil Dutta | 15th February 2024 21.02.2024 41:29
As the US economy eyes a soft landing with inflationary pressures easing, Moz talks to Neil Dutta, Head of Economic Research at Renaissance Macro Research about when the Fed will be cutting rates. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: Neil Dutta, Partner, Head of Economic Research, Renaissance Macro Research https://www.renmac.com/neil-dutta/ EFGAM: https://www.newcapital.com/ Imp...
EP 88: Asia in focus; is sentiment on China excessively negative? | 6th February 2024 12.02.2024 39:58
At the end of January 2024, Moz Afzal and Stefan Gerlach attended a series of meetings with public and private sector stakeholders in Singapore and Hong Kong. Top of mind was the strength of the Chinese economy, its housing market and what the future may hold for the largest market in Asia. In this episode of Beyond the Benchmark, Moz and Stefan recap these conversations and what the key takeaways...
EP 87: The US election will be decided by J Powell and the Supreme Court | 9th January 2024 08.02.2024 33:37
In this special episode of Beyond the Benchmark, we revisit a talk from our Investment Summit on 9th January 2024. Dan Clifton, Partner and Head of Policy Research for Strategas Securities. In an unprecedented year of elections across the world, the US presidential race looms largest. What factors really impact the outcome? Does anyone actually want either Biden or Trump? Could there be a third pa...
EP 86: Q1 2024 Insight, a soft landing? | 15th January 2024 23.01.2024 43:25
Join us on Beyond the Benchmark as we review the Q1 2024 Insight document. The macro A-team come together to talk through the thinking behind the publication, as the general consensus outlook for the world economy indicates a soft landing and declining inflation. In the longer term, important cross currents such as the drive to net zero, changing global demographics and the shifting roles of emerg...
EP 85: A year in review | 20th December 2023 02.01.2024 24:22
AI, war in Ukraine, banking failures and the battle to control inflation have dominated headlines and, to some degree, financial markets in 2023. To cap the year off, this was followed by an historic market rally in the final quarter. Moz and Daniel take a look back at the year that was 2023 and offer some thoughts about what this means for the start of 2024. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31...
EP 84: Conversations from Washington with Stefan Gerlach and Daniel Murray | 14th December 2023 22.12.2023 30:13
Recorded 14th December 2023. Stefan Gerlach and Daniel Murray recap key findings from their recent trip to Washington DC, shedding light on US policymakers' thinking on the upcoming US election, the risk of recession, CPI data and more. Our host, Daniel Murray, Deputy CIO and Head of Research: https://bit.ly/3NBVBC2 Our guest: Stefan Gerlach, Chief Economist at EFG https://bit.ly/3veyR4U EFGAM: ht...
EP 83: Jeff deGraaf on seasonality and market sentiment | 1st November 2023 21.11.2023 46:32
Recorded 1st November 2023. Jeff deGraaf, Chairman and Head of Technical Research at Renaissance Macro Research shares his thoughts on current market sentiment and seasonality plays going into the winter. Jeff shares what RenMac's Market Cycle Clock indicators are saying, balanced against a more bearish yield impact model and a surprisingly strong US economy. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31...
EP 82: AI and the new digital landscape with Chris Tucci | 14th September 2023 31.10.2023 46:50
Our host, Moz, joins Chris Tucci, an Imperial College Business School professor of digital strategy and innovation, on an insightful journey into the impact of AI on digital innovation. Delve into AI's potential effects on employment and its promising applications in marketing, video game coding, and media. Discover Chris's AI Applications and Innovation MSC program, designed to educate students i...
EP 81: Q4 2023 Insight, The Shifting Sands of the Global Economy | 5th October 2023 13.10.2023 40:20
Join us on Beyond the Benchmark as we review the Q4 2023 Insights document. We've been pleasantly surprised by the resilience of certain economies this year, especially the US, Brazil, and India. Our team, including Paul Temperton, Stefan Gerlach, Daniel Murray, GianLuigi Mandruzzato, Joaquin Thul, and Sam Jochim, discuss these economic patterns and their implications. As we navigate the current...
EP 80: Exploring the Human Brain and AI with Neuroscientist Pascal Kaufman | 14th September 2023 22.09.2023 39:25
On this episode of Beyond The Benchmark, we dive into the mind of a remarkable neuroscientist, Pascal Kaufmann. His academic prowess ranges from ancient Greek and Latin studies to his groundbreaking exploration of the connection between brains and robots. Pascal's ventures StarMind and Mindfire are pushing the boundaries of artificial intelligence and crowdsourcing in an effort to understand the c...
EP 79: Picking the winners of the Climate Transition with Melanie Beyeler | 15th August 2023 30.08.2023 37:02
This week on Beyond the Benchmark Moz is joined by Melanie Beyeler, Fund Manager of the New Capital Climate Transition Fund. Melanie explains both her passion for the strategy, and the proprietary analysis process that the team uses to cut through the noise and select the right stocks for the Fund. As the conversation progresses, she details examples of the types of companies that are picked, the...
EP 78: Exploring the Dynamics of the US Economy with Don Rissmiller and Jason Trennert | 7th August 2023 14.08.2023 53:14
On this episode of Beyond the Benchmark, we welcomed Don Rissmiller and Jason Trennert from Strategas to dissect the complexities of the US economy and interest rates. They offer their insights into the current inflation problem, the challenges faced by central banks, and the balancing act between supply and demand. Listen in as we discuss the risks in the labor market, the effects of bank failure...
EP 77: The opportunities in hedge funds with Jerome Berset | 27th July 2023 03.08.2023 37:14
With Daniel Murray hosting the podcast this week, we welcome EFGAM's Head of Alternatives, Jerome Berset to the show. Jerome explains the precipitous fall from favour hedge funds faced in the aftermath of the Financial Crisis, followed by the return of interesting new opportunities in the space today. Our host, Daniel Murray, Deputy CIO & Global Head of Research at EFGAM: https://bit.ly/3tNPX...
EP 76: Insights on the Modern Economy and Investment Climate with Dennis DeBusschere | 11th July 2023 26.07.2023 49:09
Join Moz as we uncover the reality of the 'white collar recession' and how it's affecting our economy, with expert insights from Dennis DeBusschere of 22V Research. We shed light on the trends in layoffs and unemployment claims, along with the role of the big seven tech stocks in influencing investor sentiment. We also navigate the challenges portfolio managers are facing in trying to match the pe...
EP 75: Q3 2023 Insight, finding a new balance | 30th June 2023 10.07.2023 37:26
With the theme of 'finding a new balance' in Q3 2023, Moz checks in with the macro team behind the quarterly Insight document. From central bankers' meetings to pandemic resilience, they delve into returning inflation to its ideal state, discuss the Eurozone's economic challenges, the Bank of England's inflation strategy, and the impact of Brexit on wage growth. They also compare China and Japan's...
EP 74: The opportunities and possibilities in AI | 8th June 2023 16.06.2023 37:39
Artificial Intelligence has not been far from investors' thoughts since late 2022, when OpenAI's ChatGPT became widely available in its open test environment. In this episode Moz talks through some of the opportunities in the value chain of this burgeoning sector with Jonathan Rawicz, Senior Portfolio Manager at New Capital. From cloud services, GPUs and applications to consumer content creation,...
EP 73: Are we near the crest of monetary policy tightening? | 16th May 2023 23.05.2023 39:59
EFG's Chief Economist Stefan Gerlach shares his views on how monetary policy tightening may be reaching its peak, the challenges that still remain in the global economy and what the lagged impacts of 12 months of interest rate raises might be, and when they would take effect. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: Stefan Gerlach, Chief Economist at EFG bit.ly/3mz6t8V EFGAM: https:/...
EP 72: Larry Jeddeloh, the US has a branding problem | 17th April 2023 02.05.2023 44:40
Larry Jeddeloh is the Editor of The Institutional Strategist , and Founder of TIS Group. In this wide ranging conversation, Larry draws upon his experience of conversations with an enormous network of contacts, covering the long term potential weakness of the dollar, AI disruption, the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and the worrying and persistent surprises in equity and bond markets brought abou...
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